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Our NASCAR “By the DFS Numbers” Race Previews feature a combination of statistical package highlights from Loop Data reports and the RotoBaller Cup Series Research Station.
Loop Data, which are the advanced statistics that are electronically recorded by NASCAR to more accurately illustrate how drivers perform, are showcased here as very relevant indicators. Loop Data stats are useful in DFS NASCAR to tell us which drivers have performed the best at particular tracks. They determine how a driver actually fares without the negative factors of crashes, car issues, and pit problems. Do keep in mind that with the Cup Series now featuring the Next Gen car, Loop Data statistics are helpful, but not rigid factors when projecting performances.
The NASCAR Research Station is one of our most important features in the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass package. It is a deluxe suite of advanced NASCAR statistics that can help you identify the top drivers and value plays for ideal lineup constructions every week. It includes historical, recent, and projected stats and Loop Data. If you want to work on your fantasy NASCAR setup with all the best statistical tools, this is your numerical garage for DraftKings and FanDuel lineup building. Get access to the Research Station with the RotoBaller NASCAR Season Pass. Enter promo code KING at checkout for an additional discount. We also have Research Stations for the Xfinity and Truck Series.
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Coca-Cola 600: By The DFS Numbers
Drivers are listed in order of preference for usage. Research Station indicators are in italics. All Loop Data stats are dating back to 2019 at Charlotte Motor Speedway, covering the last four Cup series events. We use DraftKings prices as a basis, but most of what we recommend should also be applied to FanDuel lineup builds.
Kyle Larson – He is second in Driver Rating at Charlotte Motor Speedway in the last four races dating back to 2019 (109.7). Larson is first in Laps Led (327). After hitting the wall in practice, Larson starts 36th and is obviously the most essential Place Differential play. In tournaments. You will set your lineups apart by how you diversify around him.
Larson still has nine percent implied odds to win the Coca-Cola 600, which is second-best among all drivers. It’s the longest race of the season and he will have more than enough time to work his way back to the top of the field. Larson’s 19.9 Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Charlotte races is best among all drivers. He also is tops in Fantasy Points Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent CMS events (44.6).
Denny Hamlin – His all-time Driver Rating of 94.9 at Charlotte is third-best among all drivers. He is also fourth all-time in Fastest Laps Run (441). Hamlin finished second in the 2021 Coca-Cola 600. Hamlin has never won the Coca-Cola 600 but he looks like he is starting to turn his season around after finishing fourth at Kansas, and he will start on the pole.
Kyle Busch – Fifth in DR at Charlotte dating back to 2019 (103.4). Third in Fastest Laps Run (101). Second in Quality Passes (passes of cars in the top 15 while under Green Flag Conditions, 267). Second among Closers (average of 2.3 spots gained in the final 10 percent of races at CMS. Kyle Busch has the all-time best DR among active drivers at Charlotte (106.1) and he has the most Fastest Laps Run (861). His 10 percent implied odds to win the race are tied for second. He has finished in the top 3 in three of his last five CMS starts. Busch is second-best in FP Gained vs, Similar Drivers in recent Charlotte starts (31.5).
Chase Elliott – Leads in DR at Charlotte dating back to 2019 (119.4). Second in Fastest Laps Run (126). Elliott is second in all-time DR at CMS (99.0). He has finished in the top 4 in his last four CMS starts.
Alex Bowman – Third in DR at Charlotte dating back to 2019 (104.4). Fourth in Fastest Laps Run (96). Bowman’s 12.0 Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Charlotte races is third-best among all drivers.
Key statistics from the DFS NASCAR Research Station for the Coca-Cola 600.
Christopher Bell – His 25 percent implied odds of finishing in the Top 5 are the best among any drivers priced below $9000.
Martin Truex Jr. – Fourth in DR at Charlotte dating back to 2019 (103.8). Leads in Fastest Laps Run (149). Third in Laps Led (203). His 10 percent implied odds to win the race are tied for second. Truex has yet to win this season but should be a viable option to finish in the top 5 from his starting position of 14th.
Ross Chastain – A quality PD option as he starts from the 22nd position.
Austin Cindric - He has 36 percent implied odds to finish in the top 10, tied for the best among all drivers below $8000.
Brad Keselowski – He is the leader in Green Flag Passes (443). It has been a terrible year so far for Keselowski, who is in an astounding 31st place in the Cup standings. But we still have to recommend him as a PD option, as he starts from the 35th position after his sliding incident in qualifying. Keselowski has finished in the top 11 in his last three CMS starts.
Tyler Reddick – Second in DR at Charlotte in the Xfinity series in the last four races dating back to 2019 (117.2).
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Stenhouse has PD potential starting from the 29th position. Dating back to 2019, Stenhouse is second in Green Flag Passes (441) at CMS. Stenhouse’s 8.2 Driver Rating Gained vs. Similar Drivers in recent Charlotte races is best among all drivers below $8000. Recent statistiscal indicators at CMS make Stenhouse worth the shot in tournaments. He may not be widely rostered.
Daniel Suarez – He has 36 percent implied odds to finish in the top 10, tied for the best among all drivers below $8000.
Chris Buescher – Fourth in Green Flag Passes (419). First among Closers (average of 2.5 spots gained in the final 10 percent of races at CMS. Buescher has finished in the top 11 in two of his past three CMS starts.
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
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