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Midseason Rankings and Tiers: Outfield (OF)

With the first half of the season in the books, it’s time for one last RotoBaller rankings update. As with our May edition, these rest-of-season rankings come from yours truly and Mr. Kyle Bishop. We’re each talking about one position per day through Sunday, with today being my turn to trot around the outfield.

Check out all of our updated rankings. Adjust your league size, and export your rankings. Tiers, auction values, prospects, news and more. It's all free.

Shall we?

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2017 Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Outfielders (Midseason Update)

Ranking Tier Player Position Kyle Nick Composite
1 1 Mike Trout OF 1 1 1
2 1 Aaron Judge OF 2 5 3.5
3 1 Bryce Harper OF 4 8 6
4 2 Mookie Betts OF 13 7 10
5 2 Kris Bryant 3B/OF 11 14 12.5
6 2 George Springer OF 10 16 13
7 2 Charlie Blackmon OF 14 15 14.5
8 2 Giancarlo Stanton OF 15 26 20.5
9 2 Jose Ramirez 3B/OF 17 25 21
10 2 Cody Bellinger 1B/OF 22 24 23
11 3 Marcell Ozuna OF 24 37 30.5
12 3 J.D. Martinez OF 30 35 32.5
13 3 Nelson Cruz OF 45 21 33
14 3 Ryan Braun OF 35 41 38
15 3 Khris Davis OF 63 28 45.5
16 3 A.J. Pollock OF 55 38 46.5
17 3 Yoenis Cespedes OF 48 45 46.5
18 3 Justin Upton OF 60 53 56.5
19 3 Corey Dickerson OF 74 47 60.5
20 3 Domingo Santana OF 65 73 69
21 3 Andrew McCutchen OF 57 86 71.5
22 4 Starling Marte OF 71 83 77
23 4 Christian Yelich OF 93 64 78.5
24 4 Michael Conforto OF 67 107 87
25 4 Adam Duvall OF 79 115 97
26 4 Andrew Benintendi OF 84 118 101
27 4 Billy Hamilton OF 107 133 120
28 4 Chris Owings SS/OF 135 105 120
29 4 Matt Holliday 1B/OF 99 142 120.5
30 5 Tommy Pham OF 98 143 120.5
31 5 Aaron Altherr OF 122 #N/A 122
32 5 Scott Schebler OF 116 130 123
33 5 Trea Turner SS/2B/OF 126 125 125.5
34 5 Lorenzo Cain OF 89 163 126
35 5 Brett Gardner OF 132 121 126.5
36 5 Matt Kemp OF 178 88 133
37 5 Keon Broxton OF 106 164 135
38 5 Gregory Polanco OF 154 119 136.5
39 5 Adam Jones OF 170 112 141
40 5 Jay Bruce OF 169 116 142.5
41 5 Cameron Maybin OF 110 177 143.5
42 5 Michael Brantley OF 200 93 146.5
43 6 Carlos Gonzalez OF 214 102 158
44 6 Carlos Gomez OF 145 171 158
45 6 Jackie Bradley OF 118 199 158.5
46 6 Ian Desmond OF 184 136 160
47 6 Mark Trumbo OF 193 141 167
48 6 Jose Bautista OF 146 209 177.5
49 6 David Peralta OF 167 198 182.5
50 6 Steven Souza OF 130 241 185.5
51 6 Shin-Soo Choo OF 196 196 196
52 6 Mitch Haniger OF 210 187 198.5
53 6 Stephen Piscotty OF 208 191 199.5
54 6 Josh Reddick OF 197 207 202
55 7 Joc Pederson OF 182 224 203
56 7 Yasiel Puig OF 202 211 206.5
57 7 Ender Inciarte OF 147 278 212.5
58 7 Nomar Mazara OF 261 174 217.5
59 7 Kole Calhoun OF 216 237 226.5
60 7 Dexter Fowler OF 264 190 227
61 7 Hunter Renfroe OF 239 216 227.5
62 7 Brandon Drury 3B/OF 273 188 230.5
63 7 Joshua Bell 1B/OF 300 173 236.5
64 7 Avisail Garcia OF 290 195 242.5
65 7 Aaron Hicks OF 252 242 247
66 7 Manuel Margot OF 206 291 248.5
67 7 Curtis Granderson OF 259 246 252.5
68 7 Hunter Pence OF 229 277 253
69 7 Kevin Pillar OF 251 269 260
70 8 Mallex Smith OF 260 #N/A 260
71 8 Max Kepler OF 267 258 262.5
72 8 Michael Taylor OF 220 314 267
73 8 Hernan Perez 3B/OF 237 298 267.5
74 8 Jarrod Dyson OF 268 #N/A 268
75 8 Odubel Herrera OF 271 268 269.5
76 8 Kyle Schwarber C/OF 223 322 272.5
77 8 Delino DeShields OF 275 #N/A 275
78 8 Melky Cabrera OF 245 309 277
79 8 Yasmany Tomas OF 317 249 283
80 8 Nick Markakis OF 284 #N/A 284
81 8 Lonnie Chisenhall OF 253 316 284.5
82 8 Danny Valencia 1B/3B/OF 294 #N/A 294
83 8 Ben Zobrist 2B/OF 328 261 294.5
84 8 Byron Buxton OF 314 287 300.5
85 8 Jose Peraza SS/OF 257 348 302.5
86 9 Denard Span OF 304 #N/A 304
87 9 Carlos Beltran OF 285 331 308
88 9 Ben Gamel OF 311 308 309.5
89 9 Kevin Kiermaier OF 310 #N/A 310
90 9 Eddie Rosario OF 312 #N/A 312
91 9 Jayson Werth OF 281 346 313.5
92 9 Jacoby Ellsbury OF 288 341 314.5
93 9 Jason Heyward OF 325 321 323
94 9 Robbie Grossman OF 329 326 327.5
95 9 Randal Grichuk OF 324 337 330.5
96 9 Seth Smith OF 332 #N/A 332
97 9 David Dahl OF 335 #N/A 335
98 9 Raimel Tapia OF #N/A 343 343

 

Midseason Outfield Rankings Analysis

Tier 1

Everyone can rejoice, as Mike Trout is back and here to save everyone from the darkness that has set over the 2017 season. Bryce Harper scared us a bit with a drop after a torrid April, but he still hit .287 with three homers in June and started off July scorching hot (13-for-30 with two homers BEFORE spanking two dingers in the first game of the second half) so we’re good here. But…but what’s this?

Player 3 has entered the game.

Yes, Aaron Judge is already up here after just one-half of a season, because that’s what doing historic things yields. We can argue about how sustainable his BABIP and HR/FB rates are based on his size, strength, friendly home park and everything, but we’re in uncharted waters here. Leading the league in homers, almost effortlessly winning the Home Run Derby, posting a 16.7 percent walk rate with a 1.139 OPS and having a legitimate chance at the American League Triple Crown in one’s rookie season simply leaves no other option.

Tier 2

The second tier houses many strong options, with a resurgent Mookie Betts headlining the group. I understand that April wasn’t a fun time for those of you who selected him in the first round, but this is rest-of-season and from May 1 on, the Mookman has swatted 14 homers with 12 steals alongside 52 runs and 42 RBI. That’s out of roughly 300 plate appearances (he had 730 last season), meaning the player he’s been over the last two-plus months would give owners an 115/32/100/25/.265 season. You can eat the average loss for that, and we know he’s capable of being a .300 hitter any day.

Then we have George Springer reaching new levels of power, Charlie Blackmon doing his thing (at Coors), Giancarlo Stanton mashing at near-Judgian levels, Jose Ramirez continuing his breakout and Cody Bellinger providing the rookie fireworks in the National League and saving everyone from rostering Adrian Gonzalez. What a hero.

Tier 3

Veterans J.D. Martinez, Nelson Cruz, Ryan Braun, Khris Davis, Yoenis Cespedes, Justin Upton and Andrew McCutchen (!) populate this spot, with A.J. Pollock sliding back here after failing to recapture his 2015 form. Corey Dickerson and Domingo Santana are the real stories here.

While Dickerson hasn’t stormed out to a fantastic July, he’s gone yard at least five times with a batting average of .294 or higher in each of the first three months. His hard-hit rate has hovered around 35 percent in each month as well, so I’m digging the rejuvenated No-Coors-No-Problem Corey. Meanwhile, Santana kicked off his second half with two doubles to give him 18 doubles and 15 homers to power his .293/.386/.503 slash line. Mix in nine steals and marks of 50 or more in both the runs scored and RBI columns, and you’ve got a stud.

Tier 4

Starling Marte comes back soon, so there’s that. He’s popped a homer and swiped four bags across 32 at-bats during his Minor-League tune-up, but I’m worried about him making huge value when you consider how outrageous the power spike is across the league. He’s never turned in a fly-ball rate above 30 percent in a season and is unlikely to be a huge beneficiary of the upper-cut movement, and while his speed definitely plays, just keep both feet on the ground here.

I refuse to be as bullish on Michael Conforto until he stops getting shielded from lefties. I still want to see more consistency from Adam Duvall -- same with Andrew Benintendi. Billy Hamilton has turned it on a bit, but is hitting just .221 with 10 steals since June began (32 games) and that lands him well outside of my top 100.

Tier 5

Kyle likes Tommy Pham more than me, and that’s okay. He’s got five-category talent and is a worthy consideration for the top 100 if you’re willing to gamble on his playing time continuing to show up with everyone at full health. He also likes Lorenzo Cain’s June power spike a lot more than I do, but I’m buying April and May being more indicative of his rest-of-season than June.

Brett Gardner waited a while to start hitting homers, but now he’s producing like a serious five-tool player worthy of being someone’s OF2/3 in an absolutely stacked lineup and the friendliest stadium a lefty-hitter could wish for. I think Matt Kemp tried to push through another hamstring injury and stunk it up in the process, but hopefully, the All-Star break gives him his form back. I also think Jay Bruce keeps this up all season long and ends up with 40 homers for the first time in his career.

Tier 6

I can’t give up on Carlos Gonzalez, and I’m willing to go down with that ship. He’s only 31 and I don’t think he’s playing hurt, so I just think the possibility of a streak is too much to pass up. It happened in the first half last season (19 HRs, .318 average) and the second half in ’15 (27 HRs[!], .285 average). Jackie Bradley Jr. is another streaky fellow that you can gamble on (he looked good in June), but I’m not sold on him compared to a commodity like CarGo.

Veterans like Ian Desmond, Mark Trumbo and Jose Bautista have all had their struggles and highlights, but their ceilings keep them around. Shin-Soo Choo probably deserves more love -- definitely don’t let him skirt by in your league. Mitch Haniger needs to show where his skillset is really going to settle down here after a torrid start and an injury, so No. 200 is right about where the dice roll feels good.

Tier 7

I meant to put Ender Inciarte higher, so that’s another one of those things that I’ll use this article to prop up. The Braves’ lone All-Star has scored 117 runs alongside a .319 average over the last calendar year, but his nine homers, 54 RBI and 19 steals aren’t exactly world-beating stats. Still, it’s better than where I have him and for that, I’m sorry (and correcting shortly).

Yasiel Puig has taken on some real post-hype life in ‘17 and kicked off his second half by bashing a walk-off three-run homer, as I’d definitely take him over his super-streaky teammate Joc Pederson, though Kyle disagrees. I’m not “sold” on Avisail Garcia, but I think he’s shown enough now where I’m not going to bury him toward the 300s either. Kyle thinks the same of Manuel Margot, apparently. That’s fair, but I don’t like buying into a one-dimensional piece of the Padres unless he boasts Hamiltonian speed. At least Hunter Renfroe has his power trickle down to some semblance of runs and RBI.

Tiers 8 & 9

There isn’t much here outside of the steadily-declining veteran, the injured guy with a solid yet unspectacular ceiling, and those young lottery tickets. David Dahl basically encapsulates all three categories, if you think of his rib cage as that of someone in their 40s. That was mean, but still. I’d rather bank on Byron Buxton’s upward trending bat and the fact that he’s currently playing. There are plenty of usable folks in here, but no one really standing out as an “I won’t go near him” player, though I am entirely off of the Kyle Schwarber train. I was low coming into the season and now just over it.

 

More Rankings & Analysis




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