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Week 15 Dynasty Matchup Preview

Dynasty owners don’t play week to week, they play long term. However, dynasty owners still need to analyze different aspects of weekly matchups to determine the best time to sell or buy a player.

Make sure you don’t buy that hot rookie too soon and don’t sell the aging veteran too late. Each week, I will analyze different matchups across fantasy football with a dynasty frame of mind.

Let's take some time to see what matchups might pique the interest of dynasty league owners for Week 14 of the 2017 season. Here are some Week 15 matchup previews for dynasty league owners to monitor.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Patriots at Steelers

Rex Burkhead vs Dion Lewis vs James White vs Mike Gillislee

For the second straight week, I preview a matchup between several teammates at the same positon. The running back positon can be a frustrating thing to analyze sometimes, especially if the team has more than one player they like to utilize. So if I told you a player had four touchdowns and 114 yards in the first two weeks of the season, you would assume they would still be playing, right? Well, when you are the New England Patriots, things can change from week to week. Mike Gillislee was one of the hottest additions this offseason after averaging 5.7 yards per carry in Buffalo last year. A part time role with Buffalo, spelling LeSean McCoy, led to 577 yards and eight touchdowns. It was short lived though as Gillislee hasn’t seen a snap since Week 8.

My pick to be the most impactful back for the Patriots this season was James White, who was the benefactor during the middle portion of the season. White was most impactful during Weeks 4-8, totaling 31 receptions for 239 yards and a touchdown. White had never been mistaken for a traditional smash mouth back. He lives off receptions and after an epic Super Bowl performance, I thought his breakout season was right around the corner. Unfortunately, it appears White was only a placeholder until Dion Lewis was healthy. In fact, when you look at the snap counts, you can see a well-executed Bill Belichick plan that left us guessing as usual.

Player 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James White 43 30 32 43 35 29 23 20 bye 11 17 18 28 35
Dion Lewis 6 14 12 14 18 29 26 30 bye 21 26 28 26 18
Rex Burkhead 10 8 0 0 0 0 13 27 bye 36 19 28 22 17
Mike Gillislee 24 30 21 18 24 13 13 13 bye 0 0 0 0 0

The one outlier was last week against the Dolphins when New England was trying to play catchup for a majority of the second half. Now though, Rex Burkhead and Dion Lewis run the backfield and they have done a great job as a one two punch the last few weeks. Both have worked their way into at least flex play consideration the rest of the season, especially in PPR leagues. Lewis has become an all-around threat again. After dealing with injuries the last couple of years, Lewis is back to being healthy and looks like it. Since Week 6, when Lewis saw his snap count jump, he has 98 carries for 508 yards, good for 5.18 yards per carry. He’s made an impact in the return game as well. Having a healthy Lewis is exactly what the Patriots need and want for the playoffs.

Burkhead found little success early on but has exploded recently due to his ability to find the end zone. Burkhead has five touchdowns in the last three weeks. Burkhead has scored three times on six attempts inside the five yard line this year. When they get down to the goal line, Burkhead is the guy who gets the ball. The thing I am most surprised about, is Burkheads contributions in the passing game. Since Week 10, he has 24 receptions for 189 yards, really becoming a total back for the Patriots. The reason for this week’s matchup analysis though, is because it may be one of the best games we seen in 2017.

After the Patriots surprising loss to the Dolphins last week, the Steelers sit alone in the race for home field advantage. Are the Steelers peaking at the wrong time? You could make a case they are the hottest team in football right now, especially on offense. The Pittsburg defense is having issues with health right now, but momentum is carrying this team. The key to beating the Patriots this weekend will be their ability to stop the passing game to running backs.

Patriots running backs have totaled 807 receiving yards on 103 receptions this year, good for 7.83 yards per reception. New England running backs also average 7.92 receptions per game and have seven receiving TDs this season. The Steelers have done a good job of stopping running backs who excel in the passing game. In three games this year, the Steelers were able to hold Dalvin Cook, Duke Johnson and Gio Bernard to five receptions for 20 yards and no touchdowns. The numbers against the Steelers are inflated because they take away the run game so early from opponents and force opposing teams to pass the ball more often. Pittsburg has faced 311 rushing attempts this season, fourth fewest in the NFL.

The Steelers have given up 612 receiving yards to running backs all season while they average 8.74 yards per reception. But even with the receiving yards, they have only given up two receiving touchdowns to running backs. This is an important week for fantasy owners who are still setting a lineup and some of them who have made it to this point, probably have had either Lewis or Burkhead in their lineup at some point. If you are expecting more from these two, I only foresee one having a big week.

What to Watch For

This is going to be one heck of a shootout. These two teams are likely to put up a lot of points this weekend. In fact, the over/under is set at 54.5 right now, so expect there to be some fantasy stars in this one. The star from the Patriots backfield this week will be Burkhead. They will want someone in the backfield that can run the ball or catch it out of the backfield. The Patriots will try to even out the backfield snaps as usual, but game flow and scoring will lead to Burkhead being the top running back for the Patriots this week. As for dynasty owners, the one guy you will want to target this offseason is Burkhead. Lewis is an unrestricted free agent after the season and while Gillislee and White will be around for another season, it has become apparent the Patriots feel Burkhead can handle a large load. Burkhead will show that skillset in this game as the Patriots will need to put up points in order to win. Outside of Rob Gronkowski, I expect Burkhead will have the highest fantasy total in PPR leagues for the Patriots this year.

 

More 2017 Dynasty League Strategy




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
New York Giants

Giants Offense to be a Run-First Unit?
Joshua Palmer

Working Out on the Side at OTAs
Maxx Crosby

Raiders "Counting" on Maxx Crosby Being Ready for Training Camp
Kirk Cousins

the First Up in OTA Practice on Wednesday
Chicago Bulls

Jerry Stackhouse Emerges as Bulls Head-Coach Candidate
Cooper Flagg

Kon Knueppel Headline All-Rookie Team
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 2 on Wednesday
Jiri Kulich

Aims to Return Next Season
Jeremy Lauzon

Not Expected to Play Wednesday
Brock Bowers

Klint Kubiak Calls Brock Bowers a "Football Robot From Heaven"
Mark Stone

Likely to Remain Out Wednesday
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Western Conference Finals for Avalanche
Sam Malinski

Set to Return Wednesday
Artturi Lehkonen

Expected to Play Wednesday Night
Cale Makar

Will Miss Game 1 Against Golden Knights
Malachi Fields

Appears Well-Positioned for Rookie Year Breakout in New York
Aaron Rodgers

Plans to Retire Following 2026 Season
Anthony Richardson Sr.

Is Anthony Richardson Sr. Worth Buying Low on in Deeper Dynasty Formats?
DJ Giddens

Does DJ Giddens Carry Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal into 2026?
AJ Barner

Enters 2026 as a Dynasty Sell-High Candidate
Josh Jacobs

Is Josh Jacobs at the Peak of His Dynasty Value?
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
CFB

Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
CFB

Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
CFB

Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Wilson

Cardinals Interested in Inking Michael Wilson to a Long-Term Extension
Kyle Williams

Bulks Up, Ready to Make Year 2 Leap
Deshaun Watson

the First QB Up During OTA Drills on Wednesday
Quinshon Judkins

Taking Part in 11-on-11 Drills
Xavier Legette

Fighting for His Future in Carolina?
Brian Thomas Jr.

Jaguars Not Expected to Trade Brian Thomas Jr.
Rashod Bateman

Future in Baltimore is Bleak
Mark Andrews

Poised to Bounce Back in 2026?
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Is Tyrone Tracy Jr. a Sneaky Dynasty Buy?
Chimere Dike

Dynasty Managers Compelled to Hold Chimere Dike?
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
James Harden

Struggles in Eastern Conference Finals Opener
Evan Mobley

Bags Second Consecutive Double-Double
Donovan Mitchell

Produces Top Two-Way Performance in Game 1 Loss
OG Anunoby

Plays Key Role in Comeback Win
Mikal Bridges

Remains Efficient in Game 1 Against Cavaliers
Karl-Anthony Towns

Extends Double-Double Streak to Four Games
Jalen Brunson

Leads Knicks to Historic Comeback Win
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Dean Wade

Returns to Starting Unit Tuesday
OG Anunoby

Starting on Tuesday
Tobias Harris

May Remain in Motown
Jalen Duren

Pistons Eager to Keep Jalen Duren
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Dallas Mavericks

Jason Kidd Fired as Mavericks Head Coach
De'Aaron Fox

Officially Listed as Questionable for Game 2 Against Thunder
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
Alex Caruso

Erupts for 31 Points in Game 1 Loss to Spurs
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
Jalen Williams

Productive in Comeback Game
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Records First Double-Double of Postseason
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Stephon Castle

Opens Conference Finals With Double-Double
Dylan Harper

Makes Outstanding Two-Way Impact in Game 1 Win
Mattias Samuelsson

Picks Up an Assist in Season-Ending Loss
Rasmus Dahlin

Nets Fourth Postseason Goal
Jakub Dobes

Records 37 Saves in Game 7 Win
Lane Hutson

Contributes Power-Play Assist in Game 7 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Extends Road Point Streak
Alex Newhook

Scores Series-Clincher in Overtime
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Set to Start Game 7
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Tage Thompson

Can Match Franchise Record With Another Multi-Point Game
Nick Suzuki

Seeks More Road Success Monday
Lane Hutson

Riding a Five-Game Assist Streak Into Game 7
Filip Gustavsson

Needs Offseason Surgery
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Quinn Hughes

Open to Signing Extension This Offseason
Joel Eriksson Ek

Misses Second Round Due to Heel Injury
Jonas Brodin

Sits Out Round 2 Due to Toe Injury
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
Clay Holmes

Suffers Fractured Fibula on Friday Night
CFB

Julian Sayin Looking To Build Off Of Strong Debut Season
CFB

College GameDay Set for First Three Weeks
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Aiming For Ohio State Receiving Records
CFB

Keshaun Singleton Projects as Auburn's WR1
CFB

Jeremiah Cobb Impresses New Auburn Staff
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Very Likely to Start for Georgia Tech
CFB

Charles Woodson Jr. Commits to Michigan
Melquizael Costa

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Main Event
Arnold Allen

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 117
Daniel Santos

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Co-Main Event
MMA

Dohoo Choi Returns At UFC Vegas 117
Juan Diaz

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Malcolm Wellmaker

Looks To Bounce Back
Christian Edwards

Set For His UFC Debut
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
RANKINGS
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