X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free NBA Betting Picks and Best Bets (4/11/24)

Happy Masters Day to all who celebrate! I will definitely be tuning in during the day before turning my attention to the NBA at night. Tonight, we have a small five-game slate.

Last night, I went 0-3 on my picks. I’m disappointed but also understand nights like these happen when you’re doing picks daily. I have two selections I feel good about tonight and am leaving Wednesday night in the past.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite picks against the spread, game totals, parlays, and teasers for the NBA slate that tips off at 7:00 p.m. EDT on Thursday, April 11. Follow me on X, @Jwiesel13.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season Props Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win big with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

NBA Betting Picks: ML & Spreads

Golden State Warriors (-14.5) at Portland Trail Blazers (222.5 total)

One pick I forgot to make on Tuesday night was the Blazers' first-quarter spread. They only lost the first quarter by one to the Pelicans and easily covered. Portland is 6-4 ATS and 4-1 in its last five in the opening quarter. Its one loss came when Jaylen Brown hit a stepback three with 0.7 seconds to give the Celtics a six-point lead. Golden State has also been great ATS in the opening 12, but I'm going to trust Portland here with the high spread.

I'll start on defense. The Blazers have held opponents to 25.6 points. Opposing teams are shooting 25 percent from three, and Portland is also in the top 15 in attempts allowed. They are limiting teams to the fourth-fewest attempts in the first quarter, and those teams are shooting about average on those attempts. Portland is 11th in defensive rating and 20th in offensive rating. The offensive rating obviously isn't great, but I was happy to see they are still a 4.7 net positive.

Portland and Golden State are both giving up the same amount of PITP in this sample, but Portland has been better at stopping fast-break opportunities. Fast breaks are definitely a strength of the Warriors early in games.

The Blazers offense isn't great, but what's been impressive is that they've found ways to cover. This team is still averaging over 27 points per game in its last five. It is only hitting 42.4 percent of its FGAs and 32.6 percent of its threes. If Portland can shoot a little better, that number would be a lot closer to 30. There are only eight teams that have averaged 30 or more in their last five opening quarters.

This team has been fighting and is still getting disrespected by line makers in the first quarter. It's a lot of points to play with and I'll take my chances with a Blazers team I've come to like.

The Pick: Blazers First Quarter +4.5 (-120 Sports Illustrated Sportsbook)

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any VIP Betting Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NBA Betting Picks: ML & Spreads

New Orleans Pelicans (+1) at Sacramento Kings (218.5 total)

This game feels like a total toss-up, so I'm going to avoid taking a winner and target the first half. I'm rolling with the Kings at home in the first half. Sacramento is 25-13 in the opening two quarters at the Golden 1 Center this season. In its last 10 games, it is 8-2.

I was impressed with the Kings' defensive numbers after taking a look at recent play. In Sacramento's last 10 games, they have held opponents to 50.7 points. That is second only to the Milwaukee Bucks. From deep, teams are only hitting 33.9 percent of their threes and they are attempting less than 17 per game. New Orleans is 13th in first half threes in its last 10 games.

The Pelicans' first-half numbers have been down in April. This month, they are averaging 55.6 points while hitting 47.7 percent of their FGAs. Last month, New Orleans averaged 58.6 points on 51.7 percent field-goal shooting. In five April games, Willie Green's squad is ninth in first-half offensive rating but it is 25th in defensive rating. Meanwhile, Sacramento is second in offensive rating and first in defensive rating.

Domantas Sabonis and Co. are averaging 59 points per game. They've been particularly sharp from three, hitting 41.5 percent of their attempts. New Orleans is allowing the 25th-most three-point attempts and opposing teams are shooting 41.6 percent on them. That is right in line with how the Kings have been playing on offense and I think they can have success in this matchup.

The Pick: Kings First Half ML  (-120 ESPN BET)

 

*Picks and odds are subject to change throughout the day. Monitor your books for the best lines. 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy basketball mobile app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, lineup notifications & DFS articles. All free!

NBA DFS News and Injury Alerts




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Naz Reid1 hour ago

Records Full Line In Game 1 Defeat
Karl-Anthony Towns1 hour ago

Limited To 16 Points In West Final Opener
Anthony Edwards2 hours ago

Has Mixed Night In Game 1 Against Dallas
Jaden McDaniels2 hours ago

Leads Timberwolves With 24 Points In Game 1 Against Dallas
P.J. Washington2 hours ago

Plays Effective Game Against Minnesota Wednesday
Kyrie Irving2 hours ago

Has Big First Half In Game 1 Against Minnesota
Luka Doncic2 hours ago

Tops All Scorers In Game 1 With 33 Points
Jesús Luzardo11 hours ago

Jesus Luzardo Blanks Brewers In Second Win
Luis Arraez11 hours ago

Goes Deep For First Time This Year
Juan Soto11 hours ago

Goes Yard Twice Against Seattle
Merrill Kelly12 hours ago

Scheduled For MRI This Week
AJ Smith-Shawver13 hours ago

To Make 2024 Debut On Thursday
Dallas Cowboys13 hours ago

Cowboys Flirting With Backfield Committee
Max Fried14 hours ago

Notches Second Complete Game
Shane Baz14 hours ago

Looks Sharp In Fourth Rehab Start
Adbert Alzolay14 hours ago

Cubs Shut Down Adbert Alzolay For Two Weeks
Geno Smith14 hours ago

Has "Really Good Grasp" On New Offense
Francisco Alvarez14 hours ago

Set To Take Batting Practice Soon
Anthony Richardson15 hours ago

Throwing At OTAs
Trea Turner15 hours ago

Takes Grounders, Runs Arcs Wednesday
Lamar Jackson15 hours ago

Drops Weight To "Be More Agile"
Zach Neto16 hours ago

Concerned About His Elbow
Josh Lowe16 hours ago

Leaves Early Wednesday With Side Tightness
Garrett Whitlock16 hours ago

To Visit With Doctor Next Week
Jayson Tatum17 hours ago

Could Get Time At Center
Kristaps Porzingis17 hours ago

Out Again For Game 2
Xavier Tillman17 hours ago

Sr. Questionable For Game 2
Bojan Bogdanovic17 hours ago

Has Surgery
Jalen Brunson17 hours ago

Undergoes Successful Surgery
John Means17 hours ago

Pulled Early On Wednesday
Cole Ragans17 hours ago

Records 12 Strikeouts
Jorge Polanco18 hours ago

Back In Mariners Lineup
Danny Jansen19 hours ago

Getting A Day Off Against White Sox
Adolis García19 hours ago

Adolis Garcia Returns On Wednesday
Xander Bogaerts19 hours ago

Going On Injured List
Zach Neto19 hours ago

Leaves Early With Elbow Soreness
Eloy Jiménez19 hours ago

Eloy Jimenez Lands On 10-Day Injured List
Michael Pittman Jr.20 hours ago

"Should Be Fine" After Leaving Practice Early
Xavier Worthy20 hours ago

Tweaks Hamstring At OTAs
Keaton Mitchell21 hours ago

Likely To Miss Early-Season Games
Christian Kirk22 hours ago

Feeling Healthy
Luke Schoonmaker22 hours ago

Expected To Miss OTAs With Hamstring Injury
Deshaun Watson22 hours ago

To Take Wednesday Off
Christian McCaffrey23 hours ago

49ers Not Worried About Christian McCaffrey's Absence
Brandon Aiyuk23 hours ago

Not Present At OTAs
T.J. McConnell1 day ago

Continues To Make A Mark Off The Bench
Pascal Siakam1 day ago

Collects Third Postseason Double-Double
Myles Turner1 day ago

Stands Out In Game 1 Against Boston With Hot Start
Tyrese Haliburton1 day ago

Matches NBA Record With Six Made Threes
Jrue Holiday1 day ago

Finds Offensive Spark Tuesday
Jayson Tatum1 day ago

Leads All Scorers In East Final Opener
Jaylen Brown1 day ago

Plays Key Role In Game 1 Victory
Si Woo Kim2 days ago

Misses First Cut In 2024
Tucker Kraft2 days ago

Out Until Training Camp
D'Angelo Russell2 days ago

Magic Reportedly Interested In D'Angelo Russell
Will Levis2 days ago

Takes Part In Tuesday's Practice
Justin Herbert2 days ago

Developing Connection With Ladd McConkey
Mike Conley2 days ago

Questionable For Game 1 On Wednesday
Nicolai Hojgaard2 days ago

Debuts At Charles Schwab Challenge
Harry Hall2 days ago

Returns To Charles Schwab Challenge
Grayson Murray2 days ago

Looks To Continue Playing Well At Colonial
Josh Jacobs2 days ago

Dealing With Minor Hamstring Injury
Russell Wilson2 days ago

Justin Fields Says He's "Definitely Competing" With Russell Wilson
Kyren Williams2 days ago

Dealing With "Foot Issue"
Garrick Higgo2 days ago

Struggling For Form Heading To Colonial
Scottie Scheffler2 days ago

A Favorite To Win At Colonial
Taysom Hill2 days ago

Could Have "Big Role" In 2024
Rafael Campos2 days ago

A Risky Play At Charles Schwab Challenge
J.J. McCarthy2 days ago

Takes Third-Team Reps On Tuesday
Lucas Glover2 days ago

A Healthy Option At Charles Schwab Challenge
Bijan Robinson2 days ago

Expected To Be Full-Go For Training Camp
Hayden Springer2 days ago

Can Hayden Springer Turn Things Around At Colonial?
Tyson Alexander2 days ago

Needs More Than A Putter At Colonial
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Is Risky But Has A Lot To Like At Charles Schwab Challenge
Mark Hubbard2 days ago

Trending Up Ahead Of Charles Schwab Challenge
Alejandro Tosti2 days ago

Headed For Trouble At Colonial
Chan Kim2 days ago

A Potential Value At Charles Schwab Challenge
PGA2 days ago

S.H. Kim A Sneaky Option At Colonial
Justin Suh2 days ago

A Player To Avoid At Charles Schwab Challenge
PGA2 days ago

Matthi Schmid Looks To Regain Form At Colonial
Filip Chytil3 days ago

Appears Ready To Rock For Eastern Conference Finals
Jani Hakanpaa3 days ago

Still Not Practicing
Roope Hintz3 days ago

Skates Monday, Still Day-To-Day
Sam Lafferty3 days ago

And Ilya Mikheyev Drawing Into Game 7 Lineup
Thatcher Demko3 days ago

Unavailable For Game 7, Arturs Silovs Will Start
Brock Boeser3 days ago

Out Indefinitely With Blood Clots
Joey Logano3 days ago

Dominates All-Star Race
Ryan Fox3 days ago

Continues Up-And-Down 2024
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Falls Short Of Victory At The All-Star Race
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Rallies For Fifth-Place Finish At North Wilkesboro
Patton Kizzire3 days ago

Showing Improvement The Past Month
Kyle Busch3 days ago

Ricky Stenhouse Jr Punches Kyle Busch After Lap 2 Crash at All-Star Race
Kyle Busch3 days ago

Wrecked Ricky Stenhouse, Jr. at All-Star Race, Then Said He "Sucks"
Christiaan Bezuidenhout3 days ago

Likely To Bounce Back This Week
Keegan Bradley3 days ago

Attempts To Continue Momentum From Valhalla
Edson Barboza3 days ago

Lerone Murphy Dominates To Defeat Edson Barboza
Carlston Harris3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 92
Khaos Williams3 days ago

Scores Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 92
Luana Pinheiro3 days ago

Loses Second Fight In A Row
Angela Hill3 days ago

Scores First Submission Win
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace Exceeds Value In DFS At North Wilkesboro
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Finishes Eighth In All-Star Race
Vinicius Salvador3 days ago

Winless In The UFC
Adrian Yanez3 days ago

Returns To Win Column In A Big Way
Ramiz Brahimaj3 days ago

Doesn't Do Much In UFC Vegas 92 Loss
Themba Gorimbo3 days ago

Wins Lackluster Decision At UFC Vegas 92
Edson Barboza3 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 92
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Fades Back To 17th At North Wilkesboro
Chris Buescher3 days ago

Winds Up Third At All-Star Race
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

What To Do With Tyler Reddick At North Wilkesboro?
Joey Logano4 days ago

Will Start On The Pole In The 2024 NASCAR All-Star Race
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster Christopher Bell At North Wilkesboro?
William Byron4 days ago

Aims For The Top 10 At North Wilkesboro
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Is One Of The Top Favorites To Win The All-Star Race
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Will Start From The Rear At North Wilkesboro
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

. Is One To Watch At North Wilkesboro
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Why Chase Elliott Is A Core Play In DFS This Weekend At North Wilkesboro
Kyle Busch4 days ago

Will Kyle Busch’s Recent Struggles On Short Tracks Continue This Weekend At North Wilkesboro?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr4 days ago

. Likely Not A Factor In All-Star Race
Michael McDowell4 days ago

Could Slide Back At North Wilkesboro
AJ Allmendinger4 days ago

May Struggle In All-Star Race
Gustav Forsling5 days ago

Sends Florida To Eastern Conference Finals
Jamie Benn5 days ago

Scores Big Goal In Series-Clinching Victory
Matt Duchene5 days ago

Ends Second-Round Series With Overtime Winner
Jake Oettinger5 days ago

Leads Stars To Western Conference Final
Sergei Bobrovsky5 days ago

Stellar In Game 6 Win
Anton Lundell5 days ago

Comes Up Huge In Series-Clinching Win
TOR6 days ago

Maple Leafs Bring In Craig Berube As New Head Coach
Nick Cousins6 days ago

Re-Enters Panthers Lineup Friday
Yakov Trenin6 days ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Tyler Seguin6 days ago

Good To Go Friday
Roope Hintz6 days ago

Remains Out For Game 6
Brad Marchand6 days ago

A Game-Time Call Friday
Lerone Murphy6 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Carlston Harris6 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Khaos Williams6 days ago

Faces Carlston Harris In The Co-Main Event Of UFC Vegas 92
Angela Hill6 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 92
Luana Pinheiro6 days ago

Looks To Get Back In Win Column
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF