X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

2022 Fantasy Football First-Round ADP Preview

Jonathan Taylor - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Everyone loves a mock draft. Whether it be a mock of the NFL Draft in April, or a look ahead to next season and the looming fantasy draft. Well, here at RotoBaller, we love them too. Here is our first look at 2022 fantasy football ADP for the first round.

Many of the names will be different than in previous years. Christian McCaffrey, the reigning consensus number one overall pick? Not so much anymore. In fact, he might not even crack the first round in some drafts this season.

On the other hand, there may be more receivers present in the draft than you might expect. With running backs near the top taking a major downturn this season, more young receivers have a chance to creep into the mix. With eight months left to go before the official start of the new season, this is likely to change, but it is still fun to forecast. **For our purposes, we are using a league with ½ point PPR and no tight end premium with 12 teams.

Featured Promo: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off and win big in 2022. Exclusive access to our Premium articles, 15 lineup tools, new Team Sync platform, Lineup Optimizer, Premium DFS tools and cheat sheets, and much more! Sign Up Now!

 

Pick 1: Jonathan Taylor (RB, IND)

Taylor is a slam dunk No. 1 pick for many early drafters but this could easily be argued for Derrick Henry instead. The difference in my mind is not just the age but also the offense.

While Derrick Henry is a big, bruising running back coming off injury, he is getting a bit older. Jonathan Taylor, on the other hand, is just entering his third season in the NFL. With an offensive line anchored by stud Ryan Kelly and Quenton Nelson blocking for him, his ability to run is far easier than the path Derrick Henry will have in 2022. Coming off a Jones fracture which caused him to miss half of the 2021 season, Henry is just slightly behind Taylor due to risk.

 

Pick 2: Derrick Henry (RB, TEN)

In only eight games during the 2021 season, Derrick Henry compiled 935 yards and 10 touchdowns on 219 rush attempts. These numbers were by far the best in the NFL at the time of his injury. He led all Flex-eligible players with 23 fantasy points per game (half-PPR).

The Tennessee Titans, even with the addition of Julio Jones, were a run-first team. They will continue to be the same in 2022 but Derrick Henry is not getting any younger.

At 6’3 and 250 pounds, Henry has the body to take punishment. However, his size also will lead him to break down a bit quicker once the end comes near. Despite missing half of the 2021 season, Derrick Henry still has over 600 carries on his body since the start of the 2020 season. Entering his age 28 season, this could be the last elite season he has. With Jonathan Taylor being four years younger, this gives him the slight nod in this discussion. If someone were to take Derrick Henry at number one, I would not be shocked or dismayed.

 

Pick 3: Dalvin Cook (RB, MIN)

Although third here, Cook is the most well-rounded of the three top backs. His pass-catching ability is far superior to that of Derrick Henry and is better than the numbers you can expect from Jonathan Taylor in Indianapolis.

Dalvin Cook is also on the best offense of these three. Meaning, he does not have to be the do-it-all the other two do. Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen are one of the best wide receiver duos in the NFL and despite the hatred, Kirk Cousins is the best quarterback any of these three have on their team.

Coming off a dislocated shoulder to run for more than 200 yards against the Detroit Lions shows the ability Cook has to come back from injury. This is also where he falls short of the other two. While Derrick Henry missed the last half of the 2021 season with a broken foot, he has remained healthy for the rest of his career. Thus far in his career, Jonathan Taylor has had no major injuries to deal with. Unfortunately for Cook, he deals with something every week.

After missing much of his rookie season with a torn ACL suffered in Week 5, it took him the entire next season to get back to full strength. Since then, he has dealt with other ailments from hamstrings to the dislocated shoulder this season. He is still far too talented to drop extremely far down the draft order. But of the top three running backs, he has the most risk and therefore the lowest draft slot.

 

Pick 4: Nick Chubb (RB, CLE)

This is where things get murky. I decided to go with Nick Chubb, but there are a few other talented running backs and wide receivers who belong here as well.

Playing in 13 games, Chubb had the same number of rushes (219) that Derrick Henry had through his eight games. Despite the 219 rushes, Nick Chubb still managed to average 5.5 yards/attempt on his way to more than 1,201 yards thus far with one game to go in week 18. Though not to the crazy 36.8 rushes per game of Derrick Henry, 16.8 rushes per game for Chubb is nothing to sneeze at. Especially considering he is sharing a backfield with another talented running back in Kareem Hunt.

The Cleveland Browns want to be a run-first team. After seeing what Baker Mayfield has emerged into, this is the best thing for them. While the future of Baker Mayfield with the Browns is uncertain, the future of Nick Chubb on the team is set in stone. He will remain the lead back and whether it be Mayfield or a new quarterback, the Cleveland Browns will again be near the top of the heap in terms of rush percentage in 2022. Getting the lead back in this offense seems like good business sense.

 

Pick 5: Davante Adams (WR, GB)

Of course, this completely depends on Davante Adams and Aaron Rodgers both returning to the Green Bay Packers. If they do, this is an easy pick. If not, all bets are off to where he may land in the draft.

Aaron Rodgers loves Davante Adams and the same can be said for the inverse. When Rodgers was staging his mock holdout this off-season, Adams continually came to his side and showed his support. The connection is real, and it will continue in 2022.

While I love Cooper Kupp and have since he was drafted, Davante Adams is still the best wide receiver in the NFL. Not to mention Aaron Rodgers is better than Matthew Stafford. This is the true key in deciding between the two for this position. You cannot go wrong either way here. But as long as the Rodgers and Adams connection is in Green Bay, they deserve the nod at this pick.

 

Pick 6: Austin Ekeler (RB, LAC)

There is going to be plenty of debate about where RBs outside the top three should fall. This may be one of the main points of contention as this slot could easily go to Alvin Kamara. Both players have similar skill sets. The difference is the surrounding offense.

While we are uncertain about the quarterback situation in New Orleans for 2022, we know Justin Herbert will be there for the long haul. Coming off a season in which he set the franchise record for touchdown passes, Herbert is ascending into the elite realms of NFL quarterbacks. The balanced offense helped Ekeler to score 18 TD during the fantasy football season. He may see regression, but it won't be drastic enough to keep him from producing first-round value if he stays healthy.

Alvin Kamara may in fact be the more talented player, but talent alone cannot overcome the offensive struggles in New Orleans. If the Saints are able to get Deshaun Watson or Russell Wilson, this pick could easily switch to Alvin Kamara. As things stand now, Ekeler gets the slight advantage.

 

Pick 7: Alvin Kamara (RB, NO)

He is just so damn talented. 210 rushes and 752 rush yards does not seem like an elite running back, but Alvin Kamara really makes his waves in the receiving game. Much like Christian McCaffrey, Kamara is as good, if not better, as a receiver than as a runner. Even in a down year in 2021, Kamara has 45 receptions on 65 targets. This despite playing with the likes of Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian behind center for most of the season. Add his 423 receiving yards and his five receiving touchdowns to his rushing numbers and it is clear to see the elite nature of Alvin Kamara in the New Orleans offense.

Next season should be much different in New Orleans. Whether it be Jameis Winston or another quarterback, the position should be in a better place in 2022. This means Kamara will be in a much better position as well. With this in mind, Kamara cannot realistically drop much lower in drafts than right here.

 

Pick 8: Cooper Kupp (WR, LAR)

The best receiver in the NFL this season, Cooper Kupp comes off as the number two wide receiver here. With 138 receptions, 1,829 yards and 15 touchdowns, Kupp is on pace to lead the league in all three categories for the season. Although he contends that any records he sets should come with an asterisk, they will not, and he could be the single-season leader in receptions and yards come Sunday night.

Kupp, although entering the league only four years ago, is older than you might imagine. He will be 29 entering the 2022 season and although he still looks at the top of his game, there is still that age bias some people will need to get over if he is to be drafted any higher.

With Matthew Stafford in town and Robert Woods as well as Van Jefferson and possibly Odell Beckham Jr. returning, the Los Angeles Rams offense will be loaded. Much like this season, it will run through Kupp. Matthew Stafford loves him and so do I.

 

Pick 9: Joe Mixon (RB, CIN)

He is past the injury bug and added to this the Cincinnati Bengals finally have a quarterback to rely on.

With Ja'Marr Chase, Tyler Boyd, and Tee Higgins in tow, some may think this too high to take Mixon with all the competition he faces for production. It has not affected him this season. As the Cincinnati Bengals surprised everyone and won the AFC North division, Joe Mixon put up numbers befitting of an elite running back.

1,205 yards on 292 rushes and 13 touchdowns in the run game added to his 314 yards and three more touchdowns on 42 receptions show a complete package at the running back position. At age 26, he will be in the prime of his career to go along with Joe Burrow and the receivers group headed by Chase. This offense could be destructive in 2022. They were fantasy gold in 2021 and the train should not stop. I want a piece of it and getting Mixon as the seventh running back off the board is excellent value.

 

Pick 10: Deebo Samuel (WR, SF)

Talk about a dual threat and you cannot do any better than Deebo Samuel. Not only is he leading the San Francisco 49ers in rushing touchdowns, he is doing the same in the receiving game.

Gaining 1,310 receiving yards and six touchdowns would be a great season for any receiver, but with Samuel you get a bonus. He has also rushed 51 times for 320 yards and seven more touchdowns. He is the reverse of most dual-threat running backs and it is a beautiful thing. This makes him just as valuable as those like Alvin Kamara and Joe Mixon.

Being a wide receiver, you do not need to take him quite as high in drafts. That is the reason he falls here at number 10. Injury risk is also a concern with Samuel. It is for everyone, but Deebo Samuel has not had a fully healthy season since he was in high school. If next year can be the first, he could easily be the number one overall fantasy receiver. If he continues to miss a game or two, you can still expect similar numbers to what he put up in 2021. Either way, you will want to draft him.

 

Pick 11: Christian McCaffrey (RB, CAR)

This one is extremely risky. Would I make this pick? Most of the time, no. There is no doubt that if he comes back healthy, Christian McCaffery is the best running back in the NFL.

Injuries have taken their toll on him the past two seasons. This is the reason he falls so far in an early mock. With the talent considered, he will still find himself being drafted in the first round in many drafts. We devour running backs and they are the linchpin of most fantasy teams. With Saquon Barkley struggling and Ezekiel Elliott sharing touches with Tony Pollard, taking a shot on McCaffrey actually seems like the safer bet here. It is scary of course, but if he can suit up for at least 13 games, nabbing CMC in the late part of the first round will all but win your fantasy league in 2022.

 

Pick 12: Najee Harris (RB, PIT)

Although the rookie season of Najee Harris can be seen as a bit disappointing due to his rushing average, 296 rushes for 1,172 yards is not too shabby. Especially when Ben Roethlisberger has been so bad this season, most teams knew what was coming.

Not fully utilized as a receiver during his time at Alabama, his 70 receptions for 440 yards this season show his potential to be the next LeVeon Bell in Pittsburgh. That's something the team will count on next season with a new quarterback. Whether that quarterback be a rookie, a free agent, or God forbid, Mason Rudolph.

One thing we know about the Steelers under Mike Tomlin, they count on one running back. From LeVeon Bell and DeAngelo Williams to James Conner, the Pittsburgh Steelers do not deploy a running back by committee approach. Instead, they deploy the run-them-until-they-puke approach. The same can be said for Harris as he has been on the field for 86% of offensive snaps this season and this number will only go up as long as he is healthy in 2022.

With 300 rush attempts and 90 targets coming his way in 2022, getting him with the final pick in the first round to pair with a stud wide receiver on the turn would be a great start to a fantasy team. Can you imagine starting a draft with Najee Harris and Ja'Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson? It could easily happen.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Bryan Reynolds2 hours ago

Requesting A Trade
Kyle Gibson2 hours ago

Orioles Agree With Kyle Gibson
Eddy Alvarez3 hours ago

Brewers Sign Eddy Alvarez
Brandon Nimmo4 hours ago

Yankees Have Met With Brandon Nimmo
Justin Verlander4 hours ago

Mets, Yankees Interested In Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Jameson Taillon4 hours ago

Mets, Rangers In On Jameson Taillon
Noah Syndergaard4 hours ago

Orioles Meet With Noah Syndergaard
Justin Verlander4 hours ago

Mets Now Looking At Justin Verlander
Trea Turner4 hours ago

Padres Have Met With Trea Turner Twice
Kevin Holland5 hours ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory
Stephen Thompson5 hours ago

Set To Headline Main Event
Bryan Barberena5 hours ago

Will Highlight Co-Main-Event Matchup
Rafael Dos Anjos5 hours ago

Rafael dos Anjos In Saturday's Co-Main Event
Jordan Poole6 hours ago

Delivers 30 Points Off The Bench
Devin Booker6 hours ago

Remains Red-Hot Versus Houston
Zion Williamson6 hours ago

Dominates Against The Spurs
Joel Embiid6 hours ago

Comes Close To A 30-Point Triple-Double
Anthony Davis6 hours ago

Notches Season-High 44 Points
Kevin Love6 hours ago

Records A Double-Double Off The Bench
Jimmy Butler7 hours ago

Returns In Top Form
Dejounte Murray7 hours ago

Leads Hawks To Victory
Johnny Gaudreau7 hours ago

Has Another Multi-Point Performance
Patrik Laine7 hours ago

Returns With A Two-Goal Effort
Mathew Barzal7 hours ago

Pots A Power-Play Goal
Roman Josi7 hours ago

Bags Two Power-Play Points
Matt Duchene7 hours ago

Logs Three Points In Friday's Win
Mika Zibanejad7 hours ago

Stays Hot With 12th Goal
Brady Tkachuk7 hours ago

Notches Three Points Versus Rangers
Matt Schnell13 hours ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Hoping To Be A Tough Out
Matheus Nicolau13 hours ago

Can Continue To Make Strides In The Division
Josh Hart18 hours ago

Listed As Doubtful For Saturday
Tyrese Haliburton18 hours ago

Will Play Friday
Drew Eubanks19 hours ago

Questionable For Saturday
Jaden McDaniels19 hours ago

On Track To Return Saturday
Alex Caruso19 hours ago

Probable On Friday
Jacob deGrom19 hours ago

Signs Five-Year Deal With Rangers
Dario Saric19 hours ago

Moves To The Starting Lineup
Brandin Cooks20 hours ago

Won't Play Against Browns
Mike Williams20 hours ago

Ruled Out Against Raiders
Brandon Bolden20 hours ago

Josh Jacobs, Brandon Bolden Questionable
Joe Mixon20 hours ago

Ja'Marr Chase, Joe Mixon Questionable For Week 13
Jason Castro21 hours ago

Announces His Retirement
Deebo Samuel21 hours ago

Is Questionable For Week 13
Teuvo Teravainen21 hours ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
Lewin Díaz21 hours ago

Lewin Diaz Claimed By Orioles
Jakub Voracek21 hours ago

Dealing With A Concussion
Andrew Cave21 hours ago

Phillies Claim Jake Cave Off Waivers From Orioles
Sergei Pavlovich21 hours ago

Can Secure Fifth Straight Win Saturday
Justin Verlander22 hours ago

Yankees In On Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Kawhi Leonard22 hours ago

Paul George, Kawhi Leonard Return To Practice Friday
Calle Jarnkrok22 hours ago

Out For At Least Two Weeks
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander22 hours ago

Questionable To Suit Up Saturday
Chris Martin22 hours ago

Agrees With Red Sox
Tyler Bertuzzi22 hours ago

Set To Miss Six Weeks
Torrey Craig22 hours ago

Ruled Out For Friday’s Game
Jesse Winker22 hours ago

Abraham Toro Heading To Brewers
Anthony Cirelli22 hours ago

Nearing Season Debut
Dennis Schroder22 hours ago

Unavailable For Friday's Game
Brayden Schenn22 hours ago

Questionable For Saturday
Jakob Poeltl22 hours ago

Jeremy Sochan Remain Out For Friday’s Game
Kolten Wong22 hours ago

Mariners Acquire Kolten Wong From The Brewers
Sam Gagner22 hours ago

Rejoins Jets Lineup
Doug McDermott22 hours ago

Josh Richardson, Doug McDermott Will Miss Friday’s Contest
T.J. Warren22 hours ago

Set For Season Debut Friday
Courtland Sutton24 hours ago

Jerry Jeudy Questionable
Pittsburgh Steelers24 hours ago

T.J. Watt Questionable For Week 13
Ja'Marr Chase1 day ago

Bengals Optimistic Ja'Marr Chase Will Play
Zay Jones1 day ago

Travis Etienne Jr., Zay Jones Questionable To Face Lions
Najee Harris1 day ago

Will Play, Jaylen Warren Questionable
Justin Fields1 day ago

Will Face Packers
Jerick McKinnon1 day ago

Expected To Play
Matthew Stafford1 day ago

Ruled Out, John Wolford To Start
Tai Tuivasa1 day ago

Facing Off Against Dangerous Heavyweight
Jack Hermansson1 day ago

Looking For Victory Over Rising Star
Roman Dolidze1 day ago

Set For Huge Test Saturday
Kyle Daukaus1 day ago

Looking For Big Finish Saturday
J.K. Dobbins1 day ago

Won't Face Broncos
Antonio Gibson1 day ago

Listed As Questionable Against Giants
David Njoku1 day ago

Ruled Out Against Texans
David Njoku1 day ago

Unlikely To Play In Week 13
Travis Etienne Jr.1 day ago

"Good To Go" For Week 13
Michael Carter1 day ago

Doubtful To Face The Vikings
Zack Britton1 day ago

Should Be Full-Go For Spring Training
Salvador Perez1 day ago

White Sox Looking To Trade For Salvador Perez?
Trea Turner1 day ago

Padres In the Market For Trea Turner?
Kolten Wong1 day ago

Giants, Mariners Interested In Kolten Wong
Eryk Anders1 day ago

Hoping To Prevent Losing Skid On Saturday
Anze Kopitar1 day ago

Nets Two Goals In Thursday's Win
Matthew Tkachuk1 day ago

Tallies Three Points Thursday
Matthew Beniers1 day ago

Continues Hot Streak With Historic Goal
Sean Monahan1 day ago

Notches Two Assists Against Calgary
Jake Oettinger1 day ago

Stops All Shots Thursday
Jason Robertson1 day ago

Pots A Hat Trick Versus Anaheim
Ryan Johansen1 day ago

Leads The Way Versus Devils
Jakobi Meyers2 days ago

Officially Active For Week 13
Justin Fields2 days ago

Practices In Full On Thursday

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP