X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Giovani Bernard vs. Danny Woodhead - 2016 Fantasy Football ADP Analysis

At this point, fantasy drafts should just be just about wrapping up. The start of the NFL season is this Thursday when the reigning Super Bowl Champion Denver Broncos take on the reigning runners-up Carolina Panthers in a rematch of Super Bowl 50. But if you are still prepping for a last minute draft or just want to know which running back is going to be super valuable, you should keep reading.

In the corner of Ohio, we have uber-Reds/Bengals/Blue Jackets/Cavaliers fan Edward Sutelan (@RedsGuy1869) backing up his boy, pass-catching Giovani Bernard. And in the Buffalo corner, we have Bills/Sabres fan Ben Rupert(@Ben_Ruppert_21) defending San Diego Chargers' pass-catching, Christian McCaffery of the NFL running back Danny Woodhead. And here they will fight over who is the better running back to own in fantasy football this season.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including Draft Kit + DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

Holiday Special! Save 50% on any Premium Pass using discount code THANKS. Win more with our DFS, Betting and Season-Long Pass, get expert tools and advice from proven winners! GAIN ACCESS

 

Giovani Bernard (RB, CIN) - Edward Sutelan

The last time I wrote one of these versus articles, I defended the other Cincinnati Bengals’ running back, Jeremy Hill. This time, I am going to be defending my boy Giovani Bernard.

For starters, let’s get into a discussion about who exactly Giovani Bernard is. Bernard is a 5’9”, 205 pound running back whose primary role with the Bengals has been to serve as the pass-catching running back for the team. He usually makes 40-50 receptions per season and averages about 9.0 yards per catch. But don’t worry, he gets his fair share of chances to run as well with at least 150 rushing attempts in each of his first three seasons and an average of 4.3 yards per carry. Now he is a lot smaller than Hill, so he has not received a lot of opportunities to rush the ball in for a touchdown (only 12 TD rushes over his three year career), but he could start to see an uptick in playing time this season.

Why do I say that? Well because of how empty the receiving corp of the Bengals are going to be when they begin the season. Tyler Eifert is hurt, Marvin Jones and Mohamed Sanu have both left via free agency and Jeremy Hill is coming off a relatively down year. Don’t forget that though Hill was once again a bruising red zone presence (evidenced by his 11 touchdown rushes), he only averaged 3.6 yards per carry and continued to show some issues with holding onto the football (three fumbles). Now, I’m not saying that Hill is going to be awful because I do expect him to rebound a bit, but I think that there is reason to be optimistic for Bernard’s chances at increased playing time.

But Edward, Danny Woodhead had so many touchdowns last season! And he caught sooo many more passes than Bernard did! Why wouldn’t I want that guy? Well first off, let’s look at why Woodhead caught so many more passes. First, tight end Antonio Gates misses the first four games of the season for the Chargers, leaving them short one of their top receivers. Then later in the year, wide receiver Keenan Allen was hurt and missed the rest of the season. So the Chargers had very few options available when it came to the passing game and as a result they turned to Woodhead frequently.

Another thing that is important to look at when comparing the two running backs is age. Where Bernard is still young at only 24 years old, Woodhead is 31 years old, a bit old for a running back. Many studies have shown that running backs that old start to see a decrease in productivity after they hit age 30, so we can expect to see Woodhead continue to head downhill(https://www.profootballfocus.com/age-of-decline-rb1/). In his age 30 season, Woodhead was used more than he has ever been used in his entire NFL career and that takes a toll on an older running back. Fantasy owners should not expect the numbers to be quite nearly as spectacular as they were last year.

As of right now, Bernard is listed as a slightly better running back than Woodhead with Bernard holding an ADP of 27.9 to Woodhead’s 30.6 according to FantasyPros. With Bernard on the right side of 30 and a depleted receiving corp in front of him, fantasy owners should take note and be ready to snag this running back in the third round of the draft (ahead of Mr. Woodhead).

 

Danny Woodhead (RB, SD) - Ben Ruppert

Danny Woodhead played a huge role in the Chargers offense last season. As the prominent pass catching RB in this offense, Woodhead caught 80 passes for 755 yards and six TDs. He also rushed for 336 yards and three TDs en route to a top-five RB finish in PPR formats. He is currently being drafted in the fifth round, as the 22nd running back off the board in PPR leagues according to fantasy football calculator. Why is he being taken behind his teammate Melvin Gordon, and in the same tier as Giovani Bernard when he did so well last season?

Before breaking the fibula in his right ankle causing him to miss basically all of the 2014 season, Woodhead had an impressive 2013 in his first year as a San Diego Charger. Woodhead caught 76 passes for 605 yards and six reception TDs, to go along with 429 rushing yards (4.0 avg.) and two scores. In both seasons, he was used very similar: the primary pass-catching back, and the main garbage time, come from behind back. Woodhead will be utilized in this offense the same was he was last season, and the same way he was in 2013. The Chargers clearly know how to utilize his skill set to a T. Even with Melvin Gordon in the picture, the Chargers 2015 first round pick, Woodhead will still have his role unchanged in this offense.

The Chargers threw the ball a whopping 667 times last season (tied for second in the league), and figure to do more of the same this season especially with Keenan Allen back in the picture. Woodhead is far and away the best pass catching back on the roster, and will see a heavy dose of usage in those moments again in 2016. In 2015 he was the leading receiver amongst all running backs, led all running backs in YAC, and generated more first downs (39, seven more than the next closest RB) than any RB in the league. He also did not fumble once last season, meaning once the ball is in hands it locked up for good. With the Chargers figuring to pass the ball often again this coming season, expect Woodhead to keep this trend going and have some huge games.

Both Woodhead and Bernard have the same issue; a crowded backfield. So far one of them has shown to be a good, consistent back, while the other has proven to be an excellent back with top-five to ten potential. When drafting take Danny Woodhead, as he is one of if not the most superior pass catching RB in the league.




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kris Murray

Will Play Against the Clippers
Robert Williams III

Available on Friday Night
Austin Reaves

Facing Multiweek Absence With Calf Issue
Anthony Edwards

Listed as Questionable Against Brooklyn
Keegan Murray

Out at Least One Week With Calf Strain
Jock Landale

to Miss Bucks Game With Calf Issue
Jordan Poole

Cleared to Play Friday vs. Suns
Joel Embiid

Set to Suit Up Against Bulls
George Kittle

Questionable to Face the Bears in Week 17
Cedric Coward

Active On Friday Against Milwaukee
Ja Morant

Available On Friday Night Against Milwaukee
Maxx Crosby

Done for the Season
VJ Edgecombe

Available on Friday
Dominick Barlow

Will Suit Up Against Chicago
Collin Murray-Boyles

Good to Go Versus Washington
Scottie Barnes

Upgraded to Available Against Washington
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Cleared to Play on Friday
Jordan Goodwin

Available For Friday Night Against New Orleans
Pelle Larsson

Back on Friday Night
Gary Trent Jr.

Ruled Out For Friday Night Against Memphis
Bam Adebayo

Will Miss Friday's Game Versus Atlanta
Justin Champagnie

Downgraded To Questionable For Friday Night
Scottie Barnes

Now Downgraded To Questionable For Friday
Calvin Austin III

Ruled Out with Hamstring Injury for Week 17
Harold Fannin Jr.

Expected to Play on Sunday
Jordan Love

Ruled Out with Concussion for Saturday's Contest
George Kittle

"Likely a Game-Time Decision" on Sunday Night
A.J. Brown

Returns to Practice on Friday
Josh Allen

Trending Toward Playing Vs. Philly
CFB

Michigan Targeting Kyle Whittingham as Next Head Coach
CFB

Texas Leading Rusher Quintrevion Wisner Set to Transfer
George Kittle

Remains Sidelined During Thursday's Practice
Malik Willis

Carrying Questionable Tag for Week 17 Tilt
Jordan Love

Questionable for Saturday's Contest
Lamar Jackson

Listed as Doubtful for Week 17
Amon-Ra St. Brown

to Suit Up on Christmas Day
Rome Odunze

"Increasing Unlikely to Play" in Week 17
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Carries Questionable Tag on Thursday
David Montgomery

Expected to Play on Christmas Day
David Montgomery

Questionable to Play With Illness
Amon-Ra St. Brown

Questionable, Expected to Play on Thursday
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Place Rashee Rice on Injured Reserve
T.J. Hockenson

Ruled Out for Week 17
Pete Fairbanks

Marlins Agree on One-Year Deal
Josh Johnson

to Start at QB on Thursday Against Dallas
Brooks Koepka

Leaving LIV Golf
Connor McDavid

Finishes Battle of Alberta With Five Assists
Karel Vejmelka

Battling Upper-Body Injury
Alexandre Texier

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Against Bruins
Alexander Nikishin

Dealing With Apparent Ankle Injury
Denver Barkey

Exits Early Tuesday
Travis Sanheim

Pulled by Concussion Spotter Tuesday
Ryan O'Hearn

Pirates Agree on Two-Year Deal
Viktor Arvidsson

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Ryan Leonard

Available Tuesday
Tom Wilson

in Danger of Missing First Game of the Season
Phillip Danault

Makes Second Canadiens Debut Tuesday
Collin Graf

Available Against Golden Knights
Jack Eichel

Misses Fourth Straight Game
Vince Dunn

Won't Play Tuesday
CFB

Jeff Brohm, Eli Drinkwitz "Names of Interest" for Michigan Head Coach
Timothy Liljegren

to Miss Second Straight Game Tuesday
Will Smith

Out Week-to-Week
Jaccob Slavin

Placed on Injured Reserve, Out Week-to-Week
Seth Jarvis

Considered Week-to-Week
Darren Raddysh

Totals Three Points in Monday's Win
Mason Marchment

Scores Twice Monday
Vince Dunn

Injured in Monday's Win
Ilya Sorokin

to Miss Tuesday's Game
CFB

Byrum Brown Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

Bobby Petrino Joining Bill Belichick as North Carolina's Offensive Coordinator
Willson Contreras

Shipped to the Red Sox

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP