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Red-Zone Risers and Fallers - Setting Your Playoff Lineups

Potential Week 15 fantasy football sleepers and busts. RotoBaller's red zone tool identifies player TD scoring potential based on touches and opportunity.

Playoff time is finally here and finding players with scoring potential is more crucial than ever. Let's evaluate the all-important red zone stats to find great values at the skill positions. Just like targets are the lifeblood of a receiver's value in PPR leagues, red zone touches are the most relevant factor to consider for standard leagues.

In this article each week, we'll identify red zone risers and fallers who could see their fantasy value impacted by usage in the most critical area of the field. RotoBaller's Red Zone Sleepers tool is a great way to get an edge on the competition by identifying players with greater scoring opportunities.

Let's take a look at which players could be touchdown risers or fallers in fantasy football for Week 15 of the 2017 NFL season, based on red zone opportunities.

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Red Zone Risers

 

RUNNING BACK

Jonathan Stewart (RB, CAR) - 25.2% Red-zone touch%

Lets talk about Jonathan Stewart here for a moment, because this is important. Stewart has been better than a solid choice the past four weeks. He has scored five touchdowns in that span and has averaged 16 fantasy football points as well. He is climbing up the red-zone touch chart and is clearly the number one running back over fellow rookie teammate Christian McCaffrey. Stewart gets most of the hand-offs and dominates McCaffrey in red-zone touches, specifically inside the five-yard line. If you have Stewart on your team, you would be a fool not to at least put him in your flex spot against a not-so-great Green Bay defense in Week 15 in a semi-final matchup.

WIDE RECEIVER

Marquise Goodwin (WR, SF) - 14.5% Red-zone touch%

Marquise Goodwin has been rising up the red-zone touch chart and is one of the most picked-up WR on the waiver wire the past few weeks. Goodwin, who is a fifth-year player in the NFL, is on pace to finish with more receptions this year than his previous four seasons with the Buffalo Bills. He has averaged almost 13 fantasy football points in the past five weeks in half-PPR formats and is noticeably becoming new coming quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo's favorite target. The only issue is he has no red-zone touchdowns as of yet. He is long overdue and should be started in your flex in Week 15 at home against the Tennessee Titans.

TIGHT END

Julius Thomas (TE, MIA) - 14.7% Red-zone touch%

Yes, this is the same Julius Thomas who lit it up in Denver a few years back with Peyton Manning. No, he isn't quite doing the "light-up" thing with the Dolphins, but his red-zone numbers lately have been way better. He is currently fourth among all tight ends in red-zone percentage and has three red-zone touchdowns. If you are looking for a tight end to pick up and play, he would probably be a good candidate. He can maybe grab you that red-zone touchdown and put you over the top in your matchup. DISCLAIMER: If no touchdown occurs, numbers will be less than stellar.

 

Red Zone Fallers

RUNNING BACK

Dion Lewis  (RB, NE) - 12.5% Red-zone touch%

There are a lot of mouths to feed up in New England as far as running backs are concerned. Dion Lewis is one of them. It's really hard to trust any of the running backs (Rex Burkhead, James White) on this team as they all have a very similar red-zone touch percentage. The saving grace for Lewis is his ability to catch passes. He has been sharing the running back load with Burkhead as of late and will still probably serve as a decent flex position in a pivotal matchup this week against the Steelers.

WIDE RECEIVER

Stefon Diggs (WR, MIN) - 7.3% Red-zone touch%

Where have you gone Stefon Diggs? What looked to be a very promising fantasy football season in the first bunch of weeks actually has scaled the opposite way, and he has clearly relinquished the number one WR slot to teammate Adam Thielen. Diggs, over the past four weeks has totaled only 7.4 fantasy football points and has scored zero touchdowns. His red-zone touch percentage is clearly declining. This is enough information to keep him on your bench and look for greener pastures, brighter lights, or any other cliche metaphor you can fit in here.

TIGHT END

Zach Ertz (TE, PHI) - 8.7% Red-zone touch%

Zach Ertz?! What? How? When? C'mon! I said the same thing before even writing up this blurb here. Ertz has been a top-three fantasy football tight end all season. A must start. Interestingly enough, he only has 12 red-zone touches out of the Eagles 138 plays. He makes the most out of these touches with seven touchdowns. However, MVP candidate and trusted dominating quarterback Carson Wentz is out for the year with an ACL tear and Nick Foles will be at the helm. It's actually a tougher decision than I thought it would be, but if you have a decent option as a backup, it might not be terrible idea to take a look a little more closely at who you are starting this week in a vital playoff matchup.

 

Red Zone Sleepers Tool

RotoBaller's Premium tools offer more detailed insight to player values and help you identify which players to target on the waiver wire and/or trade market. Start with a free one-week trial, including NFL Optimizer and DFS Premium and get an advantage on the competition!

 

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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Chris Boucher

Active Thursday vs. Kings
Jalen Duren

Won't Return Thursday After Ankle Injury
Ryan Kalkbrenner

Ruled Out Again Friday
Josh Hart

Sidelined for Fourth Straight Game
Kyshawn George

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Friday
Joel Embiid

Cleared to Play Thursday vs. Mavericks
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Ruled Out for At Least Four Weeks
Bo Bichette

Yankees Showing Interest in Bo Bichette
D'Angelo Russell

Ruled Out Thursday With Illness
George Kittle

Listed as Questionable for Week 18
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Active Versus Nets
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Trending Towards Playing
Clint Capela

Steven Adams and Clint Capela Sidelined Thursday
Miles Wood

Blue Jackets Place Miles Wood on Injured Reserve
Dak Prescott

May Not Play Full Game in Week 18
Conor Garland

to Miss One Week
Egor Demin

Won't Suit Up Against Houston
Marco Rossi

to Miss at Least One Week
Ace Bailey

Still Out on Thursday Night
Tari Eason

Active on Thursday
Yegor Chinakhov

Set for Penguins Debut Thursday
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out on Thursday
Tanner McKee

Will Start for Eagles in Week 18
Shayne Gostisbehere

Misses Third Consecutive Game Thursday
Keyonte George

Unavailable on Thursday
Michael Porter Jr.

Out on Thursday
Auston Matthews

Returns From One-Game Absence
Josh Allen

Trending Towards Resting in Week 18
William Nylander

Remains Out Thursday
Lamar Jackson

Will Officially Return in Week 18
Tobias Harris

Won't Suit Up Against Miami
Lauri Markkanen

on the Injury Report for Thursday Night
Keyonte George

Battling an Illness, Might Miss Thursday's Game
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Won't Play on Thursday Evening
Houston Astros

Astros Sign Tatsuya Imai to Three-Year Deal
Jordan Love

Clears Concussion Protocol, Won't Start in Week 18
George Kittle

"Absolutely" Expects to Play in Week 18
Clayton Tune

to Start for Packers in Week 18
Chris Olave

Ruled Out for Week 18
Tom Wilson

Wraps Up 2025 With Gordie Howe Hat Trick
Valeri Nichushkin

Nets Second Career Hat Trick
Frank Vatrano

to Miss Six Weeks With Shoulder Injury
Conor Sheary

Noah Laba Exit With Injuries Wednesday
Brayden McNabb

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Wednesday
Miles Wood

Exits Early Wednesday
Gavin Brindley

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Michael Porter Jr.

Battling Illness, Questionable Thursday
Davante Adams

Not Expected to Play in Week 18
Geno Smith

Won't Play in Week 18
Aaron Rodgers

Considering Playing Beyond 2025?
Sean Monahan

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Zach Werenski

Misses Fourth Straight Game Wednesday
Dougie Hamilton

Questionable Wednesday
Radko Gudas

Expected to Remain Out Wednesday
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Play in Week 18
Ilya Lyubushkin

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Alex Lyon

to Miss "Bit of Time"
Erik Cernak

Rejoins Lightning Lineup Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey

Trending to Play in Week 18
Jalen Hurts

Eagles Expected to Rest Jalen Hurts, Most Starters in Week 18
George Kittle

49ers Will be "Very Surprised" if George Kittle Doesn't Play on Saturday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Regular-Season Finale
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Lane Kiffin Interested in Sam Leavitt, Brendan Sorsby at LSU
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Deuce Knight Officially Entering Transfer Portal
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Kewan Lacy Expected to Be Full-Go Against Georgia
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Facing Strangulation, Assault Charges
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Chip Kelly Named Northwestern Offensive Coordinator
Riley Leonard

Will Start Against the Texans
Bijan Robinson

Explodes for 229 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns on Monday Night
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Penn State Working to Hire D'Anton Lynn as Next Defensive Coordinator
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Omar Cooper Expected to be Full-Go for Rose Bowl
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Marcus Freeman Staying with Notre Dame for 2026 Season
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Star Wideout Cam Coleman Entering Transfer Portal
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Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator

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