X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

Predicting the Top 10 Finishers for Stolen Bases in 2018

Predicting the top 10 of anything is usually an exercise in futility. No matter how much research one does, how many numbers are crunched, or how much time is put into compiling a top ten list like the one below, there will always be injuries, breakouts, and other surprises to throw everything off.

Who would have guessed that after swiping an MLB-high 62 bases in 2016, Jonathan Villar would completely forget how to hit and end up nabbing just 23 bases on 31 attempts in 2017? Or what about that guy Starling Marte who, after swiping 47 bags in 2016, got suspended for half of the 2017 season and finished with just 21 steals?

Villar and Marte are just two of the types of surprises that come up during the season. Predicting the top 10 stolen base guys is not going to be a walk in the park, but at least there are a handful of guys who will almost certainly be on the list. With that being said, I'm not trying to conservatively pick the top 10 guys, so don't be shocked if you see some unexpected names on this list. Without further ado, my picks for the top 10 base stealers in 2018:

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Top 10 Stolen Base Threats

10. Jonathan Villar, 2B, Milwaukee Brewers

Yes, the aforementioned Villar will finish in the top-10 in steals in 2018. This is not that bold of a prediction; despite Villar's precipitous drop-off in 2017, he still finished tied for 17th in the majors in steals. I think Villar is more than capable of getting back to 30+ steals this season, but it's hardly a lock considering that Villar is not projected to play full-time. If the 26-year-old manages to get his OBP back on the right side of .300 (wow, what a sad thing to write), he should have no trouble getting additional playing time, but until that point, it's hard to trust Villar. All-in-all, it's hard to bet against Villar returning to the top-10, just don't expect him to replicate his 2106.

9. Manuel Margot, OF, San Diego Padres

This is probably the most out-of-place name on the list. Margot finished just outside the top 30 in SB in 2017 with 17. Given his speed and pedigree, it came as a surprise that he didn't attempt more steals in 2017. It could have been because Margot was not terribly efficient in stealing bags last season (his success rate was just a lick over 70%), but the Padres do not have much to play for, so it would not be shocking to see Margot get the green light more in his second full big league season.

8. Byron Buxton, OF, Minnesota Twins

Buxton, despite performing much better overall in the second half of 2017, actually stole fewer bases after the All-Star break (13) than before (16). Still, if Buxton puts up numbers similar to his second half last season, he should threaten a 20/40 season. Not only is Buxton one of the speediest players in baseball, but he stole bases at a 96.7% success rate last season. The efficiency should dwindle to a less superhuman rate in 2018, but an 85%+ success rate with 40 swipes is nothing to sneeze at, especially considering that Buxton is just entering his age-24 season.

7. Starling Marte, OF, Pittsburgh Pirates

Marte being 7th on this list is more of a testament to my belief in the abilities of the other players on this list than a knock on his abilities. Yes, he was suspended for half the season last year so there is certainly a rust factor, but even with that suspension, Marte swiped 21 bags at an 84% clip in 77 games. Prior to last year, Marte had stolen at least 30 bases in four straight seasons and over 40 in two of those four. He has the speed and the tools to put up a high SB total once again in 2018, and I fully expect him to rebound in the SB department after his suspension-shortened season.

6. Jose Altuve,  2B, Houston Astros

Two or three seasons ago, Altuve would be solidly in the top half of this list. The 27-year-old led the AL in steals in back-to-back seasons in 2014 and 2015, but since his 56-steal season, his steals have dropped considerably. That's not necessarily a bad thing; his steal attempts have gone down because he has become a more complete fantasy player. For just stolen base purposes, though, the power uptick doesn't help him. Look for Altuve to steal around 30 bases again in 2018 and remain a perennial first-round pick.

5. Mike Trout, OF, Los Angeles Angels

I did say I was going to have some surprise names on here, right? Look, we know Trout can do everything well and that includes stolen bases; he stole 49 in his rookie campaign (which was nearly a 30/50 season, in case you're keeping track). Trout is going to come back after his first season hitting the disabled list and remind everyone why he is the best baseball player on the planet by stealing 40+ for the first time since his rookie year. If not, he'll at least get to 30. But I predict Trout will go 40/40 this season because I like to live on the wild side. #BoldPredictions.

4. Delino DeShields Jr., OF, Texas Rangers

I like to preach the mantra "sometimes opportunity trumps talent in fantasy" in nearly all of my fantasy articles. I think this could not be more true for DeShields. That is not to say that DeShields is not a talented player, but he hasn't had the opportunity to fully showcase his abilities in prior seasons because he has never received regular playing time. This year, DeShields is projected to be an everyday outfield for the Rangers and hit in the leadoff spot. If DeShields approaches 600 PA, 50 steals should be a possibility, but 40 steals is the more likely outcome. Either way, DeShields is going to be running a lot this season, so scoop him up at his relatively inexpensive ADP of 185.

3. Dee Gordon, 2B/OF, Seattle Mariners

The move from Miami shouldn't affect Gordon's ability to wreak havoc on the basepaths. Gordon has stolen 58+ bases in three of the past four seasons, his suspension-shortened 2016 notwithstanding. Even in that campaign, though, he was on track to steal 55+. Three things are certain these days: death, taxes, and Dee Gordon swiping 50+ bags in a healthy/not suspended season.

2. Billy Hamilton, OF, Cincinnati Reds

The only shocking thing about seeing Billy Hamilton on this list is that I'm not projecting him to finish the season as the MLB leader in steals. Hamilton has stolen 56, 57, 58, and 59 bases in each of the past four seasons, respectively, so is this the year he gets to 60+? I want to say yes, but there are rumors of a possible four-man platoon for the three outfield spots in Cincy this year, which gives me pause about making Hamilton getting to 60 steals this season. And for all I know, he's going to make me look silly by having a career year with a .330 OBP and 80 steals.

1. Trea Turner, SS, Washington Nationals

Turner stole 46 bases in 447 PA last season. Extrapolated to 600 PA, that's a pace of 61(!!!) steals. I don't really think I need to say much more about the fact that Turner tops this list, especially because Turner can handle his own with the bat and Hamilton can't. The only downside of Turner stealing so many bases is that there is a very real possibility of him going 20/60, which is reflected in his first-round ADP. If you do manage to grab Turner for your squad this year, though, sit back and watch him run up the stolen base tally on your opponents.

 

More RotoBaller Predictions




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kaapo Kahkonen2 hours ago

Makes 44 Saves In Victory
Mikael Granlund2 hours ago

Totals Season-High Three Points
Anthony Duclair2 hours ago

Scores Two Goals In Victory
NJ2 hours ago

Simon Nemec Collects Two Points In NHL Debut
Ausar Thompson3 hours ago

Probable Against Cleveland
Bojan Bogdanovic3 hours ago

Likely To Return On Saturday
Caris LeVert4 hours ago

Sitting Out Against Detroit
Brandon Miller4 hours ago

Battling An Ankle Issue
Anthony Edwards4 hours ago

Not Expected To Play On Saturday
Andrew Wiggins6 hours ago

Questionable For Rematch With The Clippers
Trey Lyles7 hours ago

Won't Play Versus Denver
Keegan Murray7 hours ago

Might Return On Saturday
New York Mets7 hours ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Is Where Mets' Focus Lies
Cleveland Browns8 hours ago

Myles Garrett Cleared For Week 13, Denzel Ward Ruled Out
Ezekiel Elliott8 hours ago

Questionable For Week 13
Bailey Zappe8 hours ago

To Start In Week 13
Demario Douglas8 hours ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Travis Etienne Jr.9 hours ago

Remains Limited On Friday
Tee Higgins9 hours ago

A Full Participant On Friday
Dalton Schultz10 hours ago

Won't Play In Week 13
Noah Brown10 hours ago

Tank Dell, Noah Brown Questionable For Week 13
Dorian Thompson-Robinson10 hours ago

Won't Play Sunday, Joe Flacco To Start
Keenan Allen10 hours ago

Questionable For Week 13
Dallas Goedert10 hours ago

Doubtful To Play In Week 13
Treylon Burks11 hours ago

Questionable To Face Colts
DeMar DeRozan11 hours ago

Uncertain To Play Against Pelicans On Saturday
Pat Connaughton11 hours ago

Ruled Out On Saturday
Keegan Murray11 hours ago

Practices On Friday
Chris Olave11 hours ago

Still In Concussion Protocol But Not Ruled Out
Doug McDermott11 hours ago

Will Not Play Against Pelicans
Luka Doncic11 hours ago

Ruled Out On Friday Due To Personal Reasons
Joel Embiid11 hours ago

Will Be True Game-Time Decision On Friday
Devin Booker11 hours ago

Will Sit Out Against Nuggets On Friday
Victor Wembanyama12 hours ago

Will Be Sidelined On Friday
Trey McBride12 hours ago

Iffy For Week 13 Action
Marquise Brown12 hours ago

Officially Questionable Against Steelers
Julius Randle12 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Dalvin Cook12 hours ago

Breece Hall, Dalvin Cook Questionable For Week 13
Treylon Burks12 hours ago

Cleared To Play In Week 13
Aaron Jones12 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 13
Jerick McKinnon13 hours ago

Chiefs Expect Jerick McKinnon, Kadarius Toney To Play In Week 13
Dougie Hamilton13 hours ago

Simon Nemec Called Up To Devils Friday, Dougie Hamilton Placed On IR
Zach Charbonnet13 hours ago

Dealing With Swelling In Knee
Adin Hill13 hours ago

Leaves Thursday's Contest Early As Precaution
Timo Meier13 hours ago

Close To Returning, Could Play Friday
Jonathan Taylor14 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out
Sam Montembeault14 hours ago

Signs Three-Year Extension With Canadiens
Nikita Zadorov14 hours ago

Traded To Vancouver
Beneil Dariush16 hours ago

Arman Tsarukyan A Favorite Over Beneil Dariush At UFC Austin
Jack Eichel16 hours ago

Steers Vegas Back On Track
Beneil Dariush16 hours ago

Has A Dangerous Task In Front Of Him
Brayden Schenn16 hours ago

Leads Blues To Victory Thursday
Bobby Green16 hours ago

Looking For Third Win In A Row
Noah Dobson16 hours ago

Grabs Three Assists In Thursday's Win
Jalin Turner16 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Austin
Tyrese Haliburton16 hours ago

Notches Another Big-Time Performance
Jack Hughes16 hours ago

Adds Three More Points To His Tally
Dustin Stoltzfus16 hours ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Trae Young16 hours ago

Posts A 45-Point Double-Double
Tom Wilson16 hours ago

Celebrates First Career Hat Trick
Jalen Brunson16 hours ago

Drops 42 Points In Win Over Pistons
Punahele Soriano16 hours ago

Looking To Return To Win Column
Jonathan Isaac16 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable On Friday
Tristan Jarry16 hours ago

Caps Off Winning Performance With Historic Goal
Mitchell Marner1 day ago

Scores Hat Trick In Victory
Alex Lyon1 day ago

Earns Third Consecutive Victory
Jeremy Swayman1 day ago

Posts Shutout Against Sharks
Matt McLain1 day ago

Fully Healed
Shohei Ohtani1 day ago

Wins Most Outstanding Designated Hitter Award
Zach Hyman1 day ago

Ready To Return On Thursday
Juuso Valimaki1 day ago

Back For Coyotes On Thursday
Ilya Mikheyev1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Dylan Cease1 day ago

Cardinals Interested In Dylan Cease
Joaquim Silva2 days ago

Looking To Return To The Win Column
Clay Guida2 days ago

Set For 36th UFC Fight
Kelvin Gastelum2 days ago

Returns To Welterweight
Tyler Glasnow2 days ago

Cubs Have Held Trade Talks On Tyler Glasnow
Sean Brady2 days ago

Looking To Rebound After First Career Loss
Deiveson Figueiredo2 days ago

Moving Up To Bantamweight
Rob Font2 days ago

Set For Third Fight Of 2023
Nick Martinez2 days ago

Agrees To Two-Year Deal With Reds
Jackson Chourio2 days ago

Brewers Expected To Complete Record-Breaking Deal
Joey Wendle2 days ago

Agrees With Mets
Devin Williams2 days ago

Wins NL Reliever Of The Year Award
FĂ©lix Bautista2 days ago

Felix Bautista Named AL Reliever Of The Year
Luis Severino2 days ago

Mets, Luis Severino Finalizing One-Year Deal
Shohei Ohtani2 days ago

Expected To Sign Before End Of Winter Meetings
Dylan Cease2 days ago

Trade Talks For Dylan Cease Have Intensified
Randy Arozarena2 days ago

Being Shopped By Rays
Bo Bichette3 days ago

Likely Staying Put
Emilio Pagán3 days ago

Emilio Pagan Agrees To Two-Year Pact With Reds
Dylan Cease3 days ago

Dodgers "Among Most Aggressive" Teams For Dylan Cease
Shohei Ohtani3 days ago

Yoshinobu Yamamoto "Above All Other Options" For Giants
Juan Soto3 days ago

"Almost Certain To Be Traded"
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Earns NL Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Liam Hendriks3 days ago

Earns AL Comeback Player Of The Year Award

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Week 13 Rankings: 2023 Fantasy Football Outlooks, Start/Sit Analysis at Every Position - QB, RB, WR, TE

Check out our Week 13 2023 fantasy football position rankings! Jorden Hill discusses his top Week 13 fantasy football rankings for each position. You should consider starting these players in your 2023 fantasy football lineups for Week 13. The 2023 fantasy football season is officially here - win big with RotoBaller in 2023! Be sure... Read More


Breece Hall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For Week 13 (Friday Updates): Aaron Rodgers, De'Von Achane, Jonathan Taylor, Keenan Allen, David Montgomery, Aaron Jones, Breece Hall, more

Heading into Week 13 of the NFL season, there is no shortage of big-name players in the injury headlines. The fantasy football playoffs are just around the corner, and these injuries could complicate start or sit decisions. Our injury updates and reports for Week 13 as of Friday, December 1, 2023, will give you the... Read More


Rhamondre Stevenson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 Fantasy Football Matchups We Love: The Fantasy Matchmaker

Welcome back to the Week 13 Fantasy Matchmaker article looking at Week 12 matchups we love! This is my weekly series for RotoBaller where I look at the matchup strength for pretty much every viable fantasy football player across the fantasy skill positions. With only two weeks left in the fantasy football regular season, each... Read More


Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Week 13 Fantasy Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include Kyler Murray, Breece Hall, D'Andre Swift, Drake London

Dodging busts with a full 16-game slate can be easy. With six teams on bye, it's a little bit more difficult. The Bills, Ravens, Vikings, Bears, Raiders, and Giants all get their week off this Sunday. It couldn't have come at a worse time with the fantasy playoffs for the majority of leagues just two... Read More


jaylen waddle fantasy football rankings news NFL DFS lineup picks

WR/CB Matchups to Target and Downgrade - Week 13 (2023)

Welcome to Week 13 of the WR/CB Matchups article. For those who are not familiar, this is a weekly series looking at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. During the past three seasons, I have tweaked my process to make the chart more user-friendly and predictive,... Read More


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Rest of Season Half-PPR Rankings: Fantasy Football Top 200 for Week 13

December approaches and the fantasy football playoffs are on the horizon. Prepare for the championship push as best you can with our Week 13 fantasy football half-PPR rankings for the rest of 2023, as of November 30. Check where key players shifted, such as Bijan Robinson, Cooper Kupp, Zack Moss, and more. These half-PPR fantasy... Read More


Brandon Aiyuk - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 13 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back RotoBallers to our Week 13 matchups analysis and Start Em, Sit Em column for fantasy football. Last week started out with some lopsided Thanksgiving and Black Friday contests before the game of the week on Sunday between the Eagles and Bills. The schedule goes back to normal with just one Thursday matchup, but we... Read More


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Booms and Busts - Fantasy Football Starts and Sits for Week 13 Lineups

Week 13 is finally here, and it might be the most important week for those fantasy managers still fighting for a playoff spot. With most leagues having their playoffs start in Week 15, there are just two regular season games left. That means if your fantasy team is on the bubble, you have to win... Read More


Kyren Williams - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Updated Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

      Fantasy Football Rankings by NFL Position ALL - QB - RB - WR - TE - DEF Above you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings, tiers, player news and stats for your 2023 fantasy football leagues. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's fantasy football rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Fantasy Football... Read More


C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 13 NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Prop Picks for Sleeper.com

We started this week on fire, finishing 4-0 for our Thursday picks. Last week we had a good showing finishing 10-7 in total (6-6 Thursday and 4-1 Sunday) and moving our total to 53-45. This might be my last week this season writing a Sunday prop article so I have something special lined up for... Read More


C.J. Stroud - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

FanDuel NFL DFS Week 13 Picks: Top Daily Fantasy Lineup Plays Include C.J. Stroud, Kyren Williams, Amon-Ra St. Brown, George Kittle, More

It’s Week 13, and it’s the time of the year when every game matters just a bit more moving forward. The 13-game schedule began with a Thursday night meeting between the Seahawks and Cowboys, with Dallas squeezing out a win in the high-scoring affair. Then, on Sunday, teams like the Lions and Chiefs could ascend... Read More


Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Bold Predictions for Fantasy Football Week 13: Tua Tagovailoa, Najee Harris, Bijan Robinson, Mike Evans, Evan Engram

Week 13 is here, and I’m back with another edition of fantasy football bold predictions. This week’s list of bold predictions will include Tua Tagovailoa, Najee Harris, Bijan Robinson, Mike Evans, and Evan Engram. Every week, I will provide some fun and bold fantasy football predictions. While these bold predictions aren’t the most likely outcomes,... Read More


Jaylen Waddle - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 13 (Sunday Main Slate)

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 - Sunday Main Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of. Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best... Read More