Tyreek Hill, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Marvin Harrison Jr. - Who Should I Draft in 2025 Fantasy Football?

John Johnson's fantasy football draft analysis for Tyreek Hill, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Marvin Harrison Jr.. His fantasy football outlooks for top fantasy wide receivers.

Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill, Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba, and Arizona Cardinals wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. are three WRs that are regularly being drafted in the second and third rounds of PPR redraft leagues.

They're also not without significant risks, as are many players drafted in that range. It's not as if all have had uber-productive seasons to this point in the NFL. But the potential for each to have a big year in 2025 is undeniable, if not more likely for some than others.

There's a lot of upside to be had in hitting big on your picks after the first round because players that everyone agrees will have big seasons are mostly gone by then, and it becomes a bit tougher to evaluate these guys, though. I'll try to do that here for you. Let's dive in!

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Should You Draft Tyreek Hill?

Hill has been the subject of trade rumors in recent weeks, and really ever since the season ended. For the sake of this piece, though, we'll look at his outlook with the Miami Dolphins. It's not one I'm particularly excited about. Several factors are working against him.

The first, and biggest issue, is his age. He's 31 years old. One of the first things to fade in NFL players is their speed, and Hill's blazing acceleration and velocity are the two reasons he's had such a productive career. It's never easy to predict when these skills will fall off as the age cliff approaches.

I can't help but avoid drafting Tyreek Hill in the 2nd round in fantasy, which I've seen in a lot of mocks. Tua Tagovailoa's avg time to throw didn't change much, but his ADOT was WAY down. I think this is a personnel thing. Tyreek is 31 and Jonnu Smith and De'Von Achane exist. pic.twitter.com/fFb9SCRecD

— JohnJohn Analysis (@JohnJohnalytics) May 24, 2025

There are other pieces of the puzzle, too. The Dolphins' offense is simply different now than it was in 2022 and 2023, when Hill enjoyed elite WR1 production. Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa simply threw much shorter passes in 2024 than he did in previous years.

It wasn't just because of the offensive line. It seems that Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel wanted to get his great yards-after-catch threats more involved in the passing game. Running back De'Von Achane and tight end Jonnu Smith are both studs with the ball in their hands.

Tua has 1 bad game and people want a new QB.
T. Hill has multiple bad games vs top teams and people are okay with it. pic.twitter.com/UjLWJjuRIM

— Edwin🎙️ (@EdwinSphere) December 21, 2024

If his speed starts to fade, several issues with his game become concerning. He could still enjoy a handful of very high-target games, but be streaky and inconsistent, struggling with drops, separation, tough contested catches, and the like.

It depends on his ADP at the end of the day. Right now, he's firmly in the third round in ADP. I'm not confident that this will hold, though. As the season draws closer, fantasy managers tend to lean into players they know and have proven production in the past.

Even though Smith has been traded to Pittsburgh, I don't like him as anything earlier than a late third-rounder.

Should You Draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba?

I can jump the gun here a bit, I guess. I have zero interest in drafting Smith-Njigba this season. I don't like Seahawks quarterback Sam Darnold. I especially dislike the team's offensive line, primarily due to general manager John Schneider's ineptitude. I'm not sure how he'll fare, considering the reduced slot snaps.

The team signed former Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp in the offseason. Kupp is primarily a slot WR. He doesn't have the athleticism, separation skills, or juice to win as an outside receiver anymore. It's the same for slot receivers who are 32 years old, which Kupp will be in June.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has recorded 767 receiving yards from the slot this season, 217 more than the next closest player (Ladd McConkey, 550).

📸: Top 5 Slot Receiving Yards Leaders pic.twitter.com/rW0dYiMlps

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) December 10, 2024

How offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak splits up the slot reps between JSN and Kupp remains to be seen. But slot usage is a cheat code for receiver production, especially in fantasy football, because the matchups against weaker slot cornerbacks are easier than those against outside CBs.

This is especially true for players with less overall speed, and Kupp was never a burner to begin with. Neither was JSN, but he ran a significantly faster 40-yard dash than Kupp, and is, of course, a lot younger. If Kupp isn't winning many reps on the outside, he could leech slot work away from Smith-Njigba.

Lots of compliments from Klint Kubiak for Kenneth Walker III. Referred to him as the Seahawks' best runner, wants to get him the ball in as many ways possible. Noted his ability to run in zone scheme, which Kubiak was essentially born into. Barely mentioned Charbonnet.

— #AskFFT (@daverichard) February 11, 2025

Kubiak's scheme is also very run-heavy, which will be a significant change from last season, when Ryan Grubb's Seahawks offense threw the ball at one of the highest rates over expectation in the league. Sure, WR D.K. Metcalf was traded away, but JSN's ridiculous target total last season might not repeat itself.

And former Seattle QB Geno Smith was adept at avoiding pressure and getting the ball to his receivers even when the pass protection didn't hold up. Darnold is awful at that. I'm not confident this passing offense will be very good next season as a result. So I'm out on JSN. His ADP is too high — currently in the second-to-third round.

Should You Draft Marvin Harrison Jr.?

Harrison's first season in the league was mostly a wash. After a huge Week 2 performance, in which he dominated the Los Angeles Rams for 130 receiving yards and two touchdowns, the rest of his season, and in fact his first performance too, were completely disappointing.

Harrison was the team's clear No. 2 receiving target, after tight end Trey McBride. Harrison, despite playing in all 17 games and being targeted 116 times, caught just 62 passes for 885 yards and eight touchdowns. Overall, he averaged just 3.6 catches per contest. Excluding Week 2, he had just 50 receiving yards per game. That's pretty abysmal.

Marvin Harrison, Jr.

This was defended before Harrison could encounter the target,

Still, note the sub-optimal attack he's using. It's a bad habit. pic.twitter.com/QJpfWhzSsm

— Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) November 4, 2024

Yes, it's true that his dad, Marvin Harrison, had very similar rookie-season stats. For those huffing as much hopium as possible, this is an amazing sign that Harrison will have a remarkably successful career, starting in 2025. I'm not on that boat. Harrison's deficiencies are largely being glossed over on social media.

He's just slow, for starters. He doesn't have the acceleration or speed off the line to win on vertical routes. So, using him as an "X" receiver doesn't make much sense. He's also really not the contested catch stud he was hyped to be coming out of college. These make it difficult to win reps deeper down the field.

#Cardinals Marvin Harrison Jr. Debut:

- 1 Reception
- 4 yards pic.twitter.com/tbKQP4nv6Z

— NFL Rumors (@nflrums) September 9, 2024

Harrison's debut could be written off by many, but I wouldn't recommend it. Sure, Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray missed him on a busted coverage. But Murray's inability to be one of the league's better passers factors into my decision here, too.

So does McBride's elite play at tight end last season. I'd be more surprised if, assuming both he and Harrison stay healthy, Harrison were the team's target leader in 2025. McBride is one of the league's best TEs, and rewarded Murray spectacularly for his trust and league-leading (for tight ends) 9.2 targets per game.

Trey McBride with 5 catches for 51 yards tonight. This was his best. pic.twitter.com/J2AIVPwUNe

— Bo Brack (@BoBrack) October 22, 2024

In many fantasy leagues, people are just taking McBride straight up over Harrison, even though tight ends are usually a lot less valuable than receivers. And I don't even hate this plan. I still think McBride is the de facto WR1 for the Cardinals, and hate Harrison's athletic limitations.

Verdict

No thanks. If I want to draft Dolphins players, I'd rather take Achane or the tight end, Smith. If I want to take someone from the Cardinals, I'll go with McBride or running back James Conner. If I were forced to take a player from Seattle, I'd go with Kenneth Walker III, though I wouldn't be super thrilled about it.

Either way, Hill, Smith-Njigba, and Harrison aren't great draft values at their current ADPs.

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