X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Jeremy Pena: Champ or Chump for Fantasy Baseball?

Jeremy Pena fantasy baseball rankings rookies prospects shortstop draft sleepers

Jeremy Pena was one of the biggest stories of the offseason. The contending Astros expressed minimal interest in retaining the services of star shortstop Carlos Correa and even less in the countless other names available at the position, instead anointing the 24-year-old Pena as their shortstop of the present and future.

Pena's role in a good lineup gave the young shortstop some fantasy buzz as a sleeper, but he exceeded all expectations by slashing .277/.332/.472 with nine homers and six steals before a thumb injury took him out of the lineup for approximately two weeks. He returned to the team over the weekend, making now a great time to take a look under the hood and see if he's a fantasy star.

Pena was a solid prospect but not a great one, being selected in the third round of the 2018 Amateur Draft. Known for his glove at first, he grew into offensive skills as he matured on the farm. Without further ado, let's take a closer look at Pena's profile:

Featured Promo: Want a free RotoBaller Premium Pass? Check out these sports betting promo offers from the top sportsbooks! All new sign-ups get a free bonus offer on their first deposit, and a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Sign Up Now!

 

Small MiLB Resume for Jeremy Pena

Like all minor leaguers, Pena missed out on the 2020 season due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Unlike most minor leaguers, a left wrist injury limited him to about a quarter of a season for Triple-A (Sugar Land) in 2021. As a result, he came into the 2022 campaign with a guaranteed job but very little track record.

Still, he flashed an intriguing skillset for fantasy in his brief taste of Triple-A. He hit .287/.346/.598 with 10 homers and five steals across 133 PAs. His plate discipline wasn't great with a 4.5 BB% and 26.3 K%, and there was a ton of swing-and-miss in his game with a 15.5 SwStr%. He also struggled to elevate the ball with a 31.4 FB%, but he was efficient on the bases with one CS and appeared to have the skills required to maintain his .325 BABIP. There's room for further development, but there's a lot to like too.

This is where we usually bring up what kind of environment Pena played in, but Sugar Land's Constellation Field was an independent ballpark until this season. Therefore, we don't have park factors for it yet.

 

Breaking Down Jeremy Pena's 2022 Season

Pena has addressed some of his issues from Triple-A at the highest level. His surface plate discipline stats are better with a 5.6 BB% and 23.7 K%, though the underlying 14.9 SwStr% and 37.3% chase rate suggest that more strikeouts could be in his future. His 87.2 Z-Contact% is solid though, so he has a reasonable contact rate in the zone.

Pena is also hitting a few more fly balls with a 37.5 FB%, getting something out of his 16.7% HR/FB without adversely affecting his .328 BABIP. His Statcast contact quality metrics are about MLB average with a 93.2 mph average airborne exit velocity, 9.6% rate of Brls/BBE, and a max exit velocity of 110.5 mph. Pena doesn't have the raw power of an elite slugger, but he's not a slap hitter either. We can probably expect about 20 HR over a full season from him.

Pena is really interesting from a fantasy perspective because of his wheels, and his 29.4 ft./sec Statcast Sprint Speed is elite. He hasn't been caught stealing at the MLB level yet, suggesting that the Astros will continue to let him run. Pena's speed also gives him some batting average upside as his .214 BABIP on grounders is fairly low for a speedster with an average EV on grounders of 85.3 mph.

All told, Statcast's expected statistics support what Pena has been doing. His .274 xBA is close to his actual average of .277 and might indicate some bad fortune given that the metric consistently underrates speed merchants like Pena. Likewise, his .489 xSLG is a little better than his actual mark of .472. This author could see the average come down a little if he starts striking out more and fails to maintain his 23.6 LD%, but anything above .250 is gravy if you're getting power and speed.

 

The Final Verdict on Jeremy Pena

Perhaps the biggest downside to rostering Pena is through no fault of his own. Manager Dusty Baker consistently hits him sixth or seventh in the order, denying Pena the opportunities to pad his counting stats that would otherwise accompany a role in Houston's high-powered offense. You would like to think that Pena could hit his way into a bigger role, but Kyle Tucker was a borderline MVP candidate last year and seldom hit higher than sixth. Sometimes Dusty Baker does Dusty Baker things.

Outside of that, Pena looks like a solid player. Both his power and speed seem real, and while his batting average may drop a little from his current level it shouldn't fall enough to be a deal-breaker. He's only 75% rostered in Yahoo! leagues, so pick him up where available. Alternatively, you could try buying low on Pena if his current manager forgot about him while he was on the IL. Jeremy Pena is a Champ.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Player Profiles




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Matt Ryan19 mins ago

Won't Play This Weekend
Kadarius Toney26 mins ago

Takes Part In Practice Thursday
Tom Brady40 mins ago

No Timetable For Tom Brady's Return
Ty Chandler50 mins ago

Misses Practice Thursday
JuJu Smith-Schuster55 mins ago

Expected To Return Next Week
Sterling Shepard1 hour ago

Making Strides
Deshaun Watson1 hour ago

Won't Play Anymore Preseason Games
Mitch Trubisky1 hour ago

To Start Second Preseason Game
Wander Franco2 hours ago

Remains Out At Triple-A
J.D. McKissic2 hours ago

Misses Practice With Groin Injury
Patrick Mahomes2 hours ago

To See Preseason Action Saturday
O.J. Howard3 hours ago

Not A Threat To Dawson Knox
Khalil Shakir3 hours ago

Has Been Outstanding
Stefon Diggs3 hours ago

Gabe Davis Will Be On The Field A Lot
Buffalo Bills3 hours ago

Bills Backfield Could Become Muddy Committee
Ezekiel Elliott3 hours ago

Could Be Gone In 2023
Deshaun Watson3 hours ago

Suspended 11 Games
Mookie Betts4 hours ago

Not In The Lineup Against Brewers
Kyle Wright4 hours ago

Lined Up To Start Friday
Max Fried4 hours ago

Reinstated And Starting Thursday
Nathan Eovaldi4 hours ago

Scratched, Josh Winckowski To Start
Luis Robert4 hours ago

Out Again Thursday
Austin Hooper4 hours ago

Busy On Wednesday
Mecole Hardman4 hours ago

Injury Isn't Serious
Michael Pittman Jr.4 hours ago

Looks Great In Joint Practice
Irv Smith Jr.5 hours ago

On Track To Play In Week 1
Josh Allen5 hours ago

To Play Against Broncos Saturday
Aroldis Chapman15 hours ago

Scott Effross To Share Save Duties
Luis Robert15 hours ago

Receives Injection, Won't Go On Injured List
Merab Dvalishvili18 hours ago

Can Pick Up His Sixth Straight Win Saturday
Jose Aldo18 hours ago

Can Earn Fourth Straight Win Saturday
Alexandr Romanov18 hours ago

Alexander Romanov Hopes To Remain Undefeated
Marcin Tybura18 hours ago

Faced With A Tough Task At UFC 278
MMA18 hours ago

Henry Hunsucker Looking To Pull Off A Big Upset
Tyson Pedro18 hours ago

Has A Huge Opportunity At UFC 278
Billy Horschel19 hours ago

Is Risky At BMW Championship
Maverick McNealy19 hours ago

May Struggle At BMW Championship
Adam Scott19 hours ago

Is Confusing To Figure Out
Tarik Skubal19 hours ago

Undergoes Flexor Tendon Surgery
LeBron James19 hours ago

Agrees To Extension With Lakers
Eduardo Escobar19 hours ago

Officially Lands On Injured List
Taijuan Walker20 hours ago

Has Clean MRI
PGA21 hours ago

Max Homa A Strong Option At The BMW
Cameron Young22 hours ago

A Popular Choice To Win
Kevin Kisner22 hours ago

May Be Undervalued
Luis Robert22 hours ago

Remains Out Against Astros
Viktor Hovland22 hours ago

Flying Under The Radar
Justin Thomas22 hours ago

A Top Option At The BMW
22 hours ago

Tom Kim Gaining On Approach In 15 Consecutive Rounds
Giancarlo Stanton22 hours ago

Likely To Begin Rehab Stint This Weekend
Denny McCarthy22 hours ago

Continues To Be High-Risk, High-Reward
Eduardo Rodriguez23 hours ago

Set To Return On Sunday
Sam Burns23 hours ago

Eyeing Fourth Win Of Season
DJ LeMahieu23 hours ago

Expects To Return To The Lineup Thursday
Clay Holmes23 hours ago

Placed On 15-Day Injured List
Scott Stallings23 hours ago

Needs A Big Week
Davis Riley23 hours ago

Building Momentum
Joey Votto23 hours ago

To Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
PGA23 hours ago

Sungje Im Offers Discounted Upside
Tyrrell Hatton24 hours ago

Has Putting Upside
Jon Rahm1 day ago

Lacking Upside Relative To Ownership
Xander Bogaerts1 day ago

In Wednesday's Lineup
George Springer1 day ago

Not Starting Wednesday
Aaron Wise1 day ago

Waiting On Broomstick To Return
Harold Varner1 day ago

III Struggling Entering BMW Championship
Joaquin Niemann1 day ago

A Solid Option
Hideki Matsuyama1 day ago

A Major Wild Card
Xander Schauffele1 day ago

Looking To Bounce Back
Mike Trout1 day ago

Could Return This Week
Kyle Schwarber1 day ago

Still Out Wednesday
Brandon Ingram2 days ago

Pelicans Not Looking To Trade Brandon Ingram To Nets
Chicago Bulls2 days ago

Bulls Sign Carlik Jones To Exhibit 10 Deal
San Antonio Spurs2 days ago

Alize Johnson, Spurs Agree To One-Year Deal
Donovan Mitchell2 days ago

Knicks, Jazz Re-Enter Donovan Mitchell Trade Talks
2 days ago

Justin Lewis Out Indefinitely
Jaren Jackson2 days ago

Jr. Should Be 100% After Rehab
Tyler Herro2 days ago

Not Concerned With Trade Rumors
Boston Celtics3 days ago

Juhann Begarin To Stay With Paris Basketball In 2022
Dominick Cruz3 days ago

Suffers A Big Loss On Saturday
MMA3 days ago

Marlon Vera Produces Highlight-Reel Knockout Win
Miami Heat3 days ago

Udonis Haslem Unsure About Future
Orlando Magic3 days ago

Alex Morales Lands Exhibit 10 Deal With Orlando
Kevin Durant3 days ago

Says He's Not Retiring
David Onama3 days ago

Puts On A Show On Saturday
Nate Landwehr3 days ago

Picks Up A Win Saturday
Iasmin Lucindo3 days ago

Impresses But Drops Decision In Octagon Debut
Yazmin Jauregui3 days ago

Shines In UFC Debut
Devin Clark3 days ago

Suffers Third-Round TKO Loss
Azamat Murzakanov3 days ago

Earns Second TKO Victory
Ariane Lipski3 days ago

Continues To Have Issues In The UFC
MMA3 days ago

Priscila Cachoeira Earns Big Knockout In First Round
Bruno Silva3 days ago

Drops Second Straight Fight
Gerald Meerschaert3 days ago

Successful In Main-Card Opener
Kyrie Irving4 days ago

Allegedly Had Interesting Contract Demands
Donovan Mitchell4 days ago

Knicks Remain Frontrunners In Donovan Mitchell Sweepstakes
Jaylen Brown4 days ago

Still Being Discussed In Durant Deal
Russell Westbrook4 days ago

Training Camp A "Soft Deadline" For Russell Westbrook Move
NBA4 days ago

Lakers/Mavericks, Grizzlies/Warriors Likely To Play Christmas Day
De'Anthony Melton4 days ago

Drops 26 Points In Drew League Playoffs
Dallas Mavericks4 days ago

Dallas Inks McKinley Wright IV, Mouhamadou Gueye To Deals
Kyle Busch4 days ago

Starts 29th At Richmond Sunday
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Not Happy In Qualifying On Saturday
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Starts 21st On Sunday At Richmond
Chris Buescher4 days ago

Long Shot To Finish Top Ten
Joey Logano4 days ago

Could Move Up At Richmond
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Begins In Row Eight For Sunday
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Enjoying Extended Run With 23XI Racing
Kevin Harvick4 days ago

Poised For A Possible Top Ten Result
Austin Dillon4 days ago

Begins Sunday 12th At Richmond
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Starts 11th At Richmond Sunday
Denver Nuggets5 days ago

Justin Tillman Joins Nuggets For 2022-23 Season
Sacramento Kings5 days ago

Sacramento Adds Sam Merrill For 2022-23 Season
Dominick Cruz7 days ago

Returns To Action At UFC Fight Night
Marlon Vera7 days ago

Set For Main Event Against A Former Champion
Nate Landwehr7 days ago

Looking To Break .500 UFC Record On Saturday
Erik Jones2 weeks ago

Will Start In 10th
Denny Hamlin2 weeks ago

Starts In Ninth
Kyle Larson2 weeks ago

Starts In Eighth Place
Martin Truex Jr2 weeks ago

. Starts In Seventh
Tyler Reddick2 weeks ago

Aims For Third Win
Austin Cindric2 weeks ago

Starts In Fifth Place
Joey Logano2 weeks ago

Starts In Fourth
Kyle Busch2 weeks ago

Starts In Third Place
Christopher Bell2 weeks ago

Starts On The Front Row
NASCAR2 weeks ago

Bubba Wallace Nabs The Pole
Brad Keselowski2 weeks ago

Could Move Up On Sunday
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Brett Baty - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers, Wavier Wire Pickups

Breakout Hitters for Fantasy Baseball - MLB Batters Rising for Week 19

Welcome back to another edition of my "Breakout Hitters To Watch" series. What we're doing here is taking a good, close look at the hitting data each week to see which hitters are standing out the most. At times this year, I have gone away from the "breakout" term to just highlight hitters that have... Read More


Lucas Giolito - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Starts & Sits for MLB Week 19 - All Starting Pitcher Matchups for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers! Big week in fantasy leagues as we approach the end of the season and playoffs! As always, we are here with our starting pitcher starts and sits series to help you set those winning lineups for the week ahead! For those who are not familiar, RotoBaller puts out a weekly grid of... Read More


Ketel Marte - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB injury News

Fantasy Baseball Trade Targets - Buy/Sell For Week 19

Making the right trades can be crucial to championship success in fantasy baseball, almost as much as the draft, if not more. While most trades can have a significant impact on your fantasy team, it’s the deals where you acquire undervalued players and then see their production improve that can really tip the scales in... Read More


Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/18/22)

Folks, it's Jacob deGrom day! After essentially going a year without being able to watch deGrom continue a stretch of dominance that may be the best peak performance in MLB history, we ought to cherish every time deGrom comes to the mound. Surely, Mets fans feel the same way, though I'm not sure that same... Read More


sandy alcantara fantasy baseball rankings starting pitchers draft sleepers

Updated MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top-101 Baller Ranks

We're in the second half of August and you need to either maximize the remaining innings in roto leagues or line up the best arms for H2H matchups. Sadly, this week's edition is a bit bare as I'm dealing with family emergencies and the hospital WiFi isn't so great! I'll hit you with a top-101... Read More


Aaron Judge - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (8/18/22): MLB DFS Lineups

Happy Thursday, RotoBallers! This is John Brubaker dropping some of my favorite plays for today's slate. After a few weeks of relatively normal Thursday slates, we're hit with a five-game main slate this evening. Not only that, pitching is extremely top-heavy, with guys like Jacob deGrom, Max Fried, and Shane McClanahan taking the ball for... Read More


MLB injuries fantasy baseball injury news updates stock

Daily MLB Injury Roundup for August 18th, 2022

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for August 18th, 2022. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Aroldis Chapman - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Relief Pitchers, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News Updates

MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. In addition to closers and saves, relief... Read More


fantasy baseball prospects MLB prospects rookies call-ups

Hot MLB Prospects To Watch For Fantasy Baseball - Week 19

Welcome back, RotoBallers! The All-Star Break and trade deadline is in the rearview mirror. We're heading into Week 20 of the fantasy baseball season, and the minor league season rages on. It would be foolish to proceed without highlighting the top performances from Week 19. It's imperative to monitor the top fantasy baseball prospects who... Read More


MLB injuries fantasy baseball injury news updates stock

Daily MLB Injury Roundup for August 17th, 2022

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for August 17th, 2022. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


max scherzer fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers mlb injury news

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (8/17/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Welcome back to another edition of the FREE DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks. As customary, we have an all-day ledger on tap Wednesday, and although DraftKings does not have a full-day slate, FanDuel does. Consequently, today's article will feature picks on both sites for games throughout the day, as even on DK, the suggestions... Read More


pablo lopez fantasy baseball rankings starting pitcher draft sleepers MLB injury news

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/17/22)

It's Wednesday, August 17th, 2022 and there is an exciting slate of 15 MLB games today. Max Scherzer takes the mound today, as does Carlos Rodon. Those two pitchers could pitch to anyone and I'd be interested in watching. As far as playoff races go, the Guardians, Twins, and White Sox are all within a game of each... Read More


George Kirby - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Thunder Dan's MLB Betting Picks for August 17: Pitcher Props, Totals, Money Line Bets

I'm still grinding MLB bets every day and if you're here reading this right now, I assume that you are, too! Whether you like game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you and try to cover a little bit of everything! Last month, I started my own free sports betting... Read More