X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

DraftKings NFL DFS: Week 8 Price Analysis & Picks

Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Jon Anderson looks into the NFL DFS projections for week five to pick out some spots to attack and mispriced players for your DraftKings DFS lineups.

Hey, RotoBallers! It's Jon Anderson back again to crack the can on week eight DFS! If you're new here, this is not meant to be a definitive "picks" article, but just a first look to point out the best game environments and best projections and value plays. Quite often, by Sunday I'm not on all of the plays I start with here, but it does set the table for the rest of the week of search.

Again, I don't think it's profitable to build a lineup based on these picks, and certainly not this early in the week. You should be focusing heavily on game environments and correlations when building lineups, and this post doesn't really give you that. It's just a table-setter to look at the slate from a high level and pick out these mid-priced players. I hope it is helping, and I will continue to make it stronger as we move forward.

We are looking at the DraftKings NFL DFS main slate on Sunday, October 30th. Here we go!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 50% off using code SUMMER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Game Environments

Lots of big-time offenses off the main slate this week

  • Bills (Sunday Night football)
  • Chiefs (bye week)
  • Chargers (bye week)
  • Ravens (Thursday Night football)
  • Bengals (Monday Night football)
  • Bucs* (Thursday Night football)

* The Bucs might not actually be a good offense anymore

That leaves us with these top (projected) game environments

  1. Dolphins @ Lions: 51.5 over/under, 3.5 point spread
  2. Saints @ Raiders: 49.5 over/under, 1.5 point spread
  3. Cardinals @ Vikings, 48.5 over/under, 3.5 point spread
  4. Seahawks @ Giants, 44.5 over/under, 3 point spread
  5. Steelers @ Eagles, 43.5 over/under, 10.5 point spread

 

I think that first game is a cut above the rest, but there is no massive game environment that is overly likely to be the key to the whole slate (like Bills vs. Chiefs was a couple of weeks ago).

Let's get into the position projections and my initial thoughts.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Quarterbacks

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Jalen Hurts $8,300 PIT 24.3
Kyler Murray $7,500 MIN 22.8
Tua Tagovailoa $6,200 DET 20.8
Dak Prescott $6,600 CHI 19.9
Kirk Cousins $6,100 ARI 18.8

 

Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Sam Ehlinger $4,000 WAS 14.7
Jameis Winston $5,300 LVR 18.6
Tua Tagovailoa $6,200 DET 20.1
Daniel Jones $5,700 SEA 17.9
Jared Goff $5,500 MIA 17.3

 

A rare week without much going on at the top of the QB position. Hurts is really the only current fantasy stud here, but he's priced through the roof to match - and the matchup with the Steelers as an 11-point favorite isn't quite the ideal situation.

The one very tempting situation is Sam Ehlinger as just $4,000. If Ehlinger had been announced as the starter prior to prices being generated, I can promise you that price would be $5,000 or slightly more. So we get a stone-minimum quarterback against a beatable pass defense. The problem is, of course, that we have no idea if Sam Ehlinger is at all competent. If you play him and get 8-10 points while the field goes to Hurts and banks 30, your back is up against the wall. It is a strategy question for sure, but paying just $4,000 for your quarterback opens up a whole lot of opportunities.

Daniel Jones and Tua are interesting to me as well, both pretty affordable with higher floors and ceilings than Ehlinger, but bad scores are very much in the range of outcomes for those two names - and with Tua, I don't think you're likely to get any running numbers given his health situation. I would probably lean towards getting the whole way up to Hurts or coming all the way down to Ehlinger.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Running Backs

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Saquon Barkley $8,100 SEA 19.1
Derrick Henry $8,400 HOU 17.1
Josh Jacobs $7,500 NO 16.9
Christian McCaffrey $8,700 LAR 18.2
Dalvin Cook $7,600 ARI 17.0

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Alvin Kamara $7,100 LVR 18.2
Michael Carter $5,900 NE 14.9
D'Andre Swift $6,800 MIA 16.7
Saquon Barkley $8,100 SEA 19.1
Kenneth Walker $6,500 NYG 15.2

 

I'm really liking Kamara here as his price just won't get to where it seems like it should be. He hasn't scored a touchdown this year, which may be the reason for the lower price - but that's certain to start breaking the other way soon. He has 4, 7, 6, 9, and 9 targets in his five games this year in addition to the average of 15.5 rush attempts. He is getting tons of work, and is showing the same big play upside as always. He's a great play at $7,100 - and he's easy to afford if you pay down at QB.

The top projection, once again, belongs to Saquon Barkley. He still does not have a single "have to have it" score this year, but his minimum DraftKings points is a dozen, and he's averaged 21.6. His floor and ceiling are fantastic, and this is a superb matchup against the Seahawks.

The pay-down option may be Michael Carter, who should draw the start after that unfortunate injury to Breece Hall. The Jets did quickly trade for James Robinson, but you would imagine that Carter gets the bulk of the work here as Robinson gets acquainted with the playbook.

The other big name is Derrick Henry here, who is indeed a tougher play given his lack of pass game work, but you can't ask for a much better matchup here. Here are some notable running back scores against the Texans this year

The floor is always lower than you'd like with Henry give his touchdown dependency, but I think it's fair to say that a multiple touchdown game is just as likely as a zero touchdown game for the big man here.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Wide Receivers

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Tyreek Hill $8,500 DET 22.1
Cooper Kupp $9,600 SF 22.6
Justin Jefferson $9,100 ARI 21.1
Davante Adams $8,600 NO 18.9
CeeDee Lamb $7,000 CHI 17.7

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Tyreek Hill $8,500 DET 22.1
Garrett Wilson $4,200 NE 10.7
DJ Moore $5,300 ATL 13.6
CeeDee Lamb $7,000 CHI 17.7
Jaylen Waddle $6,700 DET 16.5

 

I think I might just start my lineup by clicking on Tyreek Hill. Notable WR games against the Lions this year

Almost every week the Lions are getting torched by talented wide receivers, and Tyreek Hill looks excellent in this Dolphins offense. He has averaged 22.4 points the year, with double-digit targets in five of his seven games - and that is all with inconsistent QB play given the Tua injury, who is now back in the lineup and looked fine last week. I think the Tua+Waddle+Hill stack is super interesting in this spot, even in a cash game situation. Hill and Waddle have combined for a 54% share of the team's targets and a 65% share of their air yards.

D.J. Moore had a nice game in PJ Walker's first start, and the price has only come up to $5,300. He has a 28% target share on the year and a 39.5% share of the air yards. That doesn't really work when your team at the bottom of the league in points and yardage, but Moore's floor seems a bit higher than $5,300 would suggest.

Plenty to like here, but we must keep it locked on the injury reports and analysis from people smarter than I before making definitive decisions at this super important position.

 

DraftKings NFL DFS Tight Ends

Top Raw Projections

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Dallas Goedert $5,000 PIT 12.5
George Kittle $5,700 LAR 11.9
Tyler Higbee $4,200 SF 11.7
Zach Ertz $5,100 MIN 11.1
T.J. Hockenson $4,900 MIA 10.7

 

 Top Values

Player Salary Opponent Projection
Tyler Higbee $4,200 SF 11.7
Logan Thomas $3,000 IND 7.7
Dalton Schultz $3,700 CHI 9.5
Brevin Jordan $2,600 TEN 6.5
Dallas Goedert $5,000 PIT 12.5

 

Slim pickings at tight end this week, making it another "pay up or punt" spot. But in this case, the "pay ups" aren't even really "pay ups" with Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews off the slate. Goedert is a fine play, he doesn't have a ceiling game but he's been solid averaging 11.3 points per game. A big game is in the range of outcomes here if he lucks into a couple of touchdowns here. There's really nothing else I feel at all confident about after Goedert, which makes it somewhat less risky to just pay way down for a Thomas or Jordan type because it's likely that nobody will get a ton of points from their tight end slot this week.

 

That's all I've got to offer here, I hope this helps start off your week's research - I wish you all the best!

 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Yordan Alvarez

Resumes Swinging -- Return Imminent?
Jake Burger

to Miss an Additional 2-3 Weeks
TreVeyon Henderson

Signs Rookie Contract
Christian Watson

Goes on PUP List
Austin Riley

Hopes to be Activated Next Week
Ketel Marte

Lands on Restricted List After Burglary
Ricky Pearsall

Heads to PUP List
Brandon Aiyuk

Placed on PUP List
Luther Burden III

Signs Rookie Deal
Washington Nationals

Eli Willits Expected to Sign Contract on Saturday
Grayson Rodriguez

Being Shut Down Again - Will We See Him Again This Year?
Ezequiel Tovar

Activated and Back in Lineup on Friday
Max Fried

"Hopeful" to Pitch Next Week - Looks Like He'll Avoid IL Stint
Steven Kwan

Receives Injection in Wrist, Considered Day-to-Day
CJ Abrams

Back to Start Second Half
Alec Bohm

Back From Rib Injury on Friday
Trey Hendrickson

Holdout to Spill into Regular Season?
Jalen McMillan

Bucs Offensive Coordinator Not Forgetting About Jalen McMillan
Levi Onwuzurike

to Miss at Least Four Games
Nick Emmanwori

Seahawks, Nick Emmanwori Reach Agreement on Rookie Deal
Max Holloway

Set For Main Event
Brandon Lowe

Back From 10-Day Injured List
Dustin Poirier

Set For His Final UFC Fight
Roman Kopylov

Set For Co-Main Event
Paulo Costa

Returns At UFC 318
Luis L. Ortiz

to Remain on Leave for Another Month - Will he Pitch Again?
Daniel Rodriguez

Looks For Third Win In A Row
Kevin Holland

Set For His Fourth Fight This Year
Dan Ige

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Patricio Freire Set For His Second UFC Fight
Daniel Zellhuber

Set To Open Up UFC 318 Main Card
Michael Johnson

Looks For Third Consecutive Win
Elijah Arroyo

Signs Rookie Deal
Jaydon Blue

Described as "Borderline Lazy"
T.J. Sanders

Bills Sign T.J. Sanders to Rookie Deal
Christian Wilkins

Raiders Put Christian Wilkins on PUP List
Jabari Small

Lions Add Jabari Small to Backfield
Quinshon Judkins

Remains Unsigned, Won't Report With Rest of Rookies
Mason Taylor

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Jets
Hendon Hooker

Leading Lions QB2 Battle Entering Training Camp
Ozzy Trapilo

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Bears
Tate Ratledge

Agrees to Rookie Contract with Lions
Jack Bech

Signs Rookie Contract with Raiders
Yegor Chinakhov

Requests Trade
Dakota Joshua

Maple Leafs Acquire Dakota Joshua
Lukas Dostal

Signs Five-Year Extension with Ducks
Shemar Stewart

Not Practicing With College Team
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Expected Back Friday
Damian Lillard

Returning to Portland
Paul Skenes

Pirates Could Preserve Paul Skenes in Second Half
Brooks Barnhizer

Grabs 19 Points, Nine Boards in Summer League Win
Jeremiah Fears

Scores 22 Points in Summer League Loss to Thunder
Isaiah Collier

Collects 17 Points In Summer League Win
Caleb Houstan

Joins Hawks
AJ Johnson

Erupts for 25 Points in Summer League Loss
Washington Wizards

Leaky Black Logs Double-Double in Loss to Jazz
Connor Norby

Undergoes Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-8 Weeks
Trey Alexander

Tallies 25 Points in Losing Effort
Johni Broome

Records Second Consecutive Double-Double
Jahmir Young

Has Historic Summer League Outing
Rob Dillingham

Plays Big Role in Wednesday's Win
Tyrese Proctor

Erupts for 35 Points Against Kings
Cody Williams

Leads Jazz to Victory Against Wizards
LeBron James

Mavs Not Interested in "Gutting its Roster" For LeBron James
Josh Hart

Undergoes a Procedure on Right Finger
Jake Burger

Goes on 10-Day Injured List With Quad Strain
Sal Frelick

Dealing With Grade 1 Hamstring Strain, TBD for Start of Second Half
Chris Sale

Plays Catch
Los Angeles Clippers

Bradley Beal Heading to Los Angeles to Join Clippers After Contract Buyout
Rayan Rupert

Scores 24 Points in Summer League Win
Derik Queen

Collects Third Consecutive Double-Double in Summer League Loss
GG Jackson II

Records 13 Points in Summer League Action on Tuesday
Johni Broome

Logs Double-Double Against Wizards
DaRon Holmes II

Records Double-Double in Summer League Loss to Raptors
Kyle Schwarber

Named All-Star Game MVP
Harris English

Takes Stellar 2025 Performance to The Open Championship
Aldrich Potgieter

Seeks Better Result in Northern Ireland
Cameron Young

Likely to Hang Around at The Open Championship
Cameron Smith

Just Trying to Make the Cut at Royal Portrush
Jordan Spieth

Is Jordan Spieth Still a Natural for Links Style Golf?
Patrick Reed

a Viable Option at The Open Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound from Last Experience at Royal Portrush
Xander Schauffele

Looks to Defend His Claret Jug at Royal Portrush
Tony Finau

Trying to Turn Tide at Royal Portrush
Daniel Brown

Seeks a Rebound at The Open Championship
Rory McIlroy

Will be the Most Watched Player This Week at Royal Portrush
Daniel Berger

Trending Poorly as The Open Championship Looms
Clayton Kershaw

Retires Both Batters In ASG Appearance
Robert MacIntyre

Hoping to Bounce Back at Open Championship
Shane Lowry

Hopes to Repeat at Royal Portrush
Brian Harman

Hopes to Rekindle Some Magic at the 153rd Open
UTA

Michael Carcone Returns to Utah on One-Year Contract
Bowen Byram

Signs Two-Year Deal with Sabres
Morgan Barron

Jets Re-Sign Morgan Barron for Two Years
PGA

Chris Gotterup Punches Ticket to Royal Portrush With Win at Scottish Open
Bryson DeChambeau

Hopes to Reverse Links Golf Struggle at the 153rd Open
Keegan Bradley

Needs to Find The Weekend at Royal Portrush for Ryder Cup Hopes
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied For 22nd at Genesis Scottish Open
Scottie Scheffler

Finishes Tied For Eighth at Genesis Scottish Open
Jon Rahm

Finishes in Second at LIV Andalucia
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round TKO
Derrick Lewis

Scores First-Round TKO
Stephen Thompson

Loses Controversial Split Decision
Gabriel Bonfim

Wins Controversial Split Decision
Calvin Kattar

Gets Outclassed At UFC Nashville
Steve Garcia

Extends His Win Streak
Nate Landwehr

Gets Knocked Out
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Scores Third-Round Knockout
Austen Lane

Suffers Submission Loss
Vitor Petrino

Scores First-Round Submission In Heavyweight Debut
Tuco Tokkos

Earns His First UFC Win
Chase Elliott

Charges to A Finish of Third At Sonoma
Chase Briscoe

Finishes Second With his First Career Road-Course Top-Five at Sonoma
Christopher Bell

Rollercoaster Day Ends With Top-5 Finish at Sonoma
William Byron

Maintains the Regular-Season Points Lead
Kyle Busch

Earns A Hard-Fought Top-10 Finish At Sonoma
Alex Ovechkin

Not Thinking About Retirement
PIT

Penguins Acquire Arturs Silovs
NHL

Nikolai Kovalenko Returns to Russia
Tyler Reddick

Evades Near Upset to Remain Alive in In-Season Challenge
Ty Gibbs

One of Three Tylers to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinals
Kyle Larson

Curiously Mediocre at Sonoma Before Late-Race Crash
NASCAR

John H. Nemechek Edges Out Teammate to Make In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Alex Bowman

Ty Dillon Bumps Alex Bowman to Advance to In-Season Challenge Semifinal
Shane Van Gisbergen

Can Anyone Beat Shane van Gisbergen at Sonoma?
Tyler Reddick

Better at Sonoma Than Record Shows
Chase Elliott

a Prime DFS Option at Sonoma
Michael McDowell

Struggling a Bit at Sonoma
NASCAR

Christopher Bell Has Never Finished Better Than Ninth at Sonoma
Ryan Blaney

Has Top-10 Upside at Sonoma
NASCAR

Sunday at Sonoma Will Likely Be a Long Race for Bubba Wallace
Kyle Larson

Is A Likely Top-Five Contender for Sonoma
Ryan Preece

Points Position Could Affect Race at Sonoma
Todd Gilliland

Struggling to Find Speed at Sonoma
Ty Gibbs

May be an Underrated Favorite to Compete for the Win at Sonoma
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF