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Fantasy Analysis: Early Post-Post-Hype Sleeper Breakouts

Remember when Chris Davis was a huge prospect? Remember how we got excited about him in 2008 and how quickly we forgot about him after that? He hasn't forgotten. And now, at age 27, this dude is producing like a top-shelf stud. In his last 160 games (139 last year/21 this year as of 4/24/13) his line looks like this:  .284 BA, 86 R, 165 Hits, 40 HR, 107 RBI. Davis is a prime example to never forget about players hyped years before they have a chance to hit their prime….and he’s putting those who gave up on him from ’09-’11 on bended knees praying for patience.

Other young arrivers to the show have reached maturity and they're clamoring to join your team.

Clay Buchholz on May 21, 2012Clay Buchholz impressed the fickle fantasy baseball community in his second major-league start on September 1, 2007, with a 9K no-hitter against the Orioles. He immediately climbed the 2008 fantasy draft boards and promptly fell on his face. He’s pitched two shutouts since ’07, both against the Orioles (’10 & ’12).  But this guy is only 28 years old and, judging by his progress from last season into this one (especially against the long ball this season), appears to be honing his craft. He entered 2013 with an ominous 666 innings pitched (666.1 to be exact), but he's erased any thoughts of a curse with 29 K in 30 IP, a 0.90 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, and 4-0 record, while giving up only one homer so far. Buchholz was somewhere around #90 on most SP draft boards in early March. As of today, he’s easily in the top five. It’s time to start believing, folks-- not just in Buchholz, but in the Sox in general.

Homer Bailey was #5 on Baseball America’s list of top prospects in 2007, touted as “The next great Texas fireballer in the tradition of Nolan Ryan and Roger Clemens.” So far, those comparisons haven't hit their mark. But the soon-to-be 27-year-old began his emergence last year in his sixth MLB season (13-10, 3.68 ERA, 168 K). When all is said and done, he may be the best #3 starter in the league this season. Find the unbelieving manager who owns him in your league and make your pitch.

Opening Day 074 Justin Upton croppedJustin Upton makes this list, but nobody needs to hear what he’s done so far this season. After his breakout 30/20 season in 2011, he moved into the top 5 on most draft lists. Last season’s regression from our expected production made him a steal in many leagues this season. If you have him, keep him. If not, figure out a way to get him, especially in keeper leagues. He’s only 25 years old, and already has 117 HR and 83 SB to go with a career .278 BA on his six-year résumé. This guy is going to be a beast for many years to come.

Tradin’ Stuff

Here's some quick hits on possible trade targets, and some guys to sell off if you can: Mitchell Boggs's window as the Cardinals closer has closed. If you need a closer and Edward Mujica is available, pounce! David Freese is struggling mightily with the wood, but don't count the 2011 World Series MVP out just yet. Tim Lincecum is going to rebound into his former self at some point this season. Count on it and trade while the picking is easy. Carlos Gomez did some work last week and has his average up to .300. Trade J.P. Arencibia and his 7 HR today for his perceived value. If you can get Desmond Jennings cheap, complete the transaction.

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Be sure to check out RotoBaller's Ultimate Waiver Wire Watch List for gems who might be hiding in your free agent pool!




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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Aims to Improve Ball-Handling Ability
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a Low-Cost Dynasty Depth Piece
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Jonas Valanciunas Attracting Interest From Europe
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a Dynasty Hold with Limited Upside
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Celtics Reportedly Not Interested in Giannis Antetokounmpo
Calvin Austin III

Can Calvin Austin III Build Dynasty Value in New York?
LeBron James

Reportedly Waiting for Lakers Approach
Jauan Jennings

Is Jauan Jennings' Brief Dynasty Peak Behind Him?
MON

Lane Hutson Struggles in Game 4 Loss
CAR

Logan Stankoven Nets Eighth Postseason Goal
CAR

Sebastian Aho Pots Game-Winner on Power Play
CAR

Nikolaj Ehlers Tallies Two Helpers in Impressive Road Win
CAR

Shayne Gostisbehere Records Two Assists in Game 4 Win
CAR

Frederik Andersen Establishes Hurricanes New Postseason Shutout Record
Yordan Alvarez

Continues Homer Barrage With Two More Long Balls on Wednesday
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Cristopher Sanchez Makes History With Seven More Shutout Innings Against Padres
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Teoscar Hernandez Lifted From Wednesday's Game Early With Hamstring Strain
Younghoe Koo

Jets Sign Kicker Younghoe Koo on Wednesday
Quinn Ewers

Looks Good in Wednesday's OTA Practice
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Exits Relief Appearance on Wednesday With Groin Injury
Ty Johnson

Taking Part in OTAs
Ja'Tavion Sanders

Cutting Laterally at OTAs
Tre' Harris

has Been a Top-Three Receiver During Offseason Program
Makai Lemon

Already Working With Starters in OTAs
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Undergoes Offseason Procedures, Not Taking Part in OTAs
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Might Not Return Until Midseason
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"For Sure" Plans to Play in 2026
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NBA Upgrades Mason Plumlee's Foul to a Flagrant 1
Victor Wembanyama

Receives Warning From NBA
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Hawks Promote Onsi Saleh to President of Basketball Operations
Jalen Williams

Listed as Questionable for Game 6
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Ruled Out for Game 6
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Not Cleared for 11-on-11 Work
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Still Absent From OTAs This Week
George Kittle

Still Hoping to be Ready for Week 1
Micah Parsons

Expected to Open Training Camp on the PUP List
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Packers Hopeful Tucker Kraft Will Participate in Training Camp
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Eury Perez Pulled Early on Wednesday With Hamstring Issue
CFB

Drew Mestemaker a Top Big 12 Quarterback Right Away?
PGA

Sungjae Im Remains Boom-or-Bust at Colonial
PGA

Michael Thorbjornsen Trending in Wrong Direction Entering Colonial
De'Aaron Fox

Limited to Nine Points in Game 5 Loss
Russell Henley

a Top Option at Colonial
Harry Hall

Hoping Putter Carries Him at Colonial
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Notches 22 Points With Four Triples Tuesday
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Looks to Regain Momentum at Colonial
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Struggles in Game 5 Loss to Thunder
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a Difference-Maker Again in Game 5
Pierceson Coody

Looking to Stay Hot at Colonial
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Produces 20 Points in First Playoff Start
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Scores Game-High 32 Points in Game 5 Win
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Collects an Assist in Game 4 Loss to Golden Knights
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Scores Only Avalanche Goal in Season-Ending Loss
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Scores Series-Clincher Tuesday Night
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Nets Another Goal as Golden Knights Finish Off Avalanche
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Looking to Exchange Momentum for a Victory in Fort Worth
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Trending Upward as PGA Heads to Fort Worth
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Comes Off Awful Putting Performance at PGA Championship
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Faces Different Test at the Colonial
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Seeks Better Beginning in Fort Worth
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Ups and Downs Could Continue at Colonial
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Not Having the Best Golf Season in 2026
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Struggling Too Often Heading to Charles Schwab Challenge
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Tries to Keep Momentum Rolling at Colonial
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Looking to Rebound at Colonial
Jared McCain

Moves into Starting Five
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Joe Mazzulla Wins Coach of the Year
Jalen Williams

is Ruled Out for Game 5 on Tuesday
Zion Williamson

to See More Versatile Role
Cleveland Cavaliers

Kenny Atkinson to Remain Cavaliers Head Coach Next Season
Claude Giroux

Planning to Return for 20th NHL Campaign
Carter Hart

Aiming for Sixth Consecutive Win Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Inks New One-Year Deal With Penguins
Mackenzie Blackwood

in Net for Game 4 Against Golden Knights
Valeri Nichushkin

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Nathan MacKinnon

Will Suit Up Tuesday
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Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
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Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
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Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
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Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
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Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
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Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
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Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Lane Hutson

Records Power-Play Goal in Game 3 Loss
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Enjoys Another Easy Night at the Office in Game 3
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Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
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Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
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Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
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Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
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Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
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Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
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Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
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Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
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Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
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Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
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the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
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on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
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Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
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William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
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Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
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Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
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Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
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Confident for Coca-Cola 600
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a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
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Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
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Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
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Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
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Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
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Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
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LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
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North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
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Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
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has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
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Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
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