👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2018 Dynasty Baseball Strategy - The Home Run Elephant in the Room

We've all heard about the home runs. A total of 6,105 balls left the yard in 2017 - or avoided outfielders sufficiently for an inside-the-park home run. The previous record of 5,693 home runs was set in 2000 during the peak of the steroid era. This time, juiced balls and mechanical changes seem to be driving the spike. Hitters have also adjusted to the league-wide increase in fastball velocity.

What does this mean for fantasy and dynasty owners? When once we talked about a 15-homer guy with decent accompanying stats - think Josh Reddick - as a core performer, we're now forced to seek more power. Anything less than 20 home runs per active roster spot isn't competitive.

In fact, I took a peek under the hood in four of my leagues and found the following: competitive teams averaged 24 home runs per active slot. A couple of those were two-catcher formats and one was a deep 20-team dynasty. To roster Reddick's 13 home runs and healthy .314 batting average, you need to offset him with a 33-HR slugger. Can we go about doing this as easily as it sounds?

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

Prioritizing Power

Luckily it's never been easier to find affordable power. In all but the deepest dynasties, players like Justin Smoak, Logan Morrison, Scott Schebler, Lucas Duda, and Mark Reynolds were free or nearly free. The list goes on if you relax the constraints to "cheap to acquire." In shallower leagues, Aaron Judge, Joey Gallo, and Cody Bellinger supplied 39 or more home runs at a modest cost. More likely than not, new surprises will emerge in 2018. Even Scooter friggin' Gennett hit 27 home runs in only 497 plate appearances.

The power influx, especially from unanticipated sources, has major strategic implications for dynasty owners. It's more important than ever to churn the waiver wire. Even in my deepest league where we roster 900 players, prospects, and amateurs overall, guys like Tommy Pham, Paul DeJong, and Chris Taylor spent time on waivers. Finding these players will not only increase your competitive advantage in 2018, you can often convert them into long term assets. Whether your contending or rebuilding, plan to scour your free and cheap options.

A total of 117 players hit at least 20 home runs with another 70 or so showing the potential to reach that threshold. That's not including prospects set to graduate to the majors. Some of those players will fall under the 20-homer plateau. Others will exceed it. If I had to bet, I'd put money on more than 117 players reaching 20 home runs this coming season. If the World Series is any indication, the rate of balls leaving the yard won't slow down any time soon.

Since power is plentiful, it's never been harder to win the category. In the recent past, an owner could draft Giancarlo Stanton and Nelson Cruz in the early rounds then focus on other categories. While a Stanton and Cruz pair will help you to post a healthy homer total, they're now only a moderate disabled list stint away from looking an awful lot like a waiver wire guy. The real danger is with no-power hitters like DJ LeMahieu or Joe Mauer. You may find yourself tempted by their over-.300 batting average, but it's difficult to overcome a roster spot supplying under 10 home runs. This is less of an issue with counting stats like stolen bases, although it is still an important consideration.

Ultimately, the key to victory is vigilance. That was true before the home run spike, and it's especially true now. Make sure you're getting home runs from all of your roster spots. Try to upgrade those that project to supply 15 or fewer. If you happen to be using a no-power option like Billy Hamilton to stay competitive in another category, make sure you can offset the pain with a Khris Davis type. Even if you're rebuilding, make sure you stick your hand in the waiver wire lottery. You never know when you'll find a free core performer. They'll be out there.

 

More 2018 Dynasty Baseball Strategy

 

2018 Draft Kit and Premium Pass

When you join early and purchase our Premium Pass for the entire MLB season, you get 50% off. Dominate your leagues all year long with our preseason, in-season, and DFS Premium Tools.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Rayan Rupert

Signing 10-Day Contract with Grizzlies
Killian Hayes

Set for 10-Day Stint With Kings
Cason Wallace

Posts Career-High 10 Assists in Win
Santi Aldama

Sidelined Again Monday
Jaxson Hayes

Leaves Game After First-Quarter Injury
Deni Avdija

Leaves Game After Back Flare-Up
Payton Tolle

Allows One Run in Spring Training Debut
Jalen Smith

Exits Early In Loss to Knicks
Jacob Melton

Showcasing Power in Spring Training
Justin Crawford

Knocks Two Hits in Spring Debut
Moisés Ballesteros

Moises Ballesteros Officially Reports to Camp
Parker Messick

Enters Spring Training in Competition for Rotation Spot
Robby Snelling

Begins Spring Training with Perfect Inning
Kyle Anderson

Likely Out Monday
Cedric Coward

Remains Out Vs. Kings
Kawhi Leonard

Cleared to Play Sunday
Jalen Suggs

Misses Second Straight Game
Shohei Ohtani

Throws Live Batting Practice on Sunday
Patrick Williams

Available Against Knicks
Rhys Hoskins

Guardians Sign Rhys Hoskins to Minor-League Deal
Deni Avdija

Good to Go Against Suns
Tre Jones

Josh Giddey, Tre Jones Facing Minute Caps Sunday
Jack Brannigan

Exits After Getting Hit in the Face
Nick Richards

Active Sunday Against Knicks
Dairon Blanco

Being Evaluated for Head Injury
Grayson Allen

Jalen Green Active, Grayson Allen Sidelined Sunday
Aidan Miller

is Dealing with Back Soreness
Keyonte George

Faces Game-Time Decision Monday
Naz Reid

Out, Joan Beringer to Start Vs. 76ers
Lauri Markkanen

Probable to Return Monday
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Out Monday Against Rockets
Jamal Murray

Good to Go on Sunday
Brandon Lowe

Could Be Poised for Banner Year in Pittsburgh
TJ Friedl

Can TJ Friedl See a Speed Resurgence in 2026?
Bryson Stott

Remains a High-Floor, Low-Ceiling Second Base Option
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Set to Return to the Leadoff Spot in 2026
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Will Bat Leadoff in 2026
Joey Logano

Will Be Popular DFS Pick at EchoPark Speedway
Tyler Reddick

on Pole After Qualifying Rained Out at EchoPark Speedway
Chase Elliott

Could Chase Elliott Be Worth Rostering At EchoPark Speedway?
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
Christopher Morel

is Getting Comfortable at First Base
Taylor Walls

is Making Spring Debut on Sunday
Lenyn Sosa

Likely Headed Towards Bench Role
Joe Ryan

is Dealing with Back Inflammation
William Byron

Is William Byron Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
Jordan Westburg

has Uncertain Timetable to Return
Rondale Moore

Passes Away
Denny Hamlin

Is Worth Consideration for EchoPark Speedway DFS Lineups
Brad Keselowski

Is A Tournament Option for DFS At EchoPark Speedway
NASCAR

Is Bubba Wallace Rosterable In DFS At EchoPark Speedway?
Austin Cindric

Should DFS Managers Roster Austin Cindric at EchoPark Speedway?
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain A Sneaky DFS Option for EchoPark Speedway?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
Alex Bowman

Will Start Towards the Rear At EchoPark Speedway
Javonte Williams

Cowboys Sign Javonte Williams to Three-Year, $24 Million Extension
Joel Armia

Wraps Up Olympics With Three-Point Performance
Daniil Tarasov

Available for Panthers
Evan Rodrigues

Set to Return Next Week
Aaron Ekblad

Expected to Play Thursday
Pavel Zacha

Cleared for Action
VAN

Jonathan Lekkerimaki Needs Season-Ending Shoulder Surgery
Mikko Rantanen

Misses Bronze-Medal Game With Lower-Body Injury
Blake Coleman

Activated From Injured Reserve
Matt Rempe

Heading to Injured Reserve After Second Thumb Procedure
Sidney Crosby

a Game-Time Call for Olympic Final
Josh Morrissey

Won't Play Sunday
Filip Chytil

Out Indefinitely With Facial Fracture
Connor McDavid

Makes History With Another Multi-Point Outing
Tage Thompson

Expected to Play in Olympic Final
Travis Etienne Jr.

has "Legitimate Interest" in Joining Chiefs
Zach Charbonnet

Undergoes Knee Surgery on Friday
CFB

Curt Cignetti Agrees to New Deal With Indiana, Will Earn $13.2 Million Per Year
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Returns to Practice
Josh Morrissey

Remains Out Against Finland
Sidney Crosby

Won't Play Friday
Anthony Hernandez

Set For UFC Houston Main Event
Sean Strickland

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Uros Medic

Set For UFC Houston Co-Main Event
Geoff Neal

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Melquizael Costa

A Favorite At UFC Houston
Dan Ige

An Underdog At UFC Houston
Logan Cooley

Sheds Non-Contact Jersey
Maxwell Crozier

to Miss 10 Weeks After Surgery
Kirill Marchenko

Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
Petr Mrazek

Undergoes Season-Ending Surgery
Rashee Rice

Accused of Assault by Long-Time Girlfriend
Ben Griffin

Looking to Return to Top Form at Riviera
Keegan Bradley

Looking to Build Momentum at Riviera
J.J. Spaun

Putting a Major Concern at Riviera
Sepp Straka

May Have Tough Time at The Genesis Invitational
Shane Lowry

Trending Up Entering the Genesis Invitational
Justin Rose

Off Most Radars at The Genesis Invitational
Robert MacIntyre

a Long Hitter to Watch at Riviera Country Club
Jake Knapp

Red-Hot Heading to Riviera
Min Woo Lee

Attempts to Build Momentum After Pebble Beach
Harry Hall

an Unknown for The Genesis Invitational
Matt Fitzpatrick

Has Favorable Path to Success at Riviera This Week
Wyndham Clark

Not Likely to Contend at Genesis Invitational
Ludvig Aberg

Might Find the Genesis Invitational More Challenging
Harris English

Carries Strong Form to Riviera
Patrick Cantlay

Eyes Another Strong Week at The Genesis Invitational
Daniel Berger

Needs Short Game to Show Up at Riviera
Sam Burns

Hopes Return to Form Continues at Riviera
Collin Morikawa

Riding Wave of Victory Into Riviera
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Have Repeat Success at The Genesis Invitational
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Find Paydirt at Riviera
Xander Schauffele

Rounding into Form Before Genesis Invitational
Mike Evans

Will Return in 2026
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF