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Gage Bridgford analyzes the Week 7 Thursday Night Football matchup between the Eagles and the Giants and offers his favorite prop picks and over/under bets for Monkey Knife Fight.
The NFL season is back, and we cannot waste our opportunity to make some cash. We’ve seen crazy upsets so far, and we’ve seen a lot of money won. Tonight, we have another shot with the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the New York Giants.
On MKF, there are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash. You're just playing against the house, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money.
As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage of.
Eagles vs Giants: More or Less Contest
- Carson Wentz OVER 247.5 passing yards
- Daniel Jones OVER 230.5 passing yards
Thus far, both of these defenses have played particularly well against the pass. Neither squad is allowing more than 235.5 yards per game through the air. Despite that, I’m taking the over for Carson Wentz. He’s only cleared this mark twice in six games, but this is also the best matchup he’s had thus far. Outside of cornerback James Bradberry, this Giants Defense leaves much to be desired. I think he can sling the ball around a little bit.
In order to keep up with Wentz, Daniel Jones is going to have to throw the ball, and that’s easier to do on this Philadelphia defense. Similar to the Giants, they only have cornerback Darius Slay that scares you in the secondary. The over/under for this game is set at 45, and that feels low despite how beaten up these two rosters are. I’m expecting a little bit of a shootout between the two sides.
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Eagles vs Giants: More or Less Contest
- Travis Fulgham OVER 4.5 receptions
- Devonta Freeman OVER 54.5 rushing yards
Tight ends Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert are still out. Running back Miles Sanders will not be playing, and the wide receiver room has been zapped of talent. Fulgham has 23 targets in his last two games, and he’s caught at least six balls in each game. This number feels pretty easily achievable.
In his last two games, Freeman has hardly been efficient, but he’s getting plenty of volume with 35 carries over the last two weeks. He’s cleared 60 in each game, and I think he’s going to get the volume to clear the mark set for him again. This is a good Eagles front, but with Malik Jackson out with an injury, I think they can get enough push to get him over this relatively low bar.
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Eagles vs Giants: More or Less Contest
- Carson Wentz OVER 18.5 fantasy points
- Daniel Jones UNDER 16.5 fantasy points
- Travis Fulgham OVER 13.5 fantasy points
I think the Eagles are going to be able to move the ball through the air, and with Sanders out, I think we see even more work from Wentz. On top of his work through the air, I think we see Wentz as a key part of the ground game this week. He’s scored a rushing touchdown in four out of six games, and that can help buoy a day for fantasy.
Choosing the under on Jones here comes exclusively from his inability to take care of the ball. In 19 games under center, he has thrown 18 interceptions, and he has 22 fumbles charged to his name. Even against an Eagles Defense that isn’t the most talented, they have the players to take advantage of sloppy play.
Similar to his receptions prop, I’m comfortable taking Fulgham at this number because there is little to no competition for him to compete with. It does rely on him breaking a big play or catching a touchdown, but with the volume he’s going to get, I think he’s able to get there.
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Eagles vs Giants: Rapid Fire Contest
I’m doubling down on my calls. For all of the Eagles’ struggles, I truly believe they’re the better team in this matchup, and they can make more plays happen. I think Freeman’s going to have a slow night, and his entire fantasy value is going to be tied to his ability to get in the endzone. I don’t think that happens. Wentz has struggled from a football perspective, but he’s still maintaining more fantasy value than Jones. That’s all that matters here.
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