RADIO
With six games on the slate it's easy to see which are the games that you'll be targeting. With the Hawks on the second night of a back-to-back, not to mention being the worst defense versus multiple positions, it opens up the floor for the Pelicans to have some of today's best value. Outside of that game, look for the Timberwolves to dismantle the Knicks, while Mitchell Robinson keeps making the case for why he needs to be saved from the organization. I'll get to the value picks later in the article, but tonight seems like a James Harden, Nikola Vucevic kind of night.
Both players are expensive, but there's enough value throughout each game to help. It's getting really hard not to play Anthony Davis just in case, but Julius Randle is looking like a safer pick every minute. I hope I don't get too repetitive, but I do suggest rostering Nikola Mirotic again tonight, especially after his impressive outing off the bench last night. Playing against the Spurs is nothing like going up against the Hornets, but I don't have to explain how important defense is when a shooter is hitting his shots.
For the rest of the article, I have provided my daily fantasy basketball lineup for DraftKings on 3/10/19. Make sure to check your lineups before opening tip and find me in the NBA Chat Room or @HalfCourtJester on Twitter.
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DraftKings DFS Guards
Elfrid Payton - PG, @ ATL ($5,800)
Can't you just picture it? Hopefully for both of their sakes, Trae Young and Elfrid Payton don't line up across from one another. Payton has the length the make it difficult to create offense, but Young has the speed to really space out the Pelicans defense and leave Payton on a very unfortunate island with a very fortunate rookie shooter. On the other hand, there is no real way for the Hawks to guard Payton if he is in fact their smallest player. This matchup favors Payton strictly because the Hawks struggle to defense opposing backcourts, and his size will make defense just THAT much harder.
Tim Hardaway Jr. - SG/SF vs. HOU ($4,800)
It's somewhat relieving playing Tim Hardaway Jr. because he does the same thing every game. He plays in isolation and shoots the stripes off the ball. It be better if the Mavericks were a better "team," because it allows for better prediction, but is there a better team to play a shooter against, other than the Rockets? If Luka Doncic plays, then he's good to go as a secondary scorer who has less upside, because Doncic will take shots for himself. If Doncic misses time, the entire offense relies on Hardaway and he's a must-play tonight.
DraftKings DFS Forwards
Justin Holiday - SG/SF vs. ORL ($3,600)
Can you believe it? Justin Holiday's role in the Grizzlies rotation is just as consistent as any other team he's been on. With that, know that his price reflects his inconsistency, not his upside. He doesn't score more in games he get's more minutes and he doesn't produce more with a higher usage. All in all, he's a tough player to track because of his "defense-first" mentality, but in games like these, it's almost certain he will produce.
The Magic don't have a real structure outside of their frontcourt when it comes to defense, so expect the Memphis offense to come from their guards facilitating and wing shooters.
Darius Miller - SF/PF @ ATL ($3,400)
Either Darius Miller hit's his shots and he crushes his projected score, or he has a decent game, scores 10 points and just barely hits his value. Regardless, Miller tends to play better in games against better teams and fails to produce against the bad teams. You might be asking, "but isn't he playing a bad team?" Yes, but the Pelicans can't really consider themselves all that much better. They have better players which helps with spacing, but it also means production will fall into the more talented players hands first, allowing the production to trickle down to Miller.
This game might not be close at the end, but I don't expect the Hawks to just get rolled over since they are playing for the second time in two days. They are a young team that runs and will keep shooting relentlessly, perfect for someone like Miller who can defend at a high pace and shoot-at-will.
DraftKings DFS Centers
Clint Capela - PF/C @ DAL ($7,000)
Even though Dwight Powell has come on strong lately and improved on both ends of the floor, he won't be a match for Clint Capela. As long as Capela plays, he's a lock. If he can't score, he'll rebound. If he can't rebound, he'll score and play defense. I won't even tease the idea of him not playing defense because that's just silly. Since Capela is dependent on the success of his teammates to get him open, this is one of those games where James Harden goes so hard that Capela ends up having a beautiful looking stat line after doing nothing but catching alley's and being in the right spot at the right time.
