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The Model Maniac

435 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open

We have 3 rounds of golf left at the Texas Children's Houston Open and Scottie Scheffler is already +120 to win the tournament. Wyndham Clark sits five shots back of Scheffler and is double the odds to finish top five. We are in some seriously unchartered territory with Scheffler right now. I guess we should […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. "Peter Malnati: $5,600 (1%) Don't look now, but Peter Malnati has made back-to-back cuts in his Florida swing starts. He has not played well here in the past, but what Malnati does best is scramble! If we expect tons of golfers to be missing […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open

We are going to enjoy an expedited article as we are running way behind this week. Life can just get away from you at times but we are behind the keyboard and sharing some thoughts and bets on the week for the Texas Children's Houston Open. Congrats to Peter Malnati who took yet another piece […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open (Premium)

I have enjoyed putting this article together much more than recently when pasting hundreds of screenshots into this article had me feeling as robotic as Scottie Scheffler's ball striking. Now that my model is available to premium subscribers, I hope you are using that to make better decisions on your DFS and Betting selections. This […]

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DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Valspar Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Not our best week last week but getting guys across the cut at the PLAYERS remains a mystery for the majority of DFS goers. The field gets watered down a little as we head to the Valspar Championship as a continuation of the Florida […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Valpsar Championship

Scottie Scheffler is a cheat code when the putter works and when it doesn't, well, he can still win golf tournaments. The guy tweaked his neck and then was taped up like Jason Kelce and still managed to win a golf tournament of the highest demands. Despite doing the back-to-back piggyback, winning back-to-back tournaments in […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Valspar Championship (Premium)

I have enjoyed putting this article together much more than recently when pasting hundreds of screenshots into this article had me feeling as robotic as Scottie Scheffler's ball striking. Now that my model is available to premium subscribers, I hope you are using that to make better decisions on your DFS and Betting selections. This […]

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PGA DFS Picks - Round 4 Showdown For 2024 PLAYERS Championship

We should have a three-horse race for the winner of the PLAYERS Championship, with Xander Schauffele sitting in first at -17, Wyndham Clark in second at -16, and Brian Harman a shot back at -15. Fourth place has two golfers tied at -13 which is four shots off Xander, who Harman or Clark will be […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 PLAYERS Championship

The cut has been made and Wyndham Clark has been a cut above the field so far, sitting four shots clear of 2nd after a pair of 65s see him at -14 for the event. Nick Taylor and Xander Schauffele sit in second and will be looking to chase down Clark who leads the field […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 PLAYERS Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Carnage, folks. Carnage. The PLAYERS is an event that sees some of the biggest names miss the cut in epic fashion. If you are intending on playing Scottie Scheffler this week, you are likely going to need a name or three south of the […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 PLAYERS Championship

Scottie Scheffler has learnt how to putt, or so it seems. As a result we have got some really good odds down the board to lean into. So much so that we have 10 outrights going this week. If Scheffler returns to planet earth and just finishes inside the top-10 like we have come to […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 PLAYERS Championship (Premium)

This article has been ... remodeled a little. For me, it is so much easier to share my model that has information for all the golfers, compared to just screenshots of the top 20 of each category. It's a win-win situation, as you get more info and I save tons of time. If there is […]

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Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Will Zalatoris sits one shot back of the lead in solo seventh. We have six golfers tied for the lead, five of them major winners. Scheffler, Clark, Lowry, Matsuyama, Harman have all won a massive event in the last few years. Russell Henley leads the field in strokes gained putting as the sixth golfer atop […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Shane Lowry decided that he wanted to give himself another opportunity to have a final round meltdown, leading the field at -6 at the close of round 1. He seems to really like Florida golf, at least through the first three rounds. Hideki Matsuyama sits in T2, using his amazing feel around the greens to […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We have a limited field heading into a signature event at Bay Hill Club and Lodge, or what I jokingly called it in Breaking $100, Bay Hill Club & Cabbage Patch, with rough exceptionally thick inches off the fairway making it impossible to advance […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Another week, another long shot winner in the form of 160-1 Austin Eckroat. These long shots are making me want to take shots ... of very strong alcohol. This has been such a wild start to the season as hitting Knapp in Mexico at 40-1 was the shortest winner in the first two months of […]


PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Arnold Palmer Invitational (Premium)

As we head to the King's Classic for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, we are going to shorten up the menu of the stat buffet, at least from a screenshot perspective. When I first got into writing articles for the wonderful people here at RotoBaller, I decided to paste a million screenshots of my model into […]

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PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown For 2024 Cognizant Classic

Shane Lowry gained +4.4 strokes on approach today, which is his third best iron display since 2017, where my database begins. It is also only the third time he has eclipsed four strokes on approach in that span. Lowry does however, own the 30th best singular round of approach in Data Golf's history tool, gaining […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Cognizant Classic

The top of this leaderboard is looks like we just hit the randomize button on the field. The first non-surprising name shows up in T6 where Shane Lowery, Rory McIlroy and Cameron Young frequent the leaderboard. Bud Cauley leads the Cognizant Classic field in only his second start since returning to the tour after a […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Cognizant Classic

The Honda Classic is likely looking down from above as the Cognizant Classic putt the metaphorical bumpers up alongside the fairways and greens, with today's round playing the second easiest in quite some time. The wind will be picking up tomorrow and hopefully the course starts playing like it has in the past. The general […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Cognizant Classic (Premium)

Some KFT Rookies really came through for us in Mexico! This week we get a totally different course, which means a different type of golfer is capable of succeeding here this week. Let's find out who shows up in the most screenshots for this week's Cognizant Classic. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Cognizant Classic

Jake Knapp, you are a beautiful, mullet-wearing wonder! It is becoming apparent that we have a type over here at Breaking $100, as we hit Cam Smith three times in 2022, and now Jake Knapp's mullet and Original Penguin shirt make it our fourth winner of that hair and clothing combo. We have also now […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Mexico Open

Hideki Matsuyama finished inside the top-10 for the first time since the Players Championship, which was 11 months ago, winning the Genesis Invitational by gaining 10 strokes chipping and putting, while ranking outside the top-15 on approach and off the tee. He ended the week at -17 and shot -9 in round four, gaining half […]


Scott Stallings - PGA DFS Picks, Golf Betting Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

The Stat Buffet: PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Mexico Open (Premium)

We have ourselves a very weak field in the Mexico Open this week and we are going to do our best to parse through all the noise of newbies and rookies and try find the golfers that can help us have a magnificent week in Mexico! This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how […]

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PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown For 2024 Genesis Invitational

Do we get a winner from the final pairing, which consists of the Ryder Cup duo of Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele? Or do we see Will Zalatoris get his first win since the back surgery that rectified the pain that saw him withdraw from the Masters in 2023? We have a wild leaderboard, as […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Genesis Invitational

Jordan Spieth got disqualified for not signing the correct score in Round 2. Spieth remains one of the most polarizing players in the game, hitting death-defying shots from the edge of Pebble Beach cliffs, chipping balls in from just about anywhere, missing four footers once too often, and failing to add up a Par 3 […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Genesis Invitational

12 of the 15 most expensive golfers on the Round 2 showdown slate lost a total of 14.7 strokes putting today, with the best putting performance of the dirty dozen barely gaining +0.1 on the greens. Patrick Cantlay and Jordan Spieth played together and gained a total of 6.3 strokes putting, ultimately landing Cantlay (+4.0 […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Genesis Invitational (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. It wasn't our best outing last week with weather wreaking havoc and a few of our Leverage guys completely melting down when having to complete their final four holes early on Saturday morning in the cold. It can be tough to define "value" and […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets For The 2024 Genesis Invitational

My sausage fingers are cheering with every stroke of a letter on the keyboard knowing that we only have two outrights to write about this week, which is significantly less than the eight or so golfers we have been talking about here for the last few events. Two of those golfers gave us a great […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Genesis Invitational (Premium)

This may be the week we finally get some regular rounds of golf in. We have a field of 70 golfers who will make the cut if they are within 10 strokes of the lead or inside the top 50 come Friday evening. We head back to Riviera Country Club where course history is of […]

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