TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Ottoneu Leagues - Reader Trade Analysis and Grades

Hey RotoBallers and Ottoneu fans. I've decided to help grow the presence of Ottoneu content on RotoBaller by dissecting some trades at least once a month. I'll look to you, the people, on Twitter for some real-life examples of trades from FanGraphs' Ottoneu format, and I'll let you know what I think of them.

On top of quickly breaking down the pros and cons of each side of the deal, I'll let you know who I think won the deal, and I'll give that owner a grade: C being neutral and A+ being an absolute steal. Let me know if you have any feedback on if you think the grading process should be adjusted, but for now I think this gets the point across.

Feel free to send me any trade questions or examples you have on Twitter @BellRoto. I can give quick advice there, and I can also put your trade in the mix for a future article. Let's get to it.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Ottoneu MLB Trade Analysis

League: H2H FanGraphs Points

Team 1's: Alex Bregman ($34) and Trevor Bauer ($17) 

for Team 2's: Jose Altuve ($47) and Reynaldo Lopez ($2)

If we look at the batters first, it's easy to say right off the bat that Altuve is the better player than Bregman and deserves the higher price tag, especially in a format that rewards steals. However, a deeper look provokes an interesting question: Is Altuve really better than Bregman in anything other than batting average and runs? We've seen Altuve's home runs dip a little in the first quarter of this season, and while it's still early, it seems like he's hitting more line drives while pulling the ball less.

There's merit to thinking the home runs will be more like 15 per season going forward rather than 25. Of course, Altuve's always consistent BABIP and better batting order position will provide him a higher average and amount of runs scored, but Bregman may steal just as much if not more than Altuve. After all, you'd rather take the bat out of the 6th or 7th hitter's hands than the 4th or 5th hitter. I still think Altuve is the better player long term in this format, but if Bregman can increase his average 20 points or so, he may be more keep-able at these prices.

As for the pitchers, Bauer is worlds ahead of Lopez in terms of fantasy production at this point in their careers. The Indians starter clearly has the strikeout stuff that Lopez is still searching for. Both players have actually gotten somewhat lucky this year with BABIPs below .240, but Lopez may be due for even more regression than Bauer, which scares me immensely. Lopez provides flashes of brilliance, but Bauer clearly continues to put everything together more and more, year after year. Even with the price discrepancy, I'll take Bauer over Lopez any day.

Verdict: C+ for Team 1 - I'll take the slight batting discount for a clear upgrade in pitching.

 

League: H2H FanGraphs Points

Team 1's: Trevor Story ($11) and Odubel Herrera ($8)

for Team 2's: Jose Abreu ($25) and Lourdes Gurriel ($2)

I don't like this trade at all for Team 1. I get that Jose Abreu is the best player in this deal, and usually I will give up more than I should to ensure that I get the best player, but this seems like a trade that was accepted on a whim from someone's phone at 1:30 AM on a Saturday night.

Herrera has been one of the most impressive hitters in the league so far this year, continually getting on base any way he can, stealing a few bases, and absolutely demolishing some homers in the process. At this $8 price tag, he's someone you could potentially control for a handful of years. Story is quite the consolation prize too, as he has continued to show impressive power and surprising speed numbers into early 2018. His batting average might never eclipse .250 in the majors again, but Herrera will help even that out and then some.

Again, Abreu is a great piece, and he's about as consistent as they come. You're likely looking at a .300 batting average with 30-35 bombs when all is said and done, plus the White Sox lineup is getting a little better around him. However, I don't have the feeling that Gurriel is going to become a player you'll want to keep for next year, and you just gave up two really, really nicely priced players for this decent combo. You simply gave up too much for Abreu and an expendable piece.

Verdict: B+ for Team 2 - Great work turning a stud and a flavor of the week into two potential studs.

 

League: Old School 5x5

Team 1's: Noah Syndergaard (34) and Wilson Ramos (10)

for Team 2's: Brendan Rodgers (2) and Juan Soto (1)

Here's your old school "Take my talent now for young guys down the road." These trades are very difficult to grade, especially without context. If this deal is going to leave Team 1 struggling in the pitching department and without a serviceable catcher, it makes much less sense than if the team is already riddled with injuries and re-grouping for next season. Or, I suppose, it would make sense if Team 1 is loaded and looking to capture upside for next year too. Either way, tough to grade.

I will say that Rodgers and Soto are awesome targets to look at if you're gearing up for 2019. It's unlikely that either one will hit the big leagues this year, so their prices should remain the same (at least I think that's how Ottoneu pricing works). However, Rodgers should be able to take over second base when D.J. LeMahieu hits the free agent market after this season. As for Soto, he could be next year's Ronald Acuna Jr. in the sense that the Nationals will have no choice but to bring him up. Both prospects have loads of power and should have no problem finding places to play. They are very exciting stashes if you can afford to go get them or if you're ready to re-group for next season already.

Verdict: C for both teams - As I mentioned above, I need some context to say who wins this trade for sure. However, I do like the benefit for both teams if Team 1 is preparing for the future and Team 2 is ready to win now.

 

More Ottoneu Analysis and Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Deni Avdija

Uncertain for Monday Night
Stephen Curry

Still Out Monday
Deandre Ayton

Expected to Play Monday
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Ruled Out for Monday
Joel Embiid

Considered Questionable for Monday's Game
Jalen Smith

Iffy for Monday
Tre Jones

Doubtful for Monday
Josh Giddey

Likely to Remain Out Monday
Dyson Daniels

Questionable for Monday Due to Ankle Issue
Keyonte George

Won't Play Against Heat
Malik Monk

Set to Miss Another Game Monday
Jalen Duren

Probable Versus Charlotte
Domantas Sabonis

Questionable for Meeting with Pelicans
Zach LaVine

Out Monday
Franz Wagner

Draws Questionable Tag for Monday Night
De'Andre Hunter

to Be Re-Evaluated in 10 Days
Daniss Jenkins

Pistons Agree on a Two-Year Deal
Spencer Jones

to Remain Out Monday
Christian Braun

Expected to Play Monday
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Considered Probable for Monday Night
Milwaukee Bucks

Cam Thomas Signing With Milwaukee
Jurickson Profar

May Be Undervalued After Suspension-Marred 2025
Tanner Bibee

in Line for Resurgent 2026 Season?
Ian Happ

Showing Subtle Signs of Aging Heading into 2026
Ryan Pepiot

Returning to More Favorable Home Park in 2026
Roki Sasaki

Can Roki Sasaki Rebound from Disappointing 2025 Campaign?
James Pearce Jr.

Arrested Following Police Chase
Christian Yelich

Unlikely to Replicate 2025 Campaign
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Could Regress After Career Year
Conner Capel

Rockies Sign Conner Capel to Minor-League Deal
Lou Trivino

Heading Back to Phillies
Keegan Akin

Loses Arbitration Case
Xavier Edwards

Due for Another Big Season on the Basepaths?
Andy Pages

Still an Everyday Contributor Despite Dodgers' Big Signing
Noelvi Marte

Projected for Larger Role in 2026
Addison Barger

Coming Off a Busy Season in the Majors
Isaac Paredes

Trade Talks for Isaac Paredes Reportedly Intensifying
Quinn Hughes

Enters Olympics in Red-Hot Form
NHL

Juho Lammikko Returns to Switzerland
Pavel Zacha

Misses Olympics
Drew Rasmussen

: High-Upside Starting Pitcher Option with Health Concerns
Gavin Williams

Looking to Build on 2025 Emergence in 2026
Jo Adell

Can Jo Adell Repeat 2025 Power Breakout?
Brandon Woodruff

Looking to Put Injury Woes Behind Him in 2026
Lawrence Butler

Can Lawrence Butler Bounce Back from Underwhelming 2025 Campaign?
Yasiel Puig

Found Guilty of Obstruction of Justice, Lying to Officials
Travis Kelce

Undecided on Playing Future, Leaning Towards Returning in 2026?
CFB

Rutgers Hiring South Dakota Head Coach Travis Johansen as Defensive Coordinator
Vinicius Oliveira

Looks For His Seventh Consecutive Win
Mario Bautista

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 113
Kyoji Horiguchi

Set For UFC Vegas 113 Co-Main Event
Amir Albazi

Looks To Bounce Back
Rizvan Kuniev

Looks For His First UFC Win
Jailton Almeida

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Marc-Andre Barriault

In Dire Need Of Victory
Michal Oleksiejczuk

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Michael Penix Jr.

Says he's Ahead of Schedule After Knee Surgery
Cleveland Browns

Jim Schwartz Resigns as Browns Defensive Coordinator
Malik Nabers

Says his Rehab has Been "Phenomenal"
CFB

Oklahoma Hiring Former NFL Defensive Lineman DeShawn Williams to Analyst Role
CFB

Jahmal Edrine Charged with Sexual Assault, No Longer Enrolled at Virginia
Jakob Chychrun

Makes Big Impact in Thursday's Win
Brandon Bussi

Shuts Out Rangers With 16 Saves
Anze Kopitar

Reaches 1,300 Career Points
Mark Stone

Becomes First Vegas Player With 100 Multi-Point Games
Daniil Tarasov

Injured in Battle of Florida
Andrei Kuzmenko

Hurt Versus Vegas
John Carlson

Suffers Lower-Body Injury
Matthew Stafford

Named 2025 NFL MVP, Will Return in 2026
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Takes Home Offensive Player of the Year Honors
Christian McCaffrey

Named Comeback Player of the Year
Tetairoa McMillan

Named Offensive Rookie of the Year
Myles Garrett

Unanimously Wins Defensive Player of the Year Award
Brad Marchand

Evan Rodrigues Among Panthers Absentees Thursday
Calum Ritchie

Rejoins Islanders Lineup as Second-Line Center
Zach Benson

Sits Out Second Straight Game
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Available Against Predators
Rickard Rakell

Out Thursday
Brayden Point

Won't Play in Olympics
Jonathan Huberdeau

to Have Season-Ending Hip Surgery
CFB

Houston, Vanderbilt, Tennessee Land Top-Three QBs in 2026 Class
Joe Mixon

Committed to Playing in 2026
CFB

Michigan Signs Top-15 Recruiting Class Despite Coaching Change
CFB

USC Finishes with No. 1 Signing Class in 2026
Valeri Nichushkin

Sets Up Three Goals Wednesday
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss Denied Medical Redshirt Waiver By NCAA
Ryan O'Reilly

Delivers Three Assists in Overtime Loss
Matt Boldy

Records Historically Fast Hat Trick Wednesday
Jet Greaves

Gives Blue Jackets Second Straight Shutout
CFB

Sam Leavitt to be Limited In Spring Practice
Jordan Love

Avoids Offseason Surgery
Matt Fitzpatrick

Back in Action at WM Phoenix Open
Sahith Theegala

Riding Hot Start Into WM Phoenix Open
J.J. Spaun

Looks to Regain Form at WM Phoenix Open
Viktor Hovland

a Volatile Option at WM Phoenix Open
Rasmus Hojgaard

Aims to Build on Solid Start to 2026
Brian Harman

Looks to Find Form at WM Phoenix Open
Daniel Berger

Has the Tools to Go One Step Higher at Scottsdale
Max Greyserman

Searching for Consistency at WM Phoenix Open
Jake Knapp

Wants Revenge at WM Phoenix Open
CFB

Joey Aguilar Granted Temporary Restraining Order Against NCAA
Joel Dahmen

Carrying Momentum Into WM Phoenix Open
Corey Conners

Unlikely to Contend at Scottsdale
Sepp Straka

Seeks a Rebound After The American Express
Jordan Spieth

Healthy Heading to WM Phoenix Open
Keith Mitchell

Building Momentum for Event in Scottsdale
Tom Hoge

The Tom Hoge Roller Coaster Heads to Scottsdale for WM Phoenix Open
Rickie Fowler

Worth a Look at WM Phoenix Open
Xander Schauffele

Making Second Appearance at Phoenix Open
Collin Morikawa

Needs a Bounce-Back at Waste Management Phoenix Open
Hideki Matsuyama

Has a Shot to Challenge at the Waste Management Phoenix Open
Max Homa

Playing Well Heading to Waste Management Phoenix Open
Ben Griffin

Will Need to Find Approach Game to Compete in Phoenix
Michael Penix Jr.

Matt Ryan Not Committing to Michael Penix Jr. as the Starting QB
NASCAR

Billy Horschel Unlikely to Right the Ship in Phoenix
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF