About The Model Maniac
Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open
We dialed back our budget for the American Express from $100 to $25 and I am very glad we did because an amateur landed up winning the tournament, with the golf outright community getting slapped with a third long shot check mate to begin the year. We placed one placement bet for Eric Cole to... Read More
PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Farmers Insurance Open (Premium)
We leave the three course, birdie-fest of the AMEX and now head to the two course, slug-fest that is the Farmers Insurance Open. Unlike last week, the two courses play remarkably different, with the signature (South) course getting three of the four rounds of golf. The tournament also starts on Wednesday, so be sure to... Read More
PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2024 American Express
Nick Dunlap sits four and five shots clear of Sam Burns and Justin Thomas, respectively, and holds the third-lowest 54-hole score in PGA Tour history at -27. In case you think you are out of the loop in golf, I learned about Nick Dunlap yesterday. He is a 20-year-old sophomore at Alabama who lipped out... Read More
Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 American Express
I have been struggling to get accurate strokes gained data, but we finally have some accurate info after reaching out to get this stuff corrected. Let's get right into Round 2 showdown at The American Express. Three courses and some lopsided results on the La Quinta course makes for some really tough ownership projections tomorrow,... Read More
DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 American Express (Premium Content)
All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We had ourselves a decent outing in Hawaii, with 8 of our 13 golfers making the cut (yes, 82 golfers advanced, but we will take it). We will particularly like to thank Byeong Hun An for his T2 at $8,700. Not quite sub $8,000... Read More
PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 American Express (Premium)
The American Express is upon us and its not often we get to play with our food or words, but we have a three-course meal this week! No better article or resource to enjoy a three-course rotation than the stat buffet. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course... Read More
Breaking $100 -Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 American Express
The golfing gods are relentlessly cruel, blowing Benny An's 4-foot putt offline, and failing to extend the playoff after Grayson Murray dropped a 37-foot birdie putt after hitting a palm tree in the playoff. A truly bizarre turn of events to have our second runner-up of the year. Brutal stuff. But, we dust ourselves off... Read More
RotoBaller PGA Show: Fantasy Golf, Betting, and DFS Breakdown - 2024 American Express
In an all-new show for 2024, RotoBaller's Byron Lindeque and Spencer Aguiar give viewers an insight into some of their favorite bets and DFS plays. Scroll down to watch this week's 2024 American Express episode via the YouTube link and start winning MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! The all-new RotoBaller PGA Show is part of... Read More
PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2024 Sony Open
The top of the Sony Open leaderboard consists of a Ryder Cup snub and some rookie scrubs (and Chris Kirk & Benny An - shout out to the Sentry squad). This leaderboard would have definitely rewarded the weeklong DFSers who played the sketchy long shots, had the chalk squad not made the weekend thanks to... Read More
Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Sony Open
The darkest times tend create the strongest bonds between people and tonight on Twitter/X, us golf maniacs were left in the dark regarding the PGA Tour's coverage of the Sony Open. With multiple 20%+ owned golfers sitting inside the cut at -2, Joel Dahmen had a five foot birdie putt on the last to get... Read More
DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Sony Open (Premium Content)
All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. It is the Sony Open and we have tons of value options at our disposal this week in our first full-field, cut event. We are also going to have a few bonus KFT guys in this article as I feel like they are the... Read More
Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Sony Open
Two years ago we hit Cam Smith for a winner at Kapalua. Last week we got hit by a Chris Kirk bulldozer that never really left our guy, Sahith Theegala any opportunity to finish better than second place despite a -10 under Sunday 63. Kirk was automatic in every department and never seemed to want... Read More
The Korn Ferry 45 - Player Profiles and Research Tool
I have worked tirelessly to compile a database of Korn Ferry Tour data mixed together with PGA and DP World Tour data to help better analyze each golfer's statistical profile at a more detailed level. KFT data is extremely limited, so we have done our best to use it as advantageously as we could. This... Read More
PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions
The Sentry Tournament of Champions will crown the first champion of the 2024 calendar year and the challenge will be to determine which six golfers can help us get crowned a champion in our respective contests. Scottie Scheffler had a bit of a rough outing today, but don't expect him to put forth another round... Read More
Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions
Scottie Scheffler is a problem. He gained strokes putting today. In fact, he gained TWO strokes putting. Why is that significant? Well, in Scheffler's 79 shot link rounds in 2023 he gained 2+ strokes putting ... three times (aka 4% of the time). Funnily enough, all three of those instances he gained 3+ strokes putting.... Read More
Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions
What an awesome day of golf. The stars showed up, the birdies were flying, and the top 10 of the leaderboard includes Sahith, Viktor, Collin, Jason, Scottie, Patrick, Sungjae, Xander, and Jordan. The reason I mention all first names is because you know all those first names without their last. Great round by Sahith to... Read More
DFS Value Plays - 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions (Premium Content)
All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. No better place to find value than in a small field no cut event. Hawaii, we love you and we hope you treat us to some great golf to start off the year. It can be tough to define "value" and that task is... Read More
Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions
As you will see throughout the outright portion of the article where the graphics were inspired by the movie, The Hangover, as a content guy nothing was more brutal than starting the year with a Monday falling on Jan 1st. However, we have trooped through the week and have some really exciting plays to cheer for as... Read More
PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions (Premium)
We have golf again and it begins with 59 golfers teeing it up in Hawaii in a signature event with no cut. All golfers who have won a tournament and/or finished inside the top 30 on the FedEx Cup are invited. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course... Read More
PGA Betting Strategy and Analysis: Ties Paid In Full vs. Dead Heat Rules, Odds Drift, Opening and Closing Numbers
To bet "ties paid in full" or "grab better odds and risk dead heat rules"? That is a question I have often asked myself and I am sure you have too. So, I decided to dive into the numbers that are often the source of immense frustration when a golfer bogeys his final hole to... Read More
Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 RSM Classic Championship
The boring part about this article is that when Erik Van Rooyen wins, there is no way we lose money on the article, but when we don't have a winner in the outright section, the article is still structured in such a way that we can lose the $20 we bet on outrights and till... Read More
Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Erik Van Rooyen went scorched earth on the back 9 in Mexico, shooting a 28 on the back side of the course clinching the event with a walk off eagle putt at the last. He not only punched our ticket into the winners circle doing so, but he also showed us that golf is just... Read More
Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 WWT Championship
Collin Morikawa won the ZOZO Championship and then instantly lost this week's social media cycle, claiming that being part of the TGL (Technology Based Golf League) is almost as meaningful to him as being part of the Ryder Cup team. Now, he did get waxed 4&3 in his singles match this year, so maybe we... Read More
Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 ZOZO Championship
We were on Tom Kim the last time he won a tournament, but his odds at 12-1 were just not where we wanted to go. He had to shoot a Saturday 62 to get himself in the mix. But it is awesome to see the young Korean sensation racking up his third win of his... Read More
DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 Shriners Children's Open (Premium Content)
All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Last week we nailed the value plays, going 6/8 with 1% Troy Merrit getting us a T9, while Higgo managed a T16 as a chalkier option. Five other golfers made the cut as well, but the best of those finishes was T35. As always,... Read More
Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Shriners Childrens Open
These fall swing events have been the achilles in my betting career. I did, however, believe that things would be a little different this time around as most of the golfers teeing it up had season long data, with the usual data-less Korn Ferry Tour influx only tour bound in 2024. But, as luck would... Read More
DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship (Premium Content)
All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. With no Max Homa, Justin Thomas or Sahith Theegala in the field, we have ourselves one of the weakest fields we have seen recently, with it likely becoming a normality with the way the new Ryder Cup points system works, allowing most of the... Read More
Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship with Eric Cole, Emiliano Grillo and Ludvig Aberg
I am embarrassed that I advocated for the US team to be a force on Euro soil, and once again, Luke Donald and Team Europe proved that under the right guidance and with a statistically sound game plan, the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. The individual accolades of the American team... Read More
Free PGA 2023 Ryder Cup Golf Rankings, Stats, Odds, and Best Bets: Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, and more
The beauty of the Ryder Cup is that it only takes place every two years, with those selected getting the opportunity to take part in one of the most emotionally charged golf events on the planet. They get to share in tears, beers and cheers that repeatedly send shivers down any golf fan's spine. Have... Read More
Free Ryder Cup Betting Picks and Props - Breaking $100 Best Bets - Who Will Win The 2023 Ryder Cup?
The question on every golf fan's mind right now is "Can America, despite always looking stronger on paper, break a 30-year drought of wins in Europe?" Well, at some point in this article I have a take on this and a bet to back it up. We get an extra day to fiddle with bets... Read More