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Updated MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top-101 Baller Ranks

zac gallen fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Don't look now, but it's almost September! We're on the cusp of matchups and streaming taking precedence over "talent" but we're not quite there yet with roughly 40 games remaining for most teams.

Let's finish August strong as we build concrete attack plans for dominating roto categories and H2H matchups on the bump. I'll explore some August stats for pitchers in my top-101 table here in my latest edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

As is tradition, these fantasy baseball starting pitcher rankings are geared toward traditional 5x5 leagues. Let's move along with my top-101 SP for the rest of 2022!

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers received five total writing awards and 13 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association, tops in the industry! Congrats to all the award winners and nominees including Best MLB Series, NFL Series, NBA Writer, PGA Writer and Player Notes writer of the year. Be sure to follow their analysis, rankings and advice all year long, and win big with RotoBaller! Read More!

 

Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

Stat Leaders (August 1-August 22)

SIERA:

Rank Player SIERA
1 Ross Stripling 0.97
2 Jacob deGrom 1.18
3 Dustin May 1.84
4 Aaron Civale 1.99
5 Charlie Morton 2.05
6 Justin Steele 2.07
7 Blake Snell 2.15
8 Zac Gallen 2.34
9 Spencer Strider 2.36
10 Andrew Heaney 2.57

Ross Stripling has only made one August start so it’s cheap to slide him in there, but it also provides an excuse to talk him up. He threw 6 ⅓ IP of one-hit ball with seven strikeouts and is worth a look in deep formats. Jacob deGrom is a beast. Dustin May made a triumphant return to the bump. Aaron Civale is quietly putting together a solid stretch!

 

CSW:

Rank Player CSW%
1 Dustin May 38.0%
2 Aaron Civale 36.8%
3 Jacob deGrom 34.3%
4 Aaron Nola 33.6%
5 Charlie Morton 33.4%
6 Edward Cabrera 33.2%
7 Corey Kluber 32.6%
8 Shane Bieber 32.2%
9 Brady Singer 32.1%
10 JT Brubaker 31.9%

Some studs and surprises are sprinkled in here, with Edward Cabrera’s stellar run fueled by relentlessly attacking hitters. Brady Singer has been a legitimate add and I hope you think more of him than just a high-brow streamer. JT Brubaker has found his slider again and hasn’t been afraid to challenge batters with that slider-sinker punch, though the Braves tagged him on Tuesday in a tough matchup. Remember, the numbers are only through Tuesday, August 23rd.

 

ERA minus SIERA (E-S); biggest gap:

Rank Player E-S ERA SIERA
1 Taijuan Walker 4.09 10.00 5.91
2 Jose Berrios 4.03 8.79 4.76
3 Frankie Montas 3.73 9.00 5.27
4 Madison Bumgarner 3.40 7.94 4.54
5 Sean Manaea 3.25 6.75 3.50
6 Alex Wood 2.93 6.45 3.52
7 Kutter Crawford 2.88 7.40 4.52
8 Lucas Giolito 2.78 6.30 3.52
9 Jakob Junis 2.64 5.95 3.31
10 Corey Kluber 2.62 6.11 3.49

This is meant to provide a framework that illustrates recent bad luck that may or may not have relevant metrics at work behind them. Taijuan Walker has a small sample in August so I’m not worried much there. Jose Berrios, Frankie Montas, Madison Bumgarner, and Kutter Crawford do have some troubling SIERAs underneath the also poor ERAs. 

But you’ll note half of this list has a SIERA around 3.50 on the month! Manaea’s been locating poorly for a while now so I’m less inclined to buy into a sharp turnaround down the stretch, but Wood and Junis are two Giants I’m hoping loom large in September. 

Giolito remains enigmatic at best, allowing an OPS of .936 and .957 in the first and second innings, respectively, this year. That figure drops to .726 in the third, .611 in the fourth, and .752 in the fifth before rising again as hitters get a third look and fatigue creeps in. Every one of his four pitches yields a batting average of .284 or higher for opponents. Do you really need the strikeouts? He needs to re-tool the approach this offseason.

 

Fangraphs Dollars Earned (again, Aug. 1-22):

Rank Player $
1 Jacob deGrom $10.90
2 Blake Snell $10.60
3 Zac Gallen $9.10
4 Justin Steele $8.60
5 Johnny Cueto $8.60
6 Jordan Montgomery $8.40
7 Max Scherzer $8.10
8 Kevin Gausman $8.00
9 Julio Urias $7.80
10 Shane Bieber $7.50

If you’ve been following along, then you know deGoat is back, second-half Snell is here, Gallen is streaking again, and Montgomery has gone ballistic since leaving the Bronx. Steele and Cueto are likely guys you knew were doing well without thinking it was this well, with Cueto enjoying a pair of wins to offset the low 10% strikeout rate in August. Meanwhile, Steele has zero wins (thanks, Chicago) so far this month but an absurd 37.5% K rate has him flying high.

 

Top-101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball

These are rest-of-season fantasy baseball rankings for starting pitchers.

EV = Earned Value via Fangraphs (Since the All-Star Break), $ = My projected dollar value (think auction), PV = Previous $ Value

(+/-) Tier Player Rank EV $ PV Trend
0 1 Jacob deGrom 1 $10.90 46 46 0.0 ▬
0 1 Max Scherzer 2 $11.00 45 45 0.0 ▬
0 1 Sandy Alcantara 3 $5.90 43.5 43.5 0.0 ▬
0 1 Corbin Burnes 4 $5.90 43 43 0.0 ▬
0 1 Justin Verlander 5 $11.10 43 43 0.0 ▬
0 2 Gerrit Cole 6 $7.40 42 42 0.0 ▬
0 2 Shane McClanahan 7 $2.60 42 42 0.0 ▬
2 2 Carlos Rodon 8 $7.20 40.5 38.5 2.0 ▲
-1 2 Shohei Ohtani 9 $5.40 40 40 0.0 ▬
-1 2 Zack Wheeler 10 $5.50 39 39 0.0 ▬
0 2 Aaron Nola 11 $7.80 36 36 0.0 ▬
0 2 Dylan Cease 12 $4.80 35 35 0.0 ▬
0 3 Joe Musgrove 13 $2.70 34 34 0.0 ▬
0 3 Brandon Woodruff 14 $3.30 33.5 33.5 0.0 ▬
0 3 Max Fried 15 $7.50 32 32 0.0 ▬
0 3 Kevin Gausman 16 $8.40 30 30 0.0 ▬
0 3 Julio Urias 17 $11.90 29 29 0.0 ▬
0 3 Luis Castillo 18 $5.40 28 28 0.0 ▬
0 3 Yu Darvish 19 $7.80 28 28 0.0 ▬
0 3 Shane Bieber 20 $7.00 26 26 0.0 ▬
0 3 Spencer Strider 21 $7.50 25 25 0.0 ▬
1 4 Nestor Cortes 22 $7.10 24 23 1.0 ▲
2 4 Tony Gonsolin 23 $4.90 23.5 20.5 3.0 ▲
2 4 Chris Bassitt 24 $7.90 23.5 20.5 3.0 ▲
N/A 4 Clayton Kershaw 25 $1.10 23 N/A N/A
-4 4 Alek Manoah 26 $3.40 23 24.5 -1.5 ▼
-3 4 Logan Webb 27 $3.30 22 22.5 -0.5 ▼
-1 4 Cristian Javier 28 $2.70 20 19.5 0.5 ▲
-1 4 Charlie Morton 29 $8.50 20 19 1.0 ▲
8 4 Blake Snell 30 $12.50 20 13 7.0 ▲
5 4 Triston McKenzie 31 $8.40 19 13 6.0 ▲
5 4 Zac Gallen 32 $13.40 19 13 6.0 ▲
-4 5 Robbie Ray 33 $0.30 18.5 18.5 0.0 ▬
-1 5 Framber Valdez 34 $7.10 17.5 14.5 3.0 ▲
-5 5 Freddy Peralta 35 $0.80 17.5 17.5 0.0 ▬
-5 5 Kyle Wright 36 $0.60 16 15.5 0.5 ▲
-2 5 Lance McCullers Jr. 37 $0.70 14 14 0.0 ▬
-4 5 Luis Garcia 38 $3.80 14 14 0.0 ▬
0 5 Reid Detmers 39 $6.90 13 12.5 0.5 ▲
0 5 Jesus Luzardo 40 $6.50 13 12.5 0.5 ▲
-9 6 Frankie Montas 41 $0.10 13 15.5 -2.5 ▼
0 6 Andrew Heaney 42 $2.90 12 12.5 -0.5 ▼
0 6 Tyler Anderson 43 $7.60 12 12 0.0 ▬
0 6 Jordan Montgomery 44 $10.00 12 11.5 0.5 ▲
16 6 Edward Cabrera 45 $6.50 11.5 6 5.5 ▲
0 6 Lance Lynn 46 $3.80 11.5 11 0.5 ▲
3 6 George Kirby 47 $9.50 11.5 10.5 1.0 ▲
N/A 6 Dustin May 48 $2.10 11.5 N/A N/A
0 7 Alex Wood 49 ($0.50) 10.5 10.5 0.0 ▬
-9 7 Pablo Lopez 50 $2.00 10.5 12.5 -2.0 ▼
-3 7 Logan Gilbert 51 $1.30 10.5 11 -0.5 ▼
-1 7 Joe Ryan 52 $0.60 10 10 0.0 ▬
-1 7 Jose Urquidy 53 $3.90 10 10 0.0 ▬
6 7 Adam Wainwright 54 $6.60 9.5 6.5 3.0 ▲
7 7 Brady Singer 55 $10.40 9.5 6 3.5 ▲
0 7 Sonny Gray 56 $5.70 9 9 0.0 ▬
1 7 Merrill Kelly 57 $9.70 9 7.5 1.5 ▲
-4 7 Mike Clevinger 58 $1.90 8.5 9.5 -1.0 ▼
-4 7 Alex Cobb 59 $6.40 8.5 9 -0.5 ▼
-7 8 Lucas Giolito 60 $3.70 7.5 10 -2.5 ▼
-4 8 Miles Mikolas 61 $5.40 6.5 7.5 -1.0 ▼
1 8 Jose Berrios 62 ($0.90) 5.5 5.5 0.0 ▬
1 8 Nick Lodolo 63 $5.30 5.5 5.5 0.0 ▬
4 8 Marcus Stroman 64 $4.10 5.5 5 0.5 ▲
4 8 Patrick Sandoval 65 $5.30 5.5 5 0.5 ▲
13 8 Justin Steele 66 $8.40 5.5 3 2.5 ▲
-2 8 Taijuan Walker 67 ($2.80) 5 5.5 -0.5 ▼
4 8 Ranger Suarez 68 $7.80 5 4.5 0.5 ▲
-3 8 Sean Manaea 69 ($0.40) 5 5.5 -0.5 ▼
1 8 Jose Quintana 70 $5.20 5 5 0.0 ▬
2 8 Kutter Crawford 71 ($0.30) 4.5 4.5 0.0 ▬
N/A 8 Eduardo Rodriguez 72 $1.10 4.5 N/A N/A
2 8 Jose Suarez 73 $7.30 4.5 4.5 0.0 ▬
-7 8 Martin Perez 74 $3.10 4 5.5 -1.5 ▼
2 9 Cal Quantrill 75 $2.70 4 3.5 0.5 ▲
2 9 Drew Rasmussen 76 $9.10 4 3.5 0.5 ▲
3 9 Jeffrey Springs 77 $8.50 4 3 1.0 ▲
3 9 Nick Pivetta 78 $4.40 3 3 0.0 ▬
4 9 Jameson Taillon 79 $0.70 3 2.5 0.5 ▲
4 9 Noah Syndergaard 80 $5.10 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
4 9 Eric Lauer 81 $0.50 2.5 2.5 0.0 ▬
4 9 Kyle Gibson 82 $3.00 2 2 0.0 ▬
4 9 Johnny Cueto 83 $8.00 2 2 0.0 ▬
4 9 Spenser Watkins 84 $2.30 2 2 0.0 ▬
4 9 Madison Bumgarner 85 $1.10 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
4 9 Corey Kluber 86 $3.60 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
6 9 Jakob Junis 87 $4.00 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
6 9 Domingo German 88 $2.90 1.5 1 0.5 ▲
6 10 Dane Dunning 89 $2.90 1.5 1 0.5 ▲
7 10 Aaron Civale 90 $4.20 1.5 1 0.5 ▲
N/A 10 Tommy Henry 91 $0.60 1.5 N/A N/A
6 10 JP Sears 92 $1.60 1.5 1 0.5 ▲
N/A 10 Austin Voth 93 $3.20 1.5 N/A N/A
9 10 Ross Stripling 94 $5.00 1.5 1 0.5 ▲
-13 10 Josiah Gray 95 ($3.80) 1 2.5 -1.5 ▼
N/A 10 Roansy Contreras 96 $0.90 1 N/A N/A
N/A 10 JT Brubaker 97 $3.90 1 N/A N/A
N/A 10 Drew Smyly 98 $6.90 1 N/A N/A
2 10 Mitch White 99 $6.00 1 1 0.0 ▬
-8 10 Jake Odorizzi 100 ($0.20) 1 1.5 -0.5 ▼
-1 10 Jordan Lyles 101 $3.30 1 1 0.0 ▬


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