Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Dynasty Price Check - Demaryius Thomas


Today's dynasty price check column will take a look at Demaryius Thomas. We will start off with an overview of Thomas' recent history and then analyze his value in dynasty leagues. Then, we will propose some possible trades involving Thomas to give you some ideas for either buying or selling him.

When it comes to dynasty football leagues, you know there is no offseason. Without the in-season worries of setting lineups and waiver wire claims, dynasty league enthusiasts can focus their efforts on making trades to improve their teams and preparing for rookie drafts. Offseason narratives can be difficult to navigate, but we are here to help!

For all discussions regarding their dynasty value, we will assume you are playing in a 12-team, one-quarterback dynasty league with 0.5 PPR scoring. As always, player values can shift quickly in dynasty leagues so be sure to stay on top of the NFL news cycle when proposing trades.

Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of Premium DFS Research. Sign Up Now!

 

Overview

Demaryius Thomas
Team: New England Patriots
College: Georgia Tech
Height/Weight: 6'3", 229 pounds
2010 NFL Draft: Round 1, Pick 22 overall

Thomas was drafted way back in 2010 by the Denver Broncos in the first round. It didn't take him long to make an impact in the league, finishing his first game with eight receptions for 97 yards and one touchdown against the Seattle Seahawks. Thomas was plagued by injuries in his rookie season, ending the year having played in 10 games and finishing with 22 receptions for 283 yards and two touchdowns.

Following up in 2011, Thomas was expected to miss the majority of the season with a tear to his Achilles tendon in February. Thomas was able to return to practice before the start of the season in a surprising return to health- only to break his finger and be forced to miss the first five games of the season. Thomas then broke his leg during the season, but even with having limited time on the field he caught 32 passes for 551 yards and four touchdowns.

During the offseason before the 2012 season, the team signed quarterback Peyton Manning. 2012 would end up being the breakout year for Thomas, and the first season where he was able to play in every regular season game. Thomas was able to catch 94 passes for 1,434 yards and ten touchdowns.

The Broncos' offense in 2013 produced a record-setting season. Thomas was a big part of that and finished the season with 92 receptions for 1,430 yards and 14 touchdowns. They took their impressive run all the way to the Super Bowl, but the team wasn't able to overcome the Seattle Seahawks, ultimately losing 43-8.

2014 was another season where Thomas was able to be an elite receiver. This time, breaking the franchise record for receiving yards in a single game, with 226 yards. Thomas finished the season with 111 receptions for 1,619 yards and 11 touchdowns. Thomas finished second in receiving yards, only behind Antonio Brown.

The Denver Broncos placed the franchise tag on Thomas for 2015, before ultimately signing a five-year, $70 million contract extension. Thomas had a down season in 2015, with a struggling Manning suffering injury, and Brock Osweiler never having started a game before the season. Thomas still finished the season with 105 receptions for 1,304 yards and six touchdowns. Thomas would struggle to make an impact in the Super Bowl against the Carolina Panthers, only catching one pass for eight yards, although the Broncos won the big game.

2016 was a season of change for the Broncos with Manning retiring and Osweiler heading to the Houston Texans. Thomas finished the season with 90 receptions for 1,083 yards and five touchdowns. The next year, Thomas had his first season since his breakout in 2012 where he didn't finish with over 1,000 yards, ultimately finishing with 83 receptions for 949 yards and five TD.

2018 meant that Thomas was due to work with yet another new quarterback in Case Keenum. Thomas was still a big part of the offense, but ultimately he was traded away mid-season to the Texans. Thomas had 36 receptions for 402 yards and three touchdowns while he was with the Broncos. Thomas was traded to the Texans to finish the season, and would ultimately only play three games for them before suffering a torn Achilles. Thomas finished his season with the Texans with seven receptions for 99 yards and two touchdowns.

In February, the Texans released him, before he recently signed a one-year contract with the New England Patriots.

 

Dynasty Value

Thomas is an effective receiver, who has a catalog of top performances, but has struggled with limited quarterback play in recent years. Signing for the Patriots (albeit on a one-year deal) means that Bill Belichick has a plan for him in his offense led by quarterback Tom Brady.

Thomas will have competition for targets with Julian Edelman still on the roster. However, with the retirement of tight end Rob Gronkowski, departure of Chris Hogan, and continued absence of Josh Gordon, there are still plenty of targets available.

According to Fantasy Football Calculator, Thomas is currently undrafted in dynasty leagues, but that is likely to change to him being selected in the late rounds with his recent signing with the Patriots.

 

Possible Trades

Thomas' age, combined with the struggles he has had in recent years has affected his dynasty value- especially for trading. Thomas is likely able to be picked up for little-to-nothing, such as late-round rookie picks, or for little compensation in terms of players.

While there is a clear upside for a player who is still talented on a great offense, it's more likely you are going to be able to buy him at value than sell him for anything of worth.

 

Conclusion

Thomas is a great low-risk, high-reward gamble at the wide receiver position. I would try and pick him up if I needed WR depth and was relatively young at the position, but only if I could do so without a significant investment. DT could be a valuable WR4 on a contending team in 2019 and his value will only rise as the preseason progresses.

More Dynasty League Strategy




More Recent Articles

 

Week 11 Start/Sit: Monday Night Football Matchups Analysis

Welcome back to Mexico City. Last season, the Chiefs were supposed to take on the Rams in this game before field conditions moved the game to Los Angeles. Even though the game was moved, the fantasy output was amazing as both teams scored over 50 points and there was not an unhappy fan among us.... Read More


Fantasy Football News and Injuries - Running Updates

Below is a quick-hit list of running notes on relevant injuries and player news, including pre-game reports and live in-game updates. Stay tuned for updates all throughout the week and on Sunday morning game day:   Week 11 Marlon Mack has been diagnosed with a broken hand and may be out several weeks. Emmanuel Sanders (ribs)... Read More


Week 12 Waiver Wire Pickups & Adds

This could be the most exciting installment of waiver wire adds in a while. Not that any of these choices are necessarily league-winners but at least we have a bunch of new names to ponder. Bye weeks are nearly over but this one will be particularly tough with the high-scoring Chiefs, Vikings, Chargers, and Cardinals... Read More


Waiver Wire Express - Week 12 Lightning Round

We're onto Week 12, which means the last of the bye weeks approaches. The Cardinals, Chargers, Chiefs and Vikings hit the hammocks as we can finally start to look at players without worrying about future offweeks. To help you look towards those precious playoff weeks, here is the waiver wire lightning round heading into Week... Read More


Running Back Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 12

The regular season continues to advance at a relentless pace as we have now entered the planning process for Week 12. Some of you are concentrating on building lineups that will commandeer a spot in the fantasy playoffs, while others are making slight adjustments to teams that have already secured their place in the postseason.... Read More


Wide Receiver Waiver Wire Pickups - Week 12

Week 11 is behind us and we're getting closer and closer to the end of the fantasy regular season. For some of us, Week 12 represents the final chance to get into the postseason, while for others we have another week or two left. Here, to help you get ready for the playoffs, is a... Read More


Week 12 Tight End Waiver Wire Picks and Streamers

With fantasy football leagues only a couple weeks away from their playoffs, this is not the time for teams to be short a tight end. Not only do fantasy footballers have no Travis Kelce or Hunter Henry during this crucial week in their fantasy seasons, they do not get to take advantage of using a... Read More


Quarterback Waiver Wire Pickups and Streamers - Week 12

We saw some monster weeks at the quarterbacks position, with four quarterbacks topping 37 points, and ten scoring over 25 points. These weren't all big names putting up these points either, as low-owned quarterbacks like Baker Mayfield, Sam Darnold, and even Jeff Driskel had some big numbers in Week 11. That means we've got plenty... Read More


Week 11 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


NFL Matchup Ratings Tool - Weekly Player Projections

  If you see the red "Upgrade" button below, then you are not a Premium subscriber, or have not yet logged in. Learn more about our NFL Matchup Ratings and projections system. Editor's Note: Get any full-season NFL Premium Pass for 50% off. Our exclusive In-Season Lineup Tools, Lineup Optimizer and over 150 days of... Read More


Week 11 Chat - Live Fantasy Football Game Day Q&A

It's Sunday Morning Week 11... Do You Know Who to Start? Each Sunday morning of the NFL season, RotoBaller's experts will be moderating the industry's leading live chat room and answering a bunch of your fantasy football questions, from around 10:30 AM to 1:00 PM ET. Come join in on the fun, and get your... Read More


Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 11

Welcome to our Week 11 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Wide Receiver / Cornerback Matchups To Target in Week 11

In Week 10, the Buccaneers defeated the Cardinals in a game that featured a whopping 57 points scored between the two teams. Christian Kirk was expected to exploit the Buccaneers weak secondary, and he exceeded all expectations by catching three touchdowns, finishing as the No. 1 wide receiver on the week. On the other side... Read More


Holiday Shopping - Who To Buy For The Playoffs Run

As the fantasy football season nears the home stretch, most owners should begin turning their eyes towards the remaining six weeks of the fantasy schedule. Either you're comfortably in the playoffs and need to see who you should be rostering in order to get the best matchups or you need that extra boost to qualify... Read More


Updated Week 11 PPR Rankings (Top 300)

Welcome to Week 11 RotoBallers. Below are our updated consensus Week 11 PPR rankings for fantasy football, including some running notes on relevant injuries, player news and rankings updates: Emmanuel Sanders is officially active. George Kittle (ankle, knee) has officially been ruled out. Matt Breida will not play in Week 11. Jay Ajayi was signed by the... Read More