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Week 14 Dynasty Matchups Preview

Dynasty owners don’t play week to week, they play long term. However, dynasty owners still need to analyze different aspects of weekly matchups to determine the best time to sell or buy a player.

Make sure you don’t buy that hot rookie too soon and don’t sell the aging veteran too late. Each week, I will analyze different matchups across fantasy football with a dynasty frame of mind.

Let's take some time to see what matchups might pique the interest of dynasty league owners for Week 14 of the 2017 season. Here are some Week 14 matchup previews for dynasty league owners to monitor.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Eagles at Rams

LeGarrette Blount vs Jay Ajayi vs Corey Clement

It is extremely crowded in the Philadelphia backfield and before too long, someone will need to step up and take this job. Several weeks ago it was clear cut that LeGarrette Blount was the lead back and the Eagles had a ton of options behind him. After bringing in Jay Ajayi for a fourth round pick though, the Eagles have an embarrassment of riches in the backfield. Dynasty owners will need to know how this shakes out heading into 2018 though. This is turning into the Patriots backfield situation. Just like in New England, you know someone in that backfield is going to take control but who is it? You either have to get all of them or you have to take a chance and hope you picked the right one.

Blount was signed this offseason after scoring 24 rushing touchdowns in two seasons for the Patriots. He hasn’t offered any numbers that jump off the page and has barley been a flex play this season. Blount currently sits at RB29 in standard formats. It’s extremely concerning for Blount looking at the snap counts though since Ajayi joined the Eagles. Since the trade prior to Week 9, Blount continues to lead the backfield, but the numbers are very close.

Player Week 9 Week 11 Week 12 Week 13 Total
LeGarrette Blount 16 30 37 14 97
Jay Ajayi 16 30 37 14 83
Corey Clement 28 19 15 28 90

 

It’s important to note that Clement received almost twice as many snaps as Blount or Ajayi in a very important game against the Seahawks. The pace of the game would lead you to believe that the Eagles had Clement in as the receiving back, but Clement has just as many receptions (four) as Ajayi since he joined the Eagles. That could make things blurry for fantasy owners heading into 2018, but not so much for me. We will discuss that more later though.

It’s great when you look at snap counts, because it shows you who is on the field the most. More time on the field equals more opportunities to score points. Volume is an argument that most people will use when looking at starting a player. I get it, same concept as above. The more opportunities the better. I always argue there is a difference between volume and quality volume. In Los Angeles, Melvin Gordon leads his backfield by a wide margin. He currently has 207 rushing attempts to Austin Ekelers’ 41 attempts. Gordon though is only averaging 3.7 yards per carry. He is only top 10 in rushing yards because of his volume. So since Week 9, which Eagles running back is doing the most with his attempts?

Player Total Yards* Touches Yds/Att
LeGarrette Blount 217 45 4.8
Jay Ajayi 257 34 7.55
Corey Clement 192 30 6.4
* Since Week 9

 

Ajayi is the clear winner as it comes to effectiveness. Clement and Ajayi both have the advantage of adding receptions to their touches while Blount has not had a reception since Week 9. As I mentioned above, this is turning into the Patriots backfield. Any player in any given week could lead the backfield snaps, someone else could lead the touches and someone else could actually get the fantasy points. During Ajayi’s first week, Clement led the touches and scored three touchdowns, more than he had all season up to that point. No one called that right?

Long term, there is no confusion about this backfield. Blount may still be leading the backfield in 2017, but he will be moving on this offseason. Blount was signed to a one-year deal and was signed really late in the offseason. Even after 18 TDs last year, teams were not jumping at the opportunity to add him to the depth chart. Even though Blount, Ajayi and Clement are the only ones mentioned right now, don’t forget that the Eagles still have Wendell Smallwood and 2017 fourth round pick Donnel Pumphrey on the roster.

Ajayi has been the most effective back for the Eagles since the trade. Overall though, he has to be one of the biggest busts in 2017 based on ADP. He was the RB4 or RB5 in most drafts and hasn’t come close to those expectations. There is a reason the Dolphins moved him for just a fourth round pick. Ajayi has long term issues with his knees. There is no telling how long they may actually hold up. He could be done this week, next year or a couple years down the road. Anyway it goes, I am not going to trust his knees to remain healthy. In redraft leagues, absolutely take a flier at the right price. Dynasty owners should steer clear though.

In dynasty leagues, Clement is the Eagles running back to be owned. He will offer the most upside moving forward. When Blount is out of the picture next year, Clement and Ajayi will have an equal split. The Eagles will want to keep Ajayi healthy which will lead to plenty of opportunities for Clement. This offseason will be a great opportunity to move on Clement. Ajayi looks like he could finish the year strong and based on past performance and hype, people will want as many Ajayi shares as possible. In a perfect world, you will own Ajayi and Clement.

This Eagles offense will only get better and Wentz will be the next Aaron Rodgers. It will be a fun offense to watch and the running backs will benefit from great weapons around them. We have only heard about Wentz because of his stellar play this year, and rightfully so. Typically, you hear more about a MVP candidate than a running back committee. However, Philadelphia’s run game deserves a ton of credit and maybe has helped Wentz to some of his success this year. The Eagles run game ranks second with 143.3 rushing yards per game, third with 375 rushing attempts on the year and fourth with 4.6 yards per carry.

 

What to Watch For

This game in particular is going to be fun to watch. The Eagles are coming off a tough loss against the Seahawks and will be facing the Rams in what could be a preview of the NFC Championship game. The Rams defense is giving up 122.8 yards rushing per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL. They are also giving up 22.15 fantasy points against running backs this year, the second most of any team. Wentz has it in him to take over a shootout and go against the best.

In this game, on the road, the Eagles will look to control the game though. They want to keep Jared Goff and Todd Gurley off the field as long as possible. When you have the luxury of three running backs, all of which are performing well, controlling the game becomes a lot easier. Over the last four weeks, the Eagles backfield has averaged 27.25 touches per game and Wentz has averaged 33.75 attempts. Wentz is going to keep his attempts under 30 this Sunday though and let his backs do the heavy lifting.

 

More 2017 Dynasty League Strategy




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Calvin Ridley

Not Taking Part in OTAs as Value Continues to Plummet
Carnell Tate

Receiving Early Buzz at OTAs
Ashton Jeanty

Bigger Role Could be Coming for Ashton Jeanty in Year 2
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Malik Nabers

' Goal is to be Ready for Start of the Season
De'Von Achane

Dealing With Injury at OTAs?
Dalton Kincaid

Says he Feels "Really Good"
Keenan Allen

Door isn't Closed for Keenan Allen in Los Angeles
Ty Simpson

Does Ty Simpson Have First-Round Appeal in Rookie Drafts?
Fernando Mendoza

Working Behind Other QBs
Cam Ward

is "Perfectly Healthy"
James Cook III

Absent From OTA Practices This Week
Darnell Washington

Is it Time to Drop Darnell Washington in Dynasty Leagues?
Fernando Mendoza

a Top Dynasty Target Even if He Doesn't Start Week 1?
Tyreek Hill

Dynasty Outlook Dependent on Landing Spot
Mack Hollins

Should Managers Trade for Mack Hollins Amid Roster Questions?
Michael Wilson

a Prime Dynasty Sell Candidate
Jake Ferguson

Insurance Upside Makes Him a Borderline TE1 in Dynasty
Brock Bowers

One of the Most Valuable Assets in Dynasty
Devin Vassell

Contributes 22 Points in Wednesday's Loss
Mike Gesicki

Still Provides Some Dynasty Insurance as His Standalone Value Fades
Stephon Castle

Tallies Team-High 25 Points in Game 2 Loss
Victor Wembanyama

Records Eighth Postseason Double-Double
Philadelphia Eagles

Nolan Smith Arrested for Speeding and Reckless Driving
Isaiah Hartenstein

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Leads Thunder to Game 2 Victory WIth 30 Points
Dylan Harper

Exits Game 2 Early Due to Right-Leg Injury
Jalen Williams

Suffers Another Hamstring Injury
Valeri Nichushkin

Ends Scoring Slump in Game 1 Loss
Nathan MacKinnon

Extends Point Streak With an Assist
Brett Howden

Pots Another Goal in Game 1 Win Against Avalanche
Tomas Hertl

Extends Point Streak to Four Games
Pavel Dorofeyev

Scores in Fourth Straight Outing
Carter Hart

Records Third Consecutive Win
Timothy Liljegren

Capitals Re-Sign Timothy Liljegren to Two-Year Extension
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
New York Giants

Giants Offense to be a Run-First Unit?
Chicago Bulls

Jerry Stackhouse Emerges as Bulls Head-Coach Candidate
Cooper Flagg

Kon Knueppel Headline All-Rookie Team
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 2 on Wednesday
Jiri Kulich

Aims to Return Next Season
Jeremy Lauzon

Not Expected to Play Wednesday
Mark Stone

Likely to Remain Out Wednesday
Scott Wedgewood

Starting Western Conference Finals for Avalanche
Sam Malinski

Set to Return Wednesday
Artturi Lehkonen

Expected to Play Wednesday Night
Cale Makar

Will Miss Game 1 Against Golden Knights
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
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Notre Dame-Stanford Rivalry Renewed Through 2028
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Ahmad Hardy Says He's "Back to the Road to Success"
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Texas Tech Graduate Judge Recuses Himself from Brendan Sorsby Case
CFB

UCLA Tackle Jordan Davis Officially Eligible for 2026 Season
CFB

Bret Bielema Supports Significant College Football Playoff Expansion
Michael Thorbjornsen

Brings High Upside to CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Luke List

Carrying Poor Form Into CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Tom Kim

Hoping to Build on Strong Myrtle Beach Finish
PGA

Sungjae Im Brings Upside to TPC Craig Ranch
Billy Horschel

Looking for Turnaround at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Adam Hadwin

Difficult to Trust at TPC Craig Ranch
Tony Finau

Looking for Consistency at TPC Craig Ranch
Luke Clanton

Searching for Form at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Aaron Rai

Withdraws From CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Wyndham Clark

Can Wyndham Clark Find Form at CJ Cup?
Si Woo Kim

Looks To Stay Hot at CJ Cup
James Harden

Struggles in Eastern Conference Finals Opener
Evan Mobley

Bags Second Consecutive Double-Double
Donovan Mitchell

Produces Top Two-Way Performance in Game 1 Loss
OG Anunoby

Plays Key Role in Comeback Win
Mikal Bridges

Remains Efficient in Game 1 Against Cavaliers
Karl-Anthony Towns

Extends Double-Double Streak to Four Games
Jalen Brunson

Leads Knicks to Historic Comeback Win
Scottie Scheffler

to Defend CJ Cup Byron Nelson Title This Week
Jordan Spieth

Looking For Victory at TPC Craig Ranch
PGA

Matti Schmid Looks to Keep Recent Momentum Going at TPC Craig Ranch
Brooks Koepka

a High-Upside Play at CJ Cup Byron Nelson
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Exits Early on Tuesday After Being Hit By Pitch
Dean Wade

Returns to Starting Unit Tuesday
OG Anunoby

Starting on Tuesday
Tobias Harris

May Remain in Motown
Jalen Duren

Pistons Eager to Keep Jalen Duren
Chris Kirk

Continues Search For Putting Form at TPC Craig Ranch
Rasmus Hojgaard

Looking to Shake Off Poor Major Showing at TPC Craig Ranch
Joel Dahmen

is of No DFS Consideration This Week in Dallas
Pierceson Coody

is Not The Fun DFS Play He Used to Be
Gerrit Cole

to Make Season Debut on Friday Against Rays
Drake Baldwin

Braves Place Drake Baldwin on Injured List With Oblique Strain
CFB

Ezavier Crowell has Immediate Opportunity at Alabama
CFB

Mark Bowman a Day 1 Impact Player for USC?
CFB

Bill Belichick Says Relationship with First North Carolina Team "Wasn't Great"
CFB

Kemario Taylor a Breakout Candidate at Quarterback
CFB

Trinidad Chambliss the Undisputed Top SEC Quarterback Entering 2026?
CFB

Rocco Becht The "Unifier" of Penn State's Roster
Mattias Samuelsson

Picks Up an Assist in Season-Ending Loss
Rasmus Dahlin

Nets Fourth Postseason Goal
Jakub Dobes

Records 37 Saves in Game 7 Win
Lane Hutson

Contributes Power-Play Assist in Game 7 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Extends Road Point Streak
Alex Newhook

Scores Series-Clincher in Overtime
Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Set to Start Game 7
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
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