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UFC on Fox 27: MMA Main Card Predictions and DFS Picks

What's up RotoBallers. In this column, I will be taking a look at the main card for UFC on Fox 27. My analysis will help you with your DraftKings MMA lineups. I will be keeping track based on picking winners and losers, starting fresh for 2018. I will also predict how the fight will be finished, but that will not reflect in the records (Justin's 2018 Record: 2-1).

MMA has one of the best sweats in DFS. Two fighters compete at a time with only one coming out as the winner. It's the best feeling in the world when you are watching the main event of a show and know you need a first round knockout to win the entire tournament. And nothing feels worse than when you need a first round knockout by Stipe Miocic to win thousands of dollars in a tournament, but when he lands that knockout punch, you realize that you placed 14th because Jacare Souza was too dominant in a previous fight. This was a serious scenario that I had to live through when Miocic won the Heavyweight Championship. Without anymore waiting, here are my DFS lineup picks and DraftKings analysis for the main card at UFC on Fox 27.

Editor's Note: Interested in RotoBaller's MMA DFS Cheat Sheet with advanced fighter statistics, deep analysis and detailed insights from MMA DFS Expert Justin Bales? Let us know here.

 

Drew Dober vs Frank Camacho

This is a fight that could quietly be in the running for Fight of the Night. Dober has struggled in the UFC, but he does come with a fairly versatile game. He has the potential to win via knockout or submission. With that being said, Camacho displayed a tremendous chin in his last fight, which was a barnburner decision victory against Damien Brown. Camacho is not a fighter to throw out the door, but I feel Dober has more ways to win this fight. If he begins to struggle on the feet, he can work his ground game. He also has more experience, fighting in the UFC nine times, as opposed to Camacho’s two UFC fights. Camacho is a live dog in this fight, but I am siding with Dober’s versatility to pick up the win this weekend.

Drew Dober via Unanimous Decision

 

Jordan Rinaldi vs Gregor Gillespie

Unlike the first fight on the main card, I do not believe this fight will be close. Rinaldi pulled off an impressive win in his last fight, but that was against mediocre competition compared to Gillespie. Gillespie is a relentless wrestler that has been working on his standup. While he does have reasonable standup, he will work as many takedowns as he possibly needs this weekend. Gillespie also has an elite gas tank, making his wrestling and pressure that much more difficult to deal with. He has also fought the better competition, while dominating each of his fights. Gillespie has multiple ways to win this fight, and scoring points with the judge’s in one of his specialties.

Gregor Gillespie via Unanimous Decision

 

Dennis Bermudez vs Andre Fili

Bermudez has run into tough times recently, winning only two of his last six fights. He has fought some of the top competition in the division, though. Fili, on the other hand, has had ups and downs throughout his career, winning his winnable fights, while losing tougher fights. If that trend continues in Fili’s career, this is a fight that he should lose. Digging deeper, Bermudez is the slightly better striker, although Fili is more active, which could score points with the judges. I feel like fight will likely go the distance, while staying fairly even on the feet. I do believe that Bermudez has the better grappling, though, and a few takedowns should be enough to sway the judges.

Dennis Bermudez via Unanimous Decision

 

Ronaldo Souza vs Derek Brunson

I am beyond excited for this fight. Souza’s last four losses have come to Robert Whittaker, Yoel Romero, Luke Rockhold, and Gegard Mousasi. Brunson’s have come to Anderson Silva (in a fight he arguably won), Robert Whittaker, Yoel Romero, and Souza. In other words, both fighters have only lost to elite competition since 2012 or later. In their first fight, Souza won via KO, but they are two different fighters at this point in their careers. Brunson has yet to be taken down in the UFC, and it can be argued that Souza is now past his prime. Does that mean Brunson has the advantage the second time around? I’m not completely sure. Souza is the more defensive striker, but he comes with plenty of power when he lands. I expect this fight to take place on the feet, leaving the first fighter to land a big shot to have a significant advantage. I expect that to be Brunson, who throws at a higher rate with more accuracy. Sound the mild upset alarms.

Derek Brunson, TKO, 2nd Round

 




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
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Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
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Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
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Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
NFL

NFL Unlikely to Expand to 18 Regular-Season Games by 2027
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Searching For Swing at Charles Schwab Challenge
Lamar Jackson

in Attendance at OTAs This Week
Bucky Irving

Expected Back in the Summer or Fall
CFB

DJ Lagway Looking to Rebound at Baylor
CFB

Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
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Braylon Staley the Next 1,000-Yard Tennessee Receiver?
Jalen Tolbert

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CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
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Extension Solidifies His Dynasty Outlook
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Faces a Difficult Path to Relevance
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Bears Want Caleb Williams to "Do Less"
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Antonio Williams

a Borderline First-Round Pick in Dynasty Rookie Drafts
Joe Flacco

a Low-Cost Dynasty Handcuff with Immense Upside
Evan Mobley

Finishes Season-Ending Loss With 15 Points
James Harden

Wants to Stay in Cleveland
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Committed to Cavaliers
Mikal Bridges

Cools Off in Game 4 Against Cavaliers
OG Anunoby

Active on Both Ends in Blowout Win
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads Knicks in Scoring During Series-Clincher
Jalen Brunson

Named Eastern Conference Finals MVP
Ivan Demidov

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Lane Hutson

Records Power-Play Goal in Game 3 Loss
Frederik Andersen

Enjoys Another Easy Night at the Office in Game 3
Shayne Gostisbehere

Scores First Postseason Goal
Taylor Hall

Ends Four-Game Goal Drought
Andrei Svechnikov

Scores Game 3 Winner in Overtime
Gage Jump

Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Dont'e Thornton Jr.

Falling Out of Favor Already in Dynasty Formats?
Roman Wilson

Worth Holding in Dynasty Leagues After Offseason Additions?
Luke McCaffrey

a Cut Candidate in Dynasty Leagues
Roman Hemby

Does Roman Hemby Have a Chance to Make Raiders Roster?
NFL

Eric McAlister Worth Drafting in Rookie-Only Dynasty Leagues?
Caleb Lohner

Impresses Sean Payton During Offseason Program
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder is Ruled Out for Game 4 on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Nets Could Trade Michael Porter Jr.
Ajay Mitchell

is Ruled Out for Game 5
Jalen Williams

is Tagged as Questionable for Game 5
Valeri Nichushkin

Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin Uncertain for Game 4
Oliver Kapanen

Sitting as Healthy Scratch Monday
Max Domi

Out Indefinitely Due to Offseason Surgery Complications
Tanner Koziol

a Long-Shot Dynasty Tight End?
Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
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Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
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Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
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Logs Two Assists In Game 3 Defeat
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Nets 10th Postseason Goal
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Delivers Two Assists in Comeback Victory
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Exits Early Sunday
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Provides Steady Production in Defeat
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Has a Quiet Offensive Night on Sunday
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Held Under 20 Points in Game 4
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Hands Out Six Assists in Game 4 Win
Devin Vassell

Tallies 13 Points in Game 4 Win
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Becomes First Player to Make All-NBA Team With Five Franchises
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Victor Wembanyama Lead All-NBA First Team
Taylor Hall

Enjoying Life in Carolina
Mark Stone

Returns to Action Sunday
Cale Makar

Rejoins Avalanche Lineup Sunday
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

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Ty Gibbs

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Carson Hocevar

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Corey Heim

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Michael McDowell

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Phillip Danault

Extends Point Streak to Three Games
Josh Anderson

Nets Two Goals in Painful Loss
Jalen Chatfield

Delivers Two Assists in Crucial Win
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Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
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Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Jackson Merrill

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LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
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North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
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Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
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Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
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Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
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Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
CFB

Lincoln Riley Believes USC is Ready for Playoff Run
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF