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The Model Maniac

435 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Our second PGA Tour signature event arrives at the Pebble Beach Golf Links where weather seems to be cold, rainy and once Sunday rolls around, VERY windy. As a result of the extremely temperamental conditions that loom over the weekend, we are going to just bet our outrights we decided on Monday morning, with a […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am (Premium)

The second designated event of the year is here and its going to be played on the picturesque Pebble Beach Golf Links, at least for three of the four rounds. Spyglass Hill Golf Course is definitely not a bad option as the other course, either. 80 golfers, 2 courses, four rounds (hopefully), 1 winner. I'm […]

PREMIUM

PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown For 2024 Farmers Insurance Open

We have a fully-fledged Farmers Insurance Open on our hands in San Diego. The first four names on the leaderboard are all from across the pond, with all five pursuers in T5 from North America (we have one Canadian in there). The four Americans in fifth were on the KFT tour as recently as December, […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Farmers Insurance Open

We have four Euros cultivating the top of the Farmers Insurance Open, occupying the first four spots heading into "the weekend" with round 3 taking place on a Friday courtesy of the Divisional Championship games on Sunday. Stephan Jaeger leads the pack at -12, with Nicolai Hojgaard a shot back. Kevin Yu (+5.71 strokes gained), […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Farmers Insurance Open

Kevin Yu are the round 1 leader of the Farmers Insurance Open and lead the seven other golfers T4 or better who all played on the North course in R1. On the South side, the two guys with all the tricks are both Nicks. Nicolai Hojgaard and Nick Hardy blistered the South course, shooting -5 […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Farmers Insurance Open (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. It has been a short week to get content out there, but I wanted to get this article out at least with some names. I will update the write-ups later tonight after my Back 9 Bets podcast.  It can be tough to define "value" […]

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Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Farmers Insurance Open

We dialed back our budget for the American Express from $100 to $25 and I am very glad we did because an amateur landed up winning the tournament, with the golf outright community getting slapped with a third long shot check mate to begin the year. We placed one placement bet for Eric Cole to […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 Farmers Insurance Open (Premium)

We leave the three course, birdie-fest of the AMEX and now head to the two course, slug-fest that is the Farmers Insurance Open. Unlike last week, the two courses play remarkably different, with the signature (South) course getting three of the four rounds of golf. The tournament also starts on Wednesday, so be sure to […]

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PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2024 American Express

Nick Dunlap sits four and five shots clear of Sam Burns and Justin Thomas, respectively, and holds the third-lowest 54-hole score in PGA Tour history at -27. In case you think you are out of the loop in golf, I learned about Nick Dunlap yesterday. He is a 20-year-old sophomore at Alabama who lipped out […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 American Express

I have been struggling to get accurate strokes gained data, but we finally have some accurate info after reaching out to get this stuff corrected. Let's get right into Round 2 showdown at The American Express. Three courses and some lopsided results on the La Quinta course makes for some really tough ownership projections tomorrow, […]


billy horschel PGA dfs lineup picks daily fantasy golf

DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 American Express (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We had ourselves a decent outing in Hawaii, with 8 of our 13 golfers making the cut (yes, 82 golfers advanced, but we will take it). We will particularly like to thank Byeong Hun An for his T2 at $8,700. Not quite sub $8,000 […]

PREMIUM

PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - 2024 American Express (Premium)

The American Express is upon us and its not often we get to play with our food or words, but we have a three-course meal this week! No better article or resource to enjoy a three-course rotation than the stat buffet. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course […]

PREMIUM

Breaking $100 -Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2024 American Express

The golfing gods are relentlessly cruel, blowing Benny An's 4-foot putt offline, and failing to extend the playoff after Grayson Murray dropped a 37-foot birdie putt after hitting a palm tree in the playoff. A truly bizarre turn of events to have our second runner-up of the year. Brutal stuff. But, we dust ourselves off […]


RotoBaller PGA Show: Fantasy Golf, Betting, and DFS Breakdown - 2024 American Express

In an all-new show for 2024, RotoBaller's Byron Lindeque and Spencer Aguiar give viewers an insight into some of their favorite bets and DFS plays. Scroll down to watch this week's 2024 American Express episode via the YouTube link and start winning MORE in 2024 with RotoBaller! The all-new RotoBaller PGA Show is part of […]


PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2024 Sony Open

The top of the Sony Open leaderboard consists of a Ryder Cup snub and some rookie scrubs (and Chris Kirk & Benny An - shout out to the Sentry squad). This leaderboard would have definitely rewarded the weeklong DFSers who played the sketchy long shots, had the chalk squad not made the weekend thanks to […]


billy horschel PGA dfs lineup picks daily fantasy golf

Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Sony Open

The darkest times tend create the strongest bonds between people and tonight on Twitter/X, us golf maniacs were left in the dark regarding the PGA Tour's coverage of the Sony Open. With multiple 20%+ owned golfers sitting inside the cut at -2, Joel Dahmen had a five foot birdie putt on the last to get […]


Taylor Montgomery - PGA DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy Golf

DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2024 Sony Open (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. It is the Sony Open and we have tons of value options at our disposal this week in our first full-field, cut event. We are also going to have a few bonus KFT guys in this article as I feel like they are the […]

PREMIUM

Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Sony Open

Two years ago we hit Cam Smith for a winner at Kapalua. Last week we got hit by a Chris Kirk bulldozer that never really left our guy, Sahith Theegala any opportunity to finish better than second place despite a -10 under Sunday 63. Kirk was automatic in every department and never seemed to want […]


The Korn Ferry 45 - Player Profiles and Research Tool

I have worked tirelessly to compile a database of Korn Ferry Tour data mixed together with PGA and DP World Tour data to help better analyze each golfer's statistical profile at a more detailed level. KFT data is extremely limited, so we have done our best to use it as advantageously as we could. This […]


PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions

The Sentry Tournament of Champions will crown the first champion of the 2024 calendar year and the challenge will be to determine which six golfers can help us get crowned a champion in our respective contests. Scottie Scheffler had a bit of a rough outing today, but don't expect him to put forth another round […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions

Scottie Scheffler is a problem. He gained strokes putting today. In fact, he gained TWO strokes putting. Why is that significant? Well, in Scheffler's 79 shot link rounds in 2023 he gained 2+ strokes putting ... three times (aka 4% of the time). Funnily enough, all three of those instances he gained 3+ strokes putting. […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions

What an awesome day of golf. The stars showed up, the birdies were flying, and the top 10 of the leaderboard includes Sahith, Viktor, Collin, Jason, Scottie, Patrick, Sungjae, Xander, and Jordan. The reason I mention all first names is because you know all those first names without their last. Great round by Sahith to […]


DFS Value Plays - 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. No better place to find value than in a small field no cut event. Hawaii, we love you and we hope you treat us to some great golf to start off the year. It can be tough to define "value" and that task is […]

PREMIUM

Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions

As you will see throughout the outright portion of the article where the graphics were inspired by the movie, The Hangover, as a content guy nothing was more brutal than starting the year with a Monday falling on Jan 1st. However, we have trooped through the week and have some really exciting plays to cheer for as […]


PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions (Premium)

We have golf again and it begins with 59 golfers teeing it up in Hawaii in a signature event with no cut. All golfers who have won a tournament and/or finished inside the top 30 on the FedEx Cup are invited. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course […]

PREMIUM

PGA Betting Strategy and Analysis: Ties Paid In Full vs. Dead Heat Rules, Odds Drift, Opening and Closing Numbers

To bet "ties paid in full" or "grab better odds and risk dead heat rules"? That is a question I have often asked myself and I am sure you have too. So, I decided to dive into the numbers that are often the source of immense frustration when a golfer bogeys his final hole to […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 RSM Classic Championship

The boring part about this article is that when Erik Van Rooyen wins, there is no way we lose money on the article, but when we don't have a winner in the outright section, the article is still structured in such a way that we can lose the $20 we bet on outrights and till […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Erik Van Rooyen went scorched earth on the back 9 in Mexico, shooting a 28 on the back side of the course clinching the event with a walk off eagle putt at the last. He not only punched our ticket into the winners circle doing so, but he also showed us that golf is just […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 WWT Championship

Collin Morikawa won the ZOZO Championship and then instantly lost this week's social media cycle, claiming that being part of the TGL (Technology Based Golf League) is almost as meaningful to him as being part of the Ryder Cup team. Now, he did get waxed 4&3 in his singles match this year, so maybe we […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 ZOZO Championship

We were on Tom Kim the last time he won a tournament, but his odds at 12-1 were just not where we wanted to go. He had to shoot a Saturday 62 to get himself in the mix. But it is awesome to see the young Korean sensation racking up his third win of his […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

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