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Buy or Sell - Underowned and Overowned Players for Week 15

As we enter the All-Star break this weekend, it's time to take a hard look at your roster(s) and assess your position for the second half. If you're near contention, finding the right player to help you make that final surge can make all the difference. Ask those who added Trea Turner or Gary Sanchez last season. Likewise, cutting ties with players bound to decline can be equally important. Some of this week's picks may seem surprising, but rest assured there are valid reasons behind each one.

Scouting players who may be undervalued and re-assessing players who may be overvalued is a weekly exercise that you should pursue. Fortunately, I have you covered. Here are a few players who are good buy or sell candidates based on their current performance compared to ownership levels. This could mean scooping them off waivers if possible or actively seeking a trade to acquire or discard certain players in order to maximize value.

I will include one player at each key position group (Infield, Outfield, Pitcher). Ownership levels are taken from Yahoo! Fantasy Sports.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Underrated Players - Week 15

Matt Holliday (1B/OF, NYY) 63% owned

Holliday proved to be a draft-day steal and basically came for free in the latter rounds or off the waiver wire. There has still been some skepticism based on age and now he finishes the first half on the disabled list. In reality, he isn't injured at all. Holliday has been fighting a viral infection and should be back on the active roster this weekend. If he merely keeps at his current pace, Holliday could finish with a 30-HR, 100-RBI season in the Bronx. Considering the rate at which balls are flying out of Yankee Stadium and the quality of the surrounding cast, there's plenty of promise for him to do just that. If he's been dumped in your league, act now to grab him.

Domingo Santana (OF, MIL) 63% owned

Like the veteran Holliday, 24-year-old Santana is also on pace for 30 homers and 100 RBI in just his second season as a starter. He's shown an affinity for taking walks (12.3% BB%) which has led to a .383 OBP. He'll continue to swing and miss quite a bit, evidenced by a 71.8% contact rate and 13.3% swinging strike rate, but he makes the most of his contact when he does connect. Two more hits on Friday brought his season average up to .291, so labeling him a slugger is an outright injustice. Don't forget the nine steals as well, giving him a good chance to go 20/20 by year's end. Frankly, it's shocking that he's not owned in all leagues of 12 or more teams by this point. If he's somehow available in your league, make room on your roster for him. If you're in a keeper league, try to swing a deal for him before his true value is realized.

Julio Teheran (SP, ATL) 83% owned

It would seem Teheran fits better on the list below, but there's a case to be made for buying low on him now. Simply put, Teheran hates the Braves' new digs. His ERA at the new SunTrust Park, which has proven to be fairly hitter-friendly, is now at 7.58 over 46 1/3 innings. He's allowed almost twice as many home runs at home (13) than on the road (seven) in fewer innings. While he's under team control a couple more years, there have recently been rumors that the Braves may look to move the struggling young starter to further the rebuilding process. Bartolo Colon has been ditched already, Jaime Garcia may follow soon and R.A. Dickey won't be around much longer. The Braves have plenty of young arms in their farm system to get the next generation underway, so it makes sense that they would trade assets they don't need (Matt Adams and Jim Johnson, ahem) in order to accumulate talent. If Teheran moves to a contender, especially somewhere like Houston or New York, his stock will shoot up in a big way, as will the wins. He isn't an ace and likely never will be, but last year showed us what type of talent he does possess as an SP2. Buying low now from a frustrated leaguemate could prove fruitful come August.

 

Overrated Players - Week 15

Mike Zunino (C, SEA) 42% owned

You can't be blamed for snatching Zunino off waivers after his mid-June homer spree. Since then, he's been consistently going deep - once a week to be exact. That won't get the job done and neither will a .230 average or .296 OBP. That batting average is by far a career high mark for him, as is his 38.4% K% which keeps rising. Zunino is looking more and more like a younger version of Derek Norris, which isn't a compliment. Rather than sticking with Zunino, I prefer someone like Austin Hedges who has nearly identical stats but is still rounding into form and should eventually surpass him in average.

Jacoby Ellsbury (OF, NYY) 39% owned

Ellsbury is off the DL and will be playing full-time again with the injury to Aaron Hicks. This may seem like the right time to make him a bench stash in deeper leagues, but what exactly are we hoping for with Ellsbury? For a player who hasn't reached double-digit homers the last two seasons and has stayed around 20 SB, at best you could hope for 5 HR and 10 SB throughout the second half. That also comes with a .263 average that is consistent with his three-year average in New York. All that is assuming he even keeps the job when Hicks returns. There simply isn't enough upside here to warrant a single dollar of FAAB. If you're in a league that starts four or five outfielders, don't pay for past performance. Grab someone like Raimel Tapia or Manuel Margot instead.

Adam Wainwright (SP, STL) 62% owned

Look at this stat line and decide if it's the kind of pitcher you want on your fantasy squad: 5.90 ERA, 1.42 WHIP, 6.7 K/9. That's actually the line of Josh Tomlin, who is 10% owned. Now, look at Waino's: 5.48 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 8.17 K/9. A few more strikeouts and he's up to nine wins now, but those ratios are killing your team if you drafted him. Reputation and track record have kept Wainwright on many rosters, but the 35-year-old is following up last year's disappointing season with another one. His 4.36 SIERA is just a shade above last year's 4.31 and most of his peripherals are just the same. There have been several occasions lately when it looks like the Wainwright of old is still there, but every other week he comes out with a start that completely devastates his ratios again (and his fantasy owners). Since June began, he's allowed more than five runs on three different occasions, including two starts with nine ER. He can still be streamed, preferably at home where he holds a 3.42 ERA, but he's become just as risky as a rookie pitcher like Dinelson Lamet, who possesses higher upside at this point.

 

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POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaylen Waddle

Questionable for Week 3 Against Buffalo
Joe Burrow

Bengals Not Closing the Door on Joe Burrow Returning This Year
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Play Against Missouri?
Kyle Tucker

Progress has "Plateaued"
Isaac Paredes

has "Outside Chance" to Return This Weekend
CFB

Kaidon Salter Expected To Start for Colorado on Saturday
Willson Contreras

Goes on 10-Day Injured List, Done for Season
Justin Fields

Ruled Out for Week 3 Due to Concussion
Jayden Reed

Out Indefinitely After Foot and Shoulder Surgery
Washington Commanders

Preston Smith Signs With Commanders
Trey Jemison III

Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
Kevin McCullar Jr.

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Knicks
Matt Ryan

Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
New York Knicks

Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
Dominic Canzone

Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
Jayden Reed

Undergoes Clavicle and Foot Surgeries, Out for Foreseeable Future
Bo Bichette

to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Zach Neto

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
CFB

Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Aaron Jones Sr.

Injures Hamstring During Sunday Night Football
Garrett Crochet

Punches Out 12 in Win
Cole Ragans

to Return on Wednesday
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
Carlos Estévez

Carlos Estevez Exits with Back Tightness
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
NHL

Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Corey Perry

Out 6-8 Weeks Following Surgery
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Dealing With a "Tweak"
BUF

Alexandar Georgiev Joins Sabres on One-Year Deal
Corey Perry

Injured During Pre-Camp Skate
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Malcolm Brogdon

Heading to Knicks on One-Year Deal
Landry Shamet

Staying with the Knicks
Adam Lowry

Aims for Early-Season Return

RANKINGS

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RB
WR
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K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP