Don't have an account?
Join the Best Live Fantasy Chat Community!

Lost password? [X]

Receive free daily analysis:

NFL    NBA    MLB

Already have an account? Log in here.

[X]

Forgot Password


[X]

Fantasy Baseball Buy Low / Sell High: Hitters for Week 16


Buy/Sell Week 16: Don't Give Up Yet!

In some leagues we only have about 6 weeks left (excluding the playoffs) of fantasy baseball.  I hope you all enjoy the impending end to the season, because I know we will all have a lot more time on our hands when it’s over.  Even if your playoff chances are slim, keep up the hard work.  Nothing is over until it’s over, and fantasy baseball is a funny game.

If you’ve been eliminated from the playoffs already and your season is essentially over, don’t be the guy who gives up.  No one likes that guy.  Be the guy who goes down swinging and try to ruin everyone else’s chances.  Be THAT guy.

For week 16, these are the sleeper hitters I’m buying and selling.

 

Fantasy Baseball Hitters To Buy

Jason Heyward – (OF) Atlanta Braves

rotoballer-fantasy-baseball-advice-jason-heywardFredi Gonzalez has recently decided to play with his lineup again, and the big winner from the shuffle is Jason Heyward.  By moving out of the leadoff spot, Heyward will begin to see more AB's with runners on.   Besides the obvious uptick in RBI chances for Heyward, his BABIP is still low (.285) compared to his career average (.300).  This means you can expect Heyward to hit as well as he has, or better in the coming weeks.

A better sign for Heyward owners is that he has shown better plate discipline by raising his BB/K ratio from his career average of .57 to .68 this year.  When he hits, he hits with an increase FB% of 37.1%, up from his career 33.6% and he has decreased his GB% to 45.4% down from his career norm of 48.4%.

Get him in your lineup because for the next few months, Heyward’s fantasy value will continue to rise.

 

Pablo Sandoval – (3B) San Francisco Giants

By Chase N. on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) [CC-BY-SA-2.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0)], via Wikimedia CommonsThis looks like the year that Pablo Sandoval finally returns to the 20 HR club.  Kung Fu Panda is currently sitting at 11 home runs, but has seen his ISO return to a more respectable .160 from his mediocre .139 last year.

In addition, he has lowered his GB/FB ratio to 1.14 from his career average of 1.17, which doesn’t sound like much, but what it means is that he is hitting the ball better than his career average.

His batting average is only .270 at the moment, but his career average is .295.  If he can stay healthy, expect his BABIP and batting average to rise towards his norm.

 

Victor Martinez – (DH / 1B) Detroit Tigers

Victor Martinez is currently sitting out until after the All-Star break and now might be the time you can actually snag him for your team.  It appears that Martinez is nowhere close to slowing down, which is scary, considering what he has already done this year.  His BABIP is still low at .298 compared to his career .314 and with his batting average is already near his career high, Martinez quite possibly will have his best year at the age of 35.

Martinez currently has a gigantic 165 wRC+, most of which is derived from his improved BB/K ratio of 1.43, up from his career .88.  Another factor is his decreased GB% of 37.8%, down from his usual 42.8%.  Combined, they have created an unbelievable OPS of .991.

Martinez will come at a high price but  because he is a little banged up right now, this could be the perfect time to try and buy him at his lowest value.  Once he returns, I would think it’d be close to impossible to convince a fantasy owner to give him up.

 

Evan Longoria – (3B) Tampa Rays

In his major league career, Evan Longoria has never finished a season with an ISO below .213.  That is why I have a hard time believing that his current .132 ISO will stay that low.  Similarly, there has only been a single year when Longoria has had a BABIP below .309.  That single year his BABIP was .239, which brought his career average down to .304.  Most years, Longoria's BABIP hovers between the .310 to .320 ranges.

Longoria’s .260 batting average is also a little low right now compared to his career .273 mark.  From his GB/FB ratio (1.16), it appears Longoria is having a hard time making solid contact on the ball.  He has never finished a season with a GB/FB ratio above .94, so expect some improvement there, too.

 

Fantasy Baseball Hitters To Sell

Yasiel Puig – (OF) Los Angeles Dodgers

mlb-fantasy-baseball-advice-yasiel-puigAs the 29.1 average pick in ESPN leagues, I’d say Yasiel Puig’s 12 HR have been a disappointment to the owners who reached that high for him.  It comes as no surprise that his HR production is that low when you factor in his 1.49 GB/FB ratio.  That is sky high for a power hitter.  Unfortunately, his HR/FB ratio has decreased to 13.3% from last year’s 17.5%.  This means that he is hitting only 34.4% fly balls on balls in play this year, of which he only hits 13.3% of for HR.

What is great about Puig is that he is a young star that still produces Runs, RBI, and hits for high batting average with a possibility for the stealing the occasional base.  Selling Puig should yield big outcomes simply for his reputation but also for his perceived potential, not his actual production.

 

Justin Morneau – (1B) Colorado Rockies

After a hot start, Justin Morneau is beginning to re-enter the atmosphere.  His BABIP and batting average are dropping back down to a more normal .313 and .309 respectively, but those numbers are still a little inflated next to his career norms.  Really worrisome however, is that Morneau is hitting 6.2% more ground balls than his career average.  In contrast, he is hitting 7.1% fewer fly balls.

With solid RBI and batting average stats, lazy owners will still think they are getting a good deal.

 




More Recent Articles

 

Fantasy Football Starts and Sits: Matchups Analysis for Week 7

Welcome to our Week 7 matchup analysis and start/sit column for fantasy football. We'll be covering every single contest from the Sunday slate in one convenient location, helping you make the best decisions for your fantasy lineups. Be sure to check back regularly because this article will be updated as news comes in regarding injuries and other... Read More


Week 7 Fantasy Football Staff Rankings

Below you will find all of RotoBaller's fantasy football weekly rankings, tiers, player news and stats for the 2019 NFL season. Our Ranking Wizard displays our staff's rankings for various league formats, all in one easy place. Here's what you'll find: Weekly PPR Rankings Weekly Half-PPR Rankings Weekly Standard Rankings Dynasty League Rankings     Fantasy... Read More


Week 7 Busts? Players To Consider Avoiding

We're almost halfway through the NFL season already. Time really does fly. At this point in the year, you should know whether your fantasy squad is a pretender or contender for a fantasy title. You may only be missing a couple of key pieces. If so, you should certainly consider trading for a player or... Read More


Fantasy Football IDP Rankings for Week 7 (Top 100)

Luckily for fantasy owners in IDP leagues, Week 7 sees the return of Darius Leonard to the field (and our top 10 ranks), as well as the Bears Defense. While perennial stud Luke Kuechly, exciting rookie Devin Bush, and surprising DPOY candidate Shaquil Barrett are on bye, we aren't losing too much from the player... Read More


A Necessary Guide to Streaming Tight Ends in 2019

Okay, follow my instructions, keep calm, and everything is going to be alright. Don't panic yet! We've burned almost half of the football fantasy season, if we assume playoffs start in Week 14. So far, it's been a wild one, and as expected, the tight end position has been as unpredictable as ever. We all... Read More


Is Stefon Diggs Really Back?

Weeks 1-5: 4.6 targets, 3.2 receptions, 50.6 yards per game, one touchdown. Week 6: 11 targets, eight receptions, 167 yards, three touchdowns. All of these numbers show a marked improvement on the season averages of Stefon Diggs in Minnesota. But, do they tell the whole story? Do they really signify that Diggs should be considered... Read More


Buys and Sells - The King's Guide for Week 7

Not every football fan is a baseball fan. But many of us sports aficionados did follow the game for awhile, and still do. At some point, many of have witnessed a trade, where a team out of contention dealt away a star player for some minor leaguers. One team received an immediate impact player, while... Read More


Offensive Line Rankings Analysis: Week 7

In Week 6, we once again saw some great football, starting with the New England Patriots continuing their undefeated start to the season and ending with one of the most controversial games of the week as the Green Bay Packers overcame the Detroit Lions. The London games continued with Jameis Winston struggling once again, this... Read More


Wide Receiver Snap Counts and Target Trends - Week 6 Analysis

Wide receivers are essential components toward your ultimate goal of securing league championships. As the season unfolds, an expanding collection of tools are available that can provide you with an extensive level of knowledge. Those results provide the foundation for this weekly statistical breakdown of the wide receiver position, which is designed to help you fulfill... Read More


NCAA Prospects To Watch: Week 8

We’re almost halfway through the college football season, which means small sample sizes are becoming larger, and players are beginning to rise up the draft boards. While that means the cream is rising to the top, it also means that some unique names have emerged as players to know for the 2020 NFL Draft. This... Read More


Week 7 Stream Team - Free Agent and Bye-Week Streamers

Now that bye weeks are in full swing; streaming becomes a more viable and almost necessary strategy. Knowing who to add and when to start them could be the ultimate difference-maker in a weekly matchup. Making the right streaming decisions throughout the season could easily be the difference in winning a championship. Each week, I... Read More


Fantasy Football Booms, Busts - Joe Mixon, John Brown, Calvin Ridley

Will Week 7 be a lucky week for fantasy football players? Fantasy players will not have to worry about Jameis Winston throwing interceptions, Baker Mayfield missing receivers by miles, or backup quarterbacks ruining JuJu Smith-Schuster’s fantasy value thanks to their teams being on bye. Fantasy players will still have to win by picking the perfect... Read More


Jets Offense Ready for Takeoff - Le'Veon Bell, Jamison Crowder, Robby Anderson

The Jets picked up their first win of the season on Sunday, a rousing two-point victory over the Dallas Cowboys. Sam Darnold was the big story, returning to revive an offense that had scored 23 points in three games without him. Suddenly optimism is reigning in New York/New Jersey after the franchise QB came back... Read More


Running Back Start/Sit Advice - Week 7

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the running back position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 7 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in RB3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More


Wide Receiver Start/Sit Advice - Week 7

Pierre Camus and Chris Mangano break down the wide receiver position to help with tough fantasy football lineup decisions for Week 7 of the 2019 NFL season. They decide who to start or sit among those in WR3 or flex consideration. Like and subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest... Read More