Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Nick Castellanos to Reds - Fantasy Impact

The winter of the Cincinnati Reds keeps rolling on. They already added some pitching in Wade Miley, a journeyman to play shortstop in Freddy Galvis, a power-hitting monster in Mike Moustakas, and a Japanese leadoff man in Shogo Akiyama. Now, they have secured one of the top outfield targets on the market in Nick Castellanos.

The 27-year-old Castellanos will join the Reds and will finally have a home ballpark that will let his power potential flourish. He spent most of his career hitting in spacious Comerica Park as a member of the Tigers and then half of last season in Wrigley Field once traded to the Cubs. Now, playing in Great American Ball Park he will be hitting in a park that perennially finishes in the top 10 for home runs every season.

Castellanos is not one of the best defenders in baseball and he could really use the universal DH, but for now, he will likely man left field every day for the Reds. The signing of Castellanos makes a crowded Reds outfield even more crowded and we will have to see what happens with Aristides Aquino, Jesse Winker, Nick Senzel and Josh VanMeter. They all have minor league options still available, so that can be a quick fix. But for now, let's look at the fantasy impact for Nick Castellanos as a member of the Reds.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season MLB and DFS Premium Pass for 50% off. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, Premium articles, daily Matchup Rating projections, 15 lineup tools, DFS cheat sheets, Research Stations, Lineup Optimizers and much more! Sign Up Now!


Bring On All the Home Runs

Castellanos has always been a very good hitter as a member of the Tigers. Since 2017, he has hit .272 with at least 23 home runs, at least 73 runs scored and at least 73 RBI. These stats are great and all but they could have been much better. In those three seasons, he also had a .202 ISO which is awesome, but also crazy for a player only averaging 25 home runs. The ISO was aided by 140 doubles and 18 triples over that span. 140 DOUBLES!!!! Thank you, Comerica Park.

Comerica does allow home runs if you pull the ball, but from gap to gap it's one of the hardest parks to hit home runs in all of baseball. In the last three seasons, Castellanos has hit anywhere from 55.1% to 61.4% of his balls to center or right-field. The overall power output will change in Cincinnati where the ball flies out to all parts of the yard.

Once he came to the Cubs, his numbers blew up to a level that so many have expected from Castellanos. In the first 100 games with the Tigers in 2019, Castellanos had a stat line of .273-11-57-37-2, but in only 51 games with the Cubs, he was amazing with a stat line of .321-16-43-36-0. Castellanos was raking. The stats that fantasy players love were great but the advanced analytics were even better. With the Tigers last season he had a .189 ISO and a 105 wRC+, which are again not bad. But with the Cubs, he had an amazing .325 ISO and 154 wRC+. Castellanos was flat out raking.

He has always been a Statcast darling. Since 2016, he has had a barrel rate of at least 10.7% with an 11.2% rate in 2019. He has had a hard-hit rate of at least 40.5% since 2017 including a 41.4% rate in 2019. The great stat of xwOBAcon has also been superior for him since 2016 at .443. Imagine those numbers in a great hitters ballpark like Great American Ball Park. His career .333 BABIP will play in any park and is another example of consistently putting his hard contact in play.

The last comparison I will make for Castellanos’s time in Detroit vs elsewhere is his career numbers home versus away. In his career in Comerica, he had only 44 home runs over five and a half seasons. While his time in any other ballpark he hit 76 home runs. He has always mashed outside of Comerica.


What To Expect in 2020

As one can tell from above, Castellanos should flourish in Cincinnati. He is slated to bat fifth in the Reds lineup and he will be surrounded by one of the best-supporting casts he has ever had for a full season. With Akiyama, Votto, Suarez, and Moustakas hitting in front of Castellanos, he should have plenty of chances to drive in runs. The projections have him hitting 28 home runs, but I foresee over 30 home runs if healthy for the whole season. He should have the chance for at least 90 runs and RBI as well. Lastly, he will not hurt your batting average which is always nice for a slugger.

Currently, he is being drafted around pick 118. That number should rise and if you can draft him now at that price you should run. I would imagine we see Castellanos drafted in the 80 range come March.

Lastly, with Castellanos joining the Reds there will be questions on the playing time for the rest of the Reds outfielders. Akiyama is a Shin-Soo Choo type and should be leading off while playing all over the outfield. That leaves one everyday outfield spot available for a mix of Aquino, Senzel, Winker and Van Meter. All of these options have minor league options available, so one or two of these players may start in the minors. Aquino crushed when he was called up, but also struggled at the end of the season. Senzel is coming off of a labrum injury so his situation should be monitored in the spring. He and Van Meter can also be super-utility types, not just outfielders. Winker is an OBP machine and it would be hard to see him not being part of a platoon to start the season. For now, I would focus on Castellanos and Akiyama in drafts, but keep a close eye on Senzel and Winker in the later rounds if positive news comes out during spring training.

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis


Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Pickups & Streamers
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Damien Harris36 mins ago

Not Expected To Play Thursday Night
Joel Embiid1 hour ago

Returns Against Hawks
Los Angeles Rams1 hour ago

Aaron Donald Dealing With High-Ankle Sprain
Clint Capela1 hour ago

De'Andre Hunter To Play On Monday
Melvin Gordon III2 hours ago

Expected To Sign With Chiefs
Anthony Davis2 hours ago

Likely To Suit Up Monday
Christian McCaffrey2 hours ago

Dealing With Knee Irritation
Brandon Ingram2 hours ago

Downgraded To Out
Jaylen Brown2 hours ago

To Miss Monday's Game
Elijah Mitchell2 hours ago

Likely Out 6-8 Weeks
Pascal Siakam2 hours ago

Scottie Barnes, Pascal Siakam To Play Monday
Michael Carter2 hours ago

Has A Low-Ankle Sprain
Terry Rozier2 hours ago

Ruled Out On Monday
Joe Mixon2 hours ago

Trending In The Right Direction For Week 13
Darnell Mooney2 hours ago

Done For The Season
James Reimer2 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Linus Ullmark2 hours ago

Available For The Next Game
Alex Pietrangelo2 hours ago

Out Monday For Personal Reasons
Nick Perbix3 hours ago

Returns On Monday
Robert Thomas3 hours ago

Misses Monday's Game
Warren Foegele3 hours ago

Ryan McLeod Out Monday
John Gibson3 hours ago

Joins Team For Trip To Nashville
Justin Verlander5 hours ago

Dodgers Meeting With Justin Verlander Monday
J.K. Dobbins5 hours ago

To Practice This Week
José Abreu5 hours ago

Astros "Finalizing A Deal For" Jose Abreu
Mike Clevinger5 hours ago

Signs With White Sox
Jameson Williams6 hours ago

A Long Shot To Face Jaguars
Kadarius Toney6 hours ago

Day-To-Day With Hamstring Injury
Caris LeVert6 hours ago

Probable For Monday
Dallas Mavericks7 hours ago

Kemba Walker Expected To Sign With Mavericks
Jarrett Allen7 hours ago

Remains Sidelined Monday
Kevin Love7 hours ago

To Sit Out On Monday
Jaden McDaniels7 hours ago

To Miss Monday's Game
Joel Embiid7 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Monday
Travis Etienne Jr.8 hours ago

Says He's Fine
Ja'Marr Chase8 hours ago

Expected To Return In Week 13
Mo Bamba11 hours ago

Exits With Back Spasms
Evan Mobley11 hours ago

Stands Out Versus Detroit
Jaylen Brown11 hours ago

Scores Season-High 36 Points
Bradley Beal11 hours ago

Scores 30 Points In Sunday's Loss
Tyler Herro11 hours ago

Notches A Triple-Double Versus Atlanta
Draymond Green11 hours ago

Logs First Double-Double Of The Season
Grayson Allen11 hours ago

Nets Season-High 25 Points
Aaron Rodgers11 hours ago

To Undergo More Testing
Aaron Rodgers21 hours ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Elijah Mitchell22 hours ago

May Have An MCL Sprain
Jalen Brunson22 hours ago

Scores 30 Points In Losing Effort
Darnell Mooney22 hours ago

May Be Done For The Year
Allen Robinson II1 day ago

Needs Surgery, Won't Return This Season
Elijah Mitchell1 day ago

Won't Return On Sunday
Elijah Mitchell1 day ago

Questionable To Return Against Saints
Kirill Kaprizov1 day ago

Extends Scoring Streak To Career-High Nine Games
Matias Maccelli1 day ago

Returns With Two Assists
Johnny Gaudreau1 day ago

Sits Out Sunday's Practice With An Illness
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1 day ago

X-Rays Negative On Tristan Wirfs
Adam Fox1 day ago

Misses Practice With An Illness
Sam Lafferty1 day ago

Sits Again Sunday
Aleksander Barkov1 day ago

Set To Miss Two More Games
Brock Boeser1 day ago

Matches Career-High Point Streak
J.T. Miller1 day ago

Leads The Way With Three Points
Ryan Pulock1 day ago

Hands Out Four Assists
Auston Matthews1 day ago

Notches Three Points Against Pittsburgh
Jack Hughes1 day ago

Gets His First Career Hat Trick
Jordan Kyrou1 day ago

Extends Point Streak With Two Goals
Brayden Schenn1 day ago

Getting Evaluated For A Lower-Body Injury
Ryan McLeod2 days ago

Delivers Three Assists Saturday
Carlos Santana3 days ago

Pirates Agree With Carlos Santana On Friday
Narciso Crook3 days ago

Red Sox Sign Narciso Crook To Minor-League Deal
Denyi Reyes3 days ago

Mets Sign Denyi Reyes
Milwaukee Brewers3 days ago

Blake Perkins Signs With Brewers
Elliot Soto3 days ago

Twins Re-Sign Elliot Soto
Los Angeles Angels3 days ago

Angels Sign Jacob Webb
Xander Bogaerts3 days ago

Padres Looking At Xander Bogaerts?
Brandon Nimmo3 days ago

Rays Among Teams Interested In Brandon Nimmo
Michael Conforto3 days ago

Cubs Considering Michael Conforto
Hoy Park4 days ago

Red Sox Acquire Hoy Park From Pirates
Chad Wallach5 days ago

Angels Re-Sign Chad Wallach
Cody Bellinger5 days ago

Rockies Interested In Cody Bellinger
Carlos Rodón5 days ago

Rangers Have Serious Interest In Carlos Rodon
Aaron Judge5 days ago

Giants Expected To Make Formal Offer To Aaron Judge
Bryce Harper5 days ago

Undergoes Tommy John Surgery
Hoy Park5 days ago

Pirates Designate Hoy Park For Assignment
Joely Rodríguez5 days ago

Red Sox Sign Joely Rodriguez
Hunter Renfroe5 days ago

Brewers Acquire Janson Junk In Hunter Renfroe Trade