X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

NFL DFS Prop Picks for 9/5/19 - Monkey Knife Fight

Scott Cullen provides his NFL DFS prop picks for September 5th, 2019 on Monkey Knife Fight. Make your DFS picks with his fantasy football advice.

Our long national nightmare is over. By that, I mean that football season returns tonight! It’s been a tough stretch since the New England Patriots won yet another championship but the 2019 NFL season kicks off Thursday with the Green Bay Packers visiting the Chicago Bears.

This Bears team has some expectations. They have a formidable defense and third-year quarterback Mitch Trubisky guides what should be a promising offense. The competence of that offense will go a long way towards determining their contender status.

On the other hand, the Green Bay Packers are trying to make it work with new coach Matt LaFleur, hoping that the offensive game plan will bring the best out of star quarterback Aaron Rodgers.

The NFC North is up for grabs and tonight’s matchup will set the stage for rest of the 2019 season.

Here are a bunch of angles to consider when playing props on Monkey Knife Fight for the first game of the 2019 NFL season.

Editor's Note: Here's some really nice special offers for all RotoBaller readers from our Monkey Knife Fight friends:

  1. New Player Bonus: All new players can receive a matched signup bonus up to $500.
  2. TNF Guarantee:  All MKF players who make a deposit into their account get their first $5 contest for Thursday Night Football guaranteed! Put simply, if they do not win, MKF will refund your loss (up to $5) in MKF Dollars.
  3. Reload Bonus: All MKF players can make a reload deposit with Promo Code 'NFL19' for a 50% matched bonus up to $500. This offer expires on Sunday 11:59 PM EST.

 

GREEN BAY-CHICAGO

OVER/UNDERS

View Contest

Aaron Rodgers UNDER 270.5 PASSING YARDS – Rodgers is great, of course, but threw for 271 or more yards in nine of 16 games last season, including both head-to-head matchups with the Bears. Nevertheless, historically, Rodgers hasn’t thrown for big yardage against Chicago. He’s 16-5 in 21 games, averaging 245.5 passing yards per contest. To top it all off, the Bears had the league’s best pass defense last season, allowing 5.3 net yards per pass attempt.

Mitch Trubisky UNDER 246.5 PASSING YARDS – It’s entirely possible that the Bears’ quarterback has a breakout season in his third year in the league but he’s thrown for 247 yards or more in seven of 23 career games. Although he passed for 297 yards against the Packers in a 2017 game, Trubisky was held to 235 and 171 in two games against the Packers last season and it’s not unreasonable to believe that the Packers have improved their pass defense to make it all the more challenging for Trubisky to get loose.

Allen Robinson OVER 60.5 RECEIVING YARDS – This is a fair number for the Bears’ number one receiver as he put up at least 61 receiving yards in seven of 14 games, including playoffs, last season. Reports indicate that Robinson is healthier this season, another year removed from his 2017 knee injury, and is the clear number one receiving option for Chicago.

Geronimo Allison UNDER 3.5 RECEPTIONS – It’s entirely possible that this is indeed going to be a breakout season for Allison, the fourth-year Packers wide receiver, but it requires some projection to count on him to grab four passes against the stingy Bears Defense.

Davante Adams UNDER 84.5 RECEIVING YARDS – If there is a Packers receiver to pick in the season opener, it’s Adams, one of the most productive receivers in the game but, even in last season’s breakout year, Adams managed 85 or more yards in seven of 15 games.

David Montgomery OVER 58.5 RUSHING YARDS – The rookie out of Iowa State has been getting lots of preseason love and appears poised to take on the role of primary ball carrier for the Bears. With Chicago favored at home, there is also an argument to be made for the opportunity that could come for Montgomery to help run out the clock.

 

RAPID FIRE 

View Contest

Aaron Rodgers -1.5 fantasy points vs. Mitch Trubisky – The difference in the quality of the respective defenses involved in this game does tend to level the playing field, but Rogers’ track record is such that he’s the safer play to accumulate more fantasy points in this game. Just as being on the favored club could give Montgomery more opportunities to run the rock, Rodgers may be looking at more chances to throw if the Packers fall behind.

Aaron Jones +3.5 fantasy points vs. Davante Adams – The Bears allowed just 3.8 yards per rushing attempt last season, the second-best mark in the NFC, and that makes for a compelling matchup against Jones, who has averaged 5.5 yards per carry through the first 24 games of his NFL career. The expectation is that Jones is going to get more work in his third season and might be a key component to the matchup against the Bears.

Tarik Cohen -0.5 receptions vs. Geronimo Allison – Cohen is heading into his third season and has established himself as a reliable receiving threat out of the backfield, though he managed at least four receptions in eight of 17 games last season. Since I’m already taking Allison under 3.5 receptions, might as well hope that Cohen, who averaged 4.4 per game last season, can go for four in his own right.

Aaron Jones +5.5 rushing yards vs. David Montgomery – There are certainly unknowns for both of these running backs, especially when it comes to how much they will be used. The expectation is that Jones and Montgomery will play significant roles and Jones has shown enough through his first two seasons to feel like his rushing production, especially when getting an extra 5.5 yards as the underdog.

Anthony Miller +3.5 receiving yards vs. Marquez Valdes-Scantling – Taking Miller presumes that he’s recovered from a sprained ankle and healthy enough to be in the Bears’ starting lineup Thursday. If that’s the case, this matchup involves two second-year receivers that have potential to bust out this season. Given the uncertainty over their production, though, might as well take the ‘dog plus 3.5 yards.

PLAY NOW!

 

More Weekly DFS Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Yordan Alvarez

Resumes Swinging -- Return Imminent?
Jake Burger

to Miss an Additional 2-3 Weeks
TreVeyon Henderson

Signs Rookie Contract
Christian Watson

Goes on PUP List
Austin Riley

Hopes to be Activated Next Week
Ketel Marte

Lands on Restricted List After Burglary
Ricky Pearsall

Heads to PUP List
Brandon Aiyuk

Placed on PUP List
Luther Burden III

Signs Rookie Deal
Washington Nationals

Eli Willits Expected to Sign Contract on Saturday
Grayson Rodriguez

Being Shut Down Again - Will We See Him Again This Year?
Ezequiel Tovar

Activated and Back in Lineup on Friday
Max Fried

"Hopeful" to Pitch Next Week - Looks Like He'll Avoid IL Stint
Steven Kwan

Receives Injection in Wrist, Considered Day-to-Day
CJ Abrams

Back to Start Second Half
Alec Bohm

Back From Rib Injury on Friday
Trey Hendrickson

Holdout to Spill into Regular Season?
Jalen McMillan

Bucs Offensive Coordinator Not Forgetting About Jalen McMillan
Levi Onwuzurike

to Miss at Least Four Games
Nick Emmanwori

Seahawks, Nick Emmanwori Reach Agreement on Rookie Deal
Max Holloway

Set For Main Event
Brandon Lowe

Back From 10-Day Injured List
Dustin Poirier

Set For His Final UFC Fight
Roman Kopylov

Set For Co-Main Event
Paulo Costa

Returns At UFC 318
Luis L. Ortiz

to Remain on Leave for Another Month - Will he Pitch Again?
Daniel Rodriguez

Looks For Third Win In A Row
Kevin Holland

Set For His Fourth Fight This Year
Dan Ige

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Patricio Freire Set For His Second UFC Fight
Daniel Zellhuber

Set To Open Up UFC 318 Main Card
Michael Johnson

Looks For Third Consecutive Win
Elijah Arroyo

Signs Rookie Deal
Jaydon Blue

Described as "Borderline Lazy"
T.J. Sanders

Bills Sign T.J. Sanders to Rookie Deal
Christian Wilkins

Raiders Put Christian Wilkins on PUP List
Jabari Small

Lions Add Jabari Small to Backfield
Quinshon Judkins

Remains Unsigned, Won't Report With Rest of Rookies
Mason Taylor

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Jets
Hendon Hooker

Leading Lions QB2 Battle Entering Training Camp
Ozzy Trapilo

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Bears
Tate Ratledge

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Lions
Jack Bech

Signs Rookie Contract with Raiders
Yegor Chinakhov

Requests Trade
Dakota Joshua

Maple Leafs Acquire Dakota Joshua
Lukas Dostal

Signs Five-Year Extension with Ducks
Shemar Stewart

Not Practicing With College Team
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Expected Back Friday
Damian Lillard

Returning to Portland
Paul Skenes

Pirates Could Preserve Paul Skenes in Second Half
Brooks Barnhizer

Grabs 19 Points, Nine Boards in Summer League Win
Jeremiah Fears

Scores 22 Points in Summer League Loss to Thunder
Isaiah Collier

Collects 17 Points In Summer League Win
Caleb Houstan

Joins Hawks
AJ Johnson

Erupts for 25 Points in Summer League Loss
Washington Wizards

Leaky Black Logs Double-Double in Loss to Jazz
Connor Norby

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Trey Alexander

Tallies 25 Points in Losing Effort
Johni Broome

Records Second Consecutive Double-Double
Jahmir Young

Has Historic Summer League Outing
Rob Dillingham

Plays Big Role in Wednesday's Win
Tyrese Proctor

Erupts for 35 Points Against Kings
Cody Williams

Leads Jazz to Victory Against Wizards
LeBron James

Mavs Not Interested in "Gutting its Roster" For LeBron James
Josh Hart

Undergoes a Procedure on Right Finger
Jake Burger

Goes on 10-Day Injured List With Quad Strain
Sal Frelick

Dealing With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain, TBD for Start of Second Half
Chris Sale

Plays Catch
Los Angeles Clippers

Bradley Beal Heading to Los Angeles to Join Clippers After Contract Buyout
Rayan Rupert

Scores 24 Points in Summer League Win
Derik Queen

Collects Third Consecutive Double-Double in Summer League Loss
GG Jackson II

Records 13 Points in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Johni Broome

Logs Double-Double Against Wizards
DaRon Holmes II

Records Double-Double in Summer League Loss to Raptors
Kyle Schwarber

Named All-Star Game MVP
Harris English

Takes Stellar 2025 Performance to The Open Championship
Aldrich Potgieter

Seeks Better Result in Northern Ireland
Cameron Young

Likely to Hang Around at The Open Championship
Cameron Smith

Just Trying to Make the Cut at Royal Portrush
Jordan Spieth

Is Jordan Spieth Still a Natural for Links Style Golf?
Patrick Reed

a Viable Option at The Open Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound from Last Experience at Royal Portrush
Xander Schauffele

Looks to Defend His Claret Jug at Royal Portrush
Tony Finau

Trying to Turn Tide at Royal Portrush
Daniel Brown

Seeks a Rebound at The Open Championship
Rory McIlroy

Will be the Most Watched Player This Week at Royal Portrush
Daniel Berger

Trending Poorly as The Open Championship Looms
Clayton Kershaw

Retires Both Batters In ASG Appearance
Robert MacIntyre

Hoping to Bounce Back at Open Championship
Shane Lowry

Hopes to Repeat at Royal Portrush
Brian Harman

Hopes to Rekindle Some Magic at the 153rd Open
UTA

Michael Carcone Returns to Utah on One-Year Contract
Bowen Byram

Signs Two-Year Deal with Sabres
Morgan Barron

Jets Re-Sign Morgan Barron for Two Years
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF