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Scott Engel's 2022 fantasy football undervalued draft targets and overvalued draft avoids in dynasty startup drafts. He takes an early look at FFPC ADP to find values and reaches.
There is nothing like the progressive thrill and march to glory that comes with owning a dynasty fantasy football team. Hard work and consistent diligence are rewarded with a great sense of fantasy accomplishment. Startup dynasty league drafts against the best players in the game await you in the Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC), a premier high-stakes platform for savvy competitors.
Standard FFPC dynasty drafts last for 20 rounds, so you must be well prepared to have a chance of winning significant prize money. One key to success in dynasty leagues is to keep a healthy balance between building a team that can win now but is also constructed for success down the line. Some dynasty players focus too heavily on the latter. The scope of your team will change a lot three to four years from now.
We provide our first rundown of FFPC dynasty startup Average Draft Position reports that reveal players who are being drafted too high or too low. There are various FFPC games available for all levels of players at various price points, so sign up here and get a $25 discount as a new player if you are a RotoBaller subscriber.
Editor's Note: Steer clear of costly draft mistakes with RotoBaller’s expert Fantasy Football Bust analysis. We break down overvalued players, potential letdowns, and risky ADPs to avoid, so you can build a smarter, safer roster.
FFPC Startup ADP Trends: Running Backs
Austin Ekeler (FFPC overall ADP of 24.94): You can consider Ekeler a decent value play as the eighth running back off the board. He has at least three more top-level seasons left in him at 27 years old, and he finally emerged as a regular goal-line presence in 2021. Ekeler helps you win now and in the near future.
Travis Etienne (35.81): Etienne should rebound from a lost first season and will be a significant pass-catching threat. He could be a full-time starter by next season. He is the 11th RB off the board, but that is not a position where he is being overdrafted. It makes sense that forward-looking FFPC players are taking him at that spot. James Robinson is a free agent after the 2022 season.
David Montgomery (55.5): He appears to be a good value at his current FFPC dynasty startup ADP, as Montgomery has just turned 26 years old and should be a focal point of the Bears' offense for the next few years. Operating in an RPO attack with Justin Fields should work well for Montgomery.
Elijah Mitchell (74.94): You should have second thoughts when considering Mitchell in a dynasty format. Even though he was the clear lead RB for the 49ers last year, Kyle Shanahan prefers committees, and rookie Tyrion Davis-Price could share a lot of carries this season while also emerging as a consistent goal-line option for San Francisco.
Miles Sanders (96.6): FFPC players are taking a smart approach to Sanders. There are no indications that he is going to meet initial career expectations any time soon, and Sanders is not much of a goal-line runner either. Sanders has the look of a failure who won’t suddenly turn into a success.
Zamir White (122.31): He is a very good bargain play in FFPC startup dynasty drafts right now. White should start threatening Josh Jacobs’ playing time this season, and by 2023, he could be the Raiders’ lead running back. The new Raiders regime drafted White as their guy, while Jacobs is a leftover from the last three years and will likely be gone after this season.
Rashaad Penny "in driver's seat" to be Seahawks lead back #NFL #NFLNews #FantasyFootball
No surprise here as of June with how Penny finished and Walker still a rookie needing to earn his way. The injury history of Penny is the main focus. Getting to week 1 is an achievement pic.twitter.com/3xZky28g9a— Belly Up Sports' MD's Fantasy Football Show (@bellyupmdffshow) June 22, 2022
Rashaad Penny (128.13). The dynasty price tag is much too low on Penny, while Kenneth Walker III is going at 38.69. Penny could still be the 1A to Walker’s 1B this season in Seattle. Next year, he may be starting somewhere else if he has a good season. Pete Carroll would like to hammer defenses with two top RBs, so there are far from any guarantees that Walker is the clear starter by next season. Penny is on a one-year deal and can prove himself more to stay in Seattle or be a pure lead RB somewhere else in 2023. He is capable of outplaying Walker this season and producing well with the Seahawks or another team next year.
FFPC Startup ADP Trends: Wide Receivers
Stefon Diggs (30.06): He is being drafted just outside the top 10 in FFPC dynasty startup leagues. Diggs is 28 years old, which means he likely has at least four high-quality seasons left in him. The late, great Mike Tagliere of FantasyPros used to do annual studies on when wide receivers decline in age, and he found it wasn’t until they turned 33 or 34 years old. He indicated that their prime years were actually between 29 and 31.
D.J. Moore (35.56): Moore has always put up admirable reception and yardage numbers for a guy that has dealt with low-quality quarterback play on a regular basis. He has never caught more than four TD passes in a season, so we cannot quite endorse him as the 13th WR off the board in FFPC dynasty startup drafts.
Rashod Bateman (60.8): Bateman does have the potential to become a quality No. 1 target for the Ravens, but Lamar Jackson has yet to turn any wide receiver into a consistent fantasy playmaker. Mark Andrews is still his top target and the Ravens are expected to be run-heavy again this season. Bateman’s FFPC dynasty startup ADP may be a little high based on opportunity. The problem is, opportunity does not always lead to expected production.
Courtland Sutton, 2 yrs removed from his ACL injury is about to have a career high in TDs by a wide margin
Led all Broncos in RZ targets and Russ has been a leader in RZ attempts the past few years.
Sky’s the limit for Sutton
— Mike Ruggieri (@Mike_Ruggi) June 22, 2022
Courtland Sutton (71.13): He appears to be a bargain at his current dynasty startup ADP. Sutton had 1,112 receiving yards in 2019 and he is on the verge of a re-emergence because of a significant QB upgrade in Denver. Sutton may be the No. 1 wide receiver for Russell Wilson for the next few years.
Gabriel Davis (79.94): The ADP is just too low for a 23-year-old wide receiver on the verge of a breakout year. Let’s not overthink this one. Davis is a big-play wideout in a pass-first offense. He is fully ticketed to become the No. 2 WR for Josh Allen. Take advantage of the value while you can. The FFPC crowd will surely push him up the board soon.
Allen Robinson (91): Yes, Robinson will turn 29 years old in August. You also want to win this year, and maybe next year too by taking advantage of the fact that Robinson will be playing with the best QB of his career. Not all smart dynasty moves involve looking four-plus years down the line.
Alec Pierce (129.6): Many rookie WRs are getting pushed up the dynasty board to early spots, but Pierce is not getting enough respect. He could become an immediate starter for the Colts in his first pro season.
FFPC Startup ADP Trends: Tight Ends
Dawson Knox (104.3): Knox is only 25 years old, and even with the rise of Davis in the Buffalo passing game, he will remain a key playmaker on important passing downs and near the goal line. He may score a TD or two less than he did last year but the reception totals can improve and he should be a quality option in a TE premium format for the next few years.
Irv Smith Jr. (123.35): His career is about to get rolling in 2022, so grab Smith now before he becomes a highly-coveted FFPC TE. He will be healthy this season and the Vikings may open up their passing game more. Smith will benefit on crucial passing downs and in scoring situations.
Adam Trautman (293.13): He was a disappointment last season, but Trautman still has the potential to emerge as a quality fantasy option. He is worth the later flier, as FFPC dynasty drafts go deep.
FFPC Startup ADP Trends: Quarterbacks
Jalen Hurts (64.44): Hurts is the ninth QB off the board in FFPC dynasty drafts, yet he could be ready to deliver a true breakthrough season with his upgraded receiving corps. Hurts has top 3 fantasy QB promise and we have not seen the best of him just yet.
Matthew Stafford (96.38): Stafford is not being drafted as a QB1 in FFPC dynasty startup drafts because he is 34 years old and does not run. That said, he can be an easy top 10 fantasy QB over at least the next three years.
Derek Carr (104.81): Carr is 31 years old, which is certainly not “old” for a quarterback. Plus, he will work with the best receiving crew of his career this season. Carr could be entering his best years as a fantasy QB.
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