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Week 14 Dynasty Matchups Preview

Dynasty owners don’t play week to week, they play long term. However, dynasty owners still need to analyze different aspects of weekly matchups to determine the best time to sell or buy a player.

Make sure you don’t buy that hot rookie too soon and don’t sell the aging veteran too late. Each week, I will analyze different matchups across fantasy football with a dynasty frame of mind.

Let's take some time to see what matchups might pique the interest of dynasty league owners for Week 14 of the 2017 season. Here are some Week 14 matchup previews for dynasty league owners to monitor.

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Eagles at Rams

LeGarrette Blount vs Jay Ajayi vs Corey Clement

It is extremely crowded in the Philadelphia backfield and before too long, someone will need to step up and take this job. Several weeks ago it was clear cut that LeGarrette Blount was the lead back and the Eagles had a ton of options behind him. After bringing in Jay Ajayi for a fourth round pick though, the Eagles have an embarrassment of riches in the backfield. Dynasty owners will need to know how this shakes out heading into 2018 though. This is turning into the Patriots backfield situation. Just like in New England, you know someone in that backfield is going to take control but who is it? You either have to get all of them or you have to take a chance and hope you picked the right one.

Blount was signed this offseason after scoring 24 rushing touchdowns in two seasons for the Patriots. He hasn’t offered any numbers that jump off the page and has barley been a flex play this season. Blount currently sits at RB29 in standard formats. It’s extremely concerning for Blount looking at the snap counts though since Ajayi joined the Eagles. Since the trade prior to Week 9, Blount continues to lead the backfield, but the numbers are very close.

Player Week 9 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Total
LeGarrette Blount 16 30 37 14 97
Jay Ajayi 16 30 37 14 83
Corey Clement 28 19 15 28 90

 

It’s important to note that Clement received almost twice as many snaps as Blount or Ajayi in a very important game against the Seahawks. The pace of the game would lead you to believe that the Eagles had Clement in as the receiving back, but Clement has just as many receptions (four) as Ajayi since he joined the Eagles. That could make things blurry for fantasy owners heading into 2018, but not so much for me. We will discuss that more later though.

It’s great when you look at snap counts, because it shows you who is on the field the most. More time on the field equals more opportunities to score points. Volume is an argument that most people will use when looking at starting a player. I get it, same concept as above. The more opportunities the better. I always argue there is a difference between volume and quality volume. In Los Angeles, Melvin Gordon leads his backfield by a wide margin. He currently has 207 rushing attempts to Austin Ekelers’ 41 attempts. Gordon though is only averaging 3.7 yards per carry. He is only top 10 in rushing yards because of his volume. So since Week 9, which Eagles running back is doing the most with his attempts?

Player Total Yards* Touches Yds/Att
LeGarrette Blount 217 45 4.8
Jay Ajayi 257 34 7.55
Corey Clement 192 30 6.4
* Since Week 9

 

Ajayi is the clear winner as it comes to effectiveness. Clement and Ajayi both have the advantage of adding receptions to their touches while Blount has not had a reception since Week 9. As I mentioned above, this is turning into the Patriots backfield. Any player in any given week could lead the backfield snaps, someone else could lead the touches and someone else could actually get the fantasy points. During Ajayi’s first week, Clement led the touches and scored three touchdowns, more than he had all season up to that point. No one called that right?

Long term, there is no confusion about this backfield. Blount may still be leading the backfield in 2017, but he will be moving on this offseason. Blount was signed to a one-year deal and was signed really late in the offseason. Even after 18 TDs last year, teams were not jumping at the opportunity to add him to the depth chart. Even though Blount, Ajayi and Clement are the only ones mentioned right now, don’t forget that the Eagles still have Wendell Smallwood and 2017 fourth round pick Donnel Pumphrey on the roster.

Ajayi has been the most effective back for the Eagles since the trade. Overall though, he has to be one of the biggest busts in 2017 based on ADP. He was the RB4 or RB5 in most drafts and hasn’t come close to those expectations. There is a reason the Dolphins moved him for just a fourth round pick. Ajayi has long term issues with his knees. There is no telling how long they may actually hold up. He could be done this week, next year or a couple years down the road. Anyway it goes, I am not going to trust his knees to remain healthy. In redraft leagues, absolutely take a flier at the right price. Dynasty owners should steer clear though.

In dynasty leagues, Clement is the Eagles running back to be owned. He will offer the most upside moving forward. When Blount is out of the picture next year, Clement and Ajayi will have an equal split. The Eagles will want to keep Ajayi healthy which will lead to plenty of opportunities for Clement. This offseason will be a great opportunity to move on Clement. Ajayi looks like he could finish the year strong and based on past performance and hype, people will want as many Ajayi shares as possible. In a perfect world, you will own Ajayi and Clement.

This Eagles offense will only get better and Wentz will be the next Aaron Rodgers. It will be a fun offense to watch and the running backs will benefit from great weapons around them. We have only heard about Wentz because of his stellar play this year, and rightfully so. Typically, you hear more about a MVP candidate than a running back committee. However, Philadelphia’s run game deserves a ton of credit and maybe has helped Wentz to some of his success this year. The Eagles run game ranks second with 143.3 rushing yards per game, third with 375 rushing attempts on the year and fourth with 4.6 yards per carry.

 

What to Watch For

This game in particular is going to be fun to watch. The Eagles are coming off a tough loss against the Seahawks and will be facing the Rams in what could be a preview of the NFC Championship game. The Rams defense is giving up 122.8 yards rushing per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL. They are also giving up 22.15 fantasy points against running backs this year, the second most of any team. Wentz has it in him to take over a shootout and go against the best.

In this game, on the road, the Eagles will look to control the game though. They want to keep Jared Goff and Todd Gurley off the field as long as possible. When you have the luxury of three running backs, all of which are performing well, controlling the game becomes a lot easier. Over the last four weeks, the Eagles backfield has averaged 27.25 touches per game and Wentz has averaged 33.75 attempts. Wentz is going to keep his attempts under 30 this Sunday though and let his backs do the heavy lifting.

 

More 2017 Dynasty League Strategy




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaden McDaniels

Won't Play Monday
Anthony Edwards

Listed as Questionable for Monday
Collin Murray-Boyles

Misses Sunday's Action
Brandon Ingram

a Late Scratch on Sunday
RJ Barrett

Good to Go Sunday
Robert Williams III

Ready to Play Sunday
Malik Monk

Won't Play Against Nets
DeMar DeRozan

Sits Out Sunday's Game
Brandon Ingram

Available Against Magic
Neemias Queta

Cleared to Play Sunday
Derrick White

Won't Play Sunday
Jeremy Swayman

Remains in Bruins Crease Sunday
NHL

Nicholas Paul Available Against Predators
Nikita Kucherov

Remains Out Sunday
Mason Lohrei

Unavailable Sunday
Dmitri Voronkov

Considered Week-to-Week
Artyom Levshunov

Out With Fractured Hand
Sidney Crosby

Practices Fully on Sunday
Geno Smith

"No Doubt" That Geno Smith is Jets' Starting Quarterback
George Kittle

49ers Hopeful George Kittle Will be Ready for Week 1
NFL

Eric McAlister Diagnosed With Fractured Foot
Zach Charbonnet

Could Return to a Wide-Open Backfield
Brian Thomas Jr.

Uncertain Future Could Make Him a Buy-Low Candidate
Isaiah Jackson

is Ruled Out for Sunday
Kyle Larson

Is Likely to Pay Off for DFS at Martinsville
Bobby Portis

to Miss Third Straight Game
Luke McCaffrey

Is Luke McCaffrey Still Worth Stashing on Dynasty Benches?
Ryan Rollins

is Absent on Sunday
Christopher Bell

Could Have Another Top-10 Performance At Martinsville
Kyle Kuzma

Remains Out on Sunday
Myles Turner

Gets Downgraded to Out
William Byron

Is A Threat to Win Again at Martinsville
NFL

Elijah Sarratt's Contested-Catch Ability is a Double-Edged Sword
Jayson Tatum

is Upgraded to Available
Chase Elliott

is A Solid DFS Option for Martinsville Lineups
Jaylen Brown

to Miss Second Straight Game
Roman Wilson

a Cut Candidate for Dynasty Managers Facing Roster Decisions
Chase Briscoe

has Plenty of Upside for DFS Lineups at Martinsville
Patrick Mahomes

Andy Reid Doesn't Offer Timeline on Patrick Mahomes
Carlos Estévez

Carlos Estevez Unlikely to See High-Leverage Opportunities in Near Future
Tre' Harris

The Buy-Low Window for Tre' Harris Could Be Closing
Dont'e Thornton Jr.

Is Dont'e Thornton Jr. Still Worth Rostering in Dynasty Formats?
Braelon Allen

Has Clear Buy-Low Upside Coming Off a Lost Year
Michael Mayer

Is Michael Mayer a Sneaky Buy-Low Candidate for Dynasty Managers?
KaVontae Turpin

Blocked Off from a Significant Offensive Role in Dallas
Jacob deGrom

Feels "Much Better," Hopeful he Can Start This Week
Josh Allen

"Good to Go" After Foot Surgery
Cole Hutson

Delivers Two Assists Saturday
Mikhail Sergachev

Ties Mammoth Record With Four Assists
Connor McDavid

Reclaims Scoring Lead With Three-Point Effort
Dmitri Voronkov

Unavailable Sunday
Aliaksei Protas

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Saturday Night
Ty Gibbs

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Martinsville?
Josh Anderson

Limited Due to Illness Saturday
Ryan Preece

Is A Solid DFS Option for Martinsville Lineups
Josh Berry

Could Josh Berry Pay Off for Tournament DFS Lineups At Martinsville?
DAL

Nathan Bastian Makes Early Exit Saturday
Carson Hocevar

May be Too Inconsistent to Start in Martinsville DFS Lineups
Dejounte Murray

Uncertain for Sunday
Austin Cindric

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering for DFS At Martinsville?
Jerami Grant

Won't Play Against Wizards
Pascal Siakam

Iffy for Sunday
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Martinsville
Ryan Blaney

Should Contend at Martinsville
Tyler Reddick

Should Come Back Down to Earth at Martinsville
Joey Logano

Will Be Strong at Martinsville
Deshaun Watson

in "Pole Position" to be Week 1 Starting QB?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Looking to Rebound at Martinsville
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Showing Progress, Qualifies Fifth at Martinsville
Gabriel Vilardi

has a Two-Point Performance
Ivan Demidov

Collects Two More Points on Saturday
Dylan Cease

Fans 12 in Blue Jays Debut on Saturday
Kyler Murray

Dynasty Value Gets New Life With Move to Minnesota
Rachaad White

Is Rachaad White the New RB1 for the Commanders?
Shane Wright

Exits Early Saturday
Connor Zary

Remains Out Saturday Night
Noah Laba

a Game-Time Call Sunday
Jonathan Quick

to Remain Unavailable Sunday
Stefon Diggs

Still a Free Agent With April Approaching
Joel Hanley

to Miss Rest of Season
Alvin Kamara

Workload Expected to Look Drastically Different in 2026
Andrew Vaughn

Needs Hand Surgery, Expected to be Out 4-6 Weeks
Jacob deGrom

"Confident" he Will Make his Next Start
Trey Benson

Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time in Arizona
Jacob deGrom

Scratched From Saturday's Start Due to Neck Stiffness
Jeferson Quero

Brewers Calling Up Catching Prospect Jeferson Quero
Deyvison De Los Santos

Marlins Promote Deyvison De Los Santos to Major Leagues
Shea Langeliers

Hits Two Home Runs on Opening Day
Kevin Gausman

Picks Up No-Decision But Strikes Out 11 on Opening Day
Tanner Bibee

Day-to-Day, Could Make his Next Start
Shane Baz

Orioles Agree to Five-Year Extension
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Making Season Debut on Friday Against Angels
Tiger Woods

Involved In Rollover Car Crash
Tanner Bibee

Shoulder Issue Not Considered Serious
Joe Pyfer

Set For UFC Seattle Main Event
Israel Adesanya

Returns At UFC Seattle
Maycee Barber

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak To Eight
Alexa Grasso

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Dominic Canzone

a Top Pickup After Two-Homer Game
Niko Price

In Dire Need Of Victory
Michael Chiesa

Set For Retirement Fight
Chase DeLauter

Launches Two Home Runs, Emerges as Top Waiver-Wire Target
Lerryan Douglas

Set For His UFC Debut
Julian Erosa

Looks To Bounce Back
Tanner Bibee

Leaves Opening Day Start Early With Shoulder Inflammation
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Makes a Statement on Opening Day With 10 Strikeouts
Kevin McGonigle

has Four Hits in Impressive MLB Debut
Nico Hoerner

Cubs Agree to Six-Year Deal With Nico Hoerner
Jacob Misiorowski

Shows Off his High-Strikeout Upside in Opening Day Win
Ryan Fox

a High-Upside Value in Houston
Marco Penge

a Boom-or-Bust Option in Houston
Aaron Rai

Looks to Bounce Back in Houston
Jason Day

a Volatile Option at the Texas Children's Houston Open
Harris English

Eyes a Bounce-Back at the Texas Children's Houston Open
Ben Griffin

Looks for Turnaround at the Texas Children's Houston Open
Rickie Fowler

Brings Strong Form Into Texas Children's Houston Open
Ryan Gerard

Can Continue Rolling at Texas Children's Houston Open
Pierceson Coody

Bounces Back at Valspar Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

Trying to Get Back on Track at Texas Children's Houston Open
Michael Thorbjornsen

Playing Well Heading to Texas Children's Houston Open
Harry Hall

Looking for Consistency at Texas Children's Houston Open
Brooks Koepka

Continues Building Momentum
Scottie Scheffler

Withdraws From Texas Children's Houston Open
Luke Clanton

Might Have a Problem in Houston
Sam Stevens

Happy to See Houston This Week
Keith Mitchell

Tries to Rebound After The Players Championship
Will Zalatoris

Returning This Week at Houston
Wyndham Clark

Trending in the Wrong Direction Heading to Houston
Shane Lowry

Seeking Better Luck in Houston This Weekend
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