Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Break The Slate: NFL DFS DraftKings Lineup Picks - Week 4


Hello again RotoBallers and NFL DFS fans! Thanks for joining me here at Break The Slate, a weekly article in which we try to pinpoint the best DraftKings plays available on the main slate. One of the most interesting things about NFL DFS is how different each slate is from week to week. Frankly, there's a lot of matchups that I have no interest in this week, so the Week 4 selections below mainly come from the handful of games that I'm specifically targeting on this slate.

These DraftKings lineup recommendations are based on matchups, projected ownership, overall upside/talent levels, opportunity, and other factors such as Vegas odds, home field advantage, and more. There are quite a few great plays available, so read on to find out which players are the best for Week 4.

Good luck with your DraftKings DFS lineups, lets Break The Slate together!

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

DraftKings DFS Quarterbacks - Week 4 Picks

Russell Wilson - SEA @ ARI ($6,100)

I love this game all the way around (as you'll see throughout this week's article) and Russell Wilson specifically. The Seahawks are a team that strives to run the ball as much (or more than) any team in the league, which puts a cap on Russ' ceiling most weeks. Of course, fantasy players know that Seattle is actually a more effective offense when 'forced' to unleash Wilson and get aggressive, which they've had to do the last couple of weeks. It's led to 706 yards and 5 TDs through the air, and 73 yards and 2 TDs on the ground for Wilson in his last two games. Seattle is a road favorite in this game against Arizona, so we can't really project that they will be playing catchup this week, but Wilson will be aided heavily by two factors:

1.) Arizona plays at an extremely fast pace and has allowed opponents to run an insane average of 70.3 plays per game, which should give Russ plenty of opportunities.
2.) This Cardinals secondary is putrid (they've allowed the third-most DraftKings points and passing yards to opposing QBs in the NFL), while the defense as a whole has been somewhat effective at slowing down the run, which creates a natural pass-funnel situation.

Unfortunately, Wilson's offensive coordinator is always his biggest obstacle to huge fantasy scores, so there is a 'lower than we would like' floor here, but there is also a path to another explosive fantasy day for Russ.

Daniel Jones - WAS @ NYG ($5,300)

I know this feels 'point chasey', but like the aforementioned Seattle vs Arizona matchup, there's a lot to love about this game that carries a surprisingly-high O/U of 48.5 and a tight point spread. After a monster debut last week in which he posted almost 40 DK points, New York's Daniel Jones has received a massive price bump of...$300? So, 'Danny Dimes' remains very affordable and draws a juicy matchup against the Washington Redskins...and all this comes with Saquon Barkley no longer in the Giants lineup. The 'Skins provide a very beatable matchup for the rookie, as they rank bottom-five in the league in both DK points and passing TDs allowed to opposing QBs. Jones will also be aided by his own team's horrific defense, which should force the G-Men to remain aggressive when they do have the ball.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: I feel like I'm often guilty of glossing over Patrick Mahomes, but I think it's because I feel like you guys don't need to be told that he's in play. If there was any doubt, he is obviously a very strong play with a high floor and slate-breaking upside if you want to pay up at QB.

 

DraftKings DFS Running Backs - Week 4 Picks

Austin Ekeler - LAC @ MIA ($8,000)

My usual preference is to grab as many 'guaranteed' points as possible at the RB position, but there's not a lot to feel great about at the top of the board this week - as Christian McCaffery has to square off against an improving Houston run defense on the road and Dalvin Cook gets a nightmarish matchup against the Bears - which brings us to the Chargers' Austin Ekeler at $8k. Melvin Gordon's backup has dazzled as LA's full-time starter this season and he draws a mouth-watering matchup against the struggling Miami Dolphins this week. Ekeler has been solid on the ground (38 carries for 160 yards and 2 TDs) and spectacular through the air (catching 19 of 20 targets for 208 yards and 2 TDs). As you all know, the Dolphins run defense is about as bad as it gets...ranking dead-last in the NFL in DK points and rushing yards allowed to opposing RBs. With Melvin Gordon's return on the horizon and the Chargers standing at 1-2, I expect Ekeler to have some extra motivation this week and have a huge game against Miami.

Derrick Henry - TEN @ ATL ($6,300)

Derrick Henry isn't a player that I often roster on DraftKings (he generally sets up better for FanDuel scoring), but I'm willing to give the big Titans back consideration this week for a few reasons. As we already touched on, RB is a rather thin position this week and Henry's reliable usage is appealing. The Titans are holding fast to their commitment to Henry and the run game, as he's averaging 17 carries per game over their first three, and I was encouraged (from a fantasy perspective) by how Tennessee continued to feed Henry the ball last Thursday night despite falling behind early to Jacksonville. He gets a Falcons defense that is once again reeling this season and has been a terrific matchup for opposing RBs over the last couple of years. We think of Henry as a 'ground and pound' back, but he's proven himself capable of making splash plays, in addition to handling all of Tennessee's goal line work.

Chris Thompson - WAS @ NYG ($4,500)

New York's Wayne Gallman is probably the player you were expecting to see here - and I wouldn't argue with you for rostering him - but if you're playing a large-field GPP like the Milly Maker, a pivot to Washington's Chris Thompson is a very interesting way to gain leverage on big fields. Gallman should be one of the most popular RBs on the slate, while I expect the dependable Thompson to go largely overlooked. The 'Skins back won't garner as many carries as his NY counterpart, but he's been a reliable source of production in the Washington pass game, hauling in 16 of 23 targets for 195 this season. Thompson is an especially intriguing option for those of you that are looking to stack this game.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: L.A.'s Justin Jackson has been confirmed out, while Melvin Gordon will now be available in a small capacity, all of which makes me love Ekeler even more in this spot. Dalvin Cook has an absolutely brutal matchup against Chicago, but with his ownership trending at around 5%, he's a very intriguing option in large-field GPPs due to his talent and ability to break big plays. I will be keeping an eye on T.Y Hilton's status and will fire up Marlon Mack against the Raiders if Hilton sits. Kerryon Johnson is yet to have a big game, but it feels like one is coming.

 

DraftKings DFS Wide Receivers - Week 4 Picks

Tyler Lockett - SEA @ ARI ($6,300)

As I mentioned when discussing Seattle's Russell Wilson at QB, there's a lot I like about this Sea/AZ matchup. Tyler Lockett is in a true 'slate breaking' situation this week against a Cards secondary that is without Patrick Peterson and has allowed over 250 passing yards in every game this season. Arizona is also allowing opponents to run a shade over 70 plays a game on average, which bodes well for the unquestioned alpha of this Seattle receiving corps. Lockett has been targeted a RIDICULOUS 26 times over the last two weeks, hauling in 21 catches for 233 yards and a TD. It's always tough trying to guess when the Seahawks will be 'forced' to turn to Lockett, but the projected game environment doesn't get much better than this. His game-breaking explosiveness gives him enourmous upside, while his new-found volume brings his floor up to a very comfortable level. I love the idea of stacking him with Russell Wilson and one or two Arizona receivers.

Christian Kirk - SEA @ ARI ($5,100)

I'll make you guys a deal, when Christian Kirk gets less than 10 targets or gets priced above $6k, I'll stop writing him up in this article. Kirk heads into this matchup as a usage monster that's tied for third in the NFL in wide receiver targets at 32 through three games. I don't anticipate that volume to change this week, with a Seattle defense that focuses on stopping the run (Seattle has allowed just 176 yards rushing to opposing RBs) and an Arizona offense that is content to pass all day. The Cards lead the league in pass attempts per game at 45.7 and we can almost pencil in Kirk for at least his usual 10 looks. While the Seahawks secondary was once a feared unit, they are now nothing more than a middle-of-the-pack team against the pass. Kirk is averaging a very respectable 15.5 DK points per game despite having caught no touchdowns and he has a great chance to smash salary-based expectations this week.

Paul Richardson Jr. - WAS @ NYG ($3,700)

Some of you might remember that I jumped on Terry McLaurin way back in Week 2 (#TootMyOwnHorn) and I'm willing to continue rolling with another overlooked Redskins pass catcher this week. Paul Richardson is kinda ridiculously-priced at $3,700 on this slate, as his salary actually decreased by $500 despite a 22.3-point outing Monday night against the Bears (thanks for early pricing DraftKings!). Richardson was targeted nine times against Chicago and turned those looks into a 9/83/1 stat line. I'm looking for exposure to this game as a whole and I'm specifically targeting this struggling Giants secondary that is dead last in the NFL in both DK points and receiving yards allowed to opposing WRs. His volume expectation isn't as dependable as McLaurin's (and I wouldn't blame you if you wanted to pony up the extra $800 for McLaurin), but through Washington's three games Richardson has target counts of 9/3/7...numbers I can live with at $3.7k in this matchup.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: Washington's Terry McLaurin has popped up on the injury report. I'll be watching the situation very closely. If McLaurin goes I will have a combination of him, Richardson, and a stack of the two. If McLaurin is out, I'll be almost 'All In' on Richardson. Sticking with this game, I will mix New York's Sterling Shepard in with Richardson/McLaurin. As I alluded to when discussing Lockett & Kirk, I also like the other receiving pieces in this game like Larry Fitzgerald and DK Metcalf. L.A.'s Keenan Allen is once again a slam-dunk option. Atlanta's Calvin Ridley is always tough to predict, but he feels underpriced for the upside he brings to the table, while Carolina's Curtis Samuel seems to mesh well with new QB Kyle Allen at just $4,600.

 

DraftKings DFS Tight Ends - Week 4 Picks

Evan Engram - WAS @ NYG ($5,700)

I was on Evan Engram last week and he came through with a monster 26.3 outing against the Bucs. I'll go right back to the well here against the 'Skins. Engram's price has been raised by $500 in Week 4, but you can argue that it still isn't high enough at $5.7k. He's a target monster and has received 30 looks over New York's first three games. As we suspected, Daniel Jones' insertion into the lineup was a huge boost to Engram and I expect him to put himself in the 'best tight end behind Travis Kelce' conversation this season.

Will Dissly - SEA @ ARI ($3,600)

I'm sticking with this Seattle vs Arizona matchup at the TE spot. Will Dissly will be an extremely popular option this week, but I'm willing to swallow the chalk here at just $3.6k. Dissly's floor is lower than it appears (he's caught 3 TDs in his last two games), but his volume seems to be stabilizing at 5-7 targets a game. Arizona has been TORCHED by opposing tight ends this season and rank dead-last in the league in DK points allowed, receiving yards, and TDs allowed to the TE position. This combination of matchup and price makes Dissly tough to ignore.

*SATURDAY UPDATE: As I mentioned in Dissly's write-up, he will be extremely chalky, but he's hard to ignore in this spot at just $3.6k. Engram will also be popular, but remains my favorite play at the TE position. Oakland's Darren Waller appears to be gaining a little steam in the DFS community this week - and I get it - but a pivot to Baltimore's Mark Andrews in a bounce-back spot probably offers more upside.

 

DraftKings DFS Defenses - Week 4 Picks

New England Patriots - NE @ BUF ($3,700)

There's a legit argument for going up to the Chargers for just $100 more, as they get the Dolphins this week, but I'm comfortable with a "mini-pivot" to New England. The Patriots are playing great 'real world' defense and it has translated to fantasy goodness in the form of averaging 19.3 DK points through three games. This week's matchup against an improved Buffalo team might not look like a slam dunk at first glance, but we must keep in mind just how turnover prone Bills QB Josh Allen is. I expect Bill Belichick to find ways to force Allen into some bad decisions and wouldn't be surprised to see a Patriots defensive TD this week.

Los Angeles Rams - TB @ LAR ($3,500)

The Rams have a better defensive unit than they get credit for and this feels like a sneaky-good spot against Jameis Winston and the Bucs. Tampa Bay is fresh off an impressive offensive display against the Giants, but the Rams and Aaron Donald will present a much bigger challenge. Winston has only thrown four picks so far this season, but we know that his bad decisions can come in bunches and I'm willing to take a shot that L.A. can capitalize on some Winston mistakes in this spot.

More Weekly DFS Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

FAAB Bidding - Week 11 Waiver Wire Targets

Assisting our famous waiver wire pickups list, and our weekly waiver wire columns by position, this column focuses on suggested waiver wire bidding percentages for fantasy football owners in leagues using a Free Agent Acquisition Budget (FAAB). As a caveat, these prices do not by any means indicate how much these free agent players will... Read More


Week 11 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

It's crunch time, with precious few games left before the fantasy regular season ends. There aren't many new names emerging on the waiver wire at this juncture but the RB situations in Atlanta and Detroit bear watching, while the Jets passing game has shown signs of life. No, really. Each week, we will advise you... Read More


Deeper League Free Agent Pickups for Week 11

Rotoballers, if you're not active on the waiver wire this time of year, there are only two reasonable explanations: 1) You're sitting at 3-7 (or worse) and don't find it enjoyable to play spoiler to your league mates, or 2) You're 8-2 (or better) and have nothing but matchup-proof studs on your starting lineup and... Read More


Week 11 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 11 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 11 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More


Week 11 Kicker Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

It's Week 11, and we're getting closer and closer to the fantasy football playoffs. The consistent options are getting more and more clear, especially at the kicking position. We're also going to start dealing with everyone's favorite factor, which is inclement weather, especially up north. The margin for error in these weeks is slim, and... Read More


Week 10 Surprises? We Must Overreact Immediately!

In Week 10, Christian Kirk, Darius Slayton, Tyreek Hill, and Michael Thomas all had beatable cornerback matchups and finished as the top-four wide receivers in PPR scoring. At running back, Derrick Henry exploited a poor Chiefs run defense and rumbled for 188 yards and two touchdowns, finishing as the No. 1 running back on the week. Ronald... Read More


The Cut List - Players on the Chopping Block (Week 11)

This is your weekly list of players to drop. I will do my best to limit this list to injured players and players you might consider holding. If you roster pure handcuffs or backups, obviously you can let them go at any time. The players on this list will, ideally, be guys that aren't clearly... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 11

The regular season continues to advance at a relentless pace as we have now entered the planning process for Week 11. Some of you are in the favorable position of only needing slight modifications to rosters that are destined to enter the fantasy playoffs. But many of you are still searching for the most effective... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 11

Did you survive the terrible, no good, very bad six-team bye week? If so, welcome to the other side, when roster building gets slightly easier going forward. If not, I'm sorry, but you still have time to get things back on the right path. Let's talk about some wide receivers who might be able to... Read More


Week 11 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

If your fantasy football squad is still in the playoff hunt heading into Week 11, then congratulations on not being the Pat Shurmur or Freddie Kitchens of your league. Fantasy football players will have to live without New York’s Evan Engram, Green Bay’s Jimmy Graham and Tennessee’s Jonnu Smith as their teams are on bye.... Read More


Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 11

We've got plenty to unpack at the quarterback position following an exciting Week 10. While no major injuries occurred in game, the revelation of Matthew Stafford's back injury was quite a surprise and left some owners scrambling just before lineups locked. So the year of the backup continued this week, as 16 of the 32... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 11 Lightning Round

With 10 weeks down and only a few more weeks of the fantasy regular season to go, your vision for the playoffs should be coming into focus. The Giants, Packers, Seahawks and Titans are on bye -- with the Cardinals, Chargers, Chiefs and Vikings in Week 12 to round out the weekly vacations. To help... Read More


Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Pickups List

Back by popular demand in 2019... RotoBaller has brought back for the NFL season our Ultimate 2019 Fantasy Football Sleepers and Waiver Wire Pickups List.  Be sure to also try our other lineup tools below. Using your phone? Be sure to also download our free app which includes news, notifications, injury alerts & articles.   Rankings WizardWeekly... Read More


Week 10 Start/Sit: Monday Night Football Matchups Analysis

We got a good one on Monday night folks. Both for the NFC West division and, more importantly, for fantasy. Two of the top teams in the NFL matchup at Levi's Stadium. We can finally find out if the 49ers are for real, or if they were just beating up on bad teams all season.... Read More


Week 10 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More