🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Ottoneu Leagues - Reader Trade Analysis and Grades

Hey RotoBallers and Ottoneu fans. I've decided to help grow the presence of Ottoneu content on RotoBaller by dissecting some trades at least once a month. I'll look to you, the people, on Twitter for some real-life examples of trades from FanGraphs' Ottoneu format, and I'll let you know what I think of them.

On top of quickly breaking down the pros and cons of each side of the deal, I'll let you know who I think won the deal, and I'll give that owner a grade: C being neutral and A+ being an absolute steal. Let me know if you have any feedback on if you think the grading process should be adjusted, but for now I think this gets the point across.

Feel free to send me any trade questions or examples you have on Twitter @BellRoto. I can give quick advice there, and I can also put your trade in the mix for a future article. Let's get to it.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Ottoneu MLB Trade Analysis

League: H2H FanGraphs Points

Team 1's: Alex Bregman ($34) and Trevor Bauer ($17) 

for Team 2's: Jose Altuve ($47) and Reynaldo Lopez ($2)

If we look at the batters first, it's easy to say right off the bat that Altuve is the better player than Bregman and deserves the higher price tag, especially in a format that rewards steals. However, a deeper look provokes an interesting question: Is Altuve really better than Bregman in anything other than batting average and runs? We've seen Altuve's home runs dip a little in the first quarter of this season, and while it's still early, it seems like he's hitting more line drives while pulling the ball less.

There's merit to thinking the home runs will be more like 15 per season going forward rather than 25. Of course, Altuve's always consistent BABIP and better batting order position will provide him a higher average and amount of runs scored, but Bregman may steal just as much if not more than Altuve. After all, you'd rather take the bat out of the 6th or 7th hitter's hands than the 4th or 5th hitter. I still think Altuve is the better player long term in this format, but if Bregman can increase his average 20 points or so, he may be more keep-able at these prices.

As for the pitchers, Bauer is worlds ahead of Lopez in terms of fantasy production at this point in their careers. The Indians starter clearly has the strikeout stuff that Lopez is still searching for. Both players have actually gotten somewhat lucky this year with BABIPs below .240, but Lopez may be due for even more regression than Bauer, which scares me immensely. Lopez provides flashes of brilliance, but Bauer clearly continues to put everything together more and more, year after year. Even with the price discrepancy, I'll take Bauer over Lopez any day.

Verdict: C+ for Team 1 - I'll take the slight batting discount for a clear upgrade in pitching.

 

League: H2H FanGraphs Points

Team 1's: Trevor Story ($11) and Odubel Herrera ($8)

for Team 2's: Jose Abreu ($25) and Lourdes Gurriel ($2)

I don't like this trade at all for Team 1. I get that Jose Abreu is the best player in this deal, and usually I will give up more than I should to ensure that I get the best player, but this seems like a trade that was accepted on a whim from someone's phone at 1:30 AM on a Saturday night.

Herrera has been one of the most impressive hitters in the league so far this year, continually getting on base any way he can, stealing a few bases, and absolutely demolishing some homers in the process. At this $8 price tag, he's someone you could potentially control for a handful of years. Story is quite the consolation prize too, as he has continued to show impressive power and surprising speed numbers into early 2018. His batting average might never eclipse .250 in the majors again, but Herrera will help even that out and then some.

Again, Abreu is a great piece, and he's about as consistent as they come. You're likely looking at a .300 batting average with 30-35 bombs when all is said and done, plus the White Sox lineup is getting a little better around him. However, I don't have the feeling that Gurriel is going to become a player you'll want to keep for next year, and you just gave up two really, really nicely priced players for this decent combo. You simply gave up too much for Abreu and an expendable piece.

Verdict: B+ for Team 2 - Great work turning a stud and a flavor of the week into two potential studs.

 

League: Old School 5x5

Team 1's: Noah Syndergaard (34) and Wilson Ramos (10)

for Team 2's: Brendan Rodgers (2) and Juan Soto (1)

Here's your old school "Take my talent now for young guys down the road." These trades are very difficult to grade, especially without context. If this deal is going to leave Team 1 struggling in the pitching department and without a serviceable catcher, it makes much less sense than if the team is already riddled with injuries and re-grouping for next season. Or, I suppose, it would make sense if Team 1 is loaded and looking to capture upside for next year too. Either way, tough to grade.

I will say that Rodgers and Soto are awesome targets to look at if you're gearing up for 2019. It's unlikely that either one will hit the big leagues this year, so their prices should remain the same (at least I think that's how Ottoneu pricing works). However, Rodgers should be able to take over second base when D.J. LeMahieu hits the free agent market after this season. As for Soto, he could be next year's Ronald Acuna Jr. in the sense that the Nationals will have no choice but to bring him up. Both prospects have loads of power and should have no problem finding places to play. They are very exciting stashes if you can afford to go get them or if you're ready to re-group for next season already.

Verdict: C for both teams - As I mentioned above, I need some context to say who wins this trade for sure. However, I do like the benefit for both teams if Team 1 is preparing for the future and Team 2 is ready to win now.

 

More Ottoneu Analysis and Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
Victor Wembanyama

Coming off the Bench on Tuesday Night
Rudy Gobert

Not on the Injury Report for Wednesday
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Wednesday Night
Ja Morant

Questionable for Wednesday's Meeting With Timberwolves
Saquon Barkley

Misses Practice With Stinger
RJ Harvey

Dealing With Rib Injury
Josh Jacobs

Intends to Play Against Bears on Saturday
Zach Bogosian

Misses Tuesday's Game
Marcus Johansson

Unavailable Tuesday
Artyom Levshunov

Scratched for Tuesday
Mathew Barzal

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Joseph Woll

Returns to Action Tuesday
Mike Matheson

Won't Play on Tuesday
Rasmus Ristolainen

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Bam Knight

Cardinals Place Bam Knight on Injured Reserve
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
Patrick Mahomes

Targeting Week 1 Return in 2026
Cutter Gauthier

Scores Twice at MSG
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
Tim Stützle

Tim Stutzle Records Three Assists in Dramatic Win
Filip Forsberg

Nets 11th Career Hat Trick
Sam Reinhart

Pots Two Goals Against Lightning
Darcy Kuemper

Hurt Versus Stars
Gustav Forsling

Injured in Monday's Win
Brandon Hagel

Makes Early Exit Monday
Cooper Flagg

Becomes Youngest 40-Point Scorer in NBA History
Victor Wembanyama

May Come Off the Bench Again Tuesday
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic to Undergo MRI Tuesday
Sam Hauser

Tweaks Left Ankle Monday
Peyton Watson

Not Expected to Be Out Long-Term
Ja Morant

Injures Ankle in Monday's Win
Darren Waller

Hauls in Two Touchdowns in Monday Night Loss
Brandon Clarke

Still Out Monday
Rome Odunze

Considered Week-to-Week With Foot Injury
James Harden

Officially Active on Monday Night
Ja Morant

to Remain Under Minutes Restriction Monday
James Harden

a Game-Time Call Monday
John Konchar

to Be Re-Evaluated in Three Weeks
Julian Strawther

Active on Monday
James Harden

Good to Go Monday
Tari Eason

Remains Out Monday
Daniel Gafford

to Be Limited to 17-20 Minutes Monday
Davante Adams

Considered Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Kyle Filipowski

Starting Against Mavericks
Brandon Williams

Out Monday
Jaylen Warren

to Play Through Illness on Monday Night
Will Smith

Sharks Place Will Smith on Injured Reserve
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Expected to Return Before Christmas
Dylan Holloway

to Miss Six Weeks
Patrick Kane

Expected to Miss at Least Two Games
Quinton Byfield

Ruled Out for Monday
Mika Zibanejad

Won't Play on Monday
Connor Bedard

Out Until 2026
Bhayshul Tuten

to Miss a Few Weeks With Finger Injury
Joe Burrow

Will Start the Rest of the Season
Jayden Daniels

to be Shut Down for Final Three Games
Philip Rivers

Will Start Again in Week 16
Drake London

Falcons "Very Hopeful" Drake London Can Return in Week 16
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
Micah Parsons

MRI Confirms Torn ACL for Micah Parsons
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Jaylen Warren

Questionable for Monday Night Due to Illness
Bam Knight

has "Bad Sprain," Unlikely to Play in Week 16
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
New York Jets

Jets Fire Defensive Coordinator Steve Wilks
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Christian Watson

Avoids Long-Term Injury, Status for Week 16 Unclear
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Teddye Buchanan

Ravens Linebacker Teddye Buchanan Believed to Have Torn ACL
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Dallas Goedert

has Third Two-Touchdown Game on Sunday
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
CFB

Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Maikel Garcia

Royals Agree on Five-Year Extension
Melquizael Costa

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
Marcus Buchecha

Looks To Bounce Back
CFB

Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
CFB

Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
CFB

Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
CFB

Fernando Mendoza Named AP College Football Player of the Year
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves
CFB

Sherrone Moore Remains in Police Custody

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP