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Nick Mariano's Baller Ranks is a weekly fantasy baseball rankings list for the top 101 starting pitchers. He ranks and analyzes updated pitcher values for Week 18.
August is now upon us, which means two months of the fantasy baseball season remain! There is still plenty of ball to be played with workload limitations creeping up on us (and tack fallout still making itself known), so let's look back at July stats with an update of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks. This brings you my top 101 SPs moving forward. I'd let my All-Star break Rest of Season ranks do the talking for mid-July, but it's time to re-roll these bad boys for the final months!
Click the link! This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW%. Do note that I leave off most injured players, and removing those injured players can give an illusion that others have risen despite mediocre performances. I highly encourage you to click the link.
To be clear, these Rest of Season ranks are geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues sans most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then it isn't terribly actionable, and I'll intermittently weave in updates of where I'd throw them in if they were healthy. For now, let's dive into my Top 101 SPs and be sure we've got the best rotation possible.
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Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 18
| (+/-) | Tier | Player | Rank | EV | $ | $PV | Trend | Notes |
| 2 | 1 | Zack Wheeler | 1 | 9.0 | 41.0 | 36.0 | 5.0 ▲ | Injuries make Wheeler tops most consistent |
| 0 | 1 | Max Scherzer | 2 | 0.1 | 40.5 | 38.5 | 2.0 ▲ | Win chances go up in LA |
| 1 | 1 | Brandon Woodruff | 3 | 8.5 | 36.5 | 36.5 | 0.0 ▬ | Innings concern rears its head for MIL |
| 3 | 2 | Gerrit Cole | 4 | 7.8 | 36.5 | 36.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| 1 | 2 | Yu Darvish | 5 | -2.2 | 33.5 | 33.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
| 3 | 2 | Walker Buehler | 6 | 12.0 | 33.5 | 26.0 | 7.5 ▲ | Will LAD start juggling arms to save bullets? |
| 5 | 2 | Lance Lynn | 7 | 6.5 | 31.0 | 24.5 | 6.5 ▲ | Workhorse like Lynn has more value in '21 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucas Giolito | 8 | 9.7 | 30.0 | 28.5 | 1.5 ▲ | Elite CWS bullpen shortens SP workload |
| 2 | 2 | Carlos Rodon | 9 | 6.4 | 28.0 | 25.5 | 2.5 ▲ | Elite CWS bullpen also secures wins |
| -5 | 2 | Kevin Gausman | 10 | 1.2 | 28.0 | 34.0 | -6.0 ▼ | Recent speed bumps should iron out |
| 5 | 2 | Robbie Ray | 11 | 5.6 | 26.0 | 19.0 | 7.0 ▲ | |
| 1 | 2 | Corbin Burnes | 12 | 9.1 | 25.5 | 24.0 | 1.5 ▲ | Same IP worries as Woody, lower ceiling |
| 4 | 3 | Luis Castillo | 13 | 6.5 | 24.5 | 18.5 | 6.0 ▲ | Reminder that the season is long, talent rises |
| 0 | 3 | Trevor Rogers | 14 | 4.2 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Rusty in IL return, 43-of-74 pitches for strikes |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Musgrove | 15 | 5.5 | 22.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
| 3 | 3 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | 16 | 4.4 | 20.5 | 18.5 | 2.0 ▲ | Ratios better with Dunedin in the rearview |
| 3 | 3 | Aaron Nola | 17 | 5.1 | 19.5 | 17.0 | 2.5 ▲ | Control improved but still hasn't regained edge |
| 3 | 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 18 | 1.9 | 19.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 ▲ | |
| 3 | 4 | Julio Urias | 19 | 4.5 | 18.5 | 15.0 | 3.5 ▲ | |
| 6 | 4 | Chris Bassitt | 20 | 1.7 | 18.5 | 12.0 | 6.5 ▲ | |
| 6 | 4 | Shohei Ohtani | 21 | 6.0 | 17.0 | 13.0 | 4.0 ▲ | AL MVP barely walking a soul, 2.41 FIP in July |
| N/A | 4 | Carlos Carrasco | 22 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 ▲ | He's back! Only 4 IP but looked solid |
| 16 | 4 | Sean Manaea | 23 | 3.6 | 15.0 | 8.0 | 7.0 ▲ | One of the best SPs of July, can it hold? |
| 11 | 4 | Charlie Morton | 24 | 4.8 | 15.0 | 9.0 | 6.0 ▲ | Another vet to trust down the stretch |
| 5 | 4 | Jose Berrios | 25 | 3.4 | 13.0 | 11.5 | 1.5 ▲ | ALE is no ALC but TOR support is a plus |
| 5 | 5 | Kenta Maeda | 26 | 8.6 | 13.0 | 10.5 | 2.5 ▲ | |
| -3 | 5 | Framber Valdez | 27 | 1.1 | 12.5 | 13.5 | -1.0 ▼ | Rein in the walks please, still have faith |
| -3 | 5 | Tyler Mahle | 28 | 0.9 | 12.5 | 13.0 | -0.5 ▼ | |
| 3 | 5 | Zack Greinke | 29 | -3.2 | 12.0 | 9.5 | 2.5 ▲ | |
| 4 | 5 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 30 | 8.6 | 11.0 | 9.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
| 49 | 5 | Frankie Montas | 31 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 2.5 | 8.5 ▲ | Has found himself; 10 Ks in 3 of last 4 |
| N/A | 5 | Max Fried | 32 | 3.5 | 10.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 ▲ | |
| 4 | 5 | Marcus Stroman | 33 | 6.5 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| 10 | 5 | Luis Garcia | 34 | 4.8 | 9.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 ▲ | 24/3 K/BB in trio of July outings |
| -7 | 5 | Kyle Hendricks | 35 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 11.5 | -2.5 ▼ | Has won 11 consecutive decisions |
| 2 | 5 | Sonny Gray | 36 | 4.4 | 9.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 ▲ | ~3.50 FIP/xFIP/SIERA beneath 5.88 ERA in July |
| 3 | 6 | Yusei Kikuchi | 37 | 1.5 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 ▲ | July's 6.11 ERA has 2.97 xFIP, 3.30 SIERA; hold |
| 9 | 6 | Anthony DeSclafani | 38 | 4.7 | 8.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 ▲ | |
| 9 | 6 | Logan Gilbert | 39 | 6.8 | 8.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 ▲ | In a groove after turbulent first few outings |
| 5 | 6 | Alek Manoah | 40 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 ▲ | 7 IP, 0 ER, just 3 baserunners in return |
| 13 | 6 | Patrick Sandoval | 41 | 7.3 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 ▲ | No-hit bid put him on national radars |
| 26 | 7 | Alex Wood | 42 | 3.6 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 ▲ | |
| 21 | 7 | German Marquez | 43 | 6.6 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 ▲ | He homered off Darvish, bonus points |
| 16 | 6 | Shane McClanahan | 44 | 3.8 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 ▲ | |
| 14 | 7 | Adam Wainwright | 45 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 ▲ | |
| N/A | 7 | John Means | 46 | 0.2 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 ▲ | 6 IP, 1 ER, 6 K after just 4 Ks in prior 11.2 IP |
| 8 | 7 | Nathan Eovaldi | 47 | 8.1 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 4.5 ▲ | |
| N/A | 7 | Zac Gallen | 48 | -0.1 | 7.0 | 11.0 | -4.0 ▼ | Only 1 W in '21, but QS vs. LAD in last gm |
| N/A | 7 | Logan Webb | 49 | 3.4 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 ▲ | |
| 7 | 7 | Adbert Alzolay | 50 | -2.2 | 6.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 ▼ | |
| -22 | 8 | Zach Plesac | 51 | -0.6 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 ▲ | Somehow peripherals worse than 4.57 ERA |
| 0 | 8 | Casey Mize | 52 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| -11 | 8 | Dylan Cease | 53 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 8.0 | -3.0 ▼ | |
| -39 | 8 | Freddy Peralta | 54 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 20.5 | -15.5 ▼ | Averaging 60 pitches in last 2 starts, IP cap nears |
| 35 | 8 | Kwang-Hyun Kim | 55 | 1.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 ▲ | |
| 6 | 8 | Alex Cobb | 56 | 6.2 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 ▲ | |
| N/A | 8 | Tanner Houck | 57 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 ▲ | Righty Sale shall return, Sox needed bench bat |
| 8 | 8 | Domingo German | 58 | 5.1 | 4.0 | 6.5 | -2.5 ▼ | |
| 8 | 8 | Jordan Montgomery | 59 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 5.0 | -2.0 ▼ | |
| N/A | 8 | Tylor Megill | 60 | 5.4 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 ▲ | A true July darling, Citi Field is friendly |
| 16 | 8 | Zach Thompson | 61 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
| N/A | 8 | Jon Gray | 62 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 6.5 ▲ | |
| 0 | 8 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 63 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.5 ▲ | Sabers still strong, recent outing was big slip |
| 25 | 8 | Kyle Muller | 64 | 2.9 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 ▲ | |
| N/A | 8 | Triston McKenzie | 65 | -0.7 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 ▲ | He's viable if control, low BBs are sustainable |
| N/A | 8 | Reid Detmers | 66 | N/A | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 ▲ | 3.15 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, 106/18 K/BB in minors |
| 6 | 8 | Joe Ross | 67 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
| N/A | 8 | Austin Gomber | 68 | -0.7 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Back strong after lengthy IL stay |
| -4 | 9 | Jake Odorizzi | 69 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
| -27 | 9 | Tarik Skubal | 70 | -1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -6.0 ▼ | |
| -22 | 9 | Mike Minor | 71 | 4.1 | 2.0 | 8.0 | -6.0 ▼ | |
| -31 | 9 | Kyle Gibson | 72 | -0.5 | 1.5 | 8.0 | -6.5 ▼ | Heading to NL is nice, but he's been fading |
| -37 | 9 | Taijuan Walker | 73 | -3.4 | 1.5 | 8.5 | -7.0 ▼ | |
| -5 | 9 | Tony Gonsolin | 74 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 ▼ | Control slips make him tough to trust |
| -4 | 10 | Zach Davies | 75 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| -4 | 10 | Ross Stripling | 76 | -3.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| -3 | 10 | Jameson Taillon | 77 | 6.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| 5 | 10 | Chris Flexen | 78 | 5.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 ▲ | |
| -1 | 10 | Andrew Heaney | 79 | 4.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | -2.0 ▼ | Move to ALE not ideal, mid-3 FIP/SIERA in July |
| -1 | 10 | Merrill Kelly | 80 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| 0 | 10 | Wade Miley | 81 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| 6 | 10 | Cole Irvin | 82 | 6.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
| N/A | 10 | Touki Toussaint | 83 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | First 2 starts pristine, then shelled by MIL |
| N/A | 10 | Josiah Gray | 84 | -2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Should emerge in WAS rotation |
| N/A | 10 | Daulton Jefferies | 85 | N/A | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Promoted, taking Kaprielian's slot |
| N/A | 10 | David Price | 86 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Serviceable innings on strong LAD squad |
| N/A | 10 | Michael Pineda | 87 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | His usual self, few walks and modest Ks |
| -27 | 11 | Ryan Yarbrough | 88 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -1.5 ▼ | |
| -19 | 11 | Nick Pivetta | 89 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 ▼ | |
| -34 | 11 | JT Brubaker | 90 | -1.6 | 1.0 | 6.0 | -5.0 ▼ | That 7.28 FIP for July has a 3.62 SIERA |
| 1 | 11 | Alec Mills | 91 | 3.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| N/A | 11 | Luis Patino | 92 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
| N/A | 11 | Ryan Weathers | 93 | -2.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 ▲ | |
| 1 | 12 | Dallas Keuchel | 94 | -3.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
| N/A | 12 | Tyler Anderson | 95 | 5.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Decent streamer, 0 BB in 1st SEA outing |
| N/A | 12 | Johnny Cueto | 96 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
| -47 | 12 | Rich Hill | 97 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 7.0 | -6.0 ▼ | Citi an upgrade; 4.73 FIP his worst since '09 |
| -47 | 12 | Blake Snell | 98 | -0.5 | 1.0 | 6.5 | -5.5 ▼ | Stash if you still believe, long relief soon? |
| N/A | 12 | Chad Kuhl | 99 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
| N/A | 12 | Daniel Lynch | 100 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
| -26 | 12 | Caleb Smith | 101 | -3.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | -0.5 ▼ |
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