Dan Palyo projects which 10 outfielders will finish the season in the top 10 for the 2026 fantasy baseball season as we head into Week 12 of MLB action.
What if I told you that Aaron Judge, Juan Soto, and Mike Trout are all outside the top ten outfielders for fantasy baseball this season? Judge hasn't played since May and could be out a while. Soto is having a decent year, but a lack of run production is holding him back. And Trout has seen his average dip to .231 on the year after a torrid start to the year.
So who are the top ten outfielders? Which players will drop out of the top ten? Which other players outside that group could be productive enough over the rest of the season to push up into this group?
In my latest reprise of this popular series, I'll take a look at the top ten outfielders for fantasy baseball as of today, June 17, 2026, and make some predictions as to how I see the rankings shaking out by the end of the year.
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Current Top 10 Outfielders for Fantasy Baseball
Here are the top 10 most valuable outfielders in 5x5 roto leagues right now, according to Yahoo's player rankings. All stats were current through Tuesday, June 16.
| Player | Runs | Home Runs | RBI | Stolen Bases | Average |
| James Wood | 68 | 20 | 48 | 13 | 0.281 |
| Yordan Alvarez | 49 | 24 | 54 | 1 | 0.326 |
| Jordan Walker | 46 | 18 | 56 | 10 | 0.292 |
| Byron Buxton | 51 | 23 | 36 | 7 | 0.275 |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | 44 | 14 | 36 | 16 | 0.276 |
| Andy Pages | 42 | 15 | 56 | 7 | 0.269 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 44 | 25 | 43 | 1 | 0.249 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 49 | 10 | 45 | 5 | 0.28 |
| Alec Burleson | 39 | 13 | 52 | 2 | 0.285 |
| Cody Bellinger | 43 | 10 | 47 | 8 | 0.272 |
Before we get too deep into this analysis, let's acknowledge that Oneil Cruz currently ranks fourth among outfielders and Randy Arozarena ranks seventh. I only excluded them from the list so we could focus on the healthy players instead. Cruz's injury looks like it might keep him out longer, as he's only one week into a 4-6 week timetable. Aroz is dealing with a hamstring strain that may only sideline him for a few weeks.
I'll start things off by taking a big "L" (as the kids say) on James Wood this season. I faded him across all my leagues based on his contact struggles last season (32%), and the joke is on me since he's sitting at #2 overall on the Yahoo player rater.
James Wood's current full-season pace...
173 Hits
149 Runs
45 Home Runs
104 RBI
29 SB
131 Walks
.281 AVG
.414 OBP
.558 SLGThese would all be new career-highs for Wood.#Natitudepic.twitter.com/6qwbZrVpRT
— Eric Cross (@EricCrossMLB) June 15, 2026
Wood is still striking out plenty (29%) but has raised his walk rate to an impressive 17.1% while also hitting the ball in the air more often than ever before (40% FB%). He's on pace to shatter his career high in steals, too, with 13 already after swiping 14 bases in his rookie season and 15 last year.
If you're wondering what a full season of a healthy Yordan Alvarez looks like...this is it. The big lefty is hitting for average and power, trailing only Kyle Schwarber in home runs (24) by an outfielder. He's an absolute beast and is boosting you in every category but steals.
By far the biggest surprise on this list has to be Jordan Walker, who is enjoying a breakout campaign in his fourth MLB season. We had seen flashes of his potential in the past, but he hit just .201 in 2024 and .215 in 2025 before finally putting it all together this season.
He's an RBI machine!
Send Jordan Walker to the MLB All-Star Game at https://t.co/H9MeQwAQiy 🌟 pic.twitter.com/FBxTqPqa6X
— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) June 7, 2026
Walker has been solid on the basepaths, too, already tying his career-high with 10 steals so far this year. It's been 300 plate appearances, and Walker doesn't look like he's slowing down at all. Enjoy the value here, as Walker should likely finish the season as the best value in fantasy baseball since you probably drafted him in the late rounds or picked him up off the waiver wire.
I try to touch on as many of these players as possible, but I'll jump down the list here and mention my guy Bryan Reynolds, who is having arguably the best start to a season since his 27-HR campaign in 2022. Reynolds hit two more home runs last night and has been the most consistent hitter in the Pirates' lineup this season.
Bryan Reynolds goes yard again!
His second homer of the game brings the @Pirates level 🏴☠️ pic.twitter.com/2pT7B3qErq
— MLB (@MLB) June 17, 2026
In the same mold as Reynolds (steady, disciplined, reliable hitter), Alec Burleson is quietly having an All-Star year of his own. His 52 RBI are the fourth-most of any outfielder, and he's been a massive value at his ADP with contributions in every category but steals.
Cody Bellinger continues to evolve into one of the more disciplined hitters in the league. Let's not forget that he was once a 27% K-rate hitter in 2022 on the Dodgers, but he struck out just 13.7% of the time last season and has trimmed that to just 12.2% this season while raising his walk rate to 13.5% (the second-best rate of his career). He's hitting .272 for the second straight year, but is on pace for around 20 steals, which would be the most since his 2023 campaign in Chicago.
Projected Top 10 Outfielders for Fantasy Baseball
When we factor in the remaining schedule and adjust for some expected regression, we end up with this list - my prediction for which outfielders finish as the top 10 outfielders by the end of the season.
| Player | Team | Projected Rank | Current Rank |
| James Wood | WAS | 1 | 1 |
| Yordan Alvarez | HOU | 2 | 2 |
| Jordan Walker | STL | 3 | 3 |
| Mike Trout | LAA | 4 | 12 |
| Byron Buxton | MIN | 5 | 4 |
| Randy Arozarena | SEA | 6 | INJ |
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | 7 | 5 |
| Kyle Schwarber | PHI | 8 | 7 |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | 9 | 14 |
| Juan Soto | NYM | 10 | 18 |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | 10 | INJ |
My top ten doesn't look drastically different from #1 through #5, with the exception of Mike Trout. If Trout can continue to stay healthy, I think he'll boost his average and keep stacking up runs, home runs, and RBI. His xwOBA of .412 is the 7th-best in baseball, and he's in the 98th percentile or higher also in xSLG, xISO, and Barrel%.
Mike Trout to straightaway center for home run No. 17! pic.twitter.com/XLWoDqPNfz
— MLB (@MLB) June 17, 2026
He's not going to steal more than 20 bases, but his seven steals are the most we've seen from Trout since 2019! He's still one of the best all-around hitters in baseball, and he's proving it this year.
I didn't mention Byron Buxton in the first section, but he's another "old guy" who is showing that he can still get it done when healthy. He's more power than speed at this point in his career, but he's on pace to outdo his 35-HR output from last season, with only his RBI lagging a bit compared to previous seasons.
The great debate over Pete Crow-Armstrong this offseason is currently being won by his backers. PCA is red-hot right now, with three home runs in his last four games, and his 16 stolen bases are the fifth-most of any outfielder.
PETE CROW-ARMSTRONG COMPLETES THE CYCLE ‼️ pic.twitter.com/X3yjpSxEtL
— MLB (@MLB) June 16, 2026
Last year, he fell off a cliff in the second half, but I don't think we'll see that happen again this year. He's walking more and making better contact (43.8% hard contact). He's easily one of the best power/speed bats in the league and is on pace for a 25/25 season right now.
Kyle Schwarber is a home run machine and on pace for another 50+ home runs this year. He does ding your batting average a bit and isn't stealing bases, but his value in HR, runs, and RBI is about as consistent as you'll find across the league.
Let's address a few others who I think are making their way back into the top ten who aren't currently there. I do think Randy Arozarena can get there with his speed (19 steals), even if his power (7 HR) is lagging. I also put Oneil Cruz in there at #10 (tied with Soto) based on a scenario where he misses the least amount of time (back in 3-4 weeks). He was the only player on pace for a 30/30 season before his injury, and I think he can still get there if he's back by the All-Star break.
Both Corbin Carroll and Juan Soto are just too good to leave out, even if they are trailing guys like Reynolds, Pages, Burleson, and Bellinger right now. Soto is still crushing the baseball (98th percentile xwOBA) and can climb the ranks rather quickly if he gets hot at any point this summer.
Carroll's lack of steals (just 9 right now after stealing 30+ bags in each of the last three seasons) is holding him back, but he's cut back on the strikeouts, increased the walks, and has a career-high .901 OPS right now. He's more likely to heat up this summer than to cool off.
And as far as the guys who I have falling out of the top ten, it's not because I expect major regression from them. It's really just a matter of the elite hitters finding their way back to the top.
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