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Tight Ends Start 'Em, Sit 'Em and Fantasy Football Trends for Week 11 (2025)

Dalton Schultz - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Rob's tight end fantasy football start 'em, sit 'em picks for Week 11 of the 2025 season. Who should I start at tight end for fantasy football in Week 11 lineups?

We're approaching the fantasy football playoffs, and it's not too soon to start looking ahead at your future schedules. If you've been streaming tight ends, it's not a bad idea to start looking at some of the tight ends with the best matchups in the coming weeks.

While we won't touch on those matchups this week, fantasy managers can look forward to that next week. This week, we'll be focusing on Luke Musgrave and what his role looked like without Tucker Kraft.

This article will also be posted to Reddit. If you have a question about a particular tight end or would like me to review one, please feel free to stop by and let me know. Please be sure to use the promo code "BOOM" to receive a 10% discount on any of our premium subscriptions.

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Luke Musgrave's Role Without Tucker Kraft

Week 10 was the first game the Packers were forced to play with their superstar tight end, Kraft. We need to be careful not to be too critical of Musgrave's lack of success. That's because Jordan Love and the entire offense struggled. The Eagles are also allowing the third-fewest points to tight ends this season. Those things are naturally going to negatively affect Musgrave

Musgrave had a 76.2% route share. That's just about the only positive thing fantasy managers can take away from the performance, but that shouldn't be underplayed. Musgrave was the clear No. 1 tight end for the Packers and was their undisputed pass-catching tight end without Kraft. This offense has struggled in recent weeks, but Love and the Packers' offense have historically been excellent.

As long as Musgrave maintains this role, fantasy productions should be expected to follow. However, given his performance in Week 10, there are several reasons to be concerned that he won't be a consistent option. Musgrave, despite running 32 routes, only finished with three targets. He finished with a 9.4% target rate and an even worse, 8.3% target share.

Even Kraft, in all his greatness, did not have an elite target share. It stands now at 16.8%, resulting in 5.3 targets per game. If that's all that Kraft was getting, it's hard to envision Musgrave getting a healthy target total. 70% of Kraft's yards came after the catch. He averaged 10.7 yards after the catch per reception. Musgrave is only averaging 2.8.

When you put it all together, Musgrave shouldn't be viewed as anything more than a touchdown-dependent TE2. On the plus side, he plays with an above-average quarterback and play-caller. The offense has been strong in the past, and he has a near full-time role.

 

Quarterback Fallout in Washington

Jayden Daniels has struggled with injuries all year. First, a sprained knee. Then, a hamstring injury, and now, a dislocated elbow. Not surprisingly, the quarterback carousel has negatively impacted Ertz, and we'll look at how below.

Quarterback Route Share Target Rate Target Share TPG RPG RYPG Half-PPR PPG Expected Half-PPR PPG
J, Daniels (5 gms) 72.8% 17.0% 15.8% 4.6 3.8 35.8 9.1 9.9
M, Mariota (4 gms) 67.5% 23.0% 18.0% 4.5 3.2 32.3 5.4 7.8

As you can see from the table above, a lot of Ertz's numbers look incredibly similar regardless of who is under center. Ertz's target share and target share are slightly higher with Mariota, but the volume is essentially identical. The number of receptions and receiving yards is also uncannily similar. There is, however, one big difference: his fantasy production.

Ertz has averaged 9.1 half-PPR PPG with Daniels under center, while he's only averaged 5.4 half-PPR PPG with Mariota. This can be explained by the frequency with which Ertz has scored a touchdown. Ertz has scored three touchdowns from Daniels and none with Mariota. This effectively explains the difference.

Ertz finished as the TE10 last year with an 8.5 half-PPR PPG average, but much of that came via touchdowns. He scored seven touchdowns. Now, without Daniels, Ertz's fantasy value significantly declines.

 

Oldies, but Goodies

Dalton Schultz and Juwan Johnson are both 29 years old, but they're both in the midst of Renaissance seasons. Johnson is currently the TE12 in half-PPR PPG, and Schultz is TE14. However, since Week 10, Schultz is the TE10, averaging 10.3 half-PPR PPG. Since Houston's Week 6 bye, Schultz has been a top-12 tight end in three of the last four weeks.

Johnson has played 10 games this season, and he's been a top-12 tight end five times. Both players are firmly locked into being top-two target-earners. Johnson is competing only for targets with Chris Olave, whereas Schultz is largely competing only with Nico Collins. Schultz is currently sixth in overall targets (58), and Johnson finds himself fourth (59).

They are both in the top 10 in targets per game, as well. Schultz finds himself fifth, averaging 6.4 targets per game. He's tied with rookie phenom Tyler Warren. Johnson is eighth with a 5.9 target per game average, besting Sam LaPorta and Tucker Kraft. The volume is incredibly appealing, but some things are holding him back.

Both players are dealing with subpar quarterbacks and suspect offenses. However, the target volume has kept both players alive for fantasy. Schultz's fantasy surge is even more impressive since he only has one touchdown on the season. Both players should be viewed as high-end TE2s with weekly TE1 upside because they're routinely seeing six targets per game.

 

Who Are the Best Weekly Streamers in Week 11?

We'll define "streamer" as any tight end with a rostered percentage below 65%, based on ESPN.

1. Dalton Schultz, Houston Texans - 46.0% Rostered

The matchup isn't the greatest. The Titans are allowing the ninth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends this season. However, Schultz is on fire right now. Over his last five games, Schultz has more than 50 yards in four of them. He's become the team's clear No. 2 pass-catcher, behind only Nico Collins. The Titans are 30th in points allowed and 25th in yards allowed per game. While they've been stingy to tight ends, their defense has been awful. Given Schultz's hot play, fantasy managers should fire him up with confidence.

2. Harold Fannin Jr., Cleveland Browns - 53.4% Rostered

Baltimore's defense has also been quite poor this season, but they have been tough against tight ends. Fannin is in the midst of an excellent rookie season and has operated as one of Cleveland's top two pass-catchers. Over his last five games, he's averaged 9.7 half-PPR PPG. Over his last four games, Fannin has had seven or more targets in three of them. He also has four or more receptions in five straight games.

3. Zach Ertz, Washington Commanders - 61.5% Rostered

Miami is allowing the third-most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Terry McLaurin is still out this week. Mariota has targeted Ertz at a higher rate than Daniels has in the past. While Ertz has struggled a bit more with Mariota, this is largely due to a lack of touchdowns. Despite the lack of scoring opportunities, going against the Miami defense has a way of solving many problems.

 

Week 11 Rankings

1. Trey McBride vs 49ers

2. Brock Bowers vs Cowboys

3. George Kittle at Cardinals

4. Oronde Gadsden II at Jaguars

5. Jake Ferguson at Raiders

6. Sam LaPorta at Eagles

7. Dallas Goedert vs Lions

8. Kyle Pitts Sr. vs Panthers

9. Travis Kelce at Broncos

10. Dalton Schultz at Titans

11. Mark Andrews at Browns

12. Cade Otton at Bills

13. Harold Fannin Jr. vs Ravens

14. Zach Ertz at Dolphins

15. Hunter Henry vs Jets

16. Colston Loveland at Vikings

17. Theo Johnson vs Green Bay

18. Luke Musgrave at Giants

19. Jonnu Smith vs Bengals

20. Pat Freiermuth vs Bengals

21. T.J. Hockenson vs Bears

22. David Njoku vs Ravens

23. Dawson Knox vs Buccaneers

24. Evan Engram vs Chiefs

25. Noah Fant at Steelers

26. Mason Taylor at Patriots

27. Greg Dulcich vs Commanders

28. A.J. Barner at Rams

29. Isaiah Likely at Browns

30. Terrance Ferguson vs Seahawks  

 

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