Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Carsen Edwards - Fantasy Basketball Rookie Profile


Finding the one or two rookies from each class that actual carry value is one of the best parts of fantasy basketball. Identifying them early can help you make some favorable trade offers and if you time it correctly, your team will be preparing for the playoffs only a few weeks into the season with very few inconsistencies. People love hype, and while some players have much higher ceilings based on their current situation, there is a strong case for Carsen Edwards.

In Summer League, Edwards was fantastic. He had highlight plays nearly every game, and despite not shooting incredibly efficiently, it was obvious his style of play revolves around finding the best shot. Whether it’s his already iconic pull-up or his ability to make use of his smaller stature, there is clear room for improvement in the overall efficiency of his scoring. He was taking high-quality shots and his spacing was nearly perfect throughout Summer League. He quickly took on the role as primary scorer not because he wanted to, but because it was what the team needed when he was on the court.

That type of mentality, combined with the ability to score, means that his ceiling is at a maximum based on individual potential. With the Celtics roster however, he does seem a bit capped playing behind Kemba Walker, an All-Star reflection of what Edwards could eventually become. So, what's Edwards' outlook this season?

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NBA and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive DFS tools, Lineup Optimizer and daily Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

2019-20 Outlook - Carsen Edwards

Carsen Edwards Will Be A Focal Point Of The Celtics Offense

There is no away around it, whether he pans out or not. The Boston backcourt lacks outside scoring and looking directly at the personnel, there’s Walker, Edwards, Marcus Smart, Jaylen Brown and then...Tremont Waters? Javonte Green? There's no bench guards with overly-convincing scoring abilities. Waters is a bit more undersized compared to Edwards, with a pass-first mentality. Green, on the other-hand, is a bigger guard with above the rim capabilities, but also isn’t a strong dribbler.

Again, all players everywhere could use work on their shooting, but based on everything we’ve seen from this grouping of players, even considering Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown being decent threats in actual high-pressure situations, it seems ridiculous to think they will take a backseat to someone like Edwards. Edwards is a Lou Williams-esque natural scorer. It is equally as crazy to think Edwards will come in and have an immediate impact like that, simply because he’s a rookie playing behind Kemba Walker, but what else can the Celtics do? Kemba can only do so much in terms of winning games and he's going to need help.

The Celtics Non-Guard Rotation's Impact On Edwards

There are plenty of mouths the Celtics needs to feed, which will cause a problem for Edwards in his overall productivity. Luckily for him, the Celtics forwards -- Jayson Tatum, Gordon Hayward, and Jaylen Brown -- play very smart basketball. All three are more than willing to give up the ball if they should, usually to find the best shot, but their athleticism and size give them the ability to finish inside and create space for outside shooters. Not only will Edwards be able to get some easy assists by combining his speed and size combination to free up the lane, but many times the ball will find its way back to him for easy attempts, either at the rim or on the perimeter.

The Celtics star-power is what is going to fuel Edwards throughout the season. Without Kyrie Irving, the team-dynamic will shift to finding the hot hand, letting the shooters shoot, and more importantly taking good shots. Kemba Walker has made a career off creating shots for his team, and now he has a squad that is more than capable of doing that themselves. Walker and Edwards are going to be the tip of the spear when it comes to the Celtics offensive threats, but Tatum, Hayward, and Brown are going to be the brute strength and backbone that allows their Boston backcourt to run free.

Without the playmaking abilities of those three hybrid forwards, Edwards be forced into a “produce-now” / high-pressure situation his rookie year. But with them,the Celtics undersized guards get to comfortable play within their limits on both sides of the ball. Edwards is going to struggle to be consistent every night, so any time the Celtics forwards can pick up the slack, it’s going to free up not just Edwards, but any guard that is able to score on their own.

Carsen Edwards' Fantasy Value

Looking more specifically at drafting position and actual value, Edwards is going to be a mid-to-late round pick that many people are going to draft above his ADP. He has the potential to contribute in multiple categories, but a lot of that will depend on if he is efficiently scoring. Chances are he will be the first bench option for Boston with Marcus Smart likely to start.

Looking at some of the late round guard options, names like Evan Fournier, D.J. Augustin, Fred Vanvleet, and Patrick Beverley all come up frequently as players who will get the job done. I’d like to lump Edwards in with this grouping.

The chance that Edwards breaks out and produces like Trae Young or De’Aaron Fox with his current role is downright unlikely. Think of him more like a Derrick White, and if it were between White and Edwards, I’d take the chance with Edwards. Both are incredibly promising guards, and even though White is more than capable of being a high-volume scorer, that is what Edwards has built his basketball career on. I could pull stats from his college career, but the numbers I thought were most intriguing were his scoring numbers in away games.

In his 16 road games, Edwards scored 40 twice, 30 twice, and well-above 20 eight times. That means in four fewer games, on the road, Edwards only scored 33 fewer total pointsn than in home games. 442 points in home games, 409 in away games.

Take that however you want, but college players who play better on the road is exactly what I am looking for in a younger player that wants to contribute in the NBA.

Edwards undersized-ness…is going to keep him from dominating defensive stats, but it will also allow him to sit in passing lanes and contribute some steals, like most undersized guards. I would not use any picks above the 8th or 9th round, but if you need scoring and scoring specifically, there is a good chance Carsen Edwards could burst in his role within the Celtics offense and be one of the top rookie this season.

More Fantasy Basketball Analysis


By popular demand, RotoBaller has aggregated all of our fantasy basketball NBA waiver wire pickups into a running list of NBA waiver options, so bookmark the page and check back often for updates.



More Recent Articles

 

Tight End VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The 2019 fantasy football season is over. That is not something we like to say considering the empty path we have ahead of us until we reach draft season again in eight months. The good thing about it, though, is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few weeks... Read More


Biggest Surprises of 2019: Running Back

The 2019 NFL season was an interesting year for the running back position. Christian McCaffrey was the overall RB1, but some of the other top players fell below expectations. That led to some interesting final results when the final season standings came around. And while some of those -- Dalvin Cook as the RB3, Leonard... Read More


Quarterback VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The 2019 fantasy football season is over. That is not something we like to say considering the empty path we have ahead of us until we reach draft season again in eight months. The good thing about it, though, is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few weeks... Read More


2019 RotoBaller NFL Challenge - And The @Fleaflicker Winner Is...

What a season, RotoBallers. Fantasy football is always a fun, interesting, and long season - filled with injuries, breakout players, and different strategies. It takes stamina and endurance to win the marathon, and we're here today to recognize those who pulled it off. With 343 teams - across two divisions - competing to be crowned champ... Read More


Introducing the 2020 Rookie Tight End Class

Out of all the skill positions, tight end is the one where rookies have the most issue making an immediate impact. But there's still always some value at every position in every NFL Draft, and the 2020 one is no exception, even if people are very down on this year's crop of tight ends. Let's... Read More


Can a New Coach Fix Baker Mayfield in 2020?

Another season has passed and another disappointment by Browns fans has been realized. Baker Mayfield got the head coach he wanted in Freddie Kitchens in 2019. In 2020, hopefully he's got the one he needs in Kevin Stefanski. Last season, under Kitchens, Mayfield had a coach he could control and manipulate. He did just that... Read More


Wide Receiver VOS (Values Over Starter): 2019 Season In Context

The one (and only) good thing about fantasy football season ending is that we have plenty of time to analyze what happened during the past few months and put performances into context to prepare for next season. As football is an ever-evolving game, though, it makes sense to assess how good players were in fantasy... Read More


The King's Keeper Corner: NFL Postseason Impacts on Player Outlooks

With a break in the postseason NFL action, it is time to reflect on what we have seen in the playoffs so far and how certain performances will affect fantasy football outlooks in keeper and dynasty formats. How players respond and what they deliver at the most intense and critical times of the season can... Read More


Introducing Value Over Starter Football Metrics

When it comes to fantasy sports, we're always looking for the highest possible Return On Investment or ROI. This concept is easy to understand: in both Daily Fantasy and re-draft/fantasy leagues, ROI would come down to how many points a player returns relative to his salary, or the price you paid (given his ADP on... Read More


Biggest Breakouts of 2019: Quarterback

2019 was a very interesting season of fantasy football, to say the least. It's safe to say no one was banking on the season that we saw from Lamar Jackson but he wasn't the only one to stand out. At the quarterback position, we saw some really exciting players start to shine and some older... Read More


Goodbye Runners, Hello Pass-Catching RBs: 2019 Season Trends

As the 2019 summer kept going we all had two things in our minds with regard to September's fantasy drafts and both of them were related to running backs: Where in the world are Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon and when will they be back? It made sense back then (and it still does now,... Read More


Where Does 2019 Rank Historically Among ADP Movers?

I have worked on a season-review series of articles in which I have analyzed the biggest winners and losers in terms of ADP entering draft season compared to the end of the year final results. It was plenty of fun looking back at the gambles most of us took which ultimately paid off, but also... Read More


Biggest Busts of 2019: Tight End

2019 was not the record-breaking season for tight ends 2018 was. San Francisco’s George Kittle (most receiving yards for a TE in a season) and Philadelphia’s Zach Ertz (most receptions for a TE in a season) did not break the records they set last season, although both were fine for fantasy players. Kansas City’s Travis... Read More


Rushing Quarterbacks Are Becoming Necessary

The 2019 fantasy season is over. We are all thinking about what to do come 2020 draft day. So let me ask you something. What if I offer you the chance of drafting a quarterback who is a lock to finish the season with 270 fantasy points? Would you take him and make him your... Read More


Biggest Breakouts Of 2019: Wide Receivers

As we enter the initial phase of offseason activities you have recently completed a painstaking process of creating and managing rosters, with the goal of winning fantasy championships in 2019. Now, many of you have already shifted your focus toward planning your drafts in Best Ball and redraft leagues, while others are contemplating how you... Read More