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The Model Maniac

435 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Memorial

The problem with betting outrights is that because I live bet on Tom Kim on Saturday, I had a horse in the race and completely missed out on the amazing story of Bobby McIntyre winning the Canadian Open. He became the 7th golfer in a sample of 145 individual stroke play events not to gain […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 RBC Canadian Open (Premium Content)

Personally, I will be leaving a 40% owned $12,100 Rory McIlroy out of my lineups. But, for those of you playing him, or even as a cheap option in some balanced builds, we have some cheap options for this week. It can be tough to define "value" and that task is made tricky because each […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 RBC Canadian Open

In 2024, Davis Riley's best three finishes are T14, T30 and T62. He just gained 12 strokes ball striking and beat the field (Scottie Scheffler) by five strokes. Betting on winners makes you want to pull more hair out than Tom Brady has had installed in since he retired. But that is why we bet […]


PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 RBC Canadian Open (Premium)

Attached in this article is the model for the week along with a few additional tabs that you may find handy for the week's research! Please feel free to reach out to me on X or in the discord if you have any questions. There are also going to be screenshots from the model that […]

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billy horschel PGA dfs lineup picks daily fantasy golf

DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge (Premium Content)

We managed to get 7 of our 9 guys through to the weekend for the PGA Championship, with $5,300 Grayson Murray (T41) doing tons of salary relief for me in a lineup that had Collin and Sahith T1 and 3rd with Sunday still to go, totalling four birdies between them, while Bryson and Xander managed […]

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PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research Model - The 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge (Premium)

Attached in this article is the model for the week along with a few additional tabs that you may find handy for the week's research! Please feel free to reach out to me on X or in the discord if you have any questions. There are also going to be screenshots from the model that […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge

Golf is a fascinating sport. I bet Xander in a matchup at the Wells Fargo and he surrenders a lead to Rory, the only person he needed to beat in the field. Fast forward a week later and the only person Bryson needed to beat to cash our PGA Championship outright, was Xander... I feel […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 PGA Championship (Premium Content)

Hideki Matsuyama withdrawing from the Wells Fargo last week left DFSers in a spin, especially those who had also rostered the withdrawn Sungjae at the CJ Cup! Hopefully we get none of that, but there are injury concerns amongst Zalatoris, Aberg, Spieth, Hideki and potentially a few elderly PGA Champions just battling a stiff back […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 PGA Championship

The golfing world is coming together for the second time since Augusta. Scottie has just had a baby, Rory just filed for divorce, Ludvig has a knee issue, Will Zalatoris has a bad back, Jon Rahm has essentially become irrelevant since moving to LIV, yet Brooks Keopka enters the week with his life in the […]


Model & Cheat Sheets - 2024 PGA Championship Stats, Research, DFS, Bets

This article is going live on Friday, May 10, and will be the home of my PGA Championship model for our awesome premium subscribers! In the Google sheet, there will be additional tabs that I will be updating leading up to the PGA Championship this year. Please explore them and reach out to me on […]

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DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 Wells Fargo Championship (Premium Content)

We will just pretend that last week never happened. As I type this now I still have not changed the thumbnail from the CJ CUP and Sungjae Im is laughing at me and if you followed along last week, unfortunately you as well. I had him in 59% of my lineups last week which were […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship

Wait, we have signature event without the World No. 1 who has won four of his last five starts? Hell yes! We get a chance to finally throw some semi-confident cash at some top names in the hopes that the second places they likely would have ended up with will translate to a "W" while […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 Wells Fargo Championship (Premium)

We are at another signature event with 69 golfers in the field after Ludvig Aberg withdrew. This venue is a ball striking test with distance and long iron numbers adding a lot of emphasis to the model. Course history at this venue is also about as sticky as it comes outside of Augusta. This article […]

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DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson (Premium Content)

The team format broke my DFS spirits, hitching my wagon heavily to Rory / Lowry who won the tournament ... unfortunately, in just about every one of those lineups we either had ZalaGala or ToMav who both missed the cut. DFS is a cruel mistress just about every week! No Scottie Scheffler in the field […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Since the last edition of this article, Scottie Scheffler has gone on to completely dominate the world of golf, winning the RBC Heritage the week after slipping on his second green jacket! An incredible run of upside on a variety of courses against the PGA's best. It is rather fitting that Rory's 25th PGA win […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson (Premium)

A complete birdie fest this week. Weather looks to be a little more windy than usual but scores should still be low! This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what skill sets matter most, and who are the best players in the field in those categories. […]

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DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 Zurich Classic (Premium Content)

There is a nuance to this course this week that we will be looking to try use to take advantage of the format that includes Best Ball (each team plays their two individual balls and takes the best score in R1 and R3), while alternate shot allows golfers to pick the order they tee off […]

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PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 Zurich Classic (Premium)

The fun part about this week is that, I am the model maniac, and I built a model for this team tournament. It's got alternate shot, best ball and overall team rankings included. The alternate shot is based off the optimal pairings that they should roll out, according my calculations. Per my model, "3 OF […]

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Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - The 2024 RBC Heritage

The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 RBC Heritage

Scottie Scheffler has won three of his last four tournaments, yet, had you bet him to win and return $100 in each tournament he has played in the last 12 months, you would have lost -$10 ... that is not a typo. It just goes to show how treacherous the outright landscape is right now […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 RBC Heritage (Premium Content)

This article is on a bit of a heater as we have written up Peter Malnati (win), Alejandro Tosti (2nd) and Akshay Bhatia (win) in the three weeks leading up to the Masters. Augusta loomed and Tommy Fleetwood boomed at $7,500 and notched us another podium finish. We will pretend the rest of the gang […]

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PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 RBC Heritage (Premium)

Course history is rather sticky at this short positional track. We are also coming off of the first major of the year and motivation levels of those that played well could likely be dwindling, or the form the showed could spill over into this week. Others who missed the cut are likely chomping at the […]

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Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - The 2024 Masters

Scottie Scheffler sits atop the leaderboard once again, this time Bryson DeChambeau and Max Homa sit alongside him after 36 holes of wind swept major golf. With 60 golfers making the cut, we get a lot of our favorites playing the weekend. With the wind blowing as hard as it has the course has really […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 Masters (Premium Content)

This article is on a bit of a heater as we have written up Peter Malnati (win), Alejandro Tosti (2nd) and Akshay Bhatia (win) in the last three week's worth of article. Augusta looms and hopefully a 4th name shines for us again this week! Course history and major experience is going to be what […]

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Breaking $100: Free PGA Betting Picks for 2024 Masters - Best Golf Bets

If you haven't made adequate communications with your significant other, make the adequate communications to get a divorce attorney on stand by, because this week is all about the Masters. Its lock yourself in the basement/garage/living room season and its the best season. All the best golfers playing under one cloudy sky. I simply cannot […]


PGA Stat Buffet- 2024 Masters (Premium Content)

Course history! Major experience! Those are the two critical areas of success required to make my player pool this year. We will have screenshots and columns in the model to help you find the best golfers in areas that matter most to you, as well! This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we […]

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Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Valero Texas Open

If anybody knows how to become rich and famous overnight, let me know. Trying to juggle quarter end accounting obligations, while trying to get articles out this week has left my procrastination running rampant this week. Apologies for my tardiness, but we are here for Breaking $100 and we are looking to get back to […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Valero Texas Open (Premium Content)

The intro to this article is becoming very easy as I am just copying the write up of a sub-$7,000 golfer who finished T2 this week. Last week was Pete, this week Tosti took care of business for us at $5,300.  "Alejandro Tosti $5,300: (1%): "Show me a long golf course and I will show […]

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PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Valero Texas Open (Premium)

It is the week before the Masters. If not already qualified, the winner of this week's event will be heading to Augusta. A fun week with a massive reward at the end of the tunnel, depending on who you are. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to […]

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Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open

It's not often a golfer ties a course record that was set by himself (and Scottie Scheffler), but Tony Finau once again shot a 62 on a golf course that played more than a stroke over par. The +9.38 he gained today likely is not his best round of golf on tour, as he shot […]


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