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The Model Maniac

435 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 PGA Championship (Premium Content)

Hideki Matsuyama withdrawing from the Wells Fargo last week left DFSers in a spin, especially those who had also rostered the withdrawn Sungjae at the CJ Cup! Hopefully we get none of that, but there are injury concerns amongst Zalatoris, Aberg, Spieth, Hideki and potentially a few elderly PGA Champions just battling a stiff back […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 PGA Championship

The golfing world is coming together for the second time since Augusta. Scottie has just had a baby, Rory just filed for divorce, Ludvig has a knee issue, Will Zalatoris has a bad back, Jon Rahm has essentially become irrelevant since moving to LIV, yet Brooks Keopka enters the week with his life in the […]


Model & Cheat Sheets - 2024 PGA Championship Stats, Research, DFS, Bets

This article is going live on Friday, May 10, and will be the home of my PGA Championship model for our awesome premium subscribers! In the Google sheet, there will be additional tabs that I will be updating leading up to the PGA Championship this year. Please explore them and reach out to me on […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 Wells Fargo Championship (Premium Content)

We will just pretend that last week never happened. As I type this now I still have not changed the thumbnail from the CJ CUP and Sungjae Im is laughing at me and if you followed along last week, unfortunately you as well. I had him in 59% of my lineups last week which were […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Wells Fargo Championship

Wait, we have signature event without the World No. 1 who has won four of his last five starts? Hell yes! We get a chance to finally throw some semi-confident cash at some top names in the hopes that the second places they likely would have ended up with will translate to a "W" while […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 Wells Fargo Championship (Premium)

We are at another signature event with 69 golfers in the field after Ludvig Aberg withdrew. This venue is a ball striking test with distance and long iron numbers adding a lot of emphasis to the model. Course history at this venue is also about as sticky as it comes outside of Augusta. This article […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson (Premium Content)

The team format broke my DFS spirits, hitching my wagon heavily to Rory / Lowry who won the tournament ... unfortunately, in just about every one of those lineups we either had ZalaGala or ToMav who both missed the cut. DFS is a cruel mistress just about every week! No Scottie Scheffler in the field […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson

Since the last edition of this article, Scottie Scheffler has gone on to completely dominate the world of golf, winning the RBC Heritage the week after slipping on his second green jacket! An incredible run of upside on a variety of courses against the PGA's best. It is rather fitting that Rory's 25th PGA win […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 CJ CUP Byron Nelson (Premium)

A complete birdie fest this week. Weather looks to be a little more windy than usual but scores should still be low! This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what skill sets matter most, and who are the best players in the field in those categories. […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 Zurich Classic (Premium Content)

There is a nuance to this course this week that we will be looking to try use to take advantage of the format that includes Best Ball (each team plays their two individual balls and takes the best score in R1 and R3), while alternate shot allows golfers to pick the order they tee off […]


PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 Zurich Classic (Premium)

The fun part about this week is that, I am the model maniac, and I built a model for this team tournament. It's got alternate shot, best ball and overall team rankings included. The alternate shot is based off the optimal pairings that they should roll out, according my calculations. Per my model, "3 OF […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - The 2024 RBC Heritage

The general logic to showdown has been to target golfers who played well the day before and particularly those who hit their irons well. This makes sense as you want to roster players who are playing good golf right now. These players will be higher-owned and chalkier than golfers in the same price range who […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 RBC Heritage

Scottie Scheffler has won three of his last four tournaments, yet, had you bet him to win and return $100 in each tournament he has played in the last 12 months, you would have lost -$10 ... that is not a typo. It just goes to show how treacherous the outright landscape is right now […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 RBC Heritage (Premium Content)

This article is on a bit of a heater as we have written up Peter Malnati (win), Alejandro Tosti (2nd) and Akshay Bhatia (win) in the three weeks leading up to the Masters. Augusta loomed and Tommy Fleetwood boomed at $7,500 and notched us another podium finish. We will pretend the rest of the gang […]


PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 RBC Heritage (Premium)

Course history is rather sticky at this short positional track. We are also coming off of the first major of the year and motivation levels of those that played well could likely be dwindling, or the form the showed could spill over into this week. Others who missed the cut are likely chomping at the […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - The 2024 Masters

Scottie Scheffler sits atop the leaderboard once again, this time Bryson DeChambeau and Max Homa sit alongside him after 36 holes of wind swept major golf. With 60 golfers making the cut, we get a lot of our favorites playing the weekend. With the wind blowing as hard as it has the course has really […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - The 2024 Masters (Premium Content)

This article is on a bit of a heater as we have written up Peter Malnati (win), Alejandro Tosti (2nd) and Akshay Bhatia (win) in the last three week's worth of article. Augusta looms and hopefully a 4th name shines for us again this week! Course history and major experience is going to be what […]


Breaking $100: Free PGA Betting Picks for 2024 Masters - Best Golf Bets

If you haven't made adequate communications with your significant other, make the adequate communications to get a divorce attorney on stand by, because this week is all about the Masters. Its lock yourself in the basement/garage/living room season and its the best season. All the best golfers playing under one cloudy sky. I simply cannot […]


PGA Stat Buffet- 2024 Masters (Premium Content)

Course history! Major experience! Those are the two critical areas of success required to make my player pool this year. We will have screenshots and columns in the model to help you find the best golfers in areas that matter most to you, as well! This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Valero Texas Open

If anybody knows how to become rich and famous overnight, let me know. Trying to juggle quarter end accounting obligations, while trying to get articles out this week has left my procrastination running rampant this week. Apologies for my tardiness, but we are here for Breaking $100 and we are looking to get back to […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Valero Texas Open (Premium Content)

The intro to this article is becoming very easy as I am just copying the write up of a sub-$7,000 golfer who finished T2 this week. Last week was Pete, this week Tosti took care of business for us at $5,300.  "Alejandro Tosti $5,300: (1%): "Show me a long golf course and I will show […]


PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Valero Texas Open (Premium)

It is the week before the Masters. If not already qualified, the winner of this week's event will be heading to Augusta. A fun week with a massive reward at the end of the tunnel, depending on who you are. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open

It's not often a golfer ties a course record that was set by himself (and Scottie Scheffler), but Tony Finau once again shot a 62 on a golf course that played more than a stroke over par. The +9.38 he gained today likely is not his best round of golf on tour, as he shot […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open

We have 3 rounds of golf left at the Texas Children's Houston Open and Scottie Scheffler is already +120 to win the tournament. Wyndham Clark sits five shots back of Scheffler and is double the odds to finish top five. We are in some seriously unchartered territory with Scheffler right now. I guess we should […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. "Peter Malnati: $5,600 (1%) Don't look now, but Peter Malnati has made back-to-back cuts in his Florida swing starts. He has not played well here in the past, but what Malnati does best is scramble! If we expect tons of golfers to be missing […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open

We are going to enjoy an expedited article as we are running way behind this week. Life can just get away from you at times but we are behind the keyboard and sharing some thoughts and bets on the week for the Texas Children's Houston Open. Congrats to Peter Malnati who took yet another piece […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Texas Children's Houston Open (Premium)

I have enjoyed putting this article together much more than recently when pasting hundreds of screenshots into this article had me feeling as robotic as Scottie Scheffler's ball striking. Now that my model is available to premium subscribers, I hope you are using that to make better decisions on your DFS and Betting selections. This […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Valspar Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Not our best week last week but getting guys across the cut at the PLAYERS remains a mystery for the majority of DFS goers. The field gets watered down a little as we head to the Valspar Championship as a continuation of the Florida […]


Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Valpsar Championship

Scottie Scheffler is a cheat code when the putter works and when it doesn't, well, he can still win golf tournaments. The guy tweaked his neck and then was taped up like Jason Kelce and still managed to win a golf tournament of the highest demands. Despite doing the back-to-back piggyback, winning back-to-back tournaments in […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Valspar Championship (Premium)

I have enjoyed putting this article together much more than recently when pasting hundreds of screenshots into this article had me feeling as robotic as Scottie Scheffler's ball striking. Now that my model is available to premium subscribers, I hope you are using that to make better decisions on your DFS and Betting selections. This […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jared McCain

Moves into Starting Five
Boston Celtics

Joe Mazzulla Wins Coach of the Year
Jalen Williams

is Ruled Out for Game 5 on Tuesday
Bucky Irving

is Expected to be Ready for Training Camp
Zion Williamson

to See More Versatile Role
Parker Washington

Jaguars Think Parker Washington Can Replicate Second-Half Production
Cleveland Cavaliers

Kenny Atkinson to Remain Cavaliers Head Coach Next Season
Josh Jacobs

Arrested on Five Charges, Booked Into Jail
Claude Giroux

Planning to Return for 20th NHL Campaign
Josh Sweat

Cardinals Receiving Trade Calls on Josh Sweat
Carter Hart

Aiming for Sixth Consecutive Win Tuesday
Tetairoa McMillan

Working With the Training Staff on Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Inks New One-Year Deal With Penguins
Mackenzie Blackwood

in Net for Game 4 Against Golden Knights
Valeri Nichushkin

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Nathan MacKinnon

Will Suit Up Tuesday
Jerome Ford

Is it Time for Dynasty Managers to Drop Jerome Ford?
John Metchie III

Poised for Breakout Season with New Team in 2026?
Jalen Milroe

Is Jalen Milroe Still Worth Stashing in Dynasty Formats Entering 2026?
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Is Kyle Pitts Sr. a Dynasty Sell-High Candidate Coming Off Breakout Season?
Nico Collins

Agrees to Contract Adjustment with Texans
Chris Brooks

Carries Buy-Low Dynasty Appeal into 2026
Ben Griffin

Looking to Repeat This Week at Colonial
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Player to Avoid at Charles Schwab Challenge
Hideki Matsuyama

Needs Solid Driving Week at Charles Schwab Challenge
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of Charles Schwab Challenge
Akshay Bhatia

Lacking Driving Prowess Needed at Colonial Country Club
NFL

NFL Unlikely to Expand to 18 Regular-Season Games by 2027
Sahith Theegala

Searching For Swing at Charles Schwab Challenge
Lamar Jackson

in Attendance at OTAs This Week
Bucky Irving

Expected Back in the Summer or Fall
CFB

DJ Lagway Looking to Rebound at Baylor
CFB

Josh Hoover Tasked With Leading Indiana Back to the Playoffs
CFB

Braylon Staley the Next 1,000-Yard Tennessee Receiver?
Jalen Tolbert

Does Jalen Tolbert Have Short-Term Dynasty Appeal?
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Return Timeline Remains Unclear
Travis Etienne Jr.

Is Travis Etienne Jr. Still a Dynasty RB1 Following Change of Scenery?
Breece Hall

Extension Solidifies His Dynasty Outlook
Devin Singletary

Faces a Difficult Path to Relevance
Jordan Whittington

Does Jordan Whittington Have Any Dynasty Value Left?
Caleb Williams

Bears Want Caleb Williams to "Do Less"
Xavier Worthy

Has Xavier Worthy Become a Post-Hype Dynasty Sleeper?
Evan Mobley

Finishes Season-Ending Loss With 15 Points
James Harden

Wants to Stay in Cleveland
Donovan Mitchell

Remains Committed to Cavaliers
Mikal Bridges

Cools Off in Game 4 Against Cavaliers
OG Anunoby

Active on Both Ends in Blowout Win
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads Knicks in Scoring During Series-Clincher
Jalen Brunson

Named Eastern Conference Finals MVP
Ivan Demidov

Contributes an Assist in Losing Effort
Lane Hutson

Records Power-Play Goal in Game 3 Loss
Frederik Andersen

Enjoys Another Easy Night at the Office in Game 3
Shayne Gostisbehere

Scores First Postseason Goal
Taylor Hall

Ends Four-Game Goal Drought
Andrei Svechnikov

Scores Game 3 Winner in Overtime
Gage Jump

Athletics to Promote Top Pitching Prospect Gage Jump to Major Leagues
Tatsuya Imai

Two Relievers Combine to No-Hit the Rangers on Monday
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder is Ruled Out for Game 4 on Monday
Michael Porter Jr.

Nets Could Trade Michael Porter Jr.
Ajay Mitchell

is Ruled Out for Game 5
Jalen Williams

is Tagged as Questionable for Game 5
Valeri Nichushkin

Nathan MacKinnon, Valeri Nichushkin Uncertain for Game 4
Oliver Kapanen

Sitting as Healthy Scratch Monday
Max Domi

Out Indefinitely Due to Offseason Surgery Complications
Dylan Cease

Heading to Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Daniel Suarez

Wins at Charlotte in Rain-Shortened Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte
Denny Hamlin

Falls Short of Winning and Places Third at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

Places Fourth After Leading Laps at Charlotte
Kyle Larson

Strong and Consistent Day Ends in Fifth at Charlotte
Devon Toews

Logs Two Assists In Game 3 Defeat
Brett Howden

Nets 10th Postseason Goal
Mitchell Marner

Delivers Two Assists in Comeback Victory
Mark Stone

Returns With Multi-Point Effort
Valeri Nichushkin

Exits Early Sunday
Nathan MacKinnon

Hurt in Game 3 Loss
Isaiah Hartenstein

Provides Steady Production in Defeat
Chet Holmgren

Has a Quiet Offensive Night on Sunday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Held Under 20 Points in Game 4
Stephon Castle

Hands Out Six Assists in Game 4 Win
Devin Vassell

Tallies 13 Points in Game 4 Win
Dylan Cease

Removed From Sunday's Start With Hamstring Discomfort
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Exits Sunday's Game Early with Elbow Contusion
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Sunday
Edward Cabrera

Cubs Place Edward Cabrera on the 15-Day Injured List
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Charlotte
Tyler Reddick

on Pole for Coca-Cola 600
Christopher Bell

Could Break Out of Slump
Kyle Larson

May have A Solid Day at Charlotte
Ryan Blaney

Is A DFS Risk for Charlotte Lineups
William Byron

Could have A Great DFS Performance at Charlotte
Chase Briscoe

Is A Solid Tournament Option for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

May not be Worth his Salary for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Chris Buescher

May be a Sneaky Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Has Favorable Upside for Charlotte DFS Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is A Strong Addition for DFS Lineups at Charlotte
Austin Dillon

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Austin Dillon for Charlotte DFS Lineups?
Chase Elliott

Should Be Strong at Charlotte
Carson Hocevar

Confident for Coca-Cola 600
Corey Heim

a Chalk DFS Pick at Charlotte
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Tournament Option for Charlotte Lineups?
MLB

Orioles-Tigers Game Postponed on Saturday
MLB

Rays-Yankees Postponed on Saturday
Mickey Moniak

Heads to Injured List With Ankle Sprain
Jackson Merrill

has Sore Ribs, Expected to Avoid Injured List
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Looking to Take Sophomore Leap
CFB

Jadan Baugh Primed to Lead Florida Offense in 2026
CFB

LSU Hires Ed Orgeron As Special Assistant
CFB

North Carolina and South Carolina Cancel Home-And-Home Series
CFB

Confidence High in Mississippi State's Kamario Taylor
MLB

Reds-Cardinals Game Postponed on Friday
Trevor Story

has Hernia Surgery, Expected to Miss 6-10 Weeks
Roman Anthony

Dealing With Sprained Ligament in his Finger
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Exits Early, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Robby Snelling

Will Undergo Tommy John Surgery
Jackson Merrill

Tweaks his Back on Wednesday, Pulled Early
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