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UFC on Fox 27: MMA Main Card Predictions and DFS Picks

What's up RotoBallers. In this column, I will be taking a look at the main card for UFC on Fox 27. My analysis will help you with your DraftKings MMA lineups. I will be keeping track based on picking winners and losers, starting fresh for 2018. I will also predict how the fight will be finished, but that will not reflect in the records (Justin's 2018 Record: 2-1).

MMA has one of the best sweats in DFS. Two fighters compete at a time with only one coming out as the winner. It's the best feeling in the world when you are watching the main event of a show and know you need a first round knockout to win the entire tournament. And nothing feels worse than when you need a first round knockout by Stipe Miocic to win thousands of dollars in a tournament, but when he lands that knockout punch, you realize that you placed 14th because Jacare Souza was too dominant in a previous fight. This was a serious scenario that I had to live through when Miocic won the Heavyweight Championship. Without anymore waiting, here are my DFS lineup picks and DraftKings analysis for the main card at UFC on Fox 27.

Editor's Note: Interested in RotoBaller's MMA DFS Cheat Sheet with advanced fighter statistics, deep analysis and detailed insights from MMA DFS Expert Justin Bales? Let us know here.

 

Drew Dober vs Frank Camacho

This is a fight that could quietly be in the running for Fight of the Night. Dober has struggled in the UFC, but he does come with a fairly versatile game. He has the potential to win via knockout or submission. With that being said, Camacho displayed a tremendous chin in his last fight, which was a barnburner decision victory against Damien Brown. Camacho is not a fighter to throw out the door, but I feel Dober has more ways to win this fight. If he begins to struggle on the feet, he can work his ground game. He also has more experience, fighting in the UFC nine times, as opposed to Camacho’s two UFC fights. Camacho is a live dog in this fight, but I am siding with Dober’s versatility to pick up the win this weekend.

Drew Dober via Unanimous Decision

 

Jordan Rinaldi vs Gregor Gillespie

Unlike the first fight on the main card, I do not believe this fight will be close. Rinaldi pulled off an impressive win in his last fight, but that was against mediocre competition compared to Gillespie. Gillespie is a relentless wrestler that has been working on his standup. While he does have reasonable standup, he will work as many takedowns as he possibly needs this weekend. Gillespie also has an elite gas tank, making his wrestling and pressure that much more difficult to deal with. He has also fought the better competition, while dominating each of his fights. Gillespie has multiple ways to win this fight, and scoring points with the judge’s in one of his specialties.

Gregor Gillespie via Unanimous Decision

 

Dennis Bermudez vs Andre Fili

Bermudez has run into tough times recently, winning only two of his last six fights. He has fought some of the top competition in the division, though. Fili, on the other hand, has had ups and downs throughout his career, winning his winnable fights, while losing tougher fights. If that trend continues in Fili’s career, this is a fight that he should lose. Digging deeper, Bermudez is the slightly better striker, although Fili is more active, which could score points with the judges. I feel like fight will likely go the distance, while staying fairly even on the feet. I do believe that Bermudez has the better grappling, though, and a few takedowns should be enough to sway the judges.

Dennis Bermudez via Unanimous Decision

 

Ronaldo Souza vs Derek Brunson

I am beyond excited for this fight. Souza’s last four losses have come to Robert Whittaker, Yoel Romero, Luke Rockhold, and Gegard Mousasi. Brunson’s have come to Anderson Silva (in a fight he arguably won), Robert Whittaker, Yoel Romero, and Souza. In other words, both fighters have only lost to elite competition since 2012 or later. In their first fight, Souza won via KO, but they are two different fighters at this point in their careers. Brunson has yet to be taken down in the UFC, and it can be argued that Souza is now past his prime. Does that mean Brunson has the advantage the second time around? I’m not completely sure. Souza is the more defensive striker, but he comes with plenty of power when he lands. I expect this fight to take place on the feet, leaving the first fighter to land a big shot to have a significant advantage. I expect that to be Brunson, who throws at a higher rate with more accuracy. Sound the mild upset alarms.

Derek Brunson, TKO, 2nd Round

 




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

George Kittle

Suffered Torn Achilles on Sunday
Aaron Holiday

is Moving into Starting Five
Aaron Gordon

is Available on Sunday
Christian Braun

is Downgraded to Out
Jamal Murray

is Unavailable on Sunday
Omarion Hampton

Active for Wild-Card Round Against Patriots
Kristaps Porzingis

Won't Play on Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

is Available to Play on Sunday
Christian Braun

Downgraded to Questionable on Sunday
Tyler Herro

to Suit Up on Sunday
Norman Powell

Ruled Out for Sunday's Game
Victor Wembanyama

Cleared for Sunday
George Kittle

Ruled Out After Non-Contact Achilles Injury
Cole Perfetti

Contributes Two Assists in Sunday's Win
Carl Grundstrom

Misses Sunday's Practice
Jrue Holiday

Cleared to Suit Up Versus New York
Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders Request Interview With Ejiro Evero
Josh Hart

Returning on Sunday Night
Travis Konecny

Hurt at Sunday's Practice
Thatcher Demko

Lands on Injured Reserve
Colin Miller

Injured Versus Devils
Bryan Rust

Remains Out Sunday
Morgan Geekie

Won't Play Sunday
Los Angeles Rams

Mike LaFleur to Interview With Raiders and Cardinals
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Re-Signing Aaron Rodgers?
Matthew Stafford

X-Rays Come Back Negative
Mark Stone

Extends Goal Streak With Empty-Netter
Nikita Kucherov

Has Four-Point Outing Saturday
David Pastrnak

Records Six Assists in Big Win
Stefan Noesen

to Have Knee Surgery
Carter Hart

Out Week-to-Week
Thatcher Demko

Exits With Injury Saturday
MacKenzie Gore

Yankees Pursuing Trade for MacKenzie Gore
Philip Broberg

Suffers Upper-Body Injury Saturday
Alex Bregman

Cubs Sign Alex Bregman to Five-Year, $175 Millon Contract
Chet Holmgren

Available Sunday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Suspended for Three Games for Attempting to Strike Another Player
Kristaps Porzingis

May Return Sunday
Zaccharie Risacher

to Miss Second Consecutive Game Sunday
Kevin Porter Jr.

Considered Probable for Sunday
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play Sunday
Christian Braun

Considered Probable for Sunday
Spencer Jones

May Miss Another Game Sunday
Jamal Murray

Iffy for Sunday's Action
Freddie Freeman

Withdraws from World Baseball Classic
Chandler Stephenson

Jaden Schwartz Replaces Chandler Stephenson in Kraken Lineup
Brandon Saad

Won't Play This Weekend
Shea Theodore

Returns to Golden Knights Lineup Saturday
Jaccob Slavin

Returns Against Kraken
Travis Konecny

Ruled Out Saturday
Brad Marchand

Misses Saturday's Game
Corey Perry

Available Saturday
Max Kepler

Receives 80-Game PED Suspension
CFB

Cam Coleman Visiting Alabama on Friday
Omarion Hampton

Expects to Play Sunday Night
CFB

Eric Singleton Jr. Enters Transfer Portal, Trending to Land at Florida
CFB

NCAA Denies Trinidad Chambliss a Sixth Year of Eligibility
Omarion Hampton

Questionable for Wild-Card Weekend
Kyle Tucker

Mets Remain in Mix for Kyle Tucker
Ketel Marte

Will Remain With Diamondbacks
Rashee Rice

to be Reviewed Under League's Conduct Policy
Daniel Jones

Colts Plan to Re-Sign Daniel Jones
Davante Adams

Off the Injury Report, Will Play Against Carolina
Bo Bichette

Phillies to Meet With Bo Bichette
Rome Odunze

Will Return for Wild-Card Game on Saturday
CFB

DJ Lagway Commits to Baylor
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Fire Head Coach Mike McDaniel
Sam LaPorta

Plans to be Back for Training Camp
Owen Caissie

Shipped to Miami as Centerpiece of Trade
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Officially Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
Rome Odunze

Plans to Play on Saturday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Finalizing Deal to Acquire Edward Cabrera From Marlins
New York Giants

Giants "All-In" on Hiring John Harbaugh
CFB

Jackson Arnold Signs with UNLV
CFB

Sam Leavitt Scheduled to Visit Tennessee
New York Giants

John Harbaugh Expected to be Favorite to Become New Giants Head Coach
Baltimore Ravens

John Harbaugh Won't Return as Ravens Head Coach
Bo Bichette

Unlikely to Return to Toronto?
Jordan Love

Ready to Start in Wild-Card Game Against Bears
CFB

Jadan Baugh Staying with Florida for Junior Season
Washington Commanders

Commanders "Mutually" Parting Ways With OC Kliff Kingsbury
CFB

Byrum Brown Officially Commits to Auburn
CFB

Austin Simmons Signing with Missouri

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