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Week 5 Thursday Night NFL Matchups Analysis: Start/Sit for Fantasy Football

Ben Ruppert's Thursday Night Football (TNF) matchups analysis and lineup starts/sits for Week 5 of the 2016 NFL season. Players to target or avoid for fantasy football lineups.

It's time for the Week 5 installment of Thursday night matchups with my start/sit recommendations. This week, a pair of 1-3 teams meet, with the Cardinals heading into San Francisco to take on the 49ers.

Each week of the NFL season, we will be breaking down every game and providing you with some fantasy football advice and lineup recommendations based on matchups that we love, matchups that we hate, and injury information as well. Later this week, you will find parts one and two of our Week 5 NFL matchups, which should help you prepare your lineups to win this week. It’s essential to analyze the weekly NFL matchups to find lineup sleepers and gems, while also avoiding those players who may turn out to be busts.

Editor's Note: Be sure to check out FantasyAces DFS contests. New users that sign up on Fantasy Aces and make a $20 deposit will receive RotoBaller's full season NFL Premium Pass for free (including Premium DFS), normally a $59.99 value. Expert DFS research, sample lineups, matchup ratings and lots more!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Cardinals @ 49ers - Thursday 10/6 @ 8:25 PM EST

Matchups We Love:

David Johnson, RB, ARI

David Johnson will produce against any team he faces. Johnson has been one of the top scoring fantasy RBs to date. He can do it all, and there will be even more room in the backfield with backup RB Chris Johnson being placed on IR. The 49ers also recently lost stud LB Navarro Bowman to a torn Achilles, which means more running room up the middle for Johnson. Last week Ezekiel Elliott ran all over this defense, rushing 23 times for 138 yards and a score. Expect another huge day from Johnson.

Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI

Larry Fitzgerald has been the most consistent WR the Cardinals have had this season, with at least five catches and 60 yards in every game this season. As long as Carson Palmer remains at the helm, expect a good game from Fitz. However, if Drew Stanton ends up starting then temper expectations in this game mightily. In 2014 when Stanton started multiple games for the Cardinals, Fitz averaged four receptions on eight targets for only 38 yards over eight games. He did not score a TD in any of the eight games. Fitz falls as low as the ‘hate’ category this week if Stanton is behind center.

Carlos Hyde, RB, SF

Carlos Hyde has looked much better than advertised so far in 2016. He is averaging 20 touches per game, 4.1 YPC, and has five TDs through his first four games of the season. What is surprising about these numbers is that no matter what the situation was in the game, Hyde was used. In Week 1 when they dominated the Rams, Hyde was in all game, and when they were getting trounced by the Seahawks in Week 3, Hyde was in until the end getting carries. Even though this Cardinals defense has done well defending the run, Hyde is the 49ers' best offensive weapon and will get touches no matter the situation. Fire him up on Thursday night.

 

Matchups We Hate:

Carson Palmer, QB, ARI

Carson Palmer may not be playing in this game on Thursday due to a concussion sustained in the fourth quarter of last Sunday’s game against the Rams. If he doesn’t play, it affects the entire offense in different ways. If he does play, he has all the potential and weapons to have a great game, but he has struggled as of late. Palmer has averaged 288 yards over the past two weeks with a 1:5 TD:INT ratio. At this point you can drop Palmer, but I would bench him for another option until he turns his game around. It is never easy coming back from a concussion; I would not start Palmer in this matchup.

Michael Floyd, WR, ARI

Michael Floyd lost a ton of snaps to John Brown last week against the Rams. After out-snapping Brown 90% to 57% in Week 3, Brown dominated Week 4's count, 91% to 45%. Brown also went out and put up better numbers then Floyd has all season. This week they face the 49ers and may have Stanton at the helm. In 2014 when Stanton started, Floyd had some games where he caught one pass, and then had others where he caught five passes for over 100 yards and multiple TDs. Floyd is so wildly unpredictable that it is tough to recommend starting him. No matter who plays QB for the Cardinals this week, you’re rolling the dice trotting Floyd out there.

 

Notable Players:

John Brown, WR, ARI

John Brown has seen a huge resurgence over the past two weeks. After barely being able to get on the field over the first two weeks, Brown has caught 16 passes for 214 yards over the past two weeks. He out-snapped Michael Floyd 91% to 45% last week. Back in 2014, Brown’s rookie season, he had consistent play while Stanton was under center. Brown looks like he has fully recovered from the concussion he suffered earlier in the year, and as long as his snap count remains high, expect solid production from the 26-year-old WR.

Jeremy Kerley, WR, SF

Jeremy Kerley had himself a solid game last week, catching 6-of-9 targets for 88 yards and his first TD of 2016. This was Kerley’s best game since Week 1 when he caught seven passes for 61 yards. He didn’t do much in Weeks 2 or 3, but he does lead the 49ers in targets this season with 32 over four games (8 targets per game). Kerley would be a fine play in PPR formats given all of these targets, but he is a risk in standard leagues. It’s tough to know what you will get from Blaine Gabbert each week, so keep expectations in check after Kerley’s big week last week.

 




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

NFL

Preston Smith Signs With the Washington Commanders
New York Knicks

Trey Jemison III Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
Kevin McCullar Jr.

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Knicks
Matt Ryan

Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
New York Knicks

Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
Dominic Canzone

Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
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Undergoes Clavicle and Foot Surgeries, Out for Foreseeable Future
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to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Zach Neto

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
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Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
CFB

Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
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on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
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Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
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Dennis Schröder

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Jaren Jackson Jr.

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Kenneth Walker III

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Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
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Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

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Emil Heineman

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Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Aaron Jones Sr.

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Darren Waller

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Cole Ragans

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Jameson Williams

Records Long Touchdown in Week 2, Still Limited to Downfield Role?
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
Jayden Daniels

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Carlos Estévez

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Jonathan Taylor

Tops 200 Yards From Scrimmage in Week 2 Win
Quentin Grimes

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Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

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Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

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Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

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Luis Arraez

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Adolis García

Adolis Garcia Activated, Starting on Sunday
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Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
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Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
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LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
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DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
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Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
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John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
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Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
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Records Career-High 13 Strikeouts
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Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Ivan Demidov

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Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

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Mackenzie Blackwood

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Spencer Knight

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Corey Perry

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Kyle Busch

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Alex Bowman

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Ross Chastain

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Josh Berry

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Malcolm Brogdon

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Landry Shamet

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P.J. Washington

Officially Signs Contract Extension

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
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OF
SP
RP