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The Model Maniac

435 articles

A South African native living the American dream. I played college golf in Iowa where I spent four years playing and two coaching, while grabbing 3.5 finance related degrees along the way. As my twitter handle suggests, I am obsessed with my very own excel model. Tournament long matchups are my favorite bet and I love nothing more than a Sunday golf sweat.

Articles

Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions

As you will see throughout the outright portion of the article where the graphics were inspired by the movie, The Hangover, as a content guy nothing was more brutal than starting the year with a Monday falling on Jan 1st. However, we have trooped through the week and have some really exciting plays to cheer for as […]


PGA Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2024 Sentry Tournament of Champions (Premium)

We have golf again and it begins with 59 golfers teeing it up in Hawaii in a signature event with no cut. All golfers who have won a tournament and/or finished inside the top 30 on the FedEx Cup are invited. This article aims to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course […]

PREMIUM

PGA Betting Strategy and Analysis: Ties Paid In Full vs. Dead Heat Rules, Odds Drift, Opening and Closing Numbers

To bet "ties paid in full" or "grab better odds and risk dead heat rules"? That is a question I have often asked myself and I am sure you have too. So, I decided to dive into the numbers that are often the source of immense frustration when a golfer bogeys his final hole to […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 RSM Classic Championship

The boring part about this article is that when Erik Van Rooyen wins, there is no way we lose money on the article, but when we don't have a winner in the outright section, the article is still structured in such a way that we can lose the $20 we bet on outrights and till […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Butterfield Bermuda Championship

Erik Van Rooyen went scorched earth on the back 9 in Mexico, shooting a 28 on the back side of the course clinching the event with a walk off eagle putt at the last. He not only punched our ticket into the winners circle doing so, but he also showed us that golf is just […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 WWT Championship

Collin Morikawa won the ZOZO Championship and then instantly lost this week's social media cycle, claiming that being part of the TGL (Technology Based Golf League) is almost as meaningful to him as being part of the Ryder Cup team. Now, he did get waxed 4&3 in his singles match this year, so maybe we […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 ZOZO Championship

We were on Tom Kim the last time he won a tournament, but his odds at 12-1 were just not where we wanted to go. He had to shoot a Saturday 62 to get himself in the mix. But it is awesome to see the young Korean sensation racking up his third win of his […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 Shriners Children's Open (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Last week we nailed the value plays, going 6/8 with 1% Troy Merrit getting us a T9, while Higgo managed a T16 as a chalkier option. Five other golfers made the cut as well, but the best of those finishes was T35. As always, […]

PREMIUM

Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Shriners Childrens Open

These fall swing events have been the achilles in my betting career. I did, however, believe that things would be a little different this time around as most of the golfers teeing it up had season long data, with the usual data-less Korn Ferry Tour influx only tour bound in 2024. But, as luck would […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. With no Max Homa, Justin Thomas or Sahith Theegala in the field, we have ourselves one of the weakest fields we have seen recently, with it likely becoming a normality with the way the new Ryder Cup points system works, allowing most of the […]

PREMIUM

Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Sanderson Farms Championship with Eric Cole, Emiliano Grillo and Ludvig Aberg

I am embarrassed that I advocated for the US team to be a force on Euro soil, and once again, Luke Donald and Team Europe proved that under the right guidance and with a statistically sound game plan, the whole is greater than the sum of its parts. The individual accolades of the American team […]


Free PGA 2023 Ryder Cup Golf Rankings, Stats, Odds, and Best Bets: Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Viktor Hovland, and more

The beauty of the Ryder Cup is that it only takes place every two years, with those selected getting the opportunity to take part in one of the most emotionally charged golf events on the planet. They get to share in tears, beers and cheers that repeatedly send shivers down any golf fan's spine. Have […]


Free Ryder Cup Betting Picks and Props - Breaking $100 Best Bets - Who Will Win The 2023 Ryder Cup?

The question on every golf fan's mind right now is "Can America, despite always looking stronger on paper, break a 30-year drought of wins in Europe?" Well, at some point in this article I have a take on this and a bet to back it up. We get an extra day to fiddle with bets […]


Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Fortinet Championship

The fall swing on the PGA tour is synonymous with the sounds of shoulder pads colliding together, 80,000 fans cheering and eternal disappointment for Jets fans. The new FedEx Cup structure has the majority of the tour's superstars sitting on their couch watching the NFL or teeing it up at Wentworth for the BMW Championship […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2023 Fortinet Championship (Premium)

The fall swing is freshly upon us as we head to the Fortinet Championship in the wine country of Napa Valley, so let's see who the stat buffet allows us to fall in love with this week. The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to […]

PREMIUM

Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - BMW Championship 2023

Rory McIlroy made more birdies (5) than fairways hit (3) today on route to a bogey-free round of 65. Brian Harman is trying to silence those that doubt his Ryder Cup security off of one major round of golf, as he sits -5 alongside Rory. Scottie Scheffler (T3) has potentially found a putter that can […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 BMW Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. We had a pretty decent week last week with six of our nine plays finishing T31 or better. Correy Conners made lineups happy with his T6, while Justin Rose went from DFL in R1 to T20 by Sunday, alongside Emiliano Grillo, who continues to […]

PREMIUM

Breaking $100: Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 BMW Championship

Patty Ice melted under the pressure of a playoff to lose to Lucas Glover on the 73rd hole of the tournament. Glover just won his second tournament in back-to-back starts and with every putt he sunk from outside 12 feet on the back nine, driving that broomstick dagger deeper into our hearts as Cantlay ultimately […]


Back 9 Bets - Episode 72 "Return of the Mc " - 2023 BMW Championship DFS Picks and Bets

Byron (@TheModelManiac) dives into his model and shares his outrights and favorite DFS picks for the 2023 BMW Championship. Be sure to subscribe to the Back 9 Bets YouTube Channel, part of RotoBaller Radio's Podcast Network. Like and Subscribe to the RotoBaller channel on Youtube to get all our latest podcasts and catch us on iTunes and BlogTalkRadio as […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2023 BMW Championship (Premium)

It's the second leg of playoffs and its time to find out whose play is going to help us along in R2. Load your plate with delightful stats and metrics from the stat buffet that should satisfy your nerdy appetite. The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect […]

PREMIUM

PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship.

Lucas Glover (-14) sits atop the leaderboard with the final round still to come tomorrow with Taylor one more shot back of him at -13. The star studded leaderboard behind them will be ready to go super low tomorrow as evidenced by Justin Rose shooting -9 in R3. This tournament is far from over and […]


Round 3 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - The FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023

Lucas Glover would dominate Harry Potter in quidditch the way he is riding that broomstick putter of his lately. His ball striking continues to remain hotter than Memphis itself, which had a heat index of 111 today. Meanwhile, Jordan Spieth has Einstein turning in his grave, as he defies all logic-gaining strokes on the field […]


Round 2 PGA DFS Showdown Slate Picks - The FedEx St. Jude Championship 2023

Jordan Spieth is like a Taco Bell fart; you never know what you are going to get. With his only T20 in the last three months coming two months ago at the Memorial (T5), it is no surprise that he leads the first playoff event, but I will be honest and say I did not […]


DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 St. Jude Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. A solid bounce back at the Wyndham going 5/9 on our value plays. 2/3 on Chalk, 2/3 on Pivots and 1/3 on Leverage which are going to be much riskier plays. There will be no cut this week so we are looking for birdie […]

PREMIUM

Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Breaking $100 Golf Best Bets for the 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship

Golf betting is so tilting. Adam Scott had two rounds of golf where he shot -7 and -5, for a total of -12, which is the score he ended his week on. The winner of the tournament finished at -20. Had he managed to shoot -4 in each of the other two rounds, he would […]


PGA Stat Buffet - Betting, DFS Picks - Golf Bets Research - The 2023 FedEx St. Jude Championship (Premium)

It's the playoffs and its time to find out whose game will pay off. Load your plate with delightful stats and metrics from the stat buffet that should satisfy your nerdy appetite. The aim of this article is to help familiarize ourselves with how we can expect the course to play, what kind of skill […]

PREMIUM

PGA DFS Picks- Round 4 Showdown for 2023 Wyndham Championship.

We have two golfers leading the tournament that are $8,500 and $8,600 in price for R4 showdown, making them VERY easy to fit into lineups but at what ownership? (ps: Premium subscribers have access to that in the full version of my showdown model).  Lucas Glover is reaping the rewards of his trip to Hogwart's […]


PGA DFS: Expert Roundtable - 2023 Wyndham Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Hello, RotoBallers and thanks for joining us for the 2023 Wyndham Championship! We're offering this article each week as part of our PGA Premium subscription, and we hope that you will find it useful. This gives readers the chance to get inside the minds […]

PREMIUM

DraftKings PGA DFS Value Plays - 2023 Wyndham Championship (Premium Content)

All other PGA Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. The Open was not a good week for this article. 2 of the 10 guys we rostered as value plays made the cut, with some reliable golfers missing the cut across the pond. It is what it is. That kind of golf can really […]

PREMIUM

Breaking $100 - Free PGA Betting Picks - Golf Best Bets for the 2023 Wyndham Championship

The Open Championship was the last edition of Breaking $100, as I was breaking my butt across the many, many hills of Iowa on my bicycle for 7 days, finishing the 50th annual Ragbrai bicycle ride across 500 miles of this glorious state. For those of you who are into endurance bike riding, it is […]


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