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Week 5 Thursday Night NFL Matchups Analysis: Start/Sit for Fantasy Football

Ben Ruppert's Thursday Night Football (TNF) matchups analysis and lineup starts/sits for Week 5 of the 2016 NFL season. Players to target or avoid for fantasy football lineups.

It's time for the Week 5 installment of Thursday night matchups with my start/sit recommendations. This week, a pair of 1-3 teams meet, with the Cardinals heading into San Francisco to take on the 49ers.

Each week of the NFL season, we will be breaking down every game and providing you with some fantasy football advice and lineup recommendations based on matchups that we love, matchups that we hate, and injury information as well. Later this week, you will find parts one and two of our Week 5 NFL matchups, which should help you prepare your lineups to win this week. It’s essential to analyze the weekly NFL matchups to find lineup sleepers and gems, while also avoiding those players who may turn out to be busts.

Editor's Note: Be sure to check out FantasyAces DFS contests. New users that sign up on Fantasy Aces and make a $20 deposit will receive RotoBaller's full season NFL Premium Pass for free (including Premium DFS), normally a $59.99 value. Expert DFS research, sample lineups, matchup ratings and lots more!

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Cardinals @ 49ers - Thursday 10/6 @ 8:25 PM EST

Matchups We Love:

David Johnson, RB, ARI

David Johnson will produce against any team he faces. Johnson has been one of the top scoring fantasy RBs to date. He can do it all, and there will be even more room in the backfield with backup RB Chris Johnson being placed on IR. The 49ers also recently lost stud LB Navarro Bowman to a torn Achilles, which means more running room up the middle for Johnson. Last week Ezekiel Elliott ran all over this defense, rushing 23 times for 138 yards and a score. Expect another huge day from Johnson.

Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI

Larry Fitzgerald has been the most consistent WR the Cardinals have had this season, with at least five catches and 60 yards in every game this season. As long as Carson Palmer remains at the helm, expect a good game from Fitz. However, if Drew Stanton ends up starting then temper expectations in this game mightily. In 2014 when Stanton started multiple games for the Cardinals, Fitz averaged four receptions on eight targets for only 38 yards over eight games. He did not score a TD in any of the eight games. Fitz falls as low as the ‘hate’ category this week if Stanton is behind center.

Carlos Hyde, RB, SF

Carlos Hyde has looked much better than advertised so far in 2016. He is averaging 20 touches per game, 4.1 YPC, and has five TDs through his first four games of the season. What is surprising about these numbers is that no matter what the situation was in the game, Hyde was used. In Week 1 when they dominated the Rams, Hyde was in all game, and when they were getting trounced by the Seahawks in Week 3, Hyde was in until the end getting carries. Even though this Cardinals defense has done well defending the run, Hyde is the 49ers' best offensive weapon and will get touches no matter the situation. Fire him up on Thursday night.

 

Matchups We Hate:

Carson Palmer, QB, ARI

Carson Palmer may not be playing in this game on Thursday due to a concussion sustained in the fourth quarter of last Sunday’s game against the Rams. If he doesn’t play, it affects the entire offense in different ways. If he does play, he has all the potential and weapons to have a great game, but he has struggled as of late. Palmer has averaged 288 yards over the past two weeks with a 1:5 TD:INT ratio. At this point you can drop Palmer, but I would bench him for another option until he turns his game around. It is never easy coming back from a concussion; I would not start Palmer in this matchup.

Michael Floyd, WR, ARI

Michael Floyd lost a ton of snaps to John Brown last week against the Rams. After out-snapping Brown 90% to 57% in Week 3, Brown dominated Week 4's count, 91% to 45%. Brown also went out and put up better numbers then Floyd has all season. This week they face the 49ers and may have Stanton at the helm. In 2014 when Stanton started, Floyd had some games where he caught one pass, and then had others where he caught five passes for over 100 yards and multiple TDs. Floyd is so wildly unpredictable that it is tough to recommend starting him. No matter who plays QB for the Cardinals this week, you’re rolling the dice trotting Floyd out there.

 

Notable Players:

John Brown, WR, ARI

John Brown has seen a huge resurgence over the past two weeks. After barely being able to get on the field over the first two weeks, Brown has caught 16 passes for 214 yards over the past two weeks. He out-snapped Michael Floyd 91% to 45% last week. Back in 2014, Brown’s rookie season, he had consistent play while Stanton was under center. Brown looks like he has fully recovered from the concussion he suffered earlier in the year, and as long as his snap count remains high, expect solid production from the 26-year-old WR.

Jeremy Kerley, WR, SF

Jeremy Kerley had himself a solid game last week, catching 6-of-9 targets for 88 yards and his first TD of 2016. This was Kerley’s best game since Week 1 when he caught seven passes for 61 yards. He didn’t do much in Weeks 2 or 3, but he does lead the 49ers in targets this season with 32 over four games (8 targets per game). Kerley would be a fine play in PPR formats given all of these targets, but he is a risk in standard leagues. It’s tough to know what you will get from Blaine Gabbert each week, so keep expectations in check after Kerley’s big week last week.

 




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Davante Adams

Not Expected to Play in Week 18
Stephon Castle

Active on Wednesday
Tyler Kolek

Elevated to Available on Wednesday
Tari Eason

Questionable Versus Brooklyn
Tobias Harris

Not Expected to Suit Up on Thursday
Ariel Hukporti

Available For Wednesday
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Questionable Versus Brooklyn
Mason Plumlee

Undergoes Groin Surgery
Zach Collins

Out at Least 10 More Days
Jerami Grant

Unavailable Again on Wednesday
Geno Smith

Won't Play in Week 18
Aaron Rodgers

Considering Playing Beyond 2025?
Sean Monahan

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Zach Werenski

Misses Fourth Straight Game Wednesday
Dougie Hamilton

Questionable Wednesday
Radko Gudas

Expected to Remain Out Wednesday
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Play in Week 18
Ilya Lyubushkin

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Alex Lyon

to Miss "Bit of Time"
Erik Cernak

Rejoins Lightning Lineup Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey

Trending to Play in Week 18
Kon Knueppel

To Make Return For Charlotte On Wednesday, In Starting Lineup
Jalen Hurts

Eagles Expected to Rest Jalen Hurts, Most Starters in Week 18
George Kittle

49ers Will be "Very Surprised" if George Kittle Doesn't Play on Saturday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Regular-Season Finale
CFB

Lane Kiffin Interested in Sam Leavitt, Brendan Sorsby at LSU
Shakir Mukhamadullin

Questionable Wednesday
Adam Gaudette

Unavailable Wednesday
Darcy Kuemper

Activated From Injured Reserve
Alex Lyon

Nursing Lower-Body Injury
William Karlsson

to Miss Olympics
Jack Eichel

a Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Jason Dickinson

Hurt Versus Islanders
Mitchell Robinson

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Grayson Allen

Listed as Doubtful Wednesday
Mason Plumlee

Ryan Kalkbrenner, Mason Plumlee Remain Out Wednesday
Kon Knueppel

Likely to Return Wednesday
Miles Bridges

Listed as Questionable Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

Misses Second Straight Game
Devin Vassell

Ruled Out for Wednesday
Stephon Castle

Iffy for Wednesday
Josh Giddey

Sidelined "at Least a Few Weeks"
Desmond Bane

Might Miss Wednesday's Game in Indiana
Jalen Suggs

on the Injury Report Again for Wednesday Night
Connor Dewar

Available Tuesday
TOR

Chris Tanev to Miss Time With Lower-Body Injury
Dakota Joshua

Out With Kidney Problem
MON

Samuel Montembeault Returns to Canadiens Crease
Erik Karlsson

Good to Go Tuesday
William Nylander

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Auston Matthews

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
CFB

Deuce Knight Officially Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Kewan Lacy Expected to Be Full-Go Against Georgia
Stefon Diggs

Facing Strangulation, Assault Charges
CFB

Chip Kelly Named Northwestern Offensive Coordinator
Riley Leonard

Will Start Against the Texans
Bijan Robinson

Explodes for 229 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns on Monday Night
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Monday Night
Drake London

Active Against Rams
Justin Herbert

Won't Face Broncos in Week 18
Marcus Mariota

Considered "a Stretch" to Play in Week 18
Geno Smith

Dealing With Significant Ankle Injury
Dak Prescott

Will Play in Week 18
Lamar Jackson

Week 18 Status "to be Determined"
Joe Mixon

Won't Return This Season
T.J. Watt

a Long Shot to Play in Week 18?
CFB

Penn State Working to Hire D'Anton Lynn as Next Defensive Coordinator
Joe Burrow

Will Play in Week 18 Against the Browns
CFB

Omar Cooper Expected to be Full-Go for Rose Bowl
CFB

Marcus Freeman Staying with Notre Dame for 2026 Season
CFB

Star Wideout Cam Coleman Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer

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