X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

The Hitters: Five September Surgers to Breakout in 2017

As the 2017 fantasy baseball season draws near, we are forced to look back at the 2016 numbers that were and decode what to buy into and what to ignore. How much should we write off that cold streak due to a potential lingering injury? Will this trade affect Player X in a positive or negative way?

And the question we explore today: How much weight can we give that red-hot performance to close out the season? For our purposes today, the answer will be somewhere in the range of "quite a bit."

While some may seem obvious, there's still plenty of context necessary for those that had such a great closing month. Let's attack the bats first.

Editor's note: Compete for cash prizes on  this week. The top three teams in each league win cash! Choose your game here.

 

Five September Surgers

Byron Buxton - OF, MIN

We try not to touch on obvious, but we can’t write an article like this without Buxton – who blasted nine homers with 24 runs and 22 RBIs from Sept. 1 on. His wild .366 ISO trailed on Justin Upton’s absurd .458 mark out of all hitters, as the top prospect’s power has finally started to become game ready as he grows into his six-foot-two frame. He hit 11 homers in 209 Triple-A plate appearances alongside the 10 homers in 331 MLB PAs. This is not to say that he’ll wallop homers at such a clip in 2017, but this is a guy who has plus tools in all five categories and was finally able to flash that at the MLB level. He is not a finished product by any means, as evidenced by his 33.6% strikeout rate in September, but the loud contact did well to overshadow that. Those of you in points leagues where strikeouts can really weigh on you will ding his potential, but he has the talent to go 20/20 here with counting stats toward the 70s/80s.

Kevin Kiermaier - OF, TB

Kiermaier isn’t a new face as he enters his age-27 season, but he is coming off of a season where he hit 12 homers and went 21-for-24 on swipe attempts in only 414 PAs. While he had a steady season, his September saw him triple slash .296/.384/.490 as he smacked five homers and stole eight bases. The real intrigue here is what that OBP hinted at, as he more than doubled his walk rate from 4.5% in 2015 to 9.7% overall last season, which has made him a candidate to bat leadoff for Tampa Bay in 2017 with Logan Forsythe now shipped off to LA. While one shouldn’t extrapolate his September into all six months of 2017 and project him to hit 30 homers with 40-50 steals, a 20/40 campaign is within reach alongside 90 runs if he bats leadoff. His ADP is creeping up, as it's currently 183.41 (OF40), but he’s still a good bargain.

Brandon Drury - 2B/3B/OF, ARI

Drury opened the season with some flash by hitting four homers each in April and May with respective batting averages of .294 and .283, but then dealt with some injuries and didn’t have an everyday job in a crowded Arizona lineup. He’s now a leading candidate to hold down the keystone position in hitter-friendly Chase Field, largely thanks to a wild September that saw him slash .357/.417/.633 – making him one of 11 hitters to slug over .630 in the month. Now, if the 24-year-old can roll that momentum over into a starting gig in 2017, then September’s 40% hard-hit rate could flourish into a 25-homer campaign rather easily. A 30-homer ceiling isn’t out of the question considering he also smacked 31 doubles last season alongside the 16 homers, especially when viewing his spray chart in the aforementioned Chase Field.

Domingo Santana - OF, MIL

Santana’s 43.7% hard-hit rate checked in as the 10th best in the MLB for the month of September, with the three names surrounding him being David Ortiz, Nolan Arenado and Nelson Cruz. His 27.3% line-drive rate wasn’t so bad either, though it actually was lower than his overall 30.1% mark on the season. While his 32.4% strikeout rate looms large, he actually brought his swinging-strike rate down from 14.5% in 2015 to 12.1%. This doesn’t mean he’s on the fast track to solving his plate discipline issues, but it’s certainly an encouraging sign. Mix in that he gets to swing the lumber in Miller Park – which finished ninth in ESPN’s Park Factors for homers last season – and baby, you’ve got a stew going. With an NFBC ADP of 256.54 (OF62), he should make a low-cost, solid upside pick.

Ryon Healy - 3B, OAK

Healy currently holds an NFBC ADP of 197.73 as the 3B18, but this is a guy who could turn into a top-12 bat at the hot corner position with relative ease compared to some of his mid-tier cohorts. After hitting only .241 in his first 57 PAs in July, he hit .303 in 104 August PAs before turning 122 Sept./Oct. PAs into a .336 average that came out as 12th best in the MLB for the month. What really surprised were the seven homers that came with the average, as this is a guy who had really only offered 12-16 homer pop with his Minor League profile. Instead, we got 13 homers in only 283 MLB PAs last season – spurred on by that hot September. While Oakland Coliseum and his surrounding lineup don’t play up well for creating an offensive juggernaut, Healy could still post an 80/23/80/.310 line for you from deep on the draft board.

Thanks for playing along with us today, and be sure to tune in shortly for our look at five arms that surged in September that you should really be buying stock in!

 

More Potential Breakouts




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Nelson Agholor24 mins ago

Could Be A Trade Candidate
Mitch Trubisky32 mins ago

Will Start Saturday's Preseason Opener
Matt Ryan37 mins ago

To Play First Quarter Of Preseason Opener
Tua Tagovailoa43 mins ago

Unlikely To Play Saturday
Josh Allen48 mins ago

Won't Play In Preseason Opener
Tom Brady53 mins ago

To Miss Some Time For Personal Reasons
Jameson Williams58 mins ago

Will Miss Week 1
James White1 hour ago

Announces His Retirement
Bobby Witt Jr.1 hour ago

Taking A Day Off
Yordan Alvarez2 hours ago

Sitting Against Lefty
J.T. Realmuto2 hours ago

Sitting On Thursday
Chase Edmonds3 hours ago

Poised To Lead Miami Backfield
Tony Pollard3 hours ago

Cowboys Want Tony Pollard More Involved
Mac Jones4 hours ago

Not Expected To Play Thursday
N'Keal Harry4 hours ago

To Have Surgery, Will Miss Eight Weeks
Jared Goff14 hours ago

Amon-Ra St. Brown Is Jared Goff's Go-To Guy
Maverick McNealy15 hours ago

Set For Debut At TPC Southwind
Keith Mitchell15 hours ago

Has Something To Play For At TPC Southwind
Corey Conners15 hours ago

Has Great Value At TPC Southwind
Arizona Cardinals16 hours ago

Deandre Baker Works Out For Cards
Julio Rodríguez16 hours ago

Julio Rodriguez "Feels Good," Expected To Return Friday
Matt Carpenter16 hours ago

Hoping To Return This Season
MLB16 hours ago

Wednesday's Orioles-Blue Jays Game Postponed
Julio Jones16 hours ago

Looks Good At Joint Practice
Damien Harris16 hours ago

Pats Reportedly Taking Calls For Damien Harris
Chris Lacy16 hours ago

Signs With Vegas
Malcolm Brown17 hours ago

Saints Part Ways With Malcolm Brown
Yazmin Jauregui17 hours ago

Set For Big UFC Debut
Denver Broncos17 hours ago

Christopher Allen Done For The Season
Azamat Murzakanov17 hours ago

Can Remain Undefeated
Russell Wilson17 hours ago

Unlikely To Suit Up Versus Dallas
Devin Clark17 hours ago

Hopes To Build Off Of His Last Win
Matt Ryan17 hours ago

Starting On Saturday
Max Homa18 hours ago

Looks To Cap Off A Strong Year
Cameron Young18 hours ago

Looking Forward To The FedEx Cup
Webb Simpson18 hours ago

Hopes To Find Form In Memphis
Bruno Silva18 hours ago

Looking To Rebound On Saturday
Gerald Meerschaert18 hours ago

Looking For A Big Performance Saturday
Michael Brantley18 hours ago

Seeking Second Opinion
Ryan Pepiot18 hours ago

Recalled, Starting On Wednesday
Byron Buxton19 hours ago

To Sit Out On Wednesday
Michael Wacha20 hours ago

Likely To Return This Weekend
Hunter Strickland20 hours ago

Removed From Closer's Role
Trent Forrest20 hours ago

Atlanta Inks Trent Forrest To Two-Way Contract
Lance McCullers Jr.20 hours ago

To Start Against A's Saturday
Jose Alvarado20 hours ago

Faces Crowded Pelicans Backcourt
Norman Powell20 hours ago

Returns To Action In Drew League
Washington Wizards20 hours ago

Makur Maker Inks Exhibit 10 Deal To Join G League
Victor Oladipo21 hours ago

Eyes Bounce-Back Performance In 2022-23
Harold Ramírez22 hours ago

Wander Franco, Harold Ramirez Could Take BP Friday
PGA24 hours ago

Joohyung “Tom” Kim Peaking Heading Into Playoffs
Denny McCarthy24 hours ago

A High-Risk, High-Reward Play This Week
Aaron Wise24 hours ago

Struggling On Approach
Sam Burns1 day ago

Relying On Red Hot Putter
Cameron Smith1 day ago

Continues To LIV On The Edge
Jon Rahm1 day ago

Has Incredible Driving Streak Snapped
PGA1 day ago

Sungjae Im Enters Week With Back-To-Back Second-Place Finishes
Tyrrell Hatton1 day ago

Gaining Strokes Across The Board
Will Zalatoris1 day ago

Making Second Career Start At TPC Southwind
Vaughn Grissom1 day ago

Braves Calling Up Vaughn Grissom
Adam Scott1 day ago

Not An Option At TPC Southwind
Jordan Spieth1 day ago

A Nice Option At TPC Southwind
Billy Horschel1 day ago

Continues His Residency At TPC Southwind
Davis Riley1 day ago

Back On Track Entering FedEx St. Jude
Scott Stallings1 day ago

Playing Very Well Heading Into FedEx St. Jude
Harold Varner1 day ago

III Inconsistent Entering FedEx St. Jude
Nelson Cruz2 days ago

Exits Tuesday With Right Shoulder Soreness
Orlando Arcia2 days ago

Sustains Left Hamstring Strain Tuesday
Gorgui Dieng2 days ago

Spurs Officially Ink Gorgui Dieng To A Contract
Collin Sexton2 days ago

Cavs, Collin Sexton Not Close On New Contract Agreement
Dillon Brooks2 days ago

Expected To Earn Extension Offer
Brandon Ingram2 days ago

Pelicans Could Offer Brandon Ingram In Trade Package
Kevin Durant2 days ago

Training Camp Holdout A Possibility
Anthony Rizzo2 days ago

Remains Out Of The Lineup Tuesday
Mike Trout2 days ago

Begins Hitting Off A Tee
Tim Anderson2 days ago

Will Undergo Surgery
Julio Rodríguez2 days ago

Julio Rodriguez Likely To Return On Friday
Tanner Houck2 days ago

Placed On 15-Day Injured List
Quinn Cook2 days ago

Inks One-Year Deal To Join Kings
Thiago Santos3 days ago

Continues To Struggle
Jamahal Hill3 days ago

Scores Big With TKO Victory
Vicente Luque3 days ago

Stopped By TKO On Saturday
Geoff Neal3 days ago

Scores Big TKO Victory On Saturday
Zac Pauga3 days ago

Unsuccessful In Bid For TUF Heavyweight Crown
MMA3 days ago

Mohammed Usman Earns UFC Contract
Brogan Walker3 days ago

-Sanchez Unsuccessful In Bid For TUF Title
Juliana Miller3 days ago

Crowned TUF Women's Winner Saturday
Augusto Sakai3 days ago

Suffers Fourth Straight Loss Saturday
MMA3 days ago

Sergey Spivak Earns Second-Round TKO Finish
Myles Turner3 days ago

Is In Great Shape
Sacramento Kings3 days ago

Kent Bazemore Signs With Kings
Derrick Rose3 days ago

Knicks Unwilling To Trade Derrick Rose
Udoka Azubuike3 days ago

Likely To Have Increased Role
KJ Martin4 days ago

Kenyon Martin Jr. Being Monitored By Teams
Christian Wood4 days ago

Putting In Offseason Work
Tyler Herro4 days ago

Not A Lock To Stay In Miami
Luka Doncic4 days ago

Focused On Offseason Regimen
Duncan Robinson4 days ago

Could Be Included In Future Deals
Erik Jones4 days ago

Will Start In 10th
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Starts In Ninth
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Starts In Eighth Place
Martin Truex Jr4 days ago

. Starts In Seventh
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Aims For Third Win
Austin Cindric4 days ago

Starts In Fifth Place
Joey Logano4 days ago

Starts In Fourth
Kyle Busch4 days ago

Starts In Third Place
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Starts On The Front Row
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Nabs The Pole
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Could Move Up On Sunday
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Can He Win At Michigan Again?
Ross Chastain4 days ago

In Unfamiliar Position On Sunday
William Byron4 days ago

Might Thrive At Michigan
Cole Custer4 days ago

Might Struggle At Michigan
Kevin Harvick4 days ago

Should Contend At Michigan
Daniel Suarez4 days ago

Hit Or Miss At Michigan
Michael McDowell4 days ago

Can Michael McDowell Do It Again At Michigan?
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Possible Contender At Michigan
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Starts Just Outside The Top Ten Sunday
Indiana Pacers5 days ago

Deividas Sirvydis Signs With The Pacers
Jamahal Hill6 days ago

Rising Star Jamahal Hill Can Move Up The Ranks
Thiago Santos6 days ago

Needs A Big Main-Event Victory
Geoff Neal6 days ago

Hoping To Improve His Ranking
Vicente Luque6 days ago

In Need Of A Victory On Saturday
Mohammed Usman6 days ago

Can Capture TUF 30 Heavyweight Crown
Zac Pauga6 days ago

Has Chance To Win TUF 30 Heavyweight Crown
Kyle Busch2 weeks ago

Starts In 10th Place Sunday
ANA2 weeks ago

John Klingberg Signs One-Year Deal With Ducks
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 

Fantasy Baseball Trade Targets - Buy/Sell For Week 18

Making the right trades can be crucial to championship success in fantasy baseball, almost as much as the draft, if not more. While most trades can have a significant impact on your fantasy team, it’s the deals where you acquire undervalued players and then see their production improve that can really tip the scales in... Read More


Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/11/22)

Folks, can I just say what a pleasure it was to take in this recent Yankees-Mariners series? I mean, if that didn't feel like postseason baseball, what does? Don't be surprised if we see those two teams match up again in October. Welcome back, RotoBallers! In this article, I'll be providing my MLB favorite betting... Read More


Darick Hall fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers waiver wire pickups

Breakout Hitters for Fantasy Baseball - MLB Batters Rising for Week 18

Welcome back to another edition of my "Breakout Hitters To Watch" series. What we're doing here is taking a good, close look at the hitting data each week to see which hitters are standing out the most. At times this year, I have gone away from the "breakout" term to just highlight hitters that have... Read More


Thunder Dan's MLB Betting Picks for August 11: Pitcher Props, Totals, Money Line Bets

A short slate of games won't stop us from wagering on them! Whether you like game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you and try to cover a little bit of everything! Last month, I started my own free sports betting newsletter, and the good people here at RotoBaller are... Read More


yordan alvarez fantasy baseball rankings draft sleeper MLB injury news dfs lineup picks

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (8/11/22): MLB DFS Lineups

Happy Thursday, RotoBallers! This is John Brubaker dropping some of my favorite plays for today's slate. After a few weeks of relatively normal Thursday slates, we're hit with a six-game matinee slate this afternoon. Not only that, pitching is extremely top-heavy, with guys like Dylan Cease, Framber Valdez, and Merill Kelly taking the ball for... Read More


MLB injuries fantasy baseball injury news updates stock

Daily MLB Injury Roundup for August 11th, 2022

RotoBaller has assembled a list of daily MLB injury updates to help you prepare both your seasonal and daily fantasy baseball (DFS) lineups, every day of the MLB season. Below is our updated list of injured MLB players for August 11th, 2022. Only players on teams that are scheduled to play today will appear below... Read More


Devin Williams - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Relief Pitchers, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News Updates

MLB Closers and Saves: Fantasy Baseball Depth Charts

Saves are an important component for many fantasy baseball leagues. Closers are one of the most volatile positions in fantasy baseball, and one of the highest turnover positions in MLB. Each year, closers drop like flies and many MLB teams make in-season changes due to injuries or poor performance. In addition to closers and saves, relief... Read More


sandy alcantara fantasy baseball rankings starting pitchers draft sleepers

Starts & Sits for MLB Week 18 - All Starting Pitcher Matchups for Fantasy Baseball

Welcome back RotoBallers! We are just a few days in after the All Star break, and we'll have a loaded week of games coming up. As always, we are here with our starting pitcher starts and sits series to help you set those winning lineups for the week ahead! For those who are not familiar,... Read More


Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (8/10/22)

It is Wednesday, August 10th, 2022, and we are back with another set of MLB picks for this nine-game slate starting at 7:05 pm Eastern time. This article will be focused on sides and totals. I am a huge baseball fan and baseball has been my bread and butter for the last couple of decades.... Read More


Ryan Pepiot - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Prospects, Draft Sleepers

Updated MLB Prospects Rankings - Top 25 Fantasy Baseball Prospects (Week 18)

The trade deadline has passed, which has made implications in the prospects rankings list this week. Some prospects got moved, creating a new paradigm for them. Some veterans I was thinking would get moved to open up a spot for a prospect to come up did not get moved. Check out all of the happenings... Read More


max scherzer fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers mlb injury news

Updated MLB Starting Pitcher Rankings for Fantasy Baseball: The Top-101 Baller Ranks

The middle of August signals a turn into the fantasy season's stretch run! Are you and your rotation ready? Last week, we looked at arms who moved at the deadline, and this week, we'll turn back to some fun leaderboards (with stats since July 1st) going into Tuesday. Let's get to it with the latest... Read More


paul goldschmidt fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

DraftKings, FanDuel Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks (8/10/22): Today's Top MLB DFS Lineups

Welcome back to another edition of the FREE DraftKings and FanDuel MLB DFS picks. As customary, we have an all-day ledger on tap Wednesday, and although DraftKings does not have a full-day slate, FanDuel does. Consequently, today's article will feature picks on both sites for games throughout the day, as even on DK, the suggestions... Read More


Thunder Dan's MLB Betting Picks for August 10: Pitcher Props, Totals, Money Line Bets

Austin Riley Day was a big success and yesterday's bets went 7-2 overall, so I hope you cashed in and made some loot. Whether you like game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you and try to cover a little bit of everything! Last month, I started my own free... Read More