ATC Projections: Pitcher Surprises And Concerns For Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Using projections in the fantasy baseball draft process helps give us a baseline of numbers to build a balanced team. Roster construction becomes more challenging with deeper rosters. Though the ADP market pushes up pitchers in rotisserie, category, and points leagues, the projections suggest avoiding at their price. That's important because many positive pitcher surprises... Read More

Key Late-Round Draft Targets - Expert Fantasy Baseball Picks Using EDV

Spring Training is underway, which means we're back with another year of the FSWA-award-nominated Expected Draft Values (EDV) series, where we look at historical data to identify overvalued and undervalued players of all types. Whether you're targeting power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, we've got you covered. We've hit the early and middle... Read More

Key Mid-Round Draft Targets - Expert Fantasy Baseball Picks Using EDV

Spring Training is underway, which means we're back with another year of the FSWA-award-nominated Expected Draft Values (EDV) series, where we look at historical data to identify overvalued and undervalued players of all types. Whether you're targeting power, speed, power+speed, batting average+power, and so on, we've got you covered. It's time to head into the... Read More

JB's Bullpen Method Strategy for 2024: Making FrankenAces Out of Relief Pitchers

Four years ago, our esteemed JB Branson published an article breaking down his favorite fantasy baseball strategy that he’s deployed for over a decade. In his words, the Bullpen Method is a lifestyle that reflects the importance of balance on a fantasy team. Since then he's published this yearly Bullpen Method article, which most recently... Read More

Overvalued Outfielders To Avoid In Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

We're well into fantasy baseball draft season. Most people who have partaken in a draft (mock or real) will have identified where they need to take their favorite players before someone deprives them of that joy. However, as in all drafts, you'll never be able to get all your favorites and will need to pivot... Read More

Undrafted Pitchers With Top 25 Upside For Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

Every fantasy baseball manager wants to be the one to uncover that hidden gem that fell through the cracks of their draft. Look no further than Puka Nacua and Kyren Williams from fantasy football this past season. Considering the draft capital required to roster them -- or lack thereof -- they presented more value than... Read More

Five Fantasy Baseball Draft Sleepers: Mid-To-Late Round Value Picks (NL Central)

The NL Central doesn't have the same kind of fantasy baseball stars as other divisions. As a matter of fact, the first player selected from the NL Central isn't until Cincinnati Reds shortstop Elly De La Cruz is taken in the early fourth round. After that, Devin Williams, Cody Bellinger, Freddy Peralta, and Nico Hoerner... Read More

Top 10 Outfield Prospect Rankings For Dynasty Fantasy Baseball (2024)

The outfield position is always incredibly talented and deep. That's especially true here in 2024 as many of the players we're selecting in the first round of fantasy baseball drafts come from the outfield position and there's plenty of additional talented, young rising stars at this position set to rise up rankings this season. In... Read More

Starting Pitchers Values To Outperform ADP For Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

The goal of your fantasy baseball draft every year is to try to find value in the early, middle, and late rounds. And there is probably no position that is more volatile than starting pitchers, as one arm injury can derail an entire season for a top pick, and a pitcher picked late in the... Read More

SIERA vs. ERA: Starting Pitcher Risers and Fallers for Fantasy Baseball (2024)

So far this offseason, we've taken a look at pitchers who attacked the strike zone the most, who improved their Stuff+ the most, and who saw the biggest increases in K-BB%, amongst others. This article will take yet another slice of the data to see what there is to see. In this case, we'll take... Read More

Five Breakout Outfielders For Fantasy Baseball Drafts - NL Edition (2024)

The term "breakout" always gets the juices flowing, so to speak, in our fantasy baseball world. Everyone loves a good breakout. So much in fact, that we decided to do two whole articles on breakout outfielders here on RotoBaller. Today I'll be discussing five National League outfielders that I'm expecting to break out offensively this... Read More

Five Breakout Outfielders For Fantasy Baseball Drafts - AL Edition (2024)

The term "breakout" carries a lot of weight in my life. In addition to it being one the more notable song titles for my favorite band, the Foo Fighters, it's a buzzy and exciting word in our fantasy baseball world as well. Everyone loves a good breakout. Today, I'll be discussing a quintet of American... Read More

Exit Velocity (EV): Using Sabermetrics For 2024 Fantasy Baseball

If you've watched a baseball broadcast in the Statcast era, you have undoubtedly noticed the broadcasters commenting on a batted ball's exit velocity or EV. Many have taken to using stats like Hard% and Soft% to forecast how a player should be performing, expecting larger Hard% rates to produce larger BABIP and HR/FB figures. There... Read More

Best Ball Outfield Values for Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

The fantasy baseball season is right around the corner. While some of you have been drafting for months, others are just returning from football. For either party, best ball formats are an excellent way to get your feet wet and dig deeper into the player pool. Best ball can help you get an early look... Read More

Five Infielders To Target In 2024 Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Peak fantasy baseball draft season is rapidly approaching. With teams starting to report to spring training, the first games won’t be too far behind them. As we continue to prepare you for your drafts, let’s dive into some of the more appealing infield options to consider. There are only three infielders who have an ADP... Read More

Top 25 Fantasy Baseball Prospect Rankings - Eric Cross' 2024 Draft Targets

Shiny New Toy Syndrome (SNTS) is a condition that impacts thousands of fantasy baseball managers around the world. If you or a loved one have been impacted by SNTS, please contact the fantasy baseball offices of Cross and RotoBaller today and we will unfortunately not be able to assist you as there are a plethora... Read More

Using SIERA to Identify Overachievers Worth Fading in 2024 Fantasy Baseball

With spring training rapidly approaching, it's time for part one of my two-part series on using SIERA to identify pitchers with an ERA that was not truly reflective of their overall effectiveness. SIERA attempts to quantify the skills that underpin a pitcher's ERA. It attempts to consider how specific skills (strikeouts, walks, ground balls) interact... Read More

Starting Pitcher Fantasy Baseball Breakouts Who'll Continue To Improve in 2024

There seemed to be no shortage of rookie starting pitchers impressing last year. And the danger with drafting them on the back of a solid debut season is whether or not they can back it up. That's even truer for more established starters who debuted before 2023 but had their best season in the majors... Read More

Four Rookies Who Surged In September - 2024 Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

In 2023, we saw the MLB debuts of several well-known fantasy baseball prospects, such as Jordan Lawlar, Grayson Rodriguez, AJ Smith-Shawver, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Anthony Volpe. However, many more "under the radar" prospects produced quality rookie campaigns and surged in September as a potential preview of what is to come in 2024. Rookie of the Year... Read More

Custom Draft Rankings for Fantasy Baseball Leagues in 2024

Our fantasy baseball Custom Rankings Service has been expanded for 2024 and now accommodates Points Leagues, Head-To-Head Leagues, Roto Leagues, and Category Leagues. Your leagues have their own custom rules and scoring settings. Let us know those details, and we'll generate custom rankings and projections for your specific settings, all powered by ATC Projections. Playing... Read More

3 Fantasy Baseball Hitters Who Broke Out in 2023

The 2023 Major League Baseball season has been in the books for over a month. New champions were crowned and all the major awards have been doled out. For many fantasy baseball enthusiasts, the end of one season marks the beginning of the next, meaning preparations for 2024 are already underway. The first step in... Read More

3 Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitchers Who Broke Out in 2023

Now that the dust has settled on the 2023 fantasy baseball season, it's a good time to reflect on a wonderful season.  Many pitchers had breakout moments this season, but a select few put the league on notice for an extended period. For fantasy baseball players, these types of breakout pitchers can often be the... Read More

Ariel Cohen's Takeaways From The 2023 Fantasy Baseball Season

As the 2023 Major League Baseball World Series has now concluded, I would like to share several takeaways that stand out to me from the fantasy baseball season. Some of these points will be a data-driven look at 2023 trends or anomalies. Some of these topics will help shape some fantasy draft strategy in 2024.... Read More

Starting Pitchers - 2024 Fantasy Baseball ADP Analysis, Draft Targets, Avoids

As we get into the end of January, fantasy baseball draft season is nearly in full swing. At this point, you either have a few drafts under your belt or you're at least getting ready for your first draft of the 2024 season. Wherever you are in your process, we have the content and tools... Read More

2024 Fantasy Baseball Shortstop Rankings, Tiers, Analysis - Roto League Drafts

MLB shortstops, often considered the defensive captains of the infield, play a crucial role in baseball's dynamics. Renowned for their exceptional fielding skills and quick reflexes, shortstops prevent hits and turn crucial double plays. These players are typically versatile athletes who showcase a combination of speed, agility, and arm strength. Offensively, many modern shortstops are... Read More

Batter BABIP: Using Sabermetrics for 2024 Fantasy Baseball

The most accessible of the fantasy-relevant advanced stats is BABIP, or Batting Average on Balls In Play. It simply measures a player's batting average on balls in play, with outcomes such as strikeouts and home runs removed from consideration. In general, the league average hovers around .300, a nice round number to remember. However, it... Read More

Introduction: Using Sabermetrics for Fantasy Baseball 2024

Hello fellow RotoBallers! Sabermetrics have become an integral tool for fantasy baseball draft prep, but a concise resource for understanding the basics can be difficult to find. This series will attempt to define and explain all of the metrics fantasy managers may find useful, citing examples of how to use them in the process. Multiple... Read More

MLB Rumors: Landing Spots for Blake Snell and 2024 Fantasy Baseball Outlook

Blake Snell posted an MLB-best 2.25 ERA, .181 OBA, and H/9 of 5.8 in 2023 on the way to his second Cy Young award and an All-MLB Team selection. He also ranked sixth in K with 234 and second in K/9 at 11.7. All of this makes him one of the most coveted offseason free... Read More

Top 250 Dynasty Fantasy Baseball Prospects Rankings (2024 Update)

Welcome back RotoBallers to the 2024 update of our MLB team's dynasty fantasy baseball prospects rankings for the 2024 season. This update includes a few changes/additions. First, while they may not be considered "prospects" in many leagues, foreign signees from Japanese or Korean professional leagues will be eligible in first-year player drafts, so they are... Read More