Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:


Already have an account? Log in here.


Forgot Password


NFL Survivor League Picks (Week 17) - Game Predictions

It only took 16 weeks for the NFL to get back on its axis. That's right, Blake Bortles threw a pick-six. It was his first of the season and 12th since 2014, most in the NFL.

We also saw more teams eliminated and watched the AFC South continue to leave a horrid stench and make us wonder how that division may get two teams in the playoffs.

Let's take a look at the playoff picture.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!


Playoff Picture


1. Patriots 2. Steelers
Both teams have clinched byes. Pittsburgh needs a win and a New England loss to clinch home-field.

3. Jaguars 4. Chiefs
Both teams clinched their divisions and are locked into their seeds.

5. Ravens 6. Titans 7. Chargers 8. Bills
If the Ravens or Titans win they're in. Chargers and Bills both need help.


1. Eagles 2. Vikings
Eagles have clinched home-field. Vikings win and they clinch the bye.

3. Rams 4. Saints 5. Panthers
The Rams are the only team of these three to clinch their division. If New Orleans wins, they clinch the NFC South. If they lose and Carolina wins, then the Panthers win the division. If the Panthers win and the Vikings, Rams, and Saints ALL lose, they get a bye.

6. Falcons 7. Seahawks
If Atlanta beats Carolina, they're in. If they lose and Seattle wins, the Seahawks get in. Simple enough.


Rant of the Week

I could rant about some dumb coaching decisions this week, but I'm going to shift my focus towards the NFL. I  understand not having a Sunday night game on Christmas Eve, especially with a Monday doubleheader. But to not have one this coming Sunday in Week 17 is unheard of. The NFL claims, "We felt that both from a competitive standpoint and from a fan perspective, the most fair thing to do is to schedule all Week 17 games in either the 1 p.m. or 4:25 p.m. ET windows. This ensures that we do not have a matchup on Sunday Night Football on New Year's Eve that because of earlier results has no playoff implications for one or both of the competing teams."

Well here's a thought; why not put the Panthers at Falcons game that Sunday night? Let's assume the Seahawks beat the Drew Stanton-led Cardinals. That sets the stage for a do-or-die game Sunday night. Carolina may not have a chance to win the division, but at least it determines the final playoff team. There have been many instances where the Sunday night game in Week 17 only had one team playing for the playoffs. Foe example, the Titans beat the Colts in 2007, or when the Jets beat the Bengals in 2010.


Survivor League Strategy

If you are still in a survivor pool, don't fret. The order of the games I pick are from my top plays to worst.

These lines are from on Thursday.

Last week my top picks were 0-1-1, my secondary picks were 4-1 and the rest of the bunch were 5-4.

Favorites are continuing to kill it. They were 13-3 straight-up last week. There still hasn't been that shocking double-digit upset since maybe the Bills beat the Chiefs in Arrowhead several weeks ago.

Here is one stat to keep in mind, courtesy of John Ewing of the The Action Network, "Since 2003, teams in must-win games during Week 17 have gone 56-68-4 (45.2%) ATS. Teams playing at home in must-win Week 17 games have gone 31-42-2 (42.5%) ATS since 2003."

Not what you expected, right?


Top Picks for Week 17

These are my best bets in order of confidence:

DOLPHINS +2.5 vs. Bills

Last week I predicted the Bills would lose their two remaining games against New England and Miami so I'm sticking with it. The Bills have been known to lose this game since the year 2000. Watch them do it again.

Prediction: Dolphins 24 - Bills 20 

Panthers +4 @ FALCONS

You're getting a free point if you take the Panthers. With all of the Falcons weapons from Devonta Freeman to Tevin Coleman to Julio Jones to Mohamed Sanu, to Austin Hooper, they are 15th in scoring. And yes, I purposely didn't include Matt Ryan. The memory of the Panthers winning 34-3 two years ago in Atlanta in Week 17 for the division crown still is vivid in my mind.

Prediction: Panthers 31 - Falcons 23

Saints -7 @ BUCS

The Saints need to win to clinch the NFC South. The Bucs gave it their all the past two weeks narrowly losing in games they should have won. The Bucs defense will not be able to slow down Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram. Their rush defense is T-24 and 31st in DVOA.

Prediction: Saints 35 - Bucs 14

Redskins -3 @ GIANTS

This game means zero. But the Redskins should roll. Kirk Cousins is real good and should have no problem slicing up a depleted secondary. Cousins is going to become a free agent so he could make $28-$34 million under the franchise tag or get a guaranteed deal exceeding Matthew Stafford's record $92 million guaranteed. This is Cousins's last audition to play well and he will go out with a bang.

Prediction: Redskins 30 - Giants 17


Secondary Picks for Week 17

These are plays I like, a level below my best bets in order of confidence:

PATRIOTS -15.5 vs. Jets

This is the most simple and logical way to look at this game. How many points can the Bryce Petty-led Jets score? I'd say 14 tops. New England averages 29.

As a Jets fan it is absurd that Christian Hackenberg hasn't thrown an NFL pass yet. Here's my hot take; if Hackenberg is as bad as everyone says, then the media will erupt and say, 'how could you draft this guy as a second-round pick? The scouts and coaching staff deserves to be fired!' However if you don't play Hackenberg, he is still a second-round prospect who we know nothing about. You can hang your hat on a potential prospect easier than a second-round bust.

Prediction: Patriots 38 - Jets 14

Chiefs +3.5 @ BRONCOS

We get to see Patrick Mahomes for the first time this Sunday. I can't wait. The Broncos are starting Paxton Lynch. Mahomes will play with nothing to lose and throw for over 300 yards. Gut feeling.

Prediction: Chiefs 27 - Broncos 10

49ers -4.5 @ RAMS

This line opened as touchdown favorites and it swung 11 points in the Niner's direction. That's because the Rams will be benching their starters. I've taken the Niners every week since Jimmy G took over and he's come through so why would that stop me now?

Prediction: 49ers 24 - Rams 17

Raiders +8 @ CHARGERS

The Chargers are just a weird team. I'm not sure how they only put up 14 points on Sunday against a Jets defense that isn't very good. The Raiders played shockingly well in Philadelphia Christmas night.

I'll follow the stat I listed above and go against the home dog that needs to win even though it makes no sense.

Prediction: Chargers 24 - Raiders 17 

Bengals +9.5 @ RAVENS

Andy Dalton is 2-4 in Baltimore however the outcome in five of those games has been by one possession. The Bengals had nothing to play for last week and knocked the Lions out of the playoffs. They will want to do the same to a division rival who is vastly overrated.

DFS ALERT: A.J. Green will have a monster game. In his career against the Ravens (nine games), he's averaged five receptions, 88 yards and has six touchdowns in those games.

The Ravens have nine wins. Those came against the Bengals, Browns twice, Raiders, Dolphins, Packers, Texans, Lions, and Colts. Name me one of those teams that is good. I'm waiting. None of those teams are playoff teams. And by the way, their five losses have been to the Jaguars, Steelers twice, Bears, Vikings, Titans. Oh, what do you know, three of those teams are in the playoffs and the Titans need to win and they're in. To put the final touches on my case for how bad the Ravens are, they are 31st in yards per play.

The Bengals play the Ravens tough so often in Baltimore  I'm going out on a limb and taking the Bengals to win outright and carry Marvin Lewis off the field.

Prediction: Bengals 24 - Ravens 20


The Rest of the Bunch

These are games that I am not certain about. In order of importance:

TITANS -3.5 vs. Jaguars

As much as the Titans stink, the Jaguars have nothing to play for. The Titans will win this game and make the playoffs as one of the worst playoff teams in recent memory.

Prediction: Titans 19 - Jaguars 14

Cardinals +9 @ SEAHAWKS

Since 2012, the Cards are 3-2 in Seattle. To put that in perspective, the Seahawks have been beaten nine times at home in that span, no team more than once. After the fake news report that Bruce Arians was leaving, I expect he will have his team ready to go and ruin Seattle's season. This will be much closer than expected.

Prediction: Seahawks 23 - Cardinals 19 

Browns +11 @ STEELERS

I've really been pulling for the Browns to win one game this year. You gotta feel for a team that goes 0-16. The only team to ever accomplish that were the '08 Lions. I  also had the Browns in an underdog pool and I've been taking them every week. Besides for my selfish reasons, it's really sad what the Browns have become. They were once the premiere team of the NFL. They won four NFL championships from 1950 through 1964, three of those in five seasons under legendary coach Paul Brown. Jim Brown, inarguably the greatest football (and lacrosse) player of all time played for the Browns. Since I started watching football when I was five-years-old in the year 2000, the Browns have been good twice. They were so close to beating the Steelers in the 2003 Wild Card playoffs and in 2007 when Derek Anderson led a fun team to a 10-6 record narrowly missing out on the playoffs. That's it. It's really sad what they've become.

Prediction: Steelers 38 - Browns 16

Beats +11.5 @ VIKINGS

The Vikings defense is going to throttle Mitchell Trubisky. This may get violent. Minnesota also needs to win to clinch a first-round bye so they will go all out in this one. The Bears anemic offense stands zero chance.

Prediction: Vikings 34 - Bears 10


These games don't matter. 

EAGLES +3 vs. Cowboys

I think Nick Foles will play to build some confidence before the playoffs. The Cowboys are eliminated so you have to wonder if they will even show up.

Prediction: Eagles 24 - Cowboys 23

Packers +6.5 @ LIONS

The Lions just were eliminated by a team who was outscored 87-17 the prior 10 quarters. I think they come out flat and play like zombies, similar to their head coach.

Prediction: Packers 23 - Lions 20 

COLTS -4 vs. Texans

This game is awful. I'll just take the four points.

Prediction: Colts 23 - Texans 21


Any questions? Feel free to ask me on Twitter @Seth_Fink. Thanks for reading my article this entire season. Best of luck and happy new year!


More Weekly Lineup Prep

More Recent Articles


Updated Week 7 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 7 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 7 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Josh Gordon has officially been ruled out for Week 7. Todd Gurley was not on the final injury report and is expected to play. David Johnson (ankle)... Read More

Wide Receiver Matchups To Target in Week 7

In Week 6, Julio Jones didn't score, but he came through with a decent fantasy day, going over 100-yards receiving. Brandin Cooks brutal Week 6 showing was a little bit of a surprise given his 2018 track record against the 49ers, but the Rams offensive line was overwhelmed which led to a rough day for... Read More

Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 7

Welcome to our Week 7 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More

Week 7 Start/Sit: Monday Night Football Matchups Analysis

Even if this doesn’t turn out to be great MNF game, at least it's a divisional game with some importance. This is what Jets fans need to tell themselves heading into their second Monday Night Football game of the season. With the New England Patriots coming to town off their annual semi-bye in which they... Read More

The King's Key Starters and Tough Calls - Lineup Spotlights for Week 7

Welcome to Week 7, RotoBallers! Below you will find some of my spotlight plays and tough lineup decisions for the upcoming week of the fantasy football season. These player selections are based off my Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller's NFL Premium Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for a... Read More

Fantasy Football Rookies to Watch - Darius Slayton, Jakobi Meyers, Josh Oliver

Week 7 is here RotoBallers, which means we're smack dab in the middle of the regular fantasy season! In case you are new to this column, each week we'll highlight a few first-year players who are worth keeping your eye on. Not all of the players listed below are must-starts, but all of them are... Read More

Fleaflicker's Most Added and Dropped: Week 7

Every year and in every sport, a few teams march effortlessly towards the ultimate prize as if it's been preordained. When seemingly invincible teams like these are beaten, it's not always by the quality of their opponent but instead by their own psychological mindset. They look past a lesser opponent and fall victim to the... Read More

Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 7 Josh Gordon has officially been ruled out for Week 7. Todd Gurley was not on the final injury... Read More

Week 7 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More

Pass Rush vs QB Matchups to Watch - Week 7

It's Week 7 and the injuries just keep piling up. Heading into this week, six different teams will be starting quarterbacks that were not their opening-day starters, and that doesn't take into account teams like the Indianapolis Colts or Kansas City Chiefs, who just lost quarterback Patrick Mahomes (knee) for at least three weeks. To... Read More

Offensive Line Rankings Analysis: Week 7

In Week 6, we once again saw some great football, starting with the New England Patriots continuing their undefeated start to the season and ending with one of the most controversial games of the week as the Green Bay Packers overcame the Detroit Lions. The London games continued with Jameis Winston struggling once again, this... Read More

Is Stefon Diggs Really Back?

Weeks 1-5: 4.6 targets, 3.2 receptions, 50.6 yards per game, one touchdown. Week 6: 11 targets, eight receptions, 167 yards, three touchdowns. All of these numbers show a marked improvement on the season averages of Stefon Diggs in Minnesota. But, do they tell the whole story? Do they really signify that Diggs should be considered... Read More

Inside the Tent - Week 7 NFL Injury Insight

At RotoBaller, we can't stress enough the importance of keeping up with injuries and playing your best lineup week after week. Players are going to get injured, that's an unavoidable fact. What's avoidable though is making the wrong roster decisions based on the injuries surrounding your fantasy squad. If you want to dominate your leagues... Read More

Week 7 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2019 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Below are RotoBaller's Week 7 defense tiers and rankings, or which defenses to stream, start and target off the waiver wire for Week 7 of the NFL and fantasy football season. In case you missed it, this is our seventh year now writing this weekly column. Our weekly tiered defense rankings are a guide to making waiver... Read More

Week 7 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that bye weeks are in full swing; streaming becomes a more viable and almost necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions throughout the season could easily be the difference in winning a championship. Each week, I... Read More