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Hello everyone once again! We end the July chaos as the Verizon 200 at The Brickyard comes to us from Indianapolis Motor Speedway in Indianapolis, Indiana. This is the 22nd 2022 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where first nets 45 points, second is worth 42, third is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Tyler Reddick. Under 46.5 Points. This is extremely volatile only because of how well Reddick has run on road courses in 2022. His Next-Gen car has been incredible all season. He did win at Road America and placed fifth at COTA. The 35th at Sonoma was misleading because the Chevy was running in the top-five at the time. With the pole comes the possibility of being able to run some laps early in the lead including some fast laps. However, one mistake in the beginning could derail all that. It would not take much and place differential can only be negative unless he wins. Pick the under here.
Christopher Bell Under 34.5 Points. The choice is not a given as Bell races well on road courses. However, with the Next-Gen car things have not gone quite so smoothly. Christopher Bell has been close but no cigar. This season, his finishes have been less than stellar on courses where right turns are needed along with the left. Bell begins Sunday from the seventh position. With all the racing talent behind him in qualifying, asking Bell to stay in the top ten may be a tough task. Taking the under could be a worthwhile pick.
Brad Keselowski Under 29.5 Points. This is the RFK Racing risk of risks. Keselowski starts 12th and despite some positive history, does Keselowski maintain track position well enough to rack up the points needed? That is the burning question. He can win almost anywhere but even his top-ten at Sonoma came because of a little bit of luck. The Chevy just does not drive quite like it is used to and loses too much time late on longer runs. Taking the under is not an easy choice but one worth taking on Sunday.
Michael McDowell Under 32.5 Points. The danger keeps adding up rapidly on Sunday as McDowell could benefit from the urgency placed on him and his Front Row Motorsports team. They were slapped with an L2 infraction last week which took 100 standings points away and even some playoff points. McDowell needs points desperately over the final five races and maybe a win as well. That pressure could take its toll on a driver still looking to find a way in. Take the under here.
Ryan Blaney Under 37.5 Points. This could prove to work on Sunday. The idea that Blaney could come under 37.5 points is not crazy. He starts sixth which means again if he drops, that is fewer points possible. The Team Penske driver did finish second at Indianapolis last year. However, part of that involved all the attrition, the bouncy curbs, and the overall track conditions. Blaney may not get quite so lucky this time around.
Some Other Drivers to Look At
Joey Logano (Under 30.5 points) -- Joey Logano beginning fifth may aid other drivers more than Logano. He knows he does not fare all that well on road courses lately. The problem with his Ford is well documented later in races. As much as Logano could stay in the top-10. Even that does not mean an automatic 30.5 points. That is why we still choose the under for the No. 22 car on Sunday. It could be close.
Kyle Larson (Over 53.5 points) -- Expect the unexpected, I guess. Larson might be able to get the over just by leading enough laps and place differential. This is where starting 22nd does not hurt. A top-five finish and a few laps led is about all the No. 5 car needs in order to connect on this prop on Sunday. Larson finished third at Indianapolis last year while leading 29.5% of the laps. While it will be much harder to get to the front this time around, Larson likely will battle with Chase Elliott, Ross Chastain, and others.
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NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks
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The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
