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AFC Running Back Depth Charts Analysis

Antonio Losada looks at the RB backfields for every division in the AFC and provides some analysis on sleepers and busts.

The regular season is right around the corner and each team's depth chart is mostly complete! Before diving into the fantasy season, RotoBaller has you covered with some last-minute running back depth chart recaps for each team, including some useful bits of analysis for players you want to keep on your radar.

Please note that the charts below are based on individual team depth charts and come from RotoWire's projected starting units. The DCs project the real-life pecking order expected to be used by head coaches at the respective franchises, not where RotoWire projects those players to finish in fantasy leagues.

Here are the current preseason depth charts at running back for each division in the AFC.

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AFC WEST

Crawling to an RB1 Role: Kenyan Drake, Las Vegas Raiders

There is a clear go-to rusher in Las Vegas: Josh Jacobs. Or is he? The Raiders signed Kenyan Drake this past offseason, and while Jacobs should still be the first rusher in the depth chart entering the season, odds are Drake fights like hell for that privilege and position down the pecking order.

Keep in mind, Jacobs has two RB2-level campaigns as a pro (21st- and eighth-best rusher in PPR leagues), but Drake isn't too separated from those outcomes with back-to-back-to-back top-17 finishes (RB14, RB17, and RB16 lastly). This backfield can turn into a fantasy headache, I know, but keep an eye out for a potential bargain in Drake given his seemingly RB2 role as most fantasy GMs see it.

 

AFC NORTH

Ma' Rookie, Ma' Problems: Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers

Leave me alone. If I want to draft a rookie, then I will draft a rookie and deal with the trouble myself. I can navigate those waters, even more, if we're talking about Najee Harris being the freshman I roster. Harris was drafted in the first round of the past NFL draft by the no-rusher-in-tow Pittsburgh Steelers. The first reaction was to call that a proper fit. Now, with the heat of the moment long gone and cold projections applied to Harris for his debut campaign... well, things are looking even better.

PFF is projecting Harris to an RB11 finish, which is on par with his ADP of RB11 and 28th overall player getting off PPR-league draft boards. Harris has the best potential ROI among all four starters in the division (assuming Hunt is an RB2, which he is literally but not really--draft Hunt, please).

 

AFC SOUTH

Good Pass-Catching RBs Never Get Old: Nyheim Hines, Indianapolis Colts

We all know there will forever be one and only one name to definite the pass-catching tailback: James White, of all men. But James White is entering his age-29 season, which is not a super-old age but is inching closer to the wrong side of 30. Hines, on the other hand, will still be 25-years-old next year and playing just his fourth season as a pro. And all he's done so far is playing the pass-back role to perfection.

Hines has been targeted 81, 58, and 76 times in the past three seasons, catching 78, 76, and 83 percent of those throws. He's a rusher engineered precisely for PPR leagues, and he's always undervalued, having a couple of top-30 seasons in his career (RB27 in 2018 and RB15 last season). The value can't be higher given his ADP of 141st overall and RB41 at the time of this writing.

 

AFC EAST

Avoid the Fins' Gaskin, Draft Whoever Else:  Devin Singletary, Buffalo Bills

Gaskin is a consensus high-ADP player this summer because everybody got caught in the Miami-didn't-improve-the-position-in-the-draft narrative. That is right, but that doesn't mean Gaskin is a top-five rusher all of a sudden--I mean, the Dolphins surely bolstered the receiving corps adding a top-tier rookie, a deep threat in Will Fuller, and a rushing QB on top of that.

I'm sorry, but not into Gaskin's hype train, folks. All of the other running backs in the division have sky-high ROI projections because none of them has an ADP above 100th overall. If you ask me, this would be my targeting-order entering PPR-format drafts: Singletary, White, Coleman, Moss, Carter, Harris, Brown, Michel.

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Lamar Jackson

Questionable to Return in Week 16 with Back Injury
Donovan Mitchell

Likely to Return on Monday Night
Willson Contreras

Shipped to the Red Sox
Patrick Kane

to Miss Fifth Consecutive Game
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Misses Second Consecutive Game
Jakob Poeltl

Back in the Lineup on Sunday Night
Jack Roslovic

Ready to Return Sunday
Alexandre Sarr

Ruled Out Against San Antonio
NJ

Arseni Gritsyuk Back in Devils Lineup Sunday
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Ruled Out Against San Antonio
Timo Meier

Available Sunday
Davion Mitchell

Available on Sunday Night
Jack Hughes

Returns From 18-Game Absence Sunday
Andrew Wiggins

Cleared to Play on Sunday Night
J.T. Miller

Out Week-to-Week
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Done for the Season with Broken Leg
Gardner Minshew

Likely Tore His ACL on Sunday
Nick Chubb

Officially Active Against Raiders in Week 16
Gardner Minshew

Won't Return in Week 16
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Officially Inactive for Week 16
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Carted Off in Week 16, Ruled Out with Apparent Leg Injury
Tua Tagovailoa

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Not Expected to Play in Week 16
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Commanders to Retain Dan Quinn, Fire Joe Whitt?
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Totals Three Points Saturday
Jake Evans

to Sit Out Sunday's Game
Zach Werenski

Injured in Saturday's Loss
Frank Nazar

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Woody Marks

Plans to Play Against Raiders in Week 16
Tee Higgins

Likely to Play at Miami on Sunday
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Expected to Return in Week 16
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Expected to Play, Will Ease Back In
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Questionable to Return Against Bears in Week 16
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion, Replaced by Malik Willis
Jalen Smith

Expected to Remain in Lineup Sunday
Ayo Dosunmu

Probable for Meeting With Hawks
Jordan Love

Evaluated for Concussion, Questionable to Return
Coby White

Iffy for Sunday
Andrew Wiggins

May Remain Out Sunday
Davion Mitchell

Questionable for Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Sunday
Trae Young

Available for Sunday's Tilt
Doug McDermott

Active on Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Misses Battle of Los Angeles
Mike Matheson

Returns Against Former Team Saturday
Timothy Liljegren

Misses Saturday's Game
Mackie Samoskevich

Out on Saturday
Anthony Cirelli

Available Against Hurricanes
Brandon Hagel

Added to Injured Reserve
Nikita Kucherov

a Game-Time Call Saturday
J.T. Miller

Injured in Saturday's Win
Zach Bogosian

Unavailable Saturday
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Orioles Acquire Shane Baz From the Rays
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Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
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Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff

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