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Daily Fantasy Golf DraftKings Picks (PGA DFS): AT&T Byron Nelson

Welcome back RotoBallers! Max Homa won the Wells Fargo Championship (-13) by three strokes over Joel Dahmen.

In this article, I will be providing you with my  DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the AT&T Byron Nelson. My goal as always is to help put together your optimal daily fantasy golf lineups. You can also track my selections against every other fantasy golf expert on dailyoverlay.com

If anyone has lineup questions before the start of the tournament Thursday morning, feel free to contact me via Twitter @SethFinkTV.

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AT&T Byron Nelson - PGA DFS Overview

The PGA Tour heads to Dallas, Texas for the AT&T Byron Nelson Championship.

Trinity Forest is a par 71 that plays to around 7,380 yards.  There are four par-3's, 11 par-4's, and three par-5's. The par-5's ranked 14th, 17th, and 18th in scoring average last year.

The greens are Bermuda and firm. The greens are large and have many undulations.

 

Let's take a look at the stats:

Stat Trinity Forest (last year only) Tour Average
Driving Distance 290 283
Driving Accuracy 80% 61%
GIR Percentage 77% 66%
Scrambling Percentage 54% 57%
Average three-putts per round 0.83 0.56

Last year's cut line was three-under.

Player Strokes Gained Total (last year only)
Aaron Wise 16.8
Marc Leishman 13.7
Keith Mitchell 12.7
Brandon Grace 12.7
J.J. Spaun 12.6

The defending champion is Aaron Wise.

In Vegas, as of Tuesday on sportsbook.ag, Brooks Koepka is the 7-1 favorite, followed by Hideki Matsuyama at 16-1 and Jordan Spieth at 20-1.

A lot of the big names are sitting this one out with the PGA Championship happening next week.

My custom stat model will be focusing on the following,

 

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

High-Priced DFS Players 

There are six players this week priced above $10,000;

Brooks Koepka ($11,400) - Last time we saw Koepka, he missed a birdie putt on the 18th of Augusta which could have forced a playoff with Tiger Woods. I firmly believe Koepka is playing this week to tune his game for next week's PGA. Koepka is all about the majors, not this kind of tournament.

Hideki Matsuyama ($11,000) - I like him as a player, but not sure about this price. He should have better results than a T-32 at the Masters and a T-31 last week at the Wells Fargo. His putting is atrocious and I think that does him in. He was T-16 here last year.

Jordan Spieth ($10,800) - Welcome back to the high-priced player section Spieth, although he has no business being at this price. His stats are so bad and he's in a major rut. He was supposed to be a top player here last year and only finished T-21.

Henrik Stenson ($10,300) - This course sets up perfectly for the Swede. It's a links-style course which is exactly what Stenson is used to. He just placed T-28 at the Wells Fargo.

Marc Leishman ($10,000) - The Australian finished runner-up here last year. His game is perfect for this course.

 

Middle-Priced DFS Players

Ryan Moore ($8,800) - His last time out he finished T-41 at the RBC Heritage, but the last time he played in Texas was the Valero Texas Open where he finished third. This tournament is back in Texas and his stats line up nicely.

Ryan Palmer ($8,000) - The Texas native will look to rebound off last year's missed cut here. And while he was cut at this year's Valero Texas Open, he did rebound with a T-28 at the RBC Heritage. I'm nervous about his short game, but his long game will give him enough birdie opportunities.

Brian Stuard ($7,400) - Here's my number one ranked player using my custom stat model. His last two outings have been fantastic; T-4 at Valero Texas Open and T-16 at RBC Heritage. His putting is good but his approach to the green is even better. He ranks top-five in proximity from 200 out and strokes-gained approach through the last 24 rounds.

Michael Thompson ($7,200) - I'm getting back on the Thompson bandwagon even after a missed cut at the RBC Heritage last week. His stats line up nicely for this and he made cut last year finishing T-59.

 

Low-Priced DFS Players

Harris English ($6,900) - He's made his last two cuts and while he missed the cut here last year, his putting is good enough to make this one.

Andres Romero ($6,500) - Just gonna go off my custom stat model and hope he makes enough birdies to make the cut.

Nate Lashley ($6,300) - I think I found the steal of this tournament. Lashley is my third-ranked player. He's off a T-45 at the Wells Fargo and finished T-32 here last year. His stats are really good across the board. See below.

 

 

Custom Rankings

 

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