Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Dominick Petrillo's 2019 Blind Dart Throws


I have never been a huge fan of spicy food. So, instead of spicy takes, I am going to compare my bold predictions to throwing blindly at a dartboard and hoping for a few bullseyes. It seems like an appropriate analogy anyway. Anyone standing nearby better watch out!

Don’t get me wrong, these will still be spicy. Anyone can predict something which will never happen just to make headlines. That is not me. If it is in this article, it is something I feel could actually happen. Don’t look for anything crazy like Benny Snell leading the NFL in rushing. Or Andrew Luck to suddenly retire. Oh wait...

With the parameters set, let us now take a look at some dart throws which will hopefully hit the mark in 2019.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

Justice Hill will lead the Ravens in rushing

If you have interacted with me on Twitter or listened to my podcast, you know I love Justice Hill this coming season. Not only is he the best back in Baltimore, but he is also a three-down back who could be a poor man’s Alvin Kamara. This bodes well for Mark Ingram, who has never excelled as a lead back even in the potent Saints offense. He will be able to continue in his thunder role as a complement to the lightning which will be Hill.

Although he only played in 10 games for Oklahoma State last season, Hill had 13 touchdowns. This came after a sophomore season in which he had 17 scores. He is a talented runner who, as a true freshman, beat out incumbent Chris Carson for the job in Stillwater. How is Chris Carson doing in Seattle? He is pretty good right?

Look for Justice Hill to take over the backfield by mid-season and lead fantasy teams to a championship.

 

Noah Fant will finish as a top-10 tight end

Another thing I have been saying all offseason is that Noah Fant is going to eat this season. I know rookie tight ends don’t usually pan out for the best. So yes, this is a bit of a shot for sure. But most rookie tight ends also don’t have TE-loving Joe Flacco flinging them the ball.

There has been a solid rookie tight end for fantasy purposes each of the last two seasons. First, Evan Engram with the injury to Odell Beckham in 2017. Last season it was Mark Andrews with the Ravens. This season it will be Fant. Like Engram, Fant can not block worth a lick. And also like Engram, he is an athletic machine who is more of a big receiver and less of a traditional tight end.

T.J. Hockenson may very well have the better career. But his downfall is his all-around athletic ability. He will be kept in to block on run plays as well as on all-out blitzes. This means at least for 2019 he isn’t the one to own for fantasy.

As for Noah Fant. He is on an offense which is going to struggle if the line does not improve. Even if it does improve, Flacco has taken less talented tight ends and made them fantasy viable. It will be fun to see what he can do with the most athletic player he has ever had at the position.

 

Julio Jones will get to 2,000 receiving yards. Amari Cooper? Not so much.

That's right, Julio Jones will be the first wide receiver in history to get to 2,000 yards in a single season. Julio Jones is consistently over 1,500 yards and in 2018 had 1,677. This season he will take the step and become the first 2,000-yard receiver ever.

Some people project Cooper to take a leap forward in his first full season in Big D. The truth is, Atlanta's offense is much better than that of the Cowboys. Not to mention he has a true passer as a quarterback in Matt Ryan. Sure, Dak Prescott is a solid player. But there is a difference in a player and a thrower. Prescott will be a 3,500-yard passer whereas Matt Ryan consistently goes over 4,000.

 

David Montgomery will lead the NFL in rushing

If you look at recent rushing leaders, there is a trend. In two of the last three seasons it has been a rookie. Ezekiel Elliott in 2016 and Kareem Hunt in 2017. The other trend is they normally come from the NFC. Even looking at the top consensus running backs, the top five are all from the NFC, if you include Elliott.

These factors all bode well for Montgomery, who is going to be on a talented Bears team who will want to rely on their defense to win. This will mean a lot of running the ball. Who else is going to do it? Tarik Cohen?

Jordan Howard had 250 carries for Chicago last season. He finished as a top-20 fantasy back in PPR leagues despite not being involved in the passing game. Those carries, or at least 85% of them are going to Montgomery, who also has pass-catching chops. This will allow him to stay on the field no matter the situation and allow him to compile stats. Not only should he win the offensive rookie of the year, but with the award, the rushing title as well.

Good luck with all of your teams and may you avoid injuries or misfortune!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




More Recent Articles

 

Waiver Wire Express - Week 15 Lightning Round

An injury-laden Week 14 decided many matchups, with several big names going down in a Red Wedding-esque affair. Not only was Josh Jacobs was a late inactive, but Jared Cook, Devante Parker, Albert Wilson all left with concussions, Mike Evans pulled up with a hamstring injury, Calvin Ridley and Ryan Griffin hurt their ankles, Derrius... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 14 Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Jared Cook has been ruled out of the game after... Read More


Week 14 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 14... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More


Updated Week 14 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 14 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 14 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Jacobs (shoulder) has officially been ruled out. Will Fuller (hamstring) is expected to miss Week 14. Adam Thielen (hamstring) has officially been ruled out. Le'Veon Bell... Read More


Fantasy Football Mailbag - Q&A for Week 14

This article's content may vary week-to-week, but generally, it will be answering questions fielded from either the @RotoBallerNFL twitter account or my personal one (@RotoSurgeon). This week, the focus is on start/sit questions, and there were plenty. Every week, many of us struggle with which quarterback to start, or who to flex, and I am... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 14

Welcome to our Week 14 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Monday Night Fantasy Football Starts/Sits - Week 14

Finally, we had a good fantasy matchup last week. And now, as punishment, we get this. The Eagles against the Giants is a good rivalry game. But for fantasy? Not so much. Even key players Saquon Barkley and Carson Wentz have been severely disappointing in 2019. The game is not going to be something to... Read More


Wide Receiver Matchups To Target In Week 14

In Week 13, Davante Adams and Tyreek Hill were the high-end options that had great matchups. Adams had a huge two-touchdown game while Hill only came up with 55 scoreless yards, falling victim to game flow as the Chiefs led from start to finish, scoring a defensive touchdown in the process. Several of the wide receivers... Read More


Week 14 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Week 14-16 Playoff Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

The playoffs are here, and that means we're going to do things a little differently. I want to take a look at the playoffs as a whole (and in this case we are considering Weeks 14-16) and determine which DSTs you can ride all the way through and which ones you should stream this week.... Read More


Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 14

Welcome to Week 14, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football playoffs. These player selections are based on my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More


NFL Survivor Pool Picks (Week 14) - Targets and Avoids

If there were a dozen people left in a survivor pool this past week, odds are those pools are down to just several. The upsets began Thursday when the Bills beat the Cowboys, and continued Sunday when the Dolphins and Redskins won as 10-point underdogs. If you're somehow still alive in your pool with just... Read More


Week 14 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that the playoffs are beginning in most leagues and the final march for a championship has begun, streaming becomes a  necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions could easily be the difference in winning a championship.... Read More


Fantasy Football Playoff RB Handcuffs: Add Them Now!

The fantasy football postseason has begun, so it’s time to re-evaluate your depth, especially at running back. With only three weeks left on most fantasy scoreboards and each matchup possibly being your last, there is no more time for stashing players for potential contributions later. You also cannot waste roster space on guys who will... Read More


Fleaflicker's Most Added and Dropped: Week 14

Week 13 just served to remind us all that anything can happen in the National Football League and that you can't ever look past the New York Jets when you're trying to lose. The Cincinnati Bengals learned that lesson on Sunday, beating the Jets handily in a game that wasn't even as close as the... Read More