X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free NBA Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (3/28/23)

Javonte Green - NBA DFS Picks, Daily Fantasy Basketball Rankings, Injury News - rotoballer icon

Josh's top NBA betting picks and best bets for today's NBA games on 3/28/23. His free picks against the spread for Tuesday night's NBA slate.

It’s been a little while since I’ve taken a stab at NBA picks, but I’m back and ready to go. I had a decent night almost two weeks ago. The Miami Heat took care of business at home and covered the four-point spread against the Memphis Grizzlies. A “meaningless” (meaningful to some of us) Mike Conley buzzer-beater three helped the Timberwolves cover. The only blip was the Chicago Bulls losing on a last-second three to De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings. It was a solid 2-1 night on straight picks and the Miami + Philly money line parlay hit at +184, the second parlay to hit in three tries. I'm now 5-4 ATS and hoping to only keep a positive record going forward.

We got six games on the slate tonight and a couple of Eastern Conference matchups I want to focus on. The Cleveland Cavaliers head to Atlanta while the Miami Heat crosses the border to Toronto. They should be two entertaining games as playoff seeding still needs to be determined with a lot of possible movement in the final 10+ games.

In this article, I’ll have some of my favorite picks against the spread and a money line parlay for NBA games that tip-off at 7:00 PM EST on Tuesday, March 28th.  Follow me on Twitter @Jwiesel13.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NBA Betting Picks: Against the Spread

Cleveland Cavaliers (-1.5) @ Atlanta Hawks (234.5 total)

 Cleveland enters this game as a small road favorite on a four-game win streak. The Cavs have been playing well, going 8-2 in their last ten games. Over their streak, it’s not like they are putting up 120+ points per game (they are at 114, tied for 17th), or shooting crazy percentages from the floor. Metrics like this always stand out to me because teams have tendencies to get hot and ride hot shooting for stretches. The Cavs aren’t doing anything spectacular on offense and over their last ten games, they are 21st in scoring, 13th in field goal percentage, 19th in three-point percentage, and tenth in offensive rating.

The Cavaliers are a team built on their defense and the numbers have reflected that all season. Taking the last ten games as a sample size, the Cavs are giving up the second least number of points per game. A stingy bunch, opponents have hit the second-fewest field goals and three-pointers per game in this stretch. It’s not a fluke as Cleveland gives up the fewest points, field goals, and three-pointers per game while also having the best defensive rating in the NBA.

Trae Young’s Hawks are a fun team on offense. They are top five in points per game, top ten in field goal percentage, and play at a fast pace. Over their last five games, they have been averaging the most points in the paint with a little over 60 per game. It’s strength against strength as Cleveland has given up the third-fewest PITP per game in their last five at 44.4.

I like the way the Cavs are playing, and their defense has remained rock solid. Cleveland extends their win streak to five, covering the small spread in ATL.

The pick:  Cleveland Cavaliers ML (-112 FD)

 

Toronto Raptors (-3) vs. Miami Heat (219.5 total)

The Toronto Raptors had a chance to blow everything up. Everyone not named Scottie Barnes was a tradeable asset, but they opted to go the other way. Trading for Spurs center Jakob Poeltl, Toronto has been playing much better. In games that Poeltl has played at least 25+ minutes, the Raptors are 11-7. They are also 9-1 at home since the trade when he plays around his normal minutes. I’m not saying Poeltl is a game-breaking player, but he is clearly the defensive center in the middle they’ve been missing all season.

Over their last 15 games, Toronto is averaging the third most points off turnovers and fifth most second-chance points. They’ve allowed the fewest second-chance points and third-fewest points off turnovers in that timeframe. It’s been a balanced attack with Fred VanVleet (21.2), Pascal Siakam (19.9), O.G. Anunoby (17.7), Scottie Barnes (15.8), Jakob Poeltl (15.4), and Gary Trent Jr. (13.4) all averaging at least 13 points per game in March.

Miami is playing well as of late, going 6-4 in their last ten. The Heat are seventh in field goal percentage and fourth in three-point percentage during this stretch. The Raptors are allowing the fewest made and attempted three-pointers per game in this same ten-game window. For the season, Miami is a bottom-five team in field goal and three-point percentage. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a regression coming, and Toronto has given up the seventh fewest points per game in their last ten.

Toronto is 5-1 at home straight up in March and 23-15-1 ATS at home this season according to Action Network. Miami is just 3-7 in their last ten road games and 15-21 on the road this season.

I like Toronto to keep things rolling at Scotiabank Arena and get themselves back to .500 on the season.

The pick; Toronto Raptors -3 (-108 FD)

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NBA Betting Picks: Parlays and Teasers

Favorite Money Line Parlay: TOR + MEM + GSW (+179 DK)

 

Sign up here to become a premium NBA content member! Join our RotoBaller Discord for further discussion on player props and analysis.

We just added a new player prop tool that is available to our NBA premium and betting premium members, too!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Los Angeles Lakers

Jaxson Hayes Staying with the Lakers
NBA

Damian Lillard "Open" to Signing With a Team This Offseason
Max Muncy

Out at Least Six Weeks
Clarke Schmidt

Leaves Start with Forearm Tightness
Colson Montgomery

Promoted to the Major Leagues
Pittsburgh Steelers

Omar Khan, Steelers Agree to Three-Year Contract
Max Muncy

Goes on Injured List With Knee Bruise
Max Muncy

Out of Thursday's Lineup
James Wood

Joining Home Run Derby
SJ

Sharks Claim Nick Leddy Off Waivers
Max Scherzer

Cleared to Start on Saturday
SJ

Sharks Sign Dmitry Orlov to Two-Year, $13 Million Contract
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Joins Hurricanes on Six-Year Contract
Kodai Senga

Could be "in Play" to Return Before All-Star Break
Ha-Seong Kim

Rays Reinstate Ha-Seong Kim From Injured List
Christian Moore

Placed on Injured List With Thumb Sprain
Luis L. Ortiz

the Subject of Gambling Investigation
Jordan Lawlar

to Miss Multiple Weeks With Hamstring Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Receives Encouraging News on his Hand
Chau Smith-Wade

Having Stellar Offseason
Ace Bailey

Inks Rookie Contract With Jazz
Divine Deablo

Could be the Quarterback of the Defense
Isaiah Rodgers

a Likely Starter for the Vikings
Jacob Monk

Sees Plenty of Work With Starters
Avonte Maddox

has Impressed Dan Campbell
Boston Celtics

Josh Minott Inks Deal With Celtics
Chicago Bears

Ruben Hyppolite Shows Notable Improvement
Toronto Raptors

Sandro Mamukelashvili Heading to Toronto
Daron Payne

Commanders Coaches Impressed With Daron Payne
Danny Gray

Makes Impression During Offseason Workouts
Jared McCain

Not on 76ers Summer League Roster
Dane Belton

Should Have a Role in 2025
Kaiir Elam

Flashes During Offseason Workouts
Dylan Harper

Unavailable for California Classic
COL

Brent Burns Inks One-Year Deal with Avalanche
STL

Blues Land Pius Suter on Two-Year Deal
Morgan Frost

Agrees to Two-Year Extension with Flames
WPG

Gustav Nyquist Moves to Winnipeg
Cody Glass

Devils Re-Sign Cody Glass to Two-Year Deal
PIT

Anthony Mantha Joins Penguins
Riley Greene

Homers Twice, Drives in Six on Wednesday
Max Muncy

Exits With Apparent Knee Injury
Christian Moore

Exits Early with Thumb Irritation
Cleveland Cavaliers

Larry Nance Jr. Headed Back to Cavaliers
Josh Naylor

Returning to Diamondbacks Lineup
Eric Gordon

Remaining with 76ers
Los Angeles Lakers

Deandre Ayton Joining Lakers
Oronde Gadsden

an Active Pass-Catcher This Offseason
Brashard Smith

Speed Could be Put to Use
Emil Heineman

Signs Two-Year Deal with Islanders
Pat Bryant

Off to a Good Start
Simon Holmstrom

Re-Signs with Islanders for Two Years
Cody Barton

Quickly Becoming a Leader With his New Team
UTA

Nate Schmidt Signs Three-Year Deal with Mammoth
Montaric Brown

has Worked With Starters
UTA

Brandon Tanev Moves to Utah on Three-Year Contract
NJ

Evgenii Dadonov Joins Devils on One-Year Deal
BUF

Sabres Snap Up Alex Lyon on Two-Year Contract
Dallas Mavericks

Dante Exum Returning to Dallas
Ryan McLeod

Inks Four-Year Extension with Sabres
NAS

Predators Bring in Nick Perbix on Two-Year Deal
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Has Surgery to Repair a Turf Toe Injury
LA

Cody Ceci Moves to Los Angeles
DET

James van Riemsdyk Joins Red Wings on One-Year Contract
Viktor Arvidsson

Traded to Boston
Charlotte Hornets

Spencer Dinwiddie Lands With Charlotte
Josh Jung

Sent to Triple-A
Jurickson Profar

Officially Reinstated and Hitting in Five-Hole on Wednesday
Spencer Schwellenbach

Going on Injured List With Fractured Elbow
Maxwell Hairston

Facing Sexual-Assault Lawsuit
Tai Felton

Rookie Season Likely to be Spent on Special Teams
LeQuint Allen Jr.

to Have Receiving Role for Jaguars?
Justin Walley

Turning Heads Going into Rookie Season
Bud Cauley

in Great Form Ahead of John Deere Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

a Player to Avoid at John Deere Classic
Jake Knapp

Riding Momentum Ahead of John Deere Classic
Jamari Thrash

Establishing Himself as Reliable Option
PGA

Sungjae Im Looking for Consistency at John Deere Classic
Ryan Gerard

a Solid Option at John Deere Classic
Rickie Fowler

Looking to Rebound at John Deere Classic
Cameron Champ

a Volatile Option at John Deere Classic
Brandon Woodruff

Likely to Pitch on Sunday in Miami
Jackson Suber

Staying Below 70 is Key to Success for Jackson Suber
Kevin Roy

Playing Better Heading into John Deere Classic
Justin Lower

Hoping for Something Positive in Illinois
Ben Kohles

a Long Shot at John Deere Classic
Stephan Jaeger

Attempts to Stop Roller-Coaster Ride
Beau Hossler

Needs a Challenge in Illinois
Harry Higgs

Has Potential at John Deere Classic
Nick Dunlap

Keeps Plugging Through Tough 2025 Season
PHI

Dan Vladar Links Up With Flyers on Two-Year Deal
Milwaukee Bucks

Taurean Prince Staying in Milwaukee
Jeff Green

Signs One-Year Deal to Remain in Houston
Los Angeles Lakers

Jake LaRavia Lands with Lakers
Orlando Magic

Tyus Jones Signs One-Year Deal With Magic
Golden State Warriors

Kevon Looney Heads to New Orleans
Milwaukee Bucks

Jericho Sims Staying in Milwaukee
Denver Nuggets

Tim Hardaway Jr. Joins Nuggets
Detroit Pistons

Duncan Robinson Lands With Detroit
Kevin Yu

a Near Must-Play at TPC Deere Run
PGA

J.T. Poston Returns to John Deere Classic Looking for Another High Finish
Thriston Lawrence

a Decent Fit For John Deere Classic
Tom Kim

Not Finding Much to be Happy About Ahead of John Deere Classic
Si Woo Kim

is a Prohibitive Fade at John Deere Classic
Ben Griffin

is the Appropriate Favorite at TPC Deere Run
Daniel Suarez

and Trackhouse Racing Parting Ways After 2025 Season
Ilia Topuria

Becomes The New Lightweight Champion
Charles Oliveira

Knocked Out At UFC 317
Kai Kara-France

Alexandre Pantoja Submits Kai Kara-France
Kai Kara-France

Submitted At UFC 317
Joshua Van

Extends His Win Streak
Brandon Royval

Drops Decision
Renato Moicano

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Beneil Dariush

Gets Back In The Win Column
Felipe Lima

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Payton Talbott

Bounces Back
Alex Bowman

Competitive Run Ends With Third-Place Finish at Atlanta
Erik Jones

Secures A Top-Five Finish After Adversity In Atlanta
Tyler Reddick

Collects A New Career-Best Finish At Atlanta
Chase Elliott

Ends Winless Skid With Atlanta Victory
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Atlanta Victory
Carson Hocevar

Recovers From Big One to Finish 10th at Atlanta
William Byron

Caught up in Atlanta Big One but Retains Points Lead
Denny Hamlin

Top In-Season Challenge Seed Denny Hamlin Eliminated in Lap 70 Crash
Ty Dillon

Bottom Seed Ty Dillon Upsets Denny Hamlin to Advance in In-Season Challenge
Kyle Larson

Don't Expect Kyle Larson to Win First Drafting Track Race on Saturday
Christopher Bell

Unlikely to Complete Atlanta Sweep
Brad Keselowski

Seeks Another Clutch Win for Hail-Mary Playoff Bid
Chris Buescher

Unlikely to Lead Enough to Have Much DFS Value
Alex Bowman

Qualifies Best Among Non-Fords but Unlikely to Contend at Atlanta
Ryan Preece

Will Probably Run Better Than Usual at Atlanta
Austin Dillon

Consistently Mediocre at Atlanta
Ty Gibbs

Slightly Faster Lately but Unlikely to be a Factor at Atlanta
Erik Jones

a Low-Key Strong DFS Option
Noah Gragson

Could Have DFS Value as One of the Lowest-Qualifying Fords
Riley Herbst

Unlikely to Replicate February Atlanta Finish
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF