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Buy, Sell or Hold: Elfrid Payton and Chris Paul?

We're getting terribly close to fantasy playoffs and there may be some owners panicking about their stars being in a rut, or others envious of your players that are doing well at the moment. In case your trade deadline hasn't hit yet you might be able to use that to your advantage and pull off a last second trade which will improve your team just enough to win that competitive league of yours.

We are looking at some over- and under-achievers in our Week 20 fantasy basketball buy low and sell high column here at RotoBaller. It will be our last one for this season so I wish you all a lot of luck in these final few weeks of your fantasy seasona. It's been a blast sharing my thoughts with you and I hope that some of my advice helps you win your fantasy league.

I would really appreciate any feedback, positive or negative, from you guys that have read some of my articles. I'd love to hear from all of your readers, hear your opinions and try to improve my writing as much as I can. In the end, you guys are the reason we are here. So hit me up either on our chat here at RotoBaller, on twitter @zvekete_RB or on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/zvekete.RotoBaller.

Cyber Week Special! Save 50% on any Premium Pass using discount code CYBER. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Premium Pass, get expert tools and advice for NBA, NFL, MLB, NHL from proven winners! Dan Palyo leads the team with exclusive picks for DFS picks, Props, betting. Enhance your game with industry-leading tools like our Lineup Optimizers, Team Sync Platform, DFS Cheat Sheets and more. GAIN ACCESS

 

Buy Low, Sell High Advice for Week 20

Are You for Real, Elfrid Payton?

Elfrid Payton posted a triple-double. Come again!? Well he did! Two straight triple-doubles from Payton have him in our Are You for Real section this week. Now Nikola Vucevic being out for those two games might have put the Magic offense into Payton's hands a bit more, but I'm not going to argue that he isn't a talented player. Not at all. I believe you have to be at least a little special to have an achievement like that attached to your name.

And Elfrid's been beasting lately with averages of 13.7 PTS on 58.5 FG% and 83.3 FT%, 8.8 REB, 8.0 AST, 1.5 STL, 0.8 BLK and 2.2 TO in 29 minutes a game in his last 6. He's returning top-20 value in that span. But for a guy who's a 44.3% field goal and 60.1% free throw shooter, those percentages are not sustainable. And neither are those insane rebounds, assists or blocks, because, let's face it, Payton is no Russell Westbrook, is he?

If you have an opportunity to use Payton's unreal performances to get yourself a proven player that will fit your team and it's playoff schedule, I would do so if I wore your shoes. A top-30, top-35 player would be enough to persuade me to let go of a lackluster dream that Payton will keep this up for another 3-4 weeks. I would take a Paul Millsap, Serge Ibaka or Otto Porter, who still seems to be a terribly underestimated fantasy contributor who is furthermore riding a cold wave. Moreover, all of these three players have a game or two more than Elfrid's 10 in Weeks 20-22, with Millsap and Ibaka playing 11 times and Porter's Washington scheduled to take the court 12 times in that period.

Baller Move: Sell high

Time to Panic on Chris Paul?

You just can't not trust Chris Paul. Yes, he's been injured this season. Yes, he got injured in last year's playoffs as well. Yes, that makes him difficult to own in fantasy because there's a real risk that his coach, Doc Rivers, opts to give him a rest day or two right when it hurts fantasy owners the most, during our playoffs. But he is still one of the greatest playmakers in the NBA and a top-10 fantasy option when he's playing on his level.

But he hasn't been playing on that level lately. He's averaged a mere 13.0 points with 2.0 3-pointers on 45.8% from the field while missing his only free throw, 3.5 boards, 8.5 dimes, 0.5 steals, no blocks and 2.5 turnovers in 30 minutes per contest in his last two. Furthermore, he has just 30 assists compared to 15 turnovers in his last five outings. That's not the CP3 we all know.

But it's still CP3! There's no doubt in my mind that he will turn it around soon with his Clippers battling it out with Utah for that fourth spot in the West and home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. And they have a favorable fantasy schedule too, playing 4 and 5 games in Weeks 20 and 21, which is more than any other team.

So if you can obtain Paul's services for pennies on the dollar, however risky it might be, I would still do it. I trust him, even with his shaky late-season injury history, more than the likes of Kristaps Porzingis or either one of the two hot PGs Goran Dragic and Elfrid Payton. All three of those players have only 10 games in the default fantasy playoffs, by the way. So if Paul's owner is panicking, I would pounce on the opportunity, and if it bites me on the ass, so be it. At least I've tried.

Baller Move: Hold or buy low




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Giannis Antetokounmpo

Expected to Suit Up Wednesday
Nathan Walker

Out for Eight Weeks
Lian Bichsel

to Sit Out 6-8 Weeks
Viktor Arvidsson

Activated From Injured Reserve
Warren Foegele

Remains Out Tuesday
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Probable for Wednesday
Valeri Nichushkin

Available After Eight-Game Absence
Gabriel Landeskog

Nathan MacKinnon, Gabriel Landeskog Cleared for Tuesday
Jamal Murray

Questionable for Wednesday
Tyson Foerster

to Miss 2-3 Months
CFB

D.J. Durkin Staying at Auburn Under Alex Golesh
Alexandre Sarr

Out of Action Again on Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Sidelined at Least Three Weeks
CFB

Charlie Weis Jr. Permitted to Coach Ole Miss Offense in College Football Playoff
Khris Middleton

Will Not Play Tuesday
Kyshawn George

Is Questionable Against the 76ers
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Says he's Fine After Suffering Hip Contusion
Trey Murphy III

Will Return Tuesday Night
Omarion Hampton

Likely to Return in Week 14
Yves Missi

Uncertain to Play Tuesday Against the Timberwolves
Zion Williamson

Questionable Against Minnesota
Neemias Queta

Set to Return on Tuesday
Derrick White

Will Play Tuesday Against New York
Quentin Grimes

Downgraded to Questionable on Tuesday
CFB

Five-Star Quarterback Jared Curtis Flips Commitment From Georgia to Vanderbilt
CFB

Florida Hiring Brad White as Defensive Coordinator
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers "Hopeful" Brandon Aiyuk Will Play in 2025
Brayden Point

Without Timetable for Return
Jake Walman

Still Out Tuesday
Mason Appleton

Misses Tuesday's Contest
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Good to Go Tuesday
Conor Garland

Out on Tuesday
Petr Mrazek

Considered Day-to-Day
Tyson Foerster

Hurt in Monday's Loss
Trey Murphy III

May Skip Another Game Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Back in Pelicans Lineup Tuesday
Draymond Green

Probable for Tuesday Night
Jimmy Butler III

Questionable to Play Tuesday
Derrick White

Likely Available Tuesday
Paul George

Listed as Questionable for Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Won't Play Against Wizards
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Carted Off With Hip Injury on Monday Night
Edwin Díaz

Mets Still Interested in Re-Signing Edwin Diaz
Devin Williams

Agrees to Three-Year Deal With Mets
Cole Ragans

Red Sox Targeting Cole Ragans in a Trade?
CFB

Kentucky Hires Oregon Offensive Coordinator Will Stein As Head Coach
Davante Adams

Not Dealing With a Serious Injury
Brandon Miller

Unavailable on Monday
Kyler Murray

Surgery Not on the Table for Kyler Murray
Marvin Harrison Jr.

in Danger of Missing Week 14?
Danila Yurov

Won't Play on Tuesday
David Pastrnak

to Remain Out Tuesday
Adam Gaudette

Iffy for Monday
CFB

Kalani Sitake the Top Target for Penn State Coaching Job
Logan Cooley

a Game-Time Decision Monday
Josh Norris

Available Monday
Neal Pionk

Remains Out Monday
Jimmy Snuggerud

to Miss Six Weeks After Wrist Surgery
Justin Herbert

Having Hand Surgery on Monday
Kyler Murray

Cardinals Won't Open Kyler Murray's Practice Window This Week
Sauce Gardner

Not a Candidate to Go on Injured Reserve
Jayden Daniels

Not Cleared for Contact, Decision on Week 14 Status Delayed
CFB

Josh Heupel Says He's Not a Candidate for Penn State Head Coach Job
Trey Hendrickson

Doubtful to Return in Week 14
Tee Higgins

Still in the Concussion Protocol
Drake London

"has a Chance" to Play in Week 14
J.J. McCarthy

in Line to Start in Week 14?
Aaron Jones Sr.

Not Dealing With Serious Shoulder Injury, Likely Day-to-Day
Sam Darnold

Dealing With Ankle Injury, "Should be Good" for Week 14
CFB

Will Stein, Brian Hartline the Top Candidates for Kentucky Job?
CFB

Nebraska Fires Defensive Coordinator John Butler After One Season
CFB

UCLA Expected to Hire Bob Chesney as Next Head Coach
Sauce Gardner

Officially Week-to-Week with Strained Calf
CFB

Lane Kiffin to Make $13 Million Salary, Ties Kirby Smart
CFB

Buster Faulkner, Joey Halzle Candidates for Florida Offensive Coordinator Job?
CFB

Kentucky Officially Fires Mark Stoops
Justin Herbert

Has Metacarpal Fracture in Left Hand
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Week 14 Availability Up in the Air
Zach Ertz

Leads Washington in Receiving in Overtime Loss
CFB

Lane Kiffin to be Introduced as LSU's Next Head Coach on Monday
CFB

Florida Poised to Land Jon Sumrall as Next Head Coach
CFB

Alex Golesh Taking Over Auburn Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Arkansas Expected to Hire Ryan Silverfield as Next Head Coach
Zack Wheeler

Likely to Return in May
Ryan Helsley

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Orioles
Dylan Cease

Agrees With Blue Jays on Seven-Year, $210 Million Deal

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