Aaron Jones 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook: Potential RB1 Waiting To Be Plucked In The Fifth Round
6 months agoAaron Jones joined the rival Minnesota Vikings as a free agent this offseason, and he no longer has Packers coaches holding him back. Talent was never the question with Jones, who routinely exploded off the screen when he had the ball in open space, but usage and health were common concerns with rostering him each year. The hope is that he will finally see the volume managers have been longing for from the explosive tailback, thus, injury remains the main concern for those thinking about drafting him this year. Jones has dealt with numerous soft tissue injuries throughout his career, and last year was no different as he only played in 11 games and was never fully healthy after Week 1 where he posted 26.7 PPR points. He failed to score more than 11 PPR points in all but one game from weeks 4-11, and when he was finally healthy again at the end of the season, he scored at least 14 PPR points in every game, albeit most of them came after the fantasy season. Now, Jones finds himself in Minnesota ready to take on the full workload that he never got in Green Bay. Jones only saw more than 13 carries in one game last year from weeks 1-15, and we are all hoping that is his floor under head coach Kevin O'Connell. The Vikings paid Jones $7 million on a one-year prove-it deal so there is no question that he will be their featured running back this season. His ADP currently sits at RB19 between the fifth and sixth rounds, behind players like David Montgomery, Alvin Kamara, Kenneth Walker, and James Cook, all of whom Jones will likely outscore if he stays healthy, which is the million-dollar question. Fantasy managers are supposed to assume health, and if we assume that Jones stays healthy all year, he should be a second-round pick at worst. He should be a target for teams that go wide receiver heavy or take a shot at one of the elite tight ends in round three, because when he is on the field Jones is an elite fantasy running back, and right now, his value has never been lower and he can routinely be drafted as an RB2/Flex option, which feels like stealing.