X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

All-Star Break Overrated/Underrated: Third Basemen

This column has (generally) been published on a weekly basis since the season started, yet it hasn't covered third basemen. It's mostly because the third base position runs so deep and has provided so much value that it's hard to say anyone could be considered overrated and deserves lower rates of ownership.

A quick glance, though, reveals a couple of names that are criminally underrated, even if the rest of the field appears incredibly strong. Other players don't have to be overrated for other guys to be underrated. Most leagues use at least one corner infield and utility slot apiece, so there's no problem rostering three third basemen and maximizing the number of juggernauts your team can accommodate.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids.

Week 1 (OF/SP) | Week 2 (OF/SP) | Week 3 (SS) | Week 4 (1B) | Week 6 (SP) | Week 7 (2B) | Week 8 (SP) | Week 9 (C) | Week 12 (OF) | Week 14 (SP)

 

Underrated Third Basemen

Jake Lamb, Arizona Diamondbacks
49% owned, via FleaFlicker

It may seem like Lamb came out of nowhere. With six home runs through 390 plate appearances last season, he seemed like an anemic play at a deep position. A close look at his batted ball profile, however, revealed a 36.3% hard-hit rate (Hard%) -- the kind of frequent hard contact that leads to home runs more than twice as often as he hit them in 2015. Those six homers probably should have been closer to a dozen and change; extrapolate that to a full season, and Lamb's flirting with 20-homer power.

Flash forward to this year, and Lamb has 20 home runs before the All-Star Break. That would have been hard to anticipate no matter what. If Lamb could hang is hat on anything as a (pseudo) prospect, it was his power, but it wasn't anything particularly menacing, either. At this point, if you own Lamb, simply thank your lucky stars for his lottery ticket panning out so nicely.

It's important to note that the power isn't a fluke, either. Mark Simon of ESPN noted a mechanical adjustment that helped Lamb tap into his plus raw power. Granted, maybe he's a little ahead of pace -- a 28.6% HR/FB rate is hard for even the most prodigious sluggers to sustain. But he pulls the ball a ton and, per Statcast data, frequently finds the sweet spot between batted ball angle and exit velocity.

One could call Lamb a sell-high candidate, but FleaFlicker indicates he's owned in only 49% of leagues. Mind-blowing, frankly. It harkens back to the introduction of this post: third base just runs so deep that 20 home runs isn't that impressive. (To attest: 11 other third basemen have hit at least 17 home runs.) Regardless, he's worth owning -- maybe you can't replace another third baseman with him (although Adrian Beltre would be a decent option), but surely some creative rearranging of your roster can accommodate him

Eduardo Nunez, Minnesota Twins
47% owned, via FleaFlicker

Rotoballer's Pierre Camus discussed Nunez at length last week, so it's not worth spending too many more words on him here. A couple of concerns about Nunez, however:

1) His low line drive rate (LD%) and high infield fly ball rate (IFFB%) do not bode well for his high batting average on balls in play (BABIP). While he's fast, he doesn't possess elite speed, making the odds of his batting average falling below .300 (or even .280) fairly high in the second half.

2) His all-fields approach, generally lackluster hard-hit rate and below-average ground ball rate (GB%) do not bode well for his elevated 12.6% HR/FB rate, either. Maybe it dips a few ticks. A mere half-dozen home runs through the end of the season could be a reasonable expectation.

With that said, neither of those points cut into Nunez's value a whole lot. He's practically worth his weight in gold from just his speed alone; the power and batting average are gravy. Nunez could always run -- he stole 22 bases in a mere 338 plate appearances in 2011, although that feels like a lifetime ago -- but hitting for average or power was never his strong suit.

Don't over-invest in a keeper or dynasty league; it's hard to believe in the one-year power spike. There might only be six or eight home runs in the horizon for 2017. But a .270 average and another 25 or 30 stolen bases is plenty valuable, even at third base.

More importantly, though: Nunez is eligible at shortstop. This is a post about third basemen, but if you're truly optimizing your lineup, you'll be deploying him at shortstop (with Lamb at third, in a perfect world!).

Jonathan Villar, Milwaukee Brewers
44% owned, via FleaFlicker

(I'm becoming skeptical of FleaFlicker's ownership rates at this point. It's hard to believe that Nunez or Villar, having been among fantasy baseball's best assets this year, are less than 50% owned. The Dude abides, however, so here's an obligatory comment on Villar.)

Villar, like Nunez, is shortstop-eligible and should be deployed as such. He's faster, and has the track record to prove it. He might have more power, too, but that's something the outcomes can't yet validate. An aside: I wrote at length about Villar's incremental progress over the years at FanGraphs. So, like Villar, I'll spare you the bloody details. Just know that if Villar is still available in your league, you should add him (and Nunez, and Lamb, too). Like, NOW.

Jose Ramirez, Cleveland Indians
32% owned, via FleaFlicker

Like Nunez and Villar before him, Ramirez generates far more relative value when deployed as a second baseman or shortstop. Not to make this about me again, but I also wrote about Ramirez being a legitimate mixed-league shortstop option at FanGraphs, too -- it goes into far greater detail than this blurb will.

The primary concern with Ramirez now is the inevitability of Michael Brantley's return. Ramirez spends a lot of time in left field, Brantley's primary position, and Rajai Davis, Lonnie Chisenhall, and Tyler Naquin have proven themselves collectively valuable to the Cleveland Indians at a time when they've been cruising. Ramirez's home positions up the middle are manned by the equally valuable Jason Kipnis and, oh yeah, the entirely indispensible Francisco Lindor.

That leaves the lackluster Juan Uribe as the odd man out, offensively speaking. He's not a steep financial obligation for the Indians, but he is a "clubhouse presence" (or something like that). Ramirez deserves to usurp the third base role outright, but it may not happen that way. Alas, Ramirez's playing time could be dampened considerably after the All-Star Break.

There's a chance, though, that Ramirez winds up in a super utility role, spelling Brantley, Lindor, Kipnis, Davis, Chisenhall, Naquin, everyone throughout the week, leading to maybe 20-25 plate appearances a week. Missing out on full-time playing time hurts, but it's better than nothing, and it'll work in deep leagues.

Just know that Ramirez has the upside of a top-10 shortstop (which makes him more of a top-20 or top-25 third baseman) if the Indians make the smart move with him. Keep an eye on him.

Ramirez makes a good replacement for: Howie Kendrick (42% owned), Trevor Plouffe (41% owned), Travis Shaw (32% owned)

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Willy Adames

Out With Side Soreness on Tuesday
A.J. Brown

on Track to Play in Week 1
Jacob deGrom

Being Skipped in Rotation Due to Shoulder Fatigue
Adley Rutschman

Scratched on Tuesday With Abdominal Discomfort
CBJ

Brendan Smith Joins Blue Jackets on Tryout Deal
STL

Milan Lucic Joins Blues for Tryout
DET

Red Wings Pick Up Travis Hamonic
Austin Riley

Doesn't Appear Ready to Return Any Time Soon
Aaron Judge

Unikely to Throw Normally Again This Year
Jalen McMillan

Could be Out Through Week 9 Bye
Indiana Pacers

Pacers Coach Rick Carlisle Agrees to a Multiyear Contract Extension on Tuesday
Washington Wizards

John Wall Retires After 11 NBA Seasons
Daniel Jones

Named as Colts Starting Quarterback
Jalen McMillan

Will Not Be Ready for Season Opener
Collin Sexton

Hornets Have High Hopes for Collin Sexton
Rui Hachimura

Likely to Start Season Without Contract Extension
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Hopes to Bounce Back in 2025-26
Stephen Curry

Ready to Go for New Season
Orlando Magic

Lester Quinones Agrees to Deal With Magic
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Cleared to Play on Tuesday Night
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Pulled With Hamstring Tightness
MLB

Game 2 of Brewers-Cubs on Monday Postponed
Bryce Miller

to be Activated on Tuesday
Kyle Tucker

to Get Multiple Days Off
Shane Bieber

to Make Season Debut on Friday
Joe Mixon

Could Start Season on NFI List
Zack Wheeler

has Surgery to Remove Blood Clot
De'Von Achane

Unlikely to Practice This Week
Justin Jefferson

Returning to Practice
Chris Godwin

Bucs Chris Godwin Likely to Start Season on PUP List
Joe Flacco

Browns Name Joe Flacco as Their Week 1 Starter
Jalen McDaniels

Inks Deal With New Orleans
N'Faly Dante

Signs Deal With Hawks
Matthew Stafford

Practicing on Monday
Dru Smith

Agrees to Deal With Heat
Austin Dillon

Scores an Upset Victory at Richmond
William Byron

Clinches the Regular Season Championship Title at Richmond
Denny Hamlin

Pit-Road Struggles Impede Denny Hamlin's Chances of a Top Finish at Richmond
Joey Logano

Earns A Fourth-Place Finish at Richmond
Kyle Larson

Rallies to A Top-10 Finish at Richmond
Malik Nabers

Dealing With Back Injury
Khamzat Chimaev

Is The New UFC Middleweight Champion
Dricus Du Plessis

Gets Dominated At UFC 319
Aaron Pico

Suffers Knockout Loss In His UFC Debut
Lerone Murphy

Scores Stunning First-Round Knockout
Leodalis De Vries

Earns Promotion to Double-A
Nathaniel Lowe

Finalizing Deal with Boston
Geoff Neal

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Ketel Marte

Arizona Could Trade Ketel Marte in the Offseason
Carlos Prates

Gets Back In The Win Column
Michael Page

Dominates At UFC 319
Jared Cannonier

Gets Outclassed
Tim Elliott

Gets Submission Win
Kai Asakura

Still Winless In The UFC
Austin Cindric

has Arguably his Best Run of the Season at Richmond
Ryan Blaney

Contends for First Richmond Win but Comes Up Short
Alex Bowman

Finishes Second but Loses Ground in Playoffs
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Sets Personal Laps-Led Record at Richmond
Chris Buescher

Falls Out of Playoffs After Miserable Richmond Run
Coby White

Bulls Not Interested in Trading Coby White
Dereck Lively II

Expected to be Ready for Camp
Brian Robinson Jr.

Commanders "Shopping" Brian Robinson Jr.
John Metchie III

Texans Trade John Metchie III to Eagles
Victor Scott II

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Listening to Trade Offers for Trey Hendrickson
Marcelo Mayer

to Have Season-Ending Wrist Surgery
Samuel Basallo

Called Up From Triple-A Norfolk
J.K. Dobbins

Expected to Win Starting RB Job?
Quentin Johnston

Suffers Concussion in Preseason Loss
Jaxson Dart

Plays Well on Saturday Night
Marcus Semien

Avoids Serious Injury
Kyle Stowers

Heads to Injured List With Left-Side Strain
Zack Wheeler

Placed on Injured List With Blood Clot in Shoulder
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Optimistic Terry McLaurin Deal Can Get Done Soon
De'Von Achane

De’Von Achane Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Likely Avoids Serious Injury
Josh Hader

Unlikely to Return During Regular Season
Denny Hamlin

the Heavy Favorite to Win at Richmond
Christopher Bell

Has Been Great at Richmond
Tyrese Haliburton

No Longer Using a Scooter, Crutches
Ryan Blaney

Can Ryan Blaney Finally Break Through at Richmond?
Joey Logano

Will Start Last at Richmond After Practice Trouble
Chase Elliott

Lack of Top-Line Speed Hurts his DFS Potential
Kyle Larson

Recent String of Crashes Make Him a Big Risk at Richmond
William Byron

Probably Slightly Too Inconsistent at Richmond to Start for DFS
Ryan Preece

on Pole at Richmond as Playoff Deadline Looms Closer
Brad Keselowski

Probably the Best RFK Racing DFS Option at Richmond
Chase Briscoe

Still Figuring Out Richmond
Chris Buescher

a Solid Choice for DFS Play, but Teammates Look Faster
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Activate Terry McLaurin From PUP List
Rashee Rice

NFL Could Reach Settlement Before Hearing
Haywood Highsmith

Dealt to Brooklyn on Friday
Amir Coffey

Signs One-Year Deal With Bucks
Khamzat Chimaev

A Favorite At UFC 319
Dricus Du Plessis

Set For His Third Title Defense
Aaron Pico

Set For UFC Debut
Lerone Murphy

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Geoff Neal

Looks For His Second Win In A Row
Michael Page

Set For His Second Middleweight Bout
Jared Cannonier

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kai Asakura

Looks For His First UFC Win
Tim Elliott

Set To Open Up UFC 309 Main Card
CBJ

Mikael Pyyhtia Re-Signs With Blue Jackets for One Year
UTA

Caleb Desnoyers Expected to Miss 12 Weeks After Wrist Procedure
Tyson Foerster

on Track to Be Healthy for Season Opener
NHL

Olivier Rodrigue Signs KHL Deal
NHL

Emil Bemstrom to Join Swiss Team
Payton Pritchard

Reportedly Moving Into Starting Lineup
Kevin Durant

Rockets Not Interested in Keeping Kevin Durant with Max Extension
NBA

Isaiah Mobley Joins Turkish Team
NBA

Cole Swider Links Up with EuroLeague Powerhouse

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP