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Five Boom or Bust Plays for Week 12

Welcome back, RotoBallers. In this article, I will cover five of my favorite boom or bust plays for Week 12 of the fantasy football season.

The Boom or Bust play is one of the most talked about aspects of fantasy football each week. Boom or Bust players can be used as lineup options in deeper leagues, when it appears you are a heavy underdog in your head-to-head matchup or even in Guaranteed Prize Pool Tournaments in DFS. Let's get rolling.

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Quarterback

Philip Rivers, Chargers QB at HOU

Philip Rivers has been a staple in the top 12 quarterbacks throughout his career, but he has fallen just short of that so far this season, averaging 21.54 fantasy points, good for QB14. One thing that has attributed to the dip in scoring has been the success of Melvin Gordon. Last season with the struggles of Gordon, San Diego was forced to pass early and often, and Rivers led the NFL in pass attempts and completions. This season, he is on pace to throw 590 passes, 71 less than last season. Not only has Rivers passing volume decreased, but with Gordon fourth in the NFL with nine rushing touchdowns, Rivers hasn't been able to benefit from the offense being better as a whole and is on pace to throw three more touchdowns and four more interceptions.

This week, Rivers and the Chargers are on the road against the Houston Texans. The Texans defense has been one of the stingiest against quarterbacks, allowing the fifth fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this season and have allowed only 16.4 points per game at home. Teams have been much more successful on the ground against the Texans defense as they have allowed the seventh most fantasy points to running backs so far this season, I expect this to be much more of a Melvin Gordon game than a Philip Rivers game.

Verdict: Bust

 

Running Back

Wendell Smallwood, Eagles RB vs GB

Wendell Smallwood was one of the most hyped rookie running backs early on this fantasy season. With his preseason injury and the success of Ryan Matthews early in the season, much of his hype subsided.

The prospects of Smallwood as a play this week is heavily reliant on whether or not Mathews and Darren Sproles play. What makes this more difficult is that the Eagles play on Monday night, so if you are deciding between Smallwood and a non-Packers/Eagles running back, you likely won't have the benefit of knowing whether Sproles or Mathews will be playing. It appears Sproles is the more likely of the two to play right now and that would be beneficial for a Eagles offense that will likely be pass heavy against a Packers secondary that has allowed the most fantasy points to wide receivers. If Sproles and Mathews are out, Smallwood will get the touches necessary to be a solid start in Week 12.

Verdict:

Sproles In: Bust

Sproles Out: Boom

 

Wide Receiver

Devante Parker, Dolphins WR vs SF

For the most part, Devante Parker's sophomore season has been a relative disappointment. Before Week 10, Parker had five consecutive games with less than 10 PPR points, but it appears that Parker is starting to put things together as he has 13 catches for 182 receiving yards and a touchdown in his last two games.

Parker is looking more and more like we thought he would in the preseason. His relevancy is growing just in time for a premium matchup at home against a 49ers defense that has allowed the 2nd most fantasy points to wide receivers so far this season. The emergence of Parker has also been bad news for Jarvis Landry. Landry has often been referred to as volume dependent, but he has always seemed to get the necessary volume to be a solid fantasy wide receiver. Although, if Parker emerges as a true WR1, that could mean Landry is better off on your fantasy bench.

Verdict: Boom

 

Tight End

Will Tye, Giants TE at CLE

Will Tye was one of my favorite MFL10 targets this offseason. Although, that hasn't worked out for the most part as Tye and Donnell have been splitting the tight end receiving work so far this season. Donnell has missed the last two games with an unspecified injury, and in those two games, Tye has seen 13 targets, catching seven passes for 65 receiving yards and one touchdown.

In Week 12, Tye faces a Browns defense that has allowed the most fantasy points to tight ends so far this season. The Giants are seven point favorites with a team total of 24. There should be plenty of fantasy points to go around for Giants pass catchers. In the event Donnell plays, Tye becomes less attractive, but he would still be a viable option for fantasy players facing injury and Bye Week issues at the tight end position.

Verdict: Boom

 

Hail Mary of the Week

In the Hail Mary of the Week, I will choose a Boom/Bust candidate who is available on the waiver wire or at the end of benches in most fantasy football leagues and could have a big week:

Seth Roberts, Raiders WR vs CAR

We are really digging deep for this weeks Hail Mary pick. The Raiders/Panthers matchup has the second highest over/under remaining in the week at 49.5 with the Raiders being three point home favorites. Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree get the bulk of the receiving work for Oakland, but Seth Roberts has seen six or more targets in five of 10 games this season.

A lot of times, just finding an alternative option in a high scoring matchup can be a solid play and that is what I am projecting with Roberts. Oakland does rank ninth in the NFL in pass completions. They are facing a Panthers defense that has allowed the eighth most fantasy points to wide receivers.




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Chris Boucher

Active Thursday vs. Kings
Jalen Duren

Won't Return Thursday After Ankle Injury
Ryan Kalkbrenner

Ruled Out Again Friday
Josh Hart

Sidelined for Fourth Straight Game
Kyshawn George

to Miss Fourth Straight Game Friday
Joel Embiid

Cleared to Play Thursday vs. Mavericks
Jonas Valančiūnas

Jonas Valanciunas Ruled Out for At Least Four Weeks
Bo Bichette

Yankees Showing Interest in Bo Bichette
D'Angelo Russell

Ruled Out Thursday With Illness
George Kittle

Listed as Questionable for Week 18
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Active Versus Nets
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Trending Towards Playing
Clint Capela

Steven Adams and Clint Capela Sidelined Thursday
Miles Wood

Blue Jackets Place Miles Wood on Injured Reserve
Dak Prescott

May Not Play Full Game in Week 18
Conor Garland

to Miss One Week
Egor Demin

Won't Suit Up Against Houston
Marco Rossi

to Miss at Least One Week
Ace Bailey

Still Out on Thursday Night
Tari Eason

Active on Thursday
Yegor Chinakhov

Set for Penguins Debut Thursday
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out on Thursday
Tanner McKee

Will Start for Eagles in Week 18
Shayne Gostisbehere

Misses Third Consecutive Game Thursday
Keyonte George

Unavailable on Thursday
Michael Porter Jr.

Out on Thursday
Auston Matthews

Returns From One-Game Absence
Josh Allen

Trending Towards Resting in Week 18
William Nylander

Remains Out Thursday
Lamar Jackson

Will Officially Return in Week 18
Tobias Harris

Won't Suit Up Against Miami
Lauri Markkanen

on the Injury Report for Thursday Night
Keyonte George

Battling an Illness, Might Miss Thursday's Game
Jusuf Nurkić

Jusuf Nurkic Won't Play on Thursday Evening
Houston Astros

Astros Sign Tatsuya Imai to Three-Year Deal
Jordan Love

Clears Concussion Protocol, Won't Start in Week 18
George Kittle

"Absolutely" Expects to Play in Week 18
Clayton Tune

to Start for Packers in Week 18
Chris Olave

Ruled Out for Week 18
Tom Wilson

Wraps Up 2025 With Gordie Howe Hat Trick
Valeri Nichushkin

Nets Second Career Hat Trick
Frank Vatrano

to Miss Six Weeks With Shoulder Injury
Conor Sheary

Noah Laba Exit With Injuries Wednesday
Brayden McNabb

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Wednesday
Miles Wood

Exits Early Wednesday
Gavin Brindley

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Michael Porter Jr.

Battling Illness, Questionable Thursday
Davante Adams

Not Expected to Play in Week 18
Geno Smith

Won't Play in Week 18
Aaron Rodgers

Considering Playing Beyond 2025?
Sean Monahan

Sits Out Wednesday's Game
Zach Werenski

Misses Fourth Straight Game Wednesday
Dougie Hamilton

Questionable Wednesday
Radko Gudas

Expected to Remain Out Wednesday
Stefon Diggs

Expected to Play in Week 18
Ilya Lyubushkin

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Alex Lyon

to Miss "Bit of Time"
Erik Cernak

Rejoins Lightning Lineup Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey

Trending to Play in Week 18
Jalen Hurts

Eagles Expected to Rest Jalen Hurts, Most Starters in Week 18
George Kittle

49ers Will be "Very Surprised" if George Kittle Doesn't Play on Saturday
Marvin Harrison Jr.

Ruled Out for Regular-Season Finale
CFB

Lane Kiffin Interested in Sam Leavitt, Brendan Sorsby at LSU
CFB

Deuce Knight Officially Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Kewan Lacy Expected to Be Full-Go Against Georgia
Stefon Diggs

Facing Strangulation, Assault Charges
CFB

Chip Kelly Named Northwestern Offensive Coordinator
Riley Leonard

Will Start Against the Texans
Bijan Robinson

Explodes for 229 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns on Monday Night
CFB

Penn State Working to Hire D'Anton Lynn as Next Defensive Coordinator
CFB

Omar Cooper Expected to be Full-Go for Rose Bowl
CFB

Marcus Freeman Staying with Notre Dame for 2026 Season
CFB

Star Wideout Cam Coleman Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Jay Hill Expected to be Next Michigan Defensive Coordinator

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