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Overrated/Underrated Week 12: Pick Up Duvall, Davis, Taylor

The landscape among outfielders has changed quite a bit since the season started. Half the battle in fantasy baseball is navigating the waiver wire and surviving injuries the best you can. Some marquee outfielders have hit the disabled list recently. Jose Bautista, Hunter Pence, Yasiel Puig, Josh Reddick, Jorge Soler... the list goes on.

Fortunately, there are plenty names on the waiver wire who could not only serve as suitable stopgaps but also permanently replace your struggling starters as it is. You can find power and speed -- not in abundance, mind you, but they're there if you know where to look. We're here to help.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids.

 

Add These Free Agents

Week 1 (OF/SP) | Week 2 (OF/SP) | Week 3 (SS) | Week 4 (1B) | Week 6 (SP) | Week 7 (2B) | Week 8 (SP) | Week 9 (C)

 

Adam Duvall, CIN OF
44% owned, via Fleaflicker

If you're not familiar with Duvall, you should be. He's currently tied with Nolan Arenado and Mark Trumbo for the league lead in home runs -- as a rookie. Duvall's not really a late bloomer -- he always demonstrated massive power throughout the minors but was buried in the Giants' farm system. A trade to Cincinnati helped give him the chance at playing time he always needed but could never have.

Duvall actually profiles very similarly to Trumbo, who offers power and almost nothing else. Duvall's plate discipline leaves even more to be desired than Trumbo's miserable approach, but his batted ball profile suggests there might be even more thump in his bat. Duvall hits a ton of fly balls, he likes to pull the ball, and he hits the ball hard. Thus, his peripherals suggest the power is legitimate, in case we ever doubted his minor league track record.

The strikeouts are concerning, but Chris Davis and Chris Carter make a living on slugging and whiffing. Duvall isn't quite as extreme, but he comes close. Without the walks, he becomes something of a liability in on-base percentage (OBP) formats, especially if he suffers a dry spell. But there's no reason Duvall should be unowned in any league -- he may already be one of the game's premium power bats.

I'd drop _______ for Duvall: Carlos Gomez (72% owned), Shin-Soo Choo (61% owned), Byron Buxton (52% owned)

 
Rajai Davis, CLE OF
16% owned, via Fleaflicker

To be clear, Davis has always been this good. He just never saw much playing time; he has mostly been used as the larger half of a platoon, given his weakness versus right-handed pitchers. Even in part-time duty, Davis has stolen 20-or-more bases in every season -- except for last year, during which he fell just short of the threshold.

Well, the Cleveland Indians' outfield was in shambles to begin the season, leaving Davis with the opportunity to take a job and run (no pun intended). Run, he has, playing virtually every day and leapfrogging into second place in the league for stolen bases. As aforementioned, the speed was always there. It seemed to taper off last year, but he mostly suffered from a poor conversion rate (69% successful) that seemed to suggest he was slowing down. Even Old Man Time can't slow Davis down.

But Davis also hits for power, too. Since 2012, Davis has posted home run totals that extrapolate into the double-digits for a full season. He's a little ahead of pace this year, so expect the pace to slow considerably from here on out. Still, Davis could wind up with a .250, 12-homer, 45-steal season under his belt as the 83rd outfielder drafted in NFBC leagues. He has been underrated for years. Don't let him be underrated now.

I'd drop _______ for Davis: Ender Inciarte (49% owned), Eddie Rosario (44% owned), Howie Kendrick (42% owned)

 
Michael Taylor, WAS OF
11% owned, via Fleaflicker

After yesterday's huge performance, Taylor sits pretty with six home runs, 10 stolen bases and a .243 batting average. Taylor's horrendous plate discipline is hard to stomach, and it forced him to endure the first couple months of the season beneath the Mendoza Line. But Lady Luck's pendulum swings in Taylor's favor this month, as his batting average on balls in play (BABIP) has crawled up into an appropriate territory (.318) for his skill set.

Taylor always flashed his tools in the minors, so his combination of power and speed should come as no surprise. He profiles as a 15-homer, 25-steal guy this year -- with room for growth, should he ever earn a full-time starting gig (which probably won't happen, honestly, given his very serious strikeout problem). The batting average is a dealbreaker in standard formats, but the power and speed plays up in deeper leagues, where you sometimes have to take the good with the bad.

I'd drop _______ for Taylor: Nick Markakis (25% owned), Angel Pagan (21% owned), Brock Holt (21% owned)

 

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Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jiří Procházka

Jiri Prochazka Scores Comeback Win
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Placed on Injured Reserve
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Egor Afanasyev to Start Season on Injured Reserve
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Suffers Third-Round Knockout Loss
Mattias Janmark

to Miss 1-2 Weeks
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Suffers Setback
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Traveling With Blackhawks
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Gets First-Round Submission Win
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Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
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Gets Submitted
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Gets Second-Round Submission Win
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Breaks Free for 114 Yards in Week 5 Loss
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Explosive in Week 5 After Rough Start to Season
David Montgomery

Gets Involved in Trickery, Totals Two Touchdowns Against Cincy
Stefon Diggs

Gets Big Revenge in Primetime Win Over Bills
Theo Johnson

on the Rise, Scores Two More Touchdowns in Week 5 Loss
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Leads Cowboys in Receiving -- Worth a Waiver-Wire Pickup?
Jake Ferguson

Records Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 5
Rashid Shaheed

Rides 87-Yard Touchdown to Breakout Week 5
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Records Season-High in Targets, Catches, and Receiving Yards
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Finds the End Zone Twice in Week 5
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Records Two Touchdown Catches in Week 5
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Dominates Buccaneers Defense in Week 5
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Golden State Expected to Put Jonathan Kuminga on the Trade Block Once Eligible
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Seen Wearing a Walking Boot After Week 5 Loss
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Expected to Play Despite Being Questionable
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Injures Ankle in Week 5 Loss
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Questionable to Play on Monday Night
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Delivers Another Unblemished Four-Touchdown Game
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Questionable for Opening Night
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Practices on Sunday
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Injured at Sunday's Practice
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Returns to Practice Sunday
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Matt Grzelcyk Inks One-Year Deal With Blackhawks
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Sharks Acquire Ryan Ellis From Flyers
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Back at Practice
Ryan Preece

Is A Favorable DFS Option for the Charlotte Roval
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Might Be Worth Playing In DFS Lineups for the Charlotte Roval
Cole Custer

Is Cole Custer Playable In DFS Lineups for the Charlotte Roval?
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Will Likely Go for the Win Over Stage Points
Ryan Blaney

Might Look Past Charlotte Roval to Focus on Last Two Playoff Rounds
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Could Focus on Stage Points to Clinch Round of 8 Spot
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Unlikely to Make the Round of 8
Austin Cindric

Very Unlikely to Advance to Round of 8
Alex Bowman

Reliably Consistent at Charlotte Roval
Daniel Suarez

Unlikely to Run Well at Charlotte
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Will Likely Earn a Lot of Place-Differential Points at Charlotte
Brad Keselowski

Probably Won't be Viable for DFS
Ty Dillon

Earns Best Qualifying Result at Charlotte Roval
Jackson Chourio

Exits With Hamstring Injury in Game 1 of NLDS
Jayson Tatum

to Return in March?
Justin Faulk

Misses Preseason Finale
Kirill Marchenko

Cleared for Saturday's Action
Macklin Celebrini

Makes Preseason Debut Saturday
Kaiden Guhle

Available Saturday
Noah Dobson

Rejoins Canadiens Lineup Saturday
Samuel Girard

Ready for Game Action
Filip Gustavsson

Wild Sign Filip Gustavsson to Five-Year Extension
Max Scherzer

Left Off Blue Jays ALDS Roster
Bo Bichette

Officially Out for ALDS
Cole Perfetti

Evaluated for Lower-Body Injury
Michael Kesselring

to be Re-Evaluated Next Week
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Rangers Hire Skip Schumaker as New Manager
Trevor Megill

Ready for NLDS
Will Smith

Will be Available to Catch in NLDS
Clayton Kershaw

to Pitch Out of Bullpen in NLDS Against Phillies
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Undergoes Knee Surgery on Friday
Brandon Woodruff

Will Not Pitch in NLDS
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Likely Playing on Friday
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Won't Play This Weekend
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Returns to Full Practice
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has Team Optioned Accepted
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Can Become Two-Time Light-Heavyweight Champion
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Set For His First Title Defense
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An Underdog At UFC 320
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Set For His Third Title Defense
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Returns At UFC 320
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Jiri Prochazka Returns At UFC 320
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Cam Schlittler

Dazzles in 12-Strikeout Performance, Yankees Advance to ALDS
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Quintrevion Wisner Expected Back vs. Florida
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Emmett Mosley Probable for Longhorns vs. Florida
Giannis Antetokounmpo

to Join the Bucks in Miami
Jaden Ivey

Fully Recovered From Fractured Fibula
OG Anunoby

Was Inactive for the Knicks' Preseason Opener
Joel Embiid

Adem Bona Starts in Place of Joel Embiid on Thursday
Dominick Barlow

Grabs 10 Boards in Abu Dhabi
Miles McBride

Leads the Knicks to an Exhibition Win in Abu Dhabi
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Drops 14 Points in Thursday's Exhibition
Josh Hart

Injured in Exhibition
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Expected to be "Fully Ready" for Spring Training
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Unlikely to be Ready for ALDS
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Does Some Shooting During Wednesday's Practice
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Hurts Ankle at Practice
Mark Williams

to Sit Out Preseason Opener
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Healthy and Bigger Ahead of New Season
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Logs Full Practice
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Does Individual Work at Practice
Bryce Eldridge

to Undergo Wrist Surgery
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Brian Snitker Will Not Return as Braves Manager
Luke List

Looking to Win Again at Sanderson Farms Championship
Tom Kim

Could Be in For Long Week in Mississippi
Max Homa

Are Things Beginning to Turn Around For Max Homa Ahead of Sanderson Farms?
Nicolai Hojgaard

an Interesting Play at Sanderson Farms
Davis Thompson

Looks to Keep Momentum Going in Mississippi
Nick Dunlap

Hoping to Turn Woes Around at Sanderson Farms Championship
PGA

Matti Schmid a Volatile Option at Sanderson Farms
Thorbjorn Olesen

a Solid Play at Sanderson Farms
Stephan Jaeger

a High-Upside Play in Mississippi
Hayden Buckley

Trying to Find Form at Sanderson Farms
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Struggling Mightily with Golf Game
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Leaning on his Putter at Sanderson Farms
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Quade Cummins

Trying to Make Cut at Sanderson Farms
Carson Young

Aims to Rebound from Procore Championship
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Still a Golfer to Watch This Week
Doug Ghim

Trending Up for Sanderson Farms Championship
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May Struggle at Sanderson Farms Championship
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Ready for Sanderson Farms Championship
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Eyes Another Strong Week at Sanderson Farms
Andrew Putnam

a Solid Value Play in Mississippi
Tarik Skubal

Shines in Postseason Debut, Tigers Take Game 1 Over Guardians
CFB

Behren Morton To Start Against Houston Saturday

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP