X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

Tape Tells All: Analyzing Cordarrelle Patterson's Week 3 Performance

Cordarrelle Patterson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Welcome back to Tape Tells All, the weekly series where I look at film and data for something that happened in the NFL this week.

Today, I want to look at a player who set a new career-high in rushing yards in Week 3: Atlanta Falcons running back Cordarrelle Patterson.

In Week 3, Patterson had 17 carries, finishing with 141 yards and a touchdown. The former wide receiver has become a full-time running back, to the point where he had 49 carries this season and just four receptions. Who would have thought Patterson would be more impactful in standard scoring than in PPR?

Featured Promo: Our friends at RIVAL Fantasy have created fun and unique DFS games including over/under contests and Fantasy Bingo. Use promo code BALLER to get a free year of RotoBaller Premium access ($199 value), and a $50 risk-free deposit. Play Now!

 

Background Information

Cordarrelle Patterson was drafted in the first round of the 2013 NFL Draft by the Minnesota Vikings. At the time, he was a wide receiver and a return specialist. As a rookie, he returned two kicks for touchdowns, including a 109-yarder. He also had 45 receptions that season, and saw 12 carries and three rushing scores.

For much of Patterson's career, he's received carries in the run game, but early on, it was on gadget plays. It wasn't until 2018 that we started to see him used as a running back, when he saw 42 carries with New England. But the nest year, he was back to wide receiver with the Bears.

2020 was where the change solidified. The Bears needed a running back, so Patterson filled in, setting a career-high with 64 carries. In 2021, he moved to the Falcons, where he became the starting running back, with 153 carries for 618 yards and six touchdowns.

This year, Patterson has continued in that role. Through three games, he has 49 carries for 302 yards, but just seven targets. The Falcons have taken his move to running back as seriously as possible, using him pretty exclusively in that role.

And he's doing well with that role! Patterson has a pair of 100-plus yard games already, with two rushing touchdowns this season. He looks like one of the NFL's best running backs so far. But will it keep up? Let's dive into some film and numbers from Week 3 and try to get a sense of what we should think about Patterson.

 

The Cordarrelle Patterson Game Tape

The Seattle Seahawks just had no answer for Patterson on Sunday.

Patterson gets a lot of credit for his kick return ability throughout his career. Being a good kick returner depends on a lot of things, but one of those things is vision. With the other team barreling toward you, you've got to be able to survey what's happening and make some quick moves to find space.

And that's what he's doing as a runner. On the play above, he senses a defender coming at his around the line of scrimmage and hops over him, then makes a quick cut. The block that he was expecting failed, so Patterson ends up coming face to face with a Seahawks defender. He bodies him—the end result is that Patterson goes down, but it shows how tough a runner is that he was able to knock the defender down and that Patterson only went to the ground because that defender managed to grab his leg as he fell.

This play is even more impressive from the broadcast camera:

Impressive stuff from Patterson. But that wasn't his only impressive moment.

Patterson just runs so seamlessly. The idea of putting someone with Patterson's speed in the backfield is a really good idea in theory, but there are so many ways that it could go wrong. A converted receiver might have fumbling issues because he's touching the ball more and is being hit by lineman/linebackers more often than he's used to. He might have vision issues, because he's looking at the field in a different way. He might have trouble getting past the line, because he's used to playing a more vertical game.

But Patterson is unique. All the years of being used on the occasional run play has helped him understand what's needed in that phase of the game. It's like Deebo Samuel—he's used as a runner enough that I now believe he could be really good as a full-time back, just like Patterson.

Again, vision. The offensive line opens a hole and Patterson scoots through that hole, and once he's through, he's off to the races. Patterson is just as dangerous as a Christian McCaffrey or Saquon Barkley once he's in space. The concern with him has been if he'll be able to get into that space.

Per the NFL's Next Gen Stats, Patterson ranks fifth in efficiency, which measures the distance a player travels on run plays. What that means is that Patterson hasn't spent a lot of time running horizontally—he isn't searching for holes; he sees the hole quickly and gets running north-south, increasing the likelihood that he can get into the open field faster and make positive plays.

 

Cordarrelle Patterson Fantasy Football Impact

So, how did Week 3 change the way I view Patterson in fantasy?

I'm officially all in on Patterson now, to the point where I view him as a borderline RB1 going forward. I know that might seem a little extreme, but 66% of Patterson's game so far have been what I would call a "very very good game." That's a nice hit rate, right?

Beyond that, it's hard to see the touches going away. Patterson has 49 carries this season, while backup running back Tyler Allgeier has 16. And the Falcons aren't throwing the football, as their 79 attempts rank as the second-lowest mark in the NFL, ahead of only the Bears.

So, let me get this straight: the Falcons don't throw the ball much, and Cordarrelle Patterson has a bell-cow role at running back. Hmm. That's a pretty perfect situation for him. I mean...Patterson isn't on the field for every snap or anything, but his snap rate has been in the 60% range every week, and he's getting significantly more work than anyone else in the run game, and producing more on those touches.

Cordarrelle Patterson is a fantasy RB1. I could still be wrong about that, but at this point, I'm putting my foot down and saying it. There could be a major shift in that at some point though, as the Falcons could eventually decide to start rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder, something that would materially change the circumstances in Atlanta. Would they throw more with Ridder? Would that cut into what Patterson does? Would they throw to Patterson more, potentially increasing his ceiling? I don't know!

But right now, Ridder isn't the QB. It's Mariota. And as long as it remains Mariota, I expect the Falcons to lean heavily on Patterson. Mariota is a solid game manager. Atlanta doesn't want to put too much on his plate.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!




Win Big With RotoBaller

Be sure to also check out all of our other daily fantasy football articles and analysis to help you set those winning lineups, including this new RotoBaller YouTube video:

More Fantasy Football Analysis




LINEUP RESOURCES

Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
Fantasy Updates
24x7 News and Alerts

ROTOBALLER PLAYER NEWS

Roope Hintz14 mins ago

Racks Up Four Points Sunday
DeeJay Dallas22 mins ago

Limps To The Locker Room
Alex Iafallo23 mins ago

Nearing Return
Kenneth Walker III30 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Martin Fehervary33 mins ago

Won't Be Ready To Play Monday
Jaylen Waddle38 mins ago

Questionable To Return On Sunday
Alex Pietrangelo43 mins ago

Still Out Monday
Hayden Hurst46 mins ago

Done For Rest Of Week 13
Jack Eichel54 mins ago

A Doubt For Monday
Jimmy Garoppolo55 mins ago

Won't Return On Sunday
Jimmy Garoppolo1 hour ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Jordan Kyrou1 hour ago

Battling An Illness
Treylon Burks3 hours ago

Ruled Out Sunday
Trae Young3 hours ago

Practices On Sunday
James Harden3 hours ago

On Pace To Play Monday
Brandon Bolden3 hours ago

Josh Jacobs, Brandon Bolden Officially Active In Week 13
Alex Caruso3 hours ago

Questionable For Sunday
Mikal Bridges3 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Joe Mixon3 hours ago

Not Cleared In Time For Week 13
NFL3 hours ago

Ja’Marr Chase Officially Active Sunday
Doug McDermott3 hours ago

Josh Richardson Out On Sunday
Courtland Sutton3 hours ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Lamar Jackson4 hours ago

Officially Ruled Out Sunday
Deebo Samuel4 hours ago

Trent Williams Officially Active Sunday
Aaron Jones4 hours ago

Returns Versus Bears
Aaron Jones4 hours ago

Questionable To Return In Week 13
Treylon Burks4 hours ago

Evaluated After Scary Hit
Lamar Jackson4 hours ago

Questionable To Return Sunday
Josh Jacobs6 hours ago

Will Play In Week 13
Zay Jones6 hours ago

Travis Etienne Jr., Zay Jones Active In Week 13
Darius Slayton6 hours ago

Active For Week 13
Michael Carter6 hours ago

Officially Out Against Vikings
Bryan Reynolds7 hours ago

Pirates Offered Bryan Reynolds Franchise-Record Deal
Dansby Swanson7 hours ago

Cubs, Phillies Showing Interest In Dansby Swanson
Mitchell Marner9 hours ago

Sets New Record With 19-Game Point Streak
Kasperi Kapanen9 hours ago

Hits His Second Career Hat Trick
Connor McDavid9 hours ago

Tallies Two Goals, Two Assists Saturday
Radko Gudas9 hours ago

Lasts For Just Two Minutes Saturday
Darcy Kuemper9 hours ago

Forced Off Early
Petr Mrazek9 hours ago

Suffers Another Groin Injury
Artturi Lehkonen9 hours ago

Sustains An Upper-Body Injury
Anfernee Simons10 hours ago

Explodes For Career-High 45 Points
Andrew Wiggins10 hours ago

Scores Season-High 36 Points
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander10 hours ago

Returns With A 33-Point Effort
Pascal Siakam10 hours ago

Gets A Double-Double With Assists
Terry Rozier10 hours ago

Delivers 26 Points Saturday
Bobby Portis10 hours ago

Leads Bucks To Victory Saturday
Tim Hardaway10 hours ago

Jr. Hits Knicks With Eight Treys
Juancho Hernangomez11 hours ago

Exits With An Ankle Sprain
Jeremy Sochan17 hours ago

Out Versus The Suns On Sunday
Jakob Poeltl17 hours ago

Remains Out Versus Phoenix
Torrey Craig18 hours ago

Sidelined For Meeting With The Spurs
Mikal Bridges18 hours ago

Probable Against San Antonio
Chris Paul19 hours ago

Won't Be Back On Sunday
Herbert Jones19 hours ago

Sitting Again Versus The Nuggets
Brandon Ingram19 hours ago

Out Against Denver
Jeff Green20 hours ago

Questionable Against The Pelicans
Anthony Cirelli1 day ago

Will Play Saturday
Brayden Schenn1 day ago

Good To Go Saturday
Josh Manson1 day ago

Considered Week-To-Week
Anton Lundell1 day ago

Unavailable Saturday
Thatcher Demko1 day ago

Out For Six Weeks
Lawson Crouse1 day ago

Returns For Coyotes
Brock Boeser1 day ago

Out As A Healthy Scratch
Bryan Reynolds1 day ago

Requesting A Trade
Kyle Gibson1 day ago

Orioles Agree With Kyle Gibson
Eddy Alvarez1 day ago

Brewers Sign Eddy Alvarez
Brandon Nimmo1 day ago

Yankees Have Met With Brandon Nimmo
Justin Verlander1 day ago

Mets, Yankees Interested In Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Jameson Taillon1 day ago

Mets, Rangers In On Jameson Taillon
Noah Syndergaard1 day ago

Orioles Meet With Noah Syndergaard
Justin Verlander1 day ago

Mets Now Looking At Justin Verlander
Trea Turner1 day ago

Padres Have Met With Trea Turner Twice
Kevin Holland1 day ago

Hoping To Rebound With Main-Event Victory
Stephen Thompson1 day ago

Set To Headline Main Event
Bryan Barberena1 day ago

Will Highlight Co-Main-Event Matchup
Rafael Dos Anjos1 day ago

Rafael dos Anjos In Saturday's Co-Main Event
Johnny Gaudreau1 day ago

Has Another Multi-Point Performance
Matt Schnell2 days ago

Matthew Christopher Schnell Hoping To Be A Tough Out
Matheus Nicolau2 days ago

Can Continue To Make Strides In The Division
Jacob deGrom2 days ago

Signs Five-Year Deal With Rangers
Jason Castro2 days ago

Announces His Retirement
Lewin Díaz2 days ago

Lewin Diaz Claimed By Orioles
Andrew Cave2 days ago

Phillies Claim Jake Cave Off Waivers From Orioles
Sergei Pavlovich2 days ago

Can Secure Fifth Straight Win Saturday
Justin Verlander2 days ago

Yankees In On Justin Verlander, Carlos Rodon
Chris Martin2 days ago

Agrees With Red Sox
Jesse Winker2 days ago

Abraham Toro Heading To Brewers
Kolten Wong2 days ago

Mariners Acquire Kolten Wong From The Brewers
Tai Tuivasa2 days ago

Facing Off Against Dangerous Heavyweight
Jack Hermansson2 days ago

Looking For Victory Over Rising Star
Roman Dolidze2 days ago

Set For Huge Test Saturday
Kyle Daukaus2 days ago

Looking For Big Finish Saturday
Zack Britton2 days ago

Should Be Full-Go For Spring Training
Salvador Perez2 days ago

White Sox Looking To Trade For Salvador Perez?
Eryk Anders2 days ago

Hoping To Prevent Losing Skid On Saturday

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP