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Ben Rolfe analyzes optimal DFS cash game value plays for Week 11 of the NFL season. These players are worth considering on FanDuel and DraftKings daily fantasy sports cash games.
Week 11 brings us back up to an 11-game slate with just four teams on a bye this week. Thie week sees the return of the New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Washington Redskins, Denver Broncos, Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans back to the slate. That is an interesting mix of teams, but it does bring some nice DFS options back to the table for us.
This week has the potential to be a very entertaining week, with seven of the 11 games on the slate having a line of 45 or above. We do have a couple of low scoring games, but for the large part, there should be plenty of offensive options on the slate this week.
This article will take a look at some of the value plays for each week of the NFL. However, usually when you look at value plays for GPP you are swinging for the fences somewhat. Here I will be focusing on cash games and the necessity for slightly more safety as you are just looking to finish in the top half or so of the competition. Therefore, we are looking for cheaper players who should see a decent workload, be that pass attempts, targets or carries. Let's take a look at the cash value plays for Week 11 of the 2019 NFL season.
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Week 11 Quarterback Cash Game Value Plays
Derek Carr, OAK vs. CIN | DK: $6,100, FD: $7,600
Carr is perhaps a little more expensive than I would like, but on this slate, he is still a relative bargain. The Bengals are allowing nearly 25 PPG to quarterbacks, and we have seen Carr have some good performances recently. My only concern is that the Raiders may go for the ground and pound approach, and then if they get up big could go very vanilla on offense. However, the Raiders Defense has enough issues that I think the Bengals can stay close enough to make the Raiders keep their starters on the field.
Kyle Allen, CAR vs. ATL | DK: $5,300, FD: $7,200
I am not a huge believer that Carolina is a lock to have a good week in Week 11. The Falcons Defense was so good last week that I do not believe it was a one-off, and rather I believe that it was a change made during the bye week. However, you cannot get away from the fact the Falcons are one of the worst teams on the slate against quarterbacks. Allen is also one of the cheapest starters available this week, so makes an interesting option in your cash game lineups.
Week 11 Running Back Cash Game Value Plays
Devin Singletary, BUF @ MIA | DK: $6,000 FD: $6,700
Last week was both frustrating and promising for Singletary. On the one hand, he only carried the ball eight times. However, he also averaged over five yards per carry which is extremely promising. The Bills cannot afford to just keep putting the game on Josh Allen, because that is not the optimal way to run this offense. The Dolphins are allowing over 18 points to lead backs and 29 to running backs in total, making Frank Gore ($4,400) another potential play. This may not be a value on first glance, but if he can see double-digit carries he could end up being a value.
Brian Hill, ATL @ CAR | DK: $4,800, FD: $6,400
With Devonta Freeman ruled out, Brian Hill will take the lead back duties for the Falcons in what should be a great matchup for them. The Panthers Defense has allowed over 20 PPG to lead running backs this season. The only concern is the game script getting away from the run game for the Falcons, but I really think this game is going to be much closer than many expect. Hill is a big part of making that happen, and he could easily be looking at 20-plus carries this season.
Kalen Ballage, MIA vs. BUF | DK: $4,300, FD: $6,300
Last week was tough for Ballage, but the Colts rank reasonably highly when it comes to facing the running game. However, the same cannot be said for the Bills, who are allowing an average of 26 PPG to opposing backs. Ballage saw 20 carries last week, and with the Bills generally being strong against the pass, the Dolphins should lead on the run game in this one.
Week 11 Wide Receiver Cash Game Value Plays
Terry McLaurin, NYJ @ WSH | DK: $5,600, FD: $6,400
I resisted the urge to invest too much in this game, but McLaurin is hard to ignore. The rookie receiver has struggled lately, but now he is playing with his college quarterback, which should help reignite that spark. McLaurin should also be helped by the Jets allowing over 19 PPG to opposing lead receivers.
Mohamed Sanu, NE @ PHI | DK: $5,100, FD: $6,500
Sanu was targeted a whopping 14 times in the PAtriots last game, just his second in the offense. Considering the abysmal play of the Eagles secondary, and the fact his fellow receiver Julian Edelman is so expensive, this is a massive value for Sanu. The Patriots offense is going to have a point to prove this week, and this secondary is the one to do it against.
Auden Tate, CIN @ OAK | DK: $4,200, FD: $5,500
Last week was ugly for the Bengals. Let's not pretend any different. However, this week they face a Raiders defense which has a ton of issues of its own. They allow over 17 PPG to opposing lead receivers and nearly 15 PPG to secondary receivers. I like Tyler Boyd in this game at $5,200, but I would prefer the saving to get Tate, who could be just as effective.
Week 11 Tight End Cash Game Value Plays
T.J. Hockenson, DET vs. DAL | DK: $3,600, FD: $5,100
After an explosive start, things have slowed down for Hockenson. However, it would appear the Lions are making a real effort to get their rookie tight end back into games, with 15 targets across the last two weeks. The Cowboys are allowing over 11 PPG to lead tight ends and over 15 PPG to the position in total, so Hockenson could be in for a third double-digit week this season.
Ross Dwelley, SF vs. ARI | DK: $3,400, FD: $5,000
This is simply about the matchup. With George Kittle expected to be missing, Dwelley has a chance to put up good numbers against an Arizona team allowing over 17 PPG to lead tight ends. Dwelley saw seven targets last week, and if he sees that this week, then he could be in line for close to 15 fantasy points.
